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Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
| Total | Winrate shifts | Timings | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Item | Pickups | Pickup rate | Rank | Winrate | When picked | Early | Late | Gradient (%/min) | Mean | Min | Q1 | Median | Q3 | Max | Std.Dev | |
 | Aghanim's Scepter | 1588 | 15.46% | 78.2 | 58.00% | +13.54% | -0.07% | -0.57% | -0.04% | 29:54 | 12:15 | 22:24 | 29:11 | 35:15 | 1:19:40 | 09:31 |
Columns
| Total | Winrate shifts | Timings | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hero | Pickups | Pickup rate | Rank | Winrate | When picked | Early | Late | Gradient (%/min) | Mean | Min | Q1 | Median | Q3 | Max | Window | Std.Dev | |
 | Elder Titan | 7 | 41.18% | 100.0 | 85.71% | +55.71% | +14.29% | -35.71% | -3.61% | 42:07 | 32:14 | 35:15 | 40:40 | 49:06 | 51:18 | 13:51 | 10:15 |
 | Huskar | 5 | 62.50% | 98.9 | 80.00% | +13.33% | +20.00% | +20.00% | 0.00% | 26:13 | 24:30 | 24:30 | 26:12 | 26:37 | 28:24 | 02:07 | 01:34 |
 | Dark Seer | 16 | 25.40% | 97.7 | 81.25% | +42.95% | +18.75% | -6.25% | -2.26% | 35:21 | 21:50 | 28:36 | 33:04 | 39:41 | 50:44 | 11:05 | 08:12 |
 | Arc Warden | 5 | 50.00% | 96.6 | 80.00% | +40.00% | +20.00% | -80.00% | 0.00% | 35:18 | 30:14 | 30:14 | 32:09 | 32:18 | 51:15 | 02:04 | 01:31 |
 | Ursa | 14 | 10.07% | 95.4 | 85.71% | +35.31% | +14.29% | -19.04% | 0.00% | 32:29 | 20:29 | 30:35 | 32:35 | 34:49 | 40:58 | 04:14 | 03:08 |
 | Monkey King | 29 | 30.85% | 94.3 | 72.41% | +33.95% | -15.27% | +27.59% | 8.43% | 28:05 | 18:29 | 24:12 | 26:48 | 29:17 | 49:58 | 05:05 | 03:45 |
 | Clockwerk | 36 | 14.23% | 93.1 | 75.00% | +24.31% | +13.89% | -8.33% | -2.08% | 34:51 | 19:52 | 27:14 | 35:13 | 37:55 | 56:28 | 10:41 | 07:54 |
 | Pudge | 51 | 91.07% | 92.0 | 60.78% | +40.78% | +8.45% | -14.63% | -10.41% | 17:30 | 12:42 | 16:08 | 17:10 | 18:21 | 22:41 | 02:13 | 01:38 |
 | Zeus | 44 | 60.27% | 90.8 | 63.64% | +36.05% | +18.18% | +9.09% | -0.87% | 29:42 | 17:24 | 23:05 | 27:58 | 33:30 | 47:34 | 10:25 | 07:42 |
 | Keeper of the Light | 19 | 20.65% | 89.7 | 73.68% | +28.47% | +6.32% | +26.32% | 2.24% | 32:31 | 18:47 | 23:44 | 30:43 | 32:40 | 56:44 | 08:56 | 06:37 |
 | Ember Spirit | 123 | 45.56% | 88.5 | 62.60% | +25.19% | +1.92% | +8.37% | 1.13% | 32:49 | 19:52 | 29:32 | 32:30 | 35:14 | 51:41 | 05:42 | 04:13 |
 | Viper | 14 | 35.00% | 87.4 | 71.43% | +29.12% | +3.57% | -38.10% | -4.22% | 22:26 | 16:20 | 17:45 | 19:43 | 27:37 | 34:56 | 09:52 | 07:18 |
 | Outworld Destroyer | 19 | 70.37% | 86.2 | 63.16% | -11.84% | +16.84% | -63.16% | -22.64% | 19:26 | 15:59 | 17:00 | 18:32 | 20:32 | 25:48 | 03:32 | 02:37 |
 | Earth Spirit | 4 | 9.30% | 85.1 | 100.00% | +64.10% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 30:06 | 23:47 | 23:47 | 26:24 | 33:00 | 37:13 | 09:13 | 06:49 |
 | Tiny | 58 | 15.47% | 83.9 | 67.24% | +18.66% | -0.57% | +11.33% | 1.05% | 32:29 | 18:34 | 25:13 | 30:57 | 36:33 | 1:01:03 | 11:20 | 08:23 |
