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Who should I spam, or how does winrate change with player’s experience?

Competitive season 2020-2021

Competitive stats for tier 1/2 events in Sep 2020 - Sep 2021 season (teams/players data is limited)

Total observer wards planted: 166703

Overview | Records | Heroes ☰ | Items ☰ | Teams ☰
Here you can see how winrates of the heroes change with match duration. Early winrate is calculated based on top 25% shortest games (duration less than Q1 - Early duration) and late winrate is based on top 25% longest games (duration higher than Q3 - Late duration). Gradient represents how chances to win change with every minute of the game.
DurationWinrate
HeroMatchesEarly (Q1)MedianLate (Q3)MeanStd.devEarlyMeanLateGradientChart
antimageAnti-Mage28529:2634:1439:0935:1809:1336.99%42.11%59.72%2.34%
axeAxe27128:5433:4340:0034:5609:3447.06%46.49%51.47%0.40%
baneBane10230:0436:1542:4336:4409:5057.69%49.02%53.85%-0.30%
bloodseekerBloodseeker62529:2834:3241:2335:5109:2943.31%48.32%42.68%-0.05%
crystal_maidenCrystal Maiden41528:5534:5041:1536:0109:5548.08%47.95%50.00%0.16%
drow_rangerDrow Ranger49428:5734:2941:1435:4010:2655.65%52.02%46.77%-0.72%
earthshakerEarthshaker32130:5036:5143:0837:5109:4846.91%55.45%49.38%0.20%
juggernautJuggernaut59429:1134:3841:0335:3008:5953.02%51.68%52.35%-0.06%
miranaMirana95828:5534:2640:4535:2609:3956.67%52.61%47.30%-0.79%
morphlingMorphling69529:2235:0341:3435:5909:3843.10%46.47%45.98%0.24%
nevermoreShadow Fiend15728:2834:0939:5435:3010:5630.00%48.41%67.50%3.28%
phantom_lancerPhantom Lancer33129:5035:0542:1336:1909:4957.83%51.66%46.99%-0.88%
puckPuck95729:4034:5541:1635:5809:1857.26%50.99%51.25%-0.52%
pudgePudge1426:0834:0940:5134:3308:5675.00%42.86%50.00%-1.70%
razorRazor16929:3236:0142:2936:4610:1065.12%57.40%48.84%-1.26%
sand_kingSand King31628:5934:0942:1435:4209:5838.75%47.78%54.43%1.18%
storm_spiritStorm Spirit72430:0235:0841:3036:1309:3650.82%50.00%50.82%0.00%
svenSven59328:3834:0839:4235:0309:4751.68%52.78%51.68%0.00%
tinyTiny98529:2834:3440:3035:3209:1747.37%45.18%41.30%-0.55%
vengefulspiritVengeful Spirit42328:1933:5940:1035:1510:0949.06%50.59%47.17%-0.16%
windrunnerWindranger43929:4034:4040:3735:5409:5641.82%48.29%57.27%1.41%
zuusZeus23730:0935:3641:4436:5511:1433.33%41.35%44.26%0.94%
kunkkaKunkka31529:0434:3340:0135:3210:0145.57%48.89%50.63%0.46%
linaLina77429:0834:5841:1035:5509:4549.48%51.03%50.52%0.09%
lionLion60729:5434:4240:5335:5609:1446.71%48.27%42.76%-0.36%
shadow_shamanShadow Shaman45228:5733:4640:3335:1809:2938.60%47.12%45.61%0.60%
slardarSlardar61730:1534:0339:4035:1508:2954.19%55.27%60.65%0.69%
tidehunterTidehunter65529:0735:1241:0435:5309:4145.73%52.82%55.49%0.82%
witch_doctorWitch Doctor39330:0535:0540:4935:5709:3245.45%48.35%54.00%0.80%
lichLich12229:1535:2342:5536:2509:0041.94%45.08%45.16%0.24%
rikiRiki22929:1234:5442:4036:4011:1650.00%45.85%51.72%0.13%
enigmaEnigma27930:0035:3242:0836:2809:4748.57%48.03%51.43%0.24%
tinkerTinker1632:1137:4949:1539:1610:3240.00%31.25%50.00%0.59%
sniperSniper2930:1835:1040:5736:3609:4050.00%58.62%62.50%1.17%
