Spectral Stats - Immortal Rank Meta Trends - 7.28(a) - Items - Heroes

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Explain this to me

Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.

		Total			Winrate shifts					Timings
	Item	Pickups	Pickup rate	Rank	Winrate	When picked	Early	Late	Gradient (%/min)	Mean	Min	Q1	Median	Q3	Max	Std.Dev
	Desolator	43427	3.84%	70.4	59.28%	+5.56%	+2.68%	-1.77%	-0.58%	21:53	06:52	17:17	20:38	24:58	1:14:29	06:59

ColumnsTotalWinrate shiftsTimings

	Total			Winrate shifts					Timings
Hero	Pickups	Pickup rate	Rank	Winrate	When picked	Early	Late	Gradient (%/min)	Mean	Min	Q1	Median	Q3	Max	Window	Std.Dev
Phantom Lancer	51	0.45%	100.0	98.04%	+45.92%	+1.96%	+1.96%	0.00%	29:14	15:07	23:30	29:00	32:35	55:29	09:05	08:28
Slark	59	0.54%	99.1	96.61%	+43.50%	+3.39%	-9.94%	0.00%	26:58	13:13	22:12	25:04	29:34	51:39	07:22	08:17
Anti-Mage	68	0.44%	98.3	95.59%	+43.93%	+4.41%	-13.24%	-1.85%	30:36	15:40	25:11	28:55	34:42	1:03:08	09:31	09:01
Ursa	323	2.32%	97.4	82.04%	+27.58%	+0.89%	-12.90%	-1.40%	28:18	10:02	22:34	27:14	32:26	1:06:45	09:52	08:19
Troll Warlord	61	0.46%	96.5	90.16%	+35.36%	+3.59%	-23.49%	0.00%	26:44	09:59	21:06	25:14	32:04	1:03:34	10:58	09:17
Riki	285	2.73%	95.7	79.65%	+22.94%	+6.46%	-6.41%	-1.42%	28:03	14:55	22:57	26:32	32:01	1:11:23	09:04	07:42
Faceless Void	36	0.45%	94.8	94.44%	+43.91%	+5.56%	-16.66%	0.00%	26:19	15:45	21:21	26:00	30:23	42:11	09:02	06:24
Legion Commander	340	2.74%	93.9	75.59%	+23.90%	+13.94%	-17.94%	-3.59%	27:49	10:58	22:39	26:55	31:32	1:07:12	08:53	07:26
Monkey King	1307	6.89%	93.0	72.30%	+14.27%	-2.48%	-5.94%	-0.45%	24:01	09:50	19:50	22:44	27:34	58:28	07:44	06:34
Queen of Pain	42	0.39%	92.2	88.10%	+34.44%	+11.90%	-18.10%	0.00%	28:41	14:15	22:36	27:04	31:46	1:03:12	09:10	10:08
Puck	1390	6.87%	91.3	69.06%	+10.60%	+10.88%	-12.29%	-3.18%	23:47	08:51	19:39	22:46	26:56	1:10:24	07:17	06:24
Juggernaut	300	1.63%	90.4	73.00%	+18.64%	-0.63%	+4.33%	0.51%	25:00	10:54	19:35	24:36	29:20	56:46	09:45	07:12
Windranger	89	0.61%	89.6	79.78%	+26.73%	-1.52%	-7.05%	0.00%	32:34	10:29	25:17	31:55	38:43	1:06:52	13:26	10:35
Broodmother	149	4.14%	88.7	73.15%	+14.40%	-7.36%	-5.58%	0.13%	22:49	09:28	15:12	22:14	29:03	1:02:31	13:51	09:13
Drow Ranger	22	0.27%	87.8	95.45%	+44.98%	-9.74%	+4.55%	0.00%	26:28	08:10	20:56	24:31	35:54	48:18	14:58	10:03
Nature's Prophet	263	4.45%	87.0	69.20%	+17.94%	+3.93%	-7.08%	-0.97%	30:30	13:13	24:15	29:52	35:35	58:24	11:20	09:25
Visage	30	0.67%	86.1	86.67%	+31.89%	+13.33%	-29.53%	0.00%	28:55	14:35	23:47	29:24	34:44	52:36	10:57	08:31