 | Slark | 81 | 91.01% | 82.8 | 56.79% | +56.79% | +3.21% | -16.79% | -5.56% | 21:39 | 14:53 | 18:42 | 20:35 | 22:18 | 56:15 | 03:36 | 02:40 |
 | Spirit Breaker | 18 | 34.62% | 81.6 | 66.67% | +25.49% | -6.67% | -41.67% | -2.94% | 35:08 | 26:41 | 29:26 | 32:36 | 41:20 | 53:43 | 11:54 | 08:48 |
 | Naga Siren | 20 | 17.39% | 80.5 | 70.00% | +19.47% | -10.00% | +10.00% | 1.40% | 42:22 | 24:38 | 33:37 | 37:19 | 47:57 | 1:19:40 | 14:20 | 10:37 |
 | Visage | 13 | 22.03% | 79.3 | 69.23% | +12.71% | -35.90% | -2.56% | 0.00% | 34:25 | 23:10 | 26:33 | 34:33 | 37:38 | 55:18 | 11:05 | 08:12 |
 | Storm Spirit | 25 | 42.37% | 78.2 | 60.00% | +15.88% | -10.00% | -10.00% | 0.00% | 36:06 | 28:31 | 31:29 | 34:19 | 36:36 | 1:11:28 | 05:07 | 03:47 |
 | Nature's Prophet | 107 | 34.63% | 77.0 | 56.07% | +3.59% | +3.19% | +14.30% | 2.17% | 18:56 | 12:28 | 15:06 | 16:45 | 20:13 | 1:02:34 | 05:07 | 03:47 |
 | Disruptor | 62 | 42.18% | 75.9 | 54.84% | -7.51% | +20.16% | -8.17% | -3.10% | 35:40 | 23:07 | 30:27 | 34:01 | 39:35 | 57:48 | 09:08 | 06:45 |
 | Spectre | 60 | 92.31% | 74.7 | 48.33% | +28.33% | +38.34% | -15.00% | -20.52% | 20:55 | 16:14 | 18:44 | 19:50 | 21:20 | 39:54 | 02:36 | 01:55 |
 | Broodmother | 30 | 17.75% | 73.6 | 60.00% | +4.60% | -22.50% | -31.43% | -0.83% | 29:33 | 15:17 | 24:21 | 27:24 | 35:07 | 49:27 | 10:46 | 07:58 |
 | Enigma | 4 | 3.42% | 72.4 | 100.00% | +46.90% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 46:59 | 40:11 | 40:11 | 46:09 | 48:45 | 52:49 | 08:34 | 06:20 |
 | Timbersaw | 34 | 48.57% | 71.3 | 52.94% | +5.72% | +13.73% | -27.94% | -4.11% | 29:16 | 19:45 | 23:55 | 27:41 | 34:04 | 45:08 | 10:09 | 07:31 |
 | Pangolier | 94 | 40.69% | 70.1 | 51.06% | +3.61% | +15.61% | -11.93% | -3.56% | 30:28 | 20:50 | 25:59 | 28:57 | 33:43 | 56:04 | 07:44 | 05:43 |
 | Doom | 34 | 27.87% | 69.0 | 55.88% | +14.97% | -0.32% | +31.62% | 2.83% | 39:44 | 24:48 | 32:49 | 38:06 | 44:07 | 1:01:46 | 11:18 | 08:22 |
 | Snapfire | 65 | 23.47% | 67.8 | 53.85% | +9.51% | +21.15% | -3.85% | -2.28% | 31:46 | 12:15 | 25:14 | 31:15 | 36:13 | 1:09:08 | 10:59 | 08:08 |
 | Brewmaster | 17 | 51.52% | 66.7 | 52.94% | -9.56% | -2.94% | +22.06% | 3.44% | 24:47 | 15:47 | 18:42 | 23:50 | 25:58 | 44:06 | 07:16 | 05:22 |
 | Bristleback | 20 | 100.00% | 65.5 | 45.00% | +45.00% | +35.00% | +15.00% | -5.02% | 18:18 | 14:44 | 16:09 | 16:55 | 20:08 | 24:09 | 03:59 | 02:57 |
 | Tusk | 77 | 20.00% | 64.4 | 51.95% | +9.42% | +16.47% | -4.58% | -2.68% | 35:40 | 21:38 | 31:01 | 33:57 | 38:53 | 1:06:21 | 07:52 | 05:49 |
 | Treant Protector | 5 | 1.20% | 63.2 | 100.00% | +45.26% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 42:44 | 36:51 | 36:51 | 41:40 | 42:11 | 52:39 | 05:20 | 03:57 |
 | Shadow Fiend | 6 | 5.08% | 62.1 | 83.33% | +41.37% | -33.33% | +16.67% | 0.00% | 40:37 | 24:48 | 28:01 | 37:43 | 50:35 | 1:03:50 | 22:34 | 16:42 |
