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Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
ItemPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxStd.Dev
ultimate_scepterAghanim's Scepter73614.18%88.458.70%+13.69%+3.26%-3.81%-0.74%30:3812:5925:1230:1034:441:09:4707:03
Columns
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
HeroPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxWindowStd.Dev
spirit_breakerSpirit Breaker333.33%100.0100.00%+83.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%37:1732:1732:1737:4141:5341:5309:3607:06
alchemistAlchemist240.00%98.8100.00%+100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%28:5827:0427:0430:5130:5130:5103:4702:48
vengefulspiritVengeful Spirit1058.82%97.580.00%+37.14%+20.00%+20.00%0.00%25:3515:4216:5024:3130:3039:5813:4010:07
dark_seerDark Seer654.55%96.383.33%+63.33%-33.33%+16.67%2.70%25:3715:1316:1318:0034:4336:5118:3013:42
naga_sirenNaga Siren880.00%95.175.00%+25.00%+25.00%-25.00%-4.78%26:5418:4519:1825:5129:4535:2910:2707:44
bounty_hunterBounty Hunter150.00%93.8100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%16:2916:2916:2916:2916:2916:2900:0000:00
dragon_knightDragon Knight5334.42%92.673.58%+40.91%+18.73%-27.43%-7.59%33:2925:1630:3433:0736:3942:5006:0504:30
invokerInvoker1020.41%91.480.00%+44.10%+20.00%+20.00%0.00%33:5924:2027:0233:1534:5752:2607:5505:51
huskarHuskar1466.67%90.164.29%+35.72%+10.71%+35.71%2.69%28:0620:5423:1626:4332:3435:5309:1806:53
shadow_demonShadow Demon1824.00%88.972.22%+23.10%-12.22%+2.78%2.03%33:3822:4429:2931:3236:5253:3807:2305:28
miranaMirana88.99%87.787.50%+36.88%+12.50%-37.50%-4.40%25:3916:5118:0923:5229:3138:1111:2208:25
storm_spiritStorm Spirit6344.68%86.461.90%+11.90%+0.60%-11.90%-2.12%32:5522:2230:0032:1935:5444:1305:5404:22
pangolierPangolier1914.07%85.273.68%+22.82%+26.32%-33.68%-8.45%30:5720:4825:0628:5332:1257:3707:0605:15
hoodwinkHoodwink2320.54%84.069.57%+25.75%-2.90%-2.90%0.00%31:1324:1027:1331:3433:2343:0406:1004:34
weaverWeaver3036.59%82.763.33%+17.18%-0.83%-20.47%-3.85%31:5723:0928:5330:0033:5949:4705:0603:46
razorRazor915.79%81.577.78%+34.03%-27.78%+22.22%0.00%36:1426:2829:5035:1541:4545:4511:5508:49
brewmasterBrewmaster3294.12%80.253.13%+53.13%+21.87%-15.63%-5.53%21:4915:4817:5119:4524:3839:0506:4705:01
antimageAnti-Mage520.83%79.080.00%+37.89%+20.00%-80.00%0.00%30:1122:3822:3825:1728:1450:4905:3604:08
void_spiritVoid Spirit4890.57%77.852.08%+32.08%+14.59%-18.75%-5.95%23:4316:0720:4423:4726:2034:3505:3604:08
spectreSpectre1292.31%76.550.00%+50.00%+16.67%-16.67%-6.97%27:1722:1324:3426:3729:2133:1804:4703:32
ember_spiritEmber Spirit4842.11%75.354.17%+10.23%+12.50%-20.84%-5.09%32:1023:3328:3231:2535:0546:2206:3304:51
visageVisage1246.15%74.158.33%-5.96%-25.00%+8.34%3.16%25:2716:2220:1524:2730:4833:3910:3307:48
venomancerVenomancer758.33%72.857.14%+37.14%+42.86%-7.14%-3.70%32:4722:1022:5634:3336:2747:3813:3110:00
lycanLycan342.86%71.666.67%+16.67%+33.33%0.00%0.00%32:3230:4630:4631:4135:0935:0904:2303:14
monkey_kingMonkey King1719.77%70.458.82%+5.20%+16.18%-33.82%-11.49%26:2718:4124:3125:5628:5234:3904:2103:13