Lina	98	0.62%	85.2	75.51%	+25.24%	+5.26%	-13.01%	0.00%	28:14	10:49	21:57	26:04	32:25	1:10:58	10:28	10:25
Tusk	434	3.82%	84.3	66.82%	+13.68%	+9.54%	-0.15%	-0.86%	25:51	10:50	19:25	25:29	30:42	55:22	11:17	08:07
Void Spirit	1360	7.28%	83.5	63.16%	+9.33%	+0.18%	-4.63%	-0.50%	25:48	09:02	20:39	25:14	30:12	58:04	09:33	07:16
Weaver	559	8.26%	82.6	64.22%	+9.32%	-0.39%	+2.21%	0.30%	21:36	10:23	16:36	20:09	25:14	53:49	08:38	06:35
Bounty Hunter	579	4.90%	81.7	64.59%	+7.48%	+3.22%	-7.35%	-0.98%	24:42	11:32	18:42	23:15	29:26	1:13:19	10:44	07:53
Lycan	453	3.99%	80.9	65.12%	+5.44%	+13.83%	-9.37%	-1.81%	31:59	12:51	25:21	31:01	38:08	1:11:44	12:47	09:30
Lone Druid	312	25.24%	80.0	63.14%	+12.25%	+11.54%	-13.14%	-4.86%	20:42	12:37	17:19	19:27	22:24	59:18	05:05	05:24
Spectre	18	0.27%	79.1	94.44%	+43.67%	+5.56%	-19.44%	0.00%	30:56	15:56	27:47	30:36	37:52	46:36	10:05	07:53
Mars	3329	13.31%	78.3	60.68%	+9.14%	+1.14%	+1.22%	0.01%	24:48	10:53	18:55	23:17	30:14	1:06:33	11:19	07:48
Morphling	43	0.25%	77.4	81.40%	+30.24%	+18.60%	-35.95%	0.00%	27:49	13:29	20:24	25:12	30:11	55:04	09:47	10:40
Wraith King	2805	14.22%	76.5	59.75%	+4.81%	+11.62%	-3.26%	-2.83%	21:24	10:42	18:11	20:27	23:27	60:10	05:16	04:47
Clinkz	3610	59.03%	75.7	57.87%	+0.80%	+13.26%	-6.76%	-4.04%	19:00	09:58	16:03	18:07	21:00	46:01	04:57	04:14
Ember Spirit	1678	12.92%	74.8	58.82%	+5.47%	+10.06%	-6.08%	-2.00%	21:51	11:34	16:54	20:13	24:57	1:12:24	08:03	06:48
Storm Spirit	18	0.13%	73.9	94.44%	+40.84%	+5.56%	+5.56%	0.00%	29:41	13:29	24:13	26:41	34:59	1:02:16	10:46	11:15
Shadow Fiend	58	0.34%	73.0	75.86%	+24.48%	+5.39%	-18.72%	0.00%	25:44	15:38	20:03	24:13	30:12	52:43	10:09	08:05
Mirana	153	0.74%	72.2	66.67%	+10.71%	+10.25%	-0.88%	0.00%	24:55	13:00	17:06	21:57	30:06	1:04:51	13:00	10:10
Crystal Maiden	24	0.16%	71.3	87.50%	+34.46%	+12.50%	-20.83%	0.00%	40:22	24:05	35:42	39:03	49:08	1:09:19	13:26	10:18
Io	78	1.33%	70.4	69.23%	+15.30%	-2.56%	-6.07%	-0.13%	32:58	12:01	17:11	33:53	44:04	1:09:01	26:53	15:46
Phantom Assassin	12851	64.92%	69.6	55.04%	+3.87%	+9.96%	-16.14%	-6.09%	21:38	10:54	19:12	21:01	23:29	53:11	04:17	03:54
Chaos Knight	100	1.42%	68.7	67.00%	+12.51%	+2.23%	+1.00%	0.00%	26:11	12:12	20:03	25:03	30:23	49:47	10:20	08:27
Tidehunter	588	6.95%	67.8	58.50%	+3.21%	+5.01%	+0.68%	-0.48%	22:58	10:58	17:53	21:18	26:53	53:47	09:00	07:06
Night Stalker	22	0.28%	67.0	86.36%	+31.50%	+13.64%	-26.36%	0.00%	30:24	10:24	26:13	29:28	38:06	1:03:09	11:53	12:10
Hoodwink	1590	6.72%	66.1	56.42%	+4.96%	+8.74%	-4.28%	-1.16%	26:25	09:07	20:09	24:53	31:25	1:14:29	11:16	08:38
Invoker	35	0.20%	65.2	80.00%	+23.95%	+10.00%	-24.44%	0.00%	31:44	16:47	22:06	28:00	42:32	1:03:10	20:26	11:47