 | Slardar | 1 | 25.00% | 60.9 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 34:05 | 34:05 | 34:05 | 34:05 | 34:05 | 34:05 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Morphling | 52 | 42.98% | 59.8 | 48.08% | +4.60% | -1.93% | -9.62% | -1.41% | 27:26 | 20:53 | 23:50 | 26:47 | 29:17 | 39:07 | 05:27 | 04:02 |
 | Primal Beast | 39 | 25.16% | 58.6 | 51.28% | +3.00% | +18.72% | -1.28% | -2.56% | 29:56 | 21:56 | 25:36 | 29:07 | 33:25 | 39:20 | 07:49 | 05:47 |
 | Dragon Knight | 32 | 45.71% | 57.5 | 46.88% | +20.56% | +3.12% | -9.38% | -2.47% | 30:42 | 22:43 | 27:14 | 29:50 | 32:18 | 41:13 | 05:04 | 03:45 |
 | Tidehunter | 7 | 9.33% | 56.3 | 71.43% | +14.08% | +28.57% | +28.57% | 0.00% | 21:31 | 16:38 | 17:33 | 19:56 | 20:24 | 35:54 | 02:51 | 02:06 |
 | Terrorblade | 11 | 10.28% | 55.2 | 63.64% | +15.72% | +36.36% | +3.03% | 0.00% | 42:18 | 28:19 | 32:53 | 44:35 | 51:15 | 51:56 | 18:22 | 13:36 |
 | Mirana | 14 | 5.71% | 54.0 | 64.29% | +11.48% | +10.71% | +2.38% | -2.19% | 30:57 | 20:37 | 28:46 | 30:02 | 32:34 | 42:50 | 03:48 | 02:48 |
 | Leshrac | 17 | 8.17% | 52.9 | 58.82% | +1.75% | +41.18% | +16.18% | -2.03% | 39:51 | 24:34 | 33:37 | 38:32 | 45:57 | 58:06 | 12:20 | 09:08 |
 | Phantom Assassin | 3 | 30.00% | 51.7 | 66.67% | +52.38% | +33.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 30:21 | 27:29 | 27:29 | 29:39 | 33:56 | 33:56 | 06:27 | 04:46 |
 | Kunkka | 8 | 14.29% | 50.6 | 62.50% | +18.75% | -62.50% | +37.50% | 15.00% | 33:47 | 26:00 | 27:46 | 31:24 | 34:26 | 47:00 | 06:40 | 04:56 |
 | Shadow Demon | 11 | 23.91% | 49.4 | 54.55% | +3.12% | +12.12% | -21.22% | 0.00% | 37:08 | 21:52 | 29:47 | 33:54 | 43:54 | 53:31 | 14:07 | 10:27 |
 | Dawnbreaker | 26 | 37.14% | 48.3 | 42.31% | +5.95% | +0.55% | -8.98% | -1.07% | 28:01 | 20:21 | 23:29 | 26:19 | 32:22 | 42:51 | 08:53 | 06:34 |
 | Rubick | 20 | 3.65% | 47.1 | 55.00% | +7.08% | +5.00% | -15.00% | -1.26% | 36:27 | 15:38 | 26:55 | 33:47 | 42:49 | 1:08:13 | 15:54 | 11:46 |
 | Skywrath Mage | 7 | 17.07% | 46.0 | 57.14% | +13.02% | -7.14% | -57.14% | -8.77% | 30:27 | 24:53 | 25:10 | 29:00 | 30:52 | 38:41 | 05:42 | 04:13 |
 | Void Spirit | 18 | 56.25% | 44.8 | 38.89% | -3.97% | +21.11% | +11.11% | -0.96% | 29:24 | 19:50 | 24:09 | 26:48 | 34:33 | 46:36 | 10:24 | 07:42 |
 | Vengeful Spirit | 4 | 44.44% | 43.7 | 50.00% | +30.00% | +50.00% | +50.00% | 0.00% | 16:17 | 13:15 | 13:15 | 16:06 | 17:13 | 18:32 | 03:58 | 02:56 |
 | Sven | 2 | 3.70% | 42.5 | 100.00% | +61.54% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 41:39 | 35:58 | 35:58 | 47:20 | 47:20 | 47:20 | 11:22 | 08:25 |
 | Enchantress | 7 | 8.14% | 41.4 | 57.14% | +10.30% | -57.14% | +42.86% | 27.52% | 32:57 | 15:31 | 30:44 | 31:44 | 34:22 | 43:53 | 03:38 | 02:41 |
 | Troll Warlord | 8 | 15.09% | 40.2 | 50.00% | +1.11% | 0.00% | -50.00% | -24.39% | 25:52 | 22:24 | 23:29 | 24:24 | 25:32 | 33:05 | 02:03 | 01:31 |