necrolyteNecrophos7927:0935:0541:5735:5810:0960.00%53.16%30.00%-2.03%
warlockWarlock13628:1333:2839:1633:3208:1557.14%50.00%44.12%-1.18%
beastmasterBeastmaster70028:5734:0940:3735:2710:0067.61%57.71%48.57%-1.63%
queenofpainQueen of Pain38628:4434:3640:0135:1210:0046.39%46.63%50.52%0.37%
venomancerVenomancer23530:0335:3241:2236:0109:2250.85%42.55%30.51%-1.80%
faceless_voidFaceless Void66029:5334:3240:4635:3809:1551.20%55.30%64.24%1.20%
skeleton_kingWraith King53129:1334:5542:3936:5210:2949.62%54.24%50.38%0.06%
death_prophetDeath Prophet69130:0835:4642:5337:1110:0252.02%50.65%46.82%-0.41%
phantom_assassinPhantom Assassin64928:5933:4239:3934:4608:5833.74%45.15%46.63%1.21%
pugnaPugna21131:0335:2142:4637:0410:2657.41%48.82%41.51%-1.36%
templar_assassinTemplar Assassin29027:5733:0139:0934:1209:0963.01%53.79%45.21%-1.59%
viperViper51529:3134:4441:4236:2710:1558.91%49.13%43.41%-1.27%
lunaLuna18227:5633:3338:2134:3509:2660.87%46.70%41.30%-1.88%
dragon_knightDragon Knight29829:4234:4440:1035:2408:3041.33%47.32%49.33%0.76%
dazzleDazzle5327:5133:5839:3734:2309:2278.57%54.72%64.29%-1.21%
rattletrapClockwerk82029:5534:3641:2335:5409:2054.85%51.46%53.17%-0.15%
leshracLeshrac73829:2334:0540:1834:5308:5755.14%51.36%51.08%-0.37%
furionNature's Prophet51528:5933:5240:5735:3409:4355.04%52.04%43.41%-0.97%
life_stealerLifestealer57328:2634:0440:4234:5409:1350.69%52.18%52.78%0.17%
dark_seerDark Seer26729:2835:4341:4036:2509:3438.81%46.44%63.24%2.00%
clinkzClinkz6629:4233:5740:0835:0808:4158.82%50.00%52.94%-0.56%
omniknightOmniknight25229:5334:3040:4535:1608:5856.25%54.76%49.21%-0.65%
enchantressEnchantress67029:4835:1341:0436:0509:4454.76%50.45%51.48%-0.29%
huskarHuskar3825:3031:2635:0131:3008:1280.00%60.53%40.00%-4.20%
night_stalkerNight Stalker26927:5434:2839:5834:5410:1451.47%49.44%47.06%-0.37%
broodmotherBroodmother9527:4832:5537:3133:4410:1054.17%48.42%58.33%0.43%
bounty_hunterBounty Hunter8427:5832:5540:5734:5610:0550.00%47.62%47.62%-0.18%
weaverWeaver23530:0735:4442:2936:3209:2252.54%43.83%32.20%-1.64%
jakiroJakiro11331:2535:4240:0636:4809:0444.83%44.25%48.28%0.40%
batriderBatrider49529:4335:2541:5936:1809:5158.06%50.71%47.58%-0.85%
chenChen21327:1731:5839:3033:4009:1168.52%54.93%35.19%-2.73%
spectreSpectre54730:0435:2841:5236:1308:5543.80%51.92%59.85%1.36%
ancient_apparitionAncient Apparition32629:5134:5142:0336:2910:2352.44%52.45%47.56%-0.40%
doom_bringerDoom44929:5035:2542:0636:3709:5346.02%50.33%48.67%0.22%
ursaUrsa40330:2834:5541:1436:0009:0943.56%45.16%50.98%0.69%
spirit_breakerSpirit Breaker11728:1133:5839:0834:4108:2530.00%40.17%43.33%1.22%
gyrocopterGyrocopter28329:1833:2639:4235:1109:0756.34%48.06%47.89%-0.81%
alchemistAlchemist23228:2932:5939:1234:1008:2853.33%47.84%37.29%-1.50%
invokerInvoker51529:5435:3142:1436:4409:5351.16%52.23%48.06%-0.25%
silencerSilencer9129:4034:4540:4934:3908:4747.83%40.66%34.78%-1.17%
obsidian_destroyerOutworld Destroyer20630:0334:4941:3535:5809:4138.46%44.66%51.92%1.17%
lycanLycan18629:0834:4841:1535:4609:4270.21%54.30%51.06%-1.58%
brewmasterBrewmaster19030:0536:2542:3536:5910:1139.58%46.32%43.75%0.33%