keeper_of_the_lightKeeper of the Light149.86%69.164.29%+13.51%-14.29%+2.38%1.34%30:5415:2622:5832:1035:2446:1412:2609:12
phantom_assassinPhantom Assassin822.86%67.962.50%+25.46%-12.50%+37.50%0.00%33:0826:1126:3931:2836:3342:3509:5407:20
earth_spiritEarth Spirit822.22%66.762.50%+16.07%-12.50%-12.50%0.00%32:0424:2028:2732:0036:3037:0508:0305:57
gyrocopterGyrocopter2960.42%65.444.83%+18.51%+26.60%-30.54%-12.03%22:1512:5920:1622:4925:0128:5904:4503:31
juggernautJuggernaut28.00%64.2100.00%+60.87%0.00%0.00%0.00%32:2830:2230:2234:3434:3434:3404:1203:06
tidehunterTidehunter2648.15%63.046.15%+17.58%-3.29%-29.48%-4.24%25:0516:0722:0324:5628:1436:0106:1104:34
templar_assassinTemplar Assassin97.69%61.766.67%+15.74%-16.67%+33.33%0.00%32:5422:2024:2929:4033:1450:5808:4506:28
witch_doctorWitch Doctor120.00%60.5100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%45:4645:4645:4645:4645:4645:4600:0000:00
snapfireSnapfire1213.79%59.358.33%+14.33%-25.00%+8.34%2.89%31:4822:2424:0631:3335:3743:3611:3108:31
batriderBatrider26.06%58.0100.00%+48.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%46:5243:2043:2050:2450:2450:2407:0405:14
sand_kingSand King53.33%56.880.00%+28.28%+20.00%-80.00%0.00%39:1426:2926:2938:5044:2649:5617:5713:17
queenofpainQueen of Pain25.13%55.6100.00%+48.65%0.00%0.00%0.00%57:2349:5349:531:04:521:04:521:04:5214:5911:05
dawnbreakerDawnbreaker116.67%54.3100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%26:4226:4226:4226:4226:4226:4200:0000:00
grimstrokeGrimstroke1814.06%53.150.00%+10.00%+30.00%0.00%-3.18%32:0524:3626:5830:3736:2443:3609:2606:59
bristlebackBristleback12100.00%51.933.33%+33.33%+33.34%-33.33%-17.94%17:5514:0615:5016:4819:3324:4103:4302:45
treantTreant Protector24.17%50.6100.00%+43.48%0.00%0.00%0.00%53:1850:4350:4355:5255:5255:5205:0903:48
rubickRubick716.28%49.457.14%+7.14%+42.86%-57.14%-7.97%43:3331:4632:3644:4845:091:01:2112:3309:17
tuskTusk1020.83%48.150.00%+13.16%-16.67%0.00%3.70%32:2424:0830:3132:0435:0137:3204:3003:20
abaddonAbaddon46.06%46.975.00%+20.16%-75.00%+25.00%0.00%34:1928:1228:1232:0936:4340:1008:3106:18
centaurCentaur Warrunner318.75%45.766.67%+35.90%+33.33%0.00%0.00%42:1132:4932:4943:1950:2550:2517:3613:02
jakiroJakiro311.54%44.466.67%+23.19%+33.33%0.00%-0.84%35:2116:2816:2833:1856:1656:1639:4829:28
puckPuck58.47%43.260.00%+15.56%+40.00%+40.00%0.00%34:4627:4727:4732:3534:5948:1407:1205:20
troll_warlordTroll Warlord16.25%42.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%22:2322:2322:2322:2322:2322:2300:0000:00
techiesTechies15.56%40.7100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%29:0929:0929:0929:0929:0929:0900:0000:00
legion_commanderLegion Commander15.56%39.5100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%26:4626:4626:4626:4626:4626:4600:0000:00
shredderTimbersaw713.46%38.342.86%-28.25%+7.14%+7.14%0.00%30:2325:1825:3829:3431:4536:5006:0704:31
furionNature's Prophet411.76%37.050.00%+6.67%+50.00%+50.00%0.00%32:4426:2626:2627:5529:0047:3502:3401:54
chaos_knightChaos Knight32.73%35.866.67%+11.53%-66.67%0.00%0.00%30:1627:2927:2929:3133:4833:4806:1904:40