 | Venomancer | 1 | 10.00% | 39.1 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 44:09 | 44:09 | 44:09 | 44:09 | 44:09 | 44:09 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Drow Ranger | 2 | 1.59% | 37.9 | 100.00% | +54.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 55:04 | 54:05 | 54:05 | 56:02 | 56:02 | 56:02 | 01:57 | 01:26 |
 | Lina | 4 | 1.69% | 36.8 | 75.00% | +19.83% | +25.00% | -75.00% | 0.00% | 44:17 | 20:17 | 20:17 | 49:24 | 51:17 | 56:10 | 31:00 | 22:57 |
 | Luna | 1 | 6.67% | 35.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 50:45 | 50:45 | 50:45 | 50:45 | 50:45 | 50:45 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Lone Druid | 1 | 6.25% | 34.5 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 32:48 | 32:48 | 32:48 | 32:48 | 32:48 | 32:48 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Lycan | 14 | 17.50% | 33.3 | 35.71% | -18.84% | -10.71% | -2.38% | 1.01% | 32:04 | 21:44 | 27:17 | 30:09 | 35:30 | 43:27 | 08:13 | 06:05 |
 | Nyx Assassin | 1 | 4.76% | 32.2 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 35:14 | 35:14 | 35:14 | 35:14 | 35:14 | 35:14 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Razor | 1 | 4.76% | 31.0 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 29:30 | 29:30 | 29:30 | 29:30 | 29:30 | 29:30 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Axe | 2 | 28.57% | 29.9 | 50.00% | +30.00% | -50.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 37:38 | 35:44 | 35:44 | 39:31 | 39:31 | 39:31 | 03:47 | 02:48 |
 | Invoker | 7 | 12.07% | 28.7 | 42.86% | -12.04% | +7.14% | +7.14% | 0.00% | 38:03 | 18:28 | 23:37 | 38:16 | 39:42 | 57:45 | 16:05 | 11:54 |
 | Templar Assassin | 3 | 3.95% | 27.6 | 66.67% | +10.51% | +33.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 43:20 | 32:11 | 32:11 | 38:31 | 59:19 | 59:19 | 27:08 | 20:05 |
 | Gyrocopter | 8 | 66.67% | 26.4 | 25.00% | +25.00% | -25.00% | +25.00% | 10.17% | 18:11 | 13:35 | 15:13 | 16:48 | 20:08 | 24:33 | 04:55 | 03:38 |
 | Dazzle | 2 | 25.00% | 25.3 | 50.00% | +16.67% | +50.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 29:11 | 22:25 | 22:25 | 35:57 | 35:57 | 35:57 | 13:32 | 10:01 |
 | Earthshaker | 1 | 3.13% | 24.1 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 15:04 | 15:04 | 15:04 | 15:04 | 15:04 | 15:04 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Dark Willow | 1 | 2.44% | 23.0 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 40:54 | 40:54 | 40:54 | 40:54 | 40:54 | 40:54 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Bounty Hunter | 2 | 15.38% | 21.8 | 50.00% | +4.55% | -50.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 28:52 | 27:56 | 27:56 | 29:48 | 29:48 | 29:48 | 01:52 | 01:22 |
 | Centaur Warrunner | 4 | 4.08% | 20.7 | 50.00% | -5.32% | +50.00% | -50.00% | 0.00% | 38:10 | 34:22 | 34:22 | 35:58 | 40:02 | 42:16 | 05:40 | 04:11 |