Templar Assassin	5933	80.61%	64.3	53.24%	-1.12%	+12.53%	-10.96%	-6.21%	14:43	07:06	12:32	13:57	16:19	53:21	03:47	03:02
Gyrocopter	13	0.41%	63.5	92.31%	+40.68%	+7.69%	-25.64%	0.00%	29:20	06:52	20:55	28:17	42:30	56:00	21:35	14:06
Naga Siren	19	0.56%	62.6	84.21%	+31.72%	-0.88%	-24.21%	0.00%	31:33	19:10	26:52	30:25	34:07	50:17	07:15	08:25
Viper	14	0.15%	61.7	92.86%	+41.99%	+7.14%	-26.19%	0.00%	32:47	19:21	24:51	34:19	44:15	51:12	19:24	10:20
Arc Warden	21	0.41%	60.9	80.95%	+24.26%	+2.38%	-0.95%	0.00%	34:44	20:19	26:01	30:20	44:58	60:30	18:57	11:53
Elder Titan	9	0.25%	60.0	100.00%	+44.06%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	35:16	16:54	23:38	37:37	48:18	1:05:54	24:40	15:01
Snapfire	89	0.81%	59.1	62.92%	+12.42%	+6.65%	+0.72%	0.00%	35:00	19:16	26:57	32:53	41:27	1:04:38	14:30	09:54
Pangolier	30	0.22%	58.3	76.67%	+20.82%	+23.33%	-33.81%	0.00%	29:47	12:56	22:04	27:49	39:18	57:57	17:14	11:31
Lifestealer	1261	28.84%	57.4	48.85%	+0.01%	+15.39%	-8.85%	-6.22%	20:54	11:52	18:26	20:16	22:20	47:45	03:54	03:58
Terrorblade	15	0.12%	56.5	86.67%	+35.89%	+13.33%	-36.67%	0.00%	31:48	16:27	25:29	29:17	38:08	58:47	12:39	12:00
Alchemist	15	0.51%	55.7	80.00%	+24.67%	+20.00%	-5.00%	0.00%	25:20	09:38	19:40	26:06	28:31	48:02	08:51	09:25
Tiny	29	0.20%	54.8	72.41%	+21.81%	+27.59%	-43.84%	0.00%	33:26	11:16	25:43	35:22	39:32	52:47	13:49	10:44
Slardar	19	0.17%	53.9	78.95%	+25.99%	+21.05%	-38.95%	0.00%	28:39	13:33	24:22	29:54	32:27	48:07	08:05	09:12
Earthshaker	23	0.21%	53.0	73.91%	+19.20%	-2.48%	+9.42%	0.00%	29:02	17:43	23:12	26:57	33:43	55:43	10:31	09:35
Batrider	8	0.06%	52.2	100.00%	+42.98%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	32:46	18:07	22:44	30:20	48:41	52:22	25:57	13:00
Sven	6	0.28%	51.3	100.00%	+48.35%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	23:36	20:11	21:28	23:53	27:57	27:57	06:29	03:10
Earth Spirit	13	0.09%	50.4	84.62%	+29.87%	+15.38%	-17.95%	0.00%	30:15	13:24	20:31	28:55	46:23	53:37	25:52	13:47
Dazzle	46	1.65%	49.6	56.52%	+1.90%	-10.37%	+7.12%	1.53%	27:25	16:48	21:31	26:53	32:59	45:59	11:28	07:22
Timbersaw	10	0.08%	48.7	90.00%	+36.79%	+10.00%	-40.00%	0.00%	32:20	22:38	31:31	32:52	35:42	44:21	04:11	05:45
Vengeful Spirit	42	0.44%	47.8	59.52%	+8.14%	-26.19%	+10.48%	0.00%	34:59	22:24	28:47	32:18	41:28	1:08:17	12:41	10:04
Razor	7	0.35%	47.0	85.71%	+27.27%	+14.29%	-35.71%	0.00%	26:50	14:41	20:29	33:24	39:09	40:49	18:40	10:43
Sniper	19	1.21%	46.1	57.89%	+7.99%	+8.78%	-17.89%	0.00%	22:00	13:05	16:55	23:12	28:09	31:42	11:14	05:40