undyingUndying12.86%34.6100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%31:3331:3331:3331:3331:3331:3300:0000:00
faceless_voidFaceless Void12.70%33.3100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%37:2137:2137:2137:2137:2137:2100:0000:00
terrorbladeTerrorblade47.14%32.150.00%0.00%-50.00%+50.00%0.00%46:5935:2135:2142:5049:2760:1914:0610:26
kunkkaKunkka913.85%30.933.33%-18.46%+16.67%-33.33%-9.26%35:0329:2130:5833:5536:2243:5205:2404:00
baneBane74.29%29.642.86%-11.63%+7.14%-42.86%-4.55%39:4428:2131:2040:4642:1949:0910:5908:08
chenChen214.29%28.450.00%+25.00%-50.00%0.00%0.00%33:5030:3630:3637:0337:0337:0306:2704:46
marsMars10.53%27.2100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%34:0234:0234:0234:0234:0234:0200:0000:00
medusaMedusa67.23%25.933.33%-17.32%+66.67%-33.33%0.00%44:5031:3433:5443:5654:2057:3420:2615:08
ursaUrsa26.67%24.750.00%+10.71%+50.00%0.00%0.00%29:5729:1529:1530:3830:3830:3801:2301:01
beastmasterBeastmaster25.56%23.550.00%-17.65%-50.00%0.00%0.00%41:2220:5420:541:01:491:01:491:01:4940:5530:18
viperViper24.55%22.250.00%+11.90%-50.00%0.00%0.00%42:3938:4538:4546:3346:3346:3307:4805:46
doom_bringerDoom24.08%21.050.00%-7.45%-50.00%0.00%0.00%31:3926:4226:4236:3636:3636:3609:5407:20
nyx_assassinNyx Assassin313.04%19.833.33%-31.67%+66.67%0.00%0.00%32:3031:1531:1532:0434:1234:1202:5702:11
winter_wyvernWinter Wyvern420.00%18.525.00%-18.75%-25.00%-25.00%0.00%37:4224:4324:4326:3242:3556:5817:5213:14
rattletrapClockwerk49.52%17.325.00%-25.00%-25.00%-25.00%0.00%42:5131:4631:4634:3135:201:09:4703:3402:38
leshracLeshrac46.78%16.025.00%-24.09%-25.00%-25.00%0.00%31:0329:0329:0331:2431:2832:1802:2501:47
broodmotherBroodmother457.14%14.80.00%-33.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%23:1118:4418:4422:1823:2328:1704:3903:26
obsidian_destroyerOutworld Destroyer150.00%13.60.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%23:4323:4323:4323:4323:4323:4300:0000:00
lone_druidLone Druid213.33%12.30.00%-46.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%47:0140:1540:1553:4653:4653:4613:3110:00
lunaLuna12.94%11.10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%22:5622:5622:5622:5622:5622:5600:0000:00
disruptorDisruptor318.75%9.90.00%-23.08%0.00%0.00%0.00%36:2231:4931:4937:3239:4639:4607:5705:53
wispIo11.01%8.60.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%20:4820:4820:4820:4820:4820:4800:0000:00
phantom_lancerPhantom Lancer15.00%7.40.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%59:3759:3759:3759:3759:3759:3700:0000:00
zuusZeus125.00%6.20.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%21:1921:1921:1921:1921:1921:1900:0000:00
tinyTiny10.65%4.90.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%50:2950:2950:2950:2950:2950:2900:0000:00
svenSven114.29%3.70.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%35:4035:4035:4035:4035:4035:4000:0000:00
morphlingMorphling14.00%2.50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%33:1233:1233:1233:1233:1233:1200:0000:00
skywrath_mageSkywrath Mage410.26%1.20.00%-51.43%0.00%0.00%0.00%33:2730:4030:4033:1034:1635:4303:3602:40