shadow_demonShadow Demon34530:1036:0041:4336:4209:2354.02%50.72%51.72%-0.20%
lone_druidLone Druid6327:5833:5340:0135:0010:2275.00%57.14%43.75%-2.59%
chaos_knightChaos Knight21728:3834:4541:3735:2709:3341.82%50.23%45.45%0.28%
meepoMeepo2028:1331:0236:2331:5308:0666.67%60.00%60.00%-0.82%
treantTreant Protector20930:0234:5242:3736:5811:2941.51%47.37%49.06%0.60%
ogre_magiOgre Magi40929:0433:5239:4935:0609:3453.40%53.55%48.54%-0.45%
undyingUndying73928:5534:1640:3435:2509:5052.43%50.07%52.15%-0.02%
rubickRubick110129:1534:3641:0535:3609:2548.19%47.32%47.10%-0.09%
disruptorDisruptor26130:0734:5639:4936:3310:3451.52%51.72%63.64%1.25%
nyx_assassinNyx Assassin55529:3734:5241:3636:0209:2553.96%55.68%58.27%0.36%
naga_sirenNaga Siren8131:2137:3244:1039:2911:4057.14%40.74%38.10%-1.49%
keeper_of_the_lightKeeper of the Light36729:4034:3641:1936:2910:4558.70%52.86%51.09%-0.65%
wispIo62128:3133:2438:4034:2008:4849.36%52.98%52.56%0.32%
visageVisage6530:2734:1042:4436:1108:3258.82%49.23%41.18%-1.44%
slarkSlark15728:5335:1641:1535:5309:3747.50%45.22%45.00%-0.20%
medusaMedusa36229:4034:1240:3035:2409:0550.55%53.59%51.65%0.10%
troll_warlordTroll Warlord58529:3334:1740:2035:3009:3544.90%50.94%48.30%0.32%
centaurCentaur Warrunner48428:4334:0840:1135:2709:3759.02%53.51%57.85%-0.10%
magnataurMagnus50530:0234:2940:1335:2608:5252.76%49.50%49.61%-0.31%
shredderTimbersaw58128:4333:5340:2635:0309:3060.27%52.15%54.11%-0.53%
bristlebackBristleback15127:1933:4339:5834:4409:2944.74%49.67%47.37%0.21%
tuskTusk91528:5934:1740:0335:0209:1547.39%47.87%48.03%0.06%
skywrath_mageSkywrath Mage22429:0535:1642:0036:3509:5354.39%47.32%50.00%-0.34%
abaddonAbaddon47629:2734:0640:0335:2809:2751.67%47.27%47.90%-0.36%
elder_titanElder Titan69030:0835:2141:5636:3810:0657.80%54.06%50.29%-0.64%
legion_commanderLegion Commander35128:4434:2240:0534:5709:2538.64%43.87%39.77%0.10%
techiesTechies4331:0335:4845:4238:2613:0254.55%46.51%54.55%0.00%
ember_spiritEmber Spirit76928:2533:4139:1234:4709:0954.92%53.32%49.74%-0.48%
earth_spiritEarth Spirit109029:2034:3440:4635:2509:2346.15%47.89%51.09%0.43%
abyssal_underlordUnderlord37430:0336:3443:0937:5311:0248.94%42.78%36.17%-0.97%
terrorbladeTerrorblade45530:5135:5242:2837:2010:0058.77%50.33%42.11%-1.43%
phoenixPhoenix110030:1435:2841:3136:3109:3943.84%53.09%57.61%1.22%
oracleOracle72029:2034:0940:5035:3609:2550.83%51.11%48.62%-0.19%
winter_wyvernWinter Wyvern17729:0034:4840:5336:0410:2744.44%47.46%51.11%0.56%
arc_wardenArc Warden15432:2238:3346:4440:3112:2646.15%43.51%35.90%-0.71%
monkey_kingMonkey King51529:4834:4041:1535:5509:5648.06%50.68%48.84%0.07%
dark_willowDark Willow30130:4935:3442:5136:5809:3552.63%52.16%47.37%-0.44%
pangolierPangolier60429:2434:1640:4335:4709:3755.26%51.49%55.92%0.06%
grimstrokeGrimstroke77728:4534:1241:1835:3709:3544.10%43.89%49.74%0.45%
hoodwinkHoodwink3426:1832:2839:0234:1109:3344.44%41.18%22.22%-1.75%
void_spiritVoid Spirit130629:3034:3841:1735:5209:3941.28%49.46%55.49%1.21%
snapfireSnapfire103829:3934:4841:1535:4909:1845.00%48.27%51.92%0.60%
marsMars150229:0134:1140:5335:2709:3548.67%49.20%48.40%-0.02%