Medusa	4	0.26%	45.2	100.00%	+49.03%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	23:43	15:38	18:08	24:59	36:05	36:05	17:57	09:08
Death Prophet	8	0.16%	44.3	75.00%	+21.84%	-8.33%	-25.00%	0.00%	35:43	20:06	29:49	36:35	47:19	49:02	17:30	10:11
Underlord	4	0.06%	43.5	100.00%	+46.31%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	28:02	22:40	26:37	27:43	35:06	35:06	08:29	05:11
Shadow Shaman	4	0.03%	42.6	100.00%	+43.56%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	32:19	24:30	27:53	37:34	39:19	39:19	11:26	07:14
Techies	9	0.15%	41.7	66.67%	+14.85%	0.00%	-16.67%	0.00%	52:23	42:49	48:02	55:12	59:02	1:04:34	11:00	07:06
Kunkka	7	0.19%	40.9	71.43%	+24.77%	-4.76%	-21.43%	0.00%	36:16	20:18	25:27	40:00	52:01	55:08	26:34	14:09
Rubick	13	0.06%	40.0	61.54%	+11.38%	+13.46%	-28.21%	0.00%	28:09	16:31	22:36	28:33	35:28	41:28	12:52	07:54
Winter Wyvern	7	0.11%	39.1	71.43%	+15.44%	-4.76%	-21.43%	0.00%	32:24	23:04	31:52	34:20	35:42	44:38	03:50	07:27
Enchantress	3	0.08%	38.3	100.00%	+49.03%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	22:55	19:15	20:34	28:56	28:56	28:56	08:22	05:15
Luna	3	0.07%	37.4	100.00%	+46.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	21:26	15:57	20:13	28:09	28:09	28:09	07:56	06:11
Doom	3	0.06%	36.5	100.00%	+47.35%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	26:15	24:31	25:59	28:15	28:15	28:15	02:16	01:52
Tinker	5	0.08%	35.7	80.00%	+27.28%	+20.00%	-80.00%	0.00%	35:34	27:15	28:34	45:05	47:55	47:55	19:21	10:03
Spirit Breaker	3	0.03%	34.8	100.00%	+44.86%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	40:19	34:32	37:47	48:37	48:37	48:37	10:50	07:22
Zeus	3	0.03%	33.9	100.00%	+47.81%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	33:42	18:46	40:07	42:12	42:12	42:12	02:05	12:58
Brewmaster	8	0.14%	33.0	62.50%	+11.36%	-29.17%	-12.50%	0.00%	28:50	18:49	25:10	25:52	37:28	51:44	12:18	10:51
Sand King	5	0.04%	32.2	80.00%	+24.46%	+20.00%	-80.00%	0.00%	31:36	23:34	25:09	33:47	45:54	45:54	20:45	08:56
Huskar	2	0.14%	31.3	100.00%	+47.50%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	22:59	13:15	32:43	32:43	32:43	32:43	00:00	13:45
Bloodseeker	7	0.23%	30.4	57.14%	+4.52%	+9.53%	-57.14%	0.00%	29:45	16:27	25:41	27:28	34:56	58:38	09:15	14:11
Dragon Knight	2	0.08%	29.6	100.00%	+48.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	32:09	15:18	49:00	49:00	49:00	49:00	00:00	23:49
Abaddon	2	0.07%	28.7	100.00%	+44.02%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	28:17	18:06	38:28	38:28	38:28	38:28	00:00	14:24
Warlock	2	0.04%	27.8	100.00%	+46.96%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	29:05	27:58	30:12	30:12	30:12	30:12	00:00	01:34
