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DPC SA 2023 Tour 1: Division II

DPC 2023 Tour 1 - South America Regional League - Division II, hosted by ESB

First Pick Winrate: 55.8824

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Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
ItemPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxStd.Dev
ultimate_scepterAghanim's Scepter12818.82%72.051.56%+7.51%-10.93%+10.94%1.86%30:3313:3723:5629:5735:401:01:4608:41
Columns
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
HeroPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxWindowStd.Dev
slarkSlark7100.00%100.071.43%+71.43%+28.57%-71.43%-30.15%20:5016:3017:3620:0920:5529:0003:1902:27
storm_spiritStorm Spirit562.50%97.780.00%+46.67%-80.00%+20.00%0.00%33:0130:4930:4933:3134:0835:0903:1902:27
earthshakerEarthshaker150.00%95.5100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%15:0415:0415:0415:0415:0415:0400:0000:00
enigmaEnigma150.00%93.2100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%52:4952:4952:4952:4952:4952:4900:0000:00
razorRazor150.00%90.9100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%29:3029:3029:3029:3029:3029:3000:0000:00
spirit_breakerSpirit Breaker150.00%88.6100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%29:1829:1829:1829:1829:1829:1800:0000:00
kunkkaKunkka233.33%86.4100.00%+25.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%36:1632:0832:0840:2440:2440:2408:1606:07
pudgePudge3100.00%84.166.67%+66.67%+33.33%0.00%-4.29%18:1514:5514:5517:0822:4122:4107:4605:45
visageVisage450.00%81.875.00%+25.00%+25.00%+25.00%0.00%34:3123:1023:1023:1736:1755:1813:0709:42
naga_sirenNaga Siren133.33%79.5100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%37:1937:1937:1937:1937:1937:1900:0000:00
ember_spiritEmber Spirit1982.61%77.352.63%+27.63%-12.63%+27.37%7.57%30:2519:5229:2530:3834:4236:5305:1703:54
spectreSpectre2100.00%75.050.00%+50.00%+50.00%0.00%-22.90%17:5416:4816:4818:5918:5918:5902:1101:37
primal_beastPrimal Beast430.77%72.775.00%+19.44%+25.00%+25.00%0.00%31:1925:3625:3629:5730:3539:0604:5903:41
pangolierPangolier969.23%70.555.56%+30.56%+44.44%-55.56%-17.44%30:1425:1126:1329:1231:5739:2205:4404:14
snapfireSnapfire627.27%68.266.67%+29.17%-16.67%+33.33%10.00%30:2319:3328:2431:1333:2438:2805:0003:42
invokerInvoker120.00%65.9100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%38:1638:1638:1638:1638:1638:1600:0000:00
doom_bringerDoom266.67%63.650.00%+50.00%-50.00%0.00%0.00%51:1940:5140:511:01:461:01:461:01:4620:5515:29
keeper_of_the_lightKeeper of the Light325.00%61.466.67%+55.56%-66.67%0.00%1.78%44:0119:1519:1556:0556:4456:4437:2927:45
tidehunterTidehunter116.67%59.1100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%35:5435:5435:5435:5435:5435:5400:0000:00
skywrath_mageSkywrath Mage450.00%56.850.00%+25.00%-50.00%-50.00%0.00%30:2024:5324:5326:5330:5238:4105:5904:25
earth_spiritEarth Spirit112.50%54.5100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%26:2426:2426:2426:2426:2426:2400:0000:00
bounty_hunterBounty Hunter250.00%52.350.00%+50.00%-50.00%0.00%0.00%28:5227:5627:5629:4829:4829:4801:5201:22
dawnbreakerDawnbreaker1076.92%50.030.00%+30.00%-30.00%-30.00%0.00%27:1221:0123:2925:5831:1837:2307:4905:47
tuskTusk425.00%47.750.00%+8.33%+50.00%-50.00%-16.85%31:3327:0727:0732:0533:0333:5705:5604:23
tinyTiny16.25%45.5100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%24:4124:4124:4124:4124:4124:4100:0000:00
troll_warlordTroll Warlord233.33%43.250.00%-50.00%-50.00%0.00%0.00%23:2422:2422:2424:2424:2424:2402:0001:28
death_prophetDeath Prophet14.55%40.9100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%37:2837:2837:2837:2837:2837:2800:0000:00
disruptorDisruptor480.00%38.625.00%-75.00%-25.00%+75.00%11.19%38:2833:1733:1733:3742:1344:4408:5606:37
medusaMedusa228.57%36.450.00%+30.00%-50.00%0.00%0.00%40:3037:1637:1643:4343:4343:4306:2704:46
rubickRubick13.13%34.1100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%28:3628:3628:3628:3628:3628:3600:0000:00
monkey_kingMonkey King222.22%31.850.00%+21.43%-50.00%0.00%0.00%38:2026:4126:4149:5849:5849:5823:1717:14
broodmotherBroodmother212.50%29.550.00%0.00%-50.00%0.00%0.00%31:0326:0426:0436:0136:0136:0109:5707:22
obsidian_destroyerOutworld Destroyer150.00%27.30.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%21:5721:5721:5721:5721:5721:5700:0000:00
shadow_demonShadow Demon150.00%25.00.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%43:5443:5443:5443:5443:5443:5400:0000:00
leshracLeshrac14.00%22.70.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%49:3449:3449:3449:3449:3449:3400:0000:00
dragon_knightDragon Knight2100.00%20.50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%33:0228:4728:4737:1737:1737:1708:3006:17
void_spiritVoid Spirit1100.00%18.20.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%24:0924:0924:0924:0924:0924:0900:0000:00
terrorbladeTerrorblade17.69%15.90.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%51:5651:5651:5651:5651:5651:5600:0000:00
furionNature's Prophet337.50%13.60.00%-60.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%14:3513:3713:3714:5715:1015:1001:3301:08
rattletrapClockwerk16.67%11.40.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%36:3736:3736:3736:3736:3736:3700:0000:00
nevermoreShadow Fiend114.29%9.10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%24:4824:4824:4824:4824:4824:4800:0000:00
bristlebackBristleback2100.00%6.80.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%16:4316:4016:4016:4616:4616:4600:0600:04
shredderTimbersaw266.67%4.50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%36:1134:3434:3437:4837:4837:4803:1402:23
morphlingMorphling337.50%2.30.00%-40.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%28:2822:3122:3128:4234:1034:1011:3908:37