 | Night Stalker | 2 | 14.29% | 19.5 | 50.00% | -8.33% | -50.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 23:58 | 20:39 | 20:39 | 27:16 | 27:16 | 27:16 | 06:37 | 04:54 |
 | Windranger | 2 | 14.29% | 18.4 | 50.00% | +16.67% | -50.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 28:12 | 25:48 | 25:48 | 30:35 | 30:35 | 30:35 | 04:47 | 03:32 |
 | Bane | 2 | 11.76% | 17.2 | 50.00% | +23.33% | -50.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 25:07 | 24:55 | 24:55 | 25:19 | 25:19 | 25:19 | 00:24 | 00:17 |
 | Silencer | 1 | 0.60% | 16.1 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 32:15 | 32:15 | 32:15 | 32:15 | 32:15 | 32:15 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Undying | 1 | 0.52% | 14.9 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 37:29 | 37:29 | 37:29 | 37:29 | 37:29 | 37:29 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Death Prophet | 4 | 1.29% | 13.8 | 50.00% | +0.65% | +50.00% | -50.00% | 0.00% | 32:30 | 19:24 | 19:24 | 25:34 | 37:28 | 47:32 | 18:04 | 13:22 |
 | Faceless Void | 2 | 2.74% | 12.6 | 50.00% | -3.52% | -50.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 36:35 | 30:56 | 30:56 | 42:14 | 42:14 | 42:14 | 11:18 | 08:22 |
 | Puck | 2 | 1.96% | 11.5 | 50.00% | -4.00% | +50.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1:02:12 | 58:04 | 58:04 | 1:06:19 | 1:06:19 | 1:06:19 | 08:15 | 06:06 |
 | Batrider | 2 | 1.03% | 10.3 | 50.00% | -5.21% | +50.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 36:35 | 29:20 | 29:20 | 43:50 | 43:50 | 43:50 | 14:30 | 10:44 |
 | Medusa | 5 | 19.23% | 9.2 | 20.00% | -27.62% | -20.00% | -20.00% | 0.00% | 41:43 | 32:06 | 32:06 | 43:43 | 46:52 | 48:37 | 14:46 | 10:56 |
 | Tinker | 1 | 11.11% | 8.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 32:41 | 32:41 | 32:41 | 32:41 | 32:41 | 32:41 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Winter Wyvern | 1 | 20.00% | 6.9 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 27:36 | 27:36 | 27:36 | 27:36 | 27:36 | 27:36 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Sniper | 1 | 1.39% | 5.7 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1:05:13 | 1:05:13 | 1:05:13 | 1:05:13 | 1:05:13 | 1:05:13 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Abaddon | 1 | 7.14% | 4.6 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 43:51 | 43:51 | 43:51 | 43:51 | 43:51 | 43:51 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Ancient Apparition | 1 | 16.67% | 3.4 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 26:16 | 26:16 | 26:16 | 26:16 | 26:16 | 26:16 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Meepo | 1 | 33.33% | 2.3 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 22:10 | 22:10 | 22:10 | 22:10 | 22:10 | 22:10 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Chaos Knight | 1 | 1.59% | 1.1 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 19:57 | 19:57 | 19:57 | 19:57 | 19:57 | 19:57 | 00:00 | 00:00 |