Shadow Demon	2	0.04%	27.0	100.00%	+47.75%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	26:31	26:09	26:52	26:52	26:52	26:52	00:00	00:30
Skywrath Mage	2	0.03%	26.1	100.00%	+46.90%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	37:40	36:56	38:23	38:23	38:23	38:23	00:00	01:01
Treant Protector	2	0.03%	25.2	100.00%	+47.38%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	36:06	34:09	38:02	38:02	38:02	38:02	00:00	02:44
Beastmaster	11	0.12%	24.3	45.45%	-13.06%	+29.55%	-45.45%	0.00%	34:10	16:22	31:04	35:46	43:30	1:04:11	12:26	14:30
Witch Doctor	2	0.02%	23.5	100.00%	+48.76%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	30:09	24:43	35:34	35:34	35:34	35:34	00:00	07:40
Undying	2	0.01%	22.6	100.00%	+45.05%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	33:27	22:16	44:38	44:38	44:38	44:38	00:00	15:48
Dark Willow	5	0.06%	21.7	60.00%	+4.72%	+40.00%	-60.00%	0.00%	43:11	28:23	34:13	51:25	52:58	52:58	18:45	11:07
Phoenix	5	0.03%	20.9	60.00%	+5.62%	-10.00%	-60.00%	0.00%	34:54	21:04	28:49	37:54	51:59	51:59	23:10	11:30
Bristleback	3	0.06%	20.0	66.67%	+19.03%	+33.33%	-66.67%	0.00%	34:02	26:13	34:58	40:56	40:56	40:56	05:58	07:24
Silencer	3	0.05%	19.1	66.67%	+14.25%	-16.67%	+33.33%	0.00%	44:28	33:39	42:09	57:36	57:36	57:36	15:27	12:08
Omniknight	1	0.04%	18.3	100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	23:16	23:16	23:16	23:16	23:16	23:16	00:00	00:00
Necrophos	1	0.04%	17.4	100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	13:21	13:21	13:21	13:21	13:21	13:21	00:00	00:00
Enigma	1	0.02%	16.5	100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	25:36	25:36	25:36	25:36	25:36	25:36	00:00	00:00
Centaur Warrunner	1	0.02%	15.7	100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	50:54	50:54	50:54	50:54	50:54	50:54	00:00	00:00
Clockwerk	1	0.01%	14.8	100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	33:26	33:26	33:26	33:26	33:26	33:26	00:00	00:00
Leshrac	1	0.01%	13.9	100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	33:38	33:38	33:38	33:38	33:38	33:38	00:00	00:00
Lion	1	0.01%	13.0	100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	27:07	27:07	27:07	27:07	27:07	27:07	00:00	00:00
Disruptor	1	0.01%	12.2	100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	39:18	39:18	39:18	39:18	39:18	39:18	00:00	00:00
Nyx Assassin	5	0.03%	11.3	40.00%	-19.45%	+10.00%	-40.00%	0.00%	39:47	13:11	24:31	50:38	1:04:26	1:04:26	39:55	20:39
Chen	2	0.12%	10.4	50.00%	-4.05%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	27:40	25:39	29:41	29:41	29:41	29:41	00:00	02:51
Dark Seer	2	0.05%	9.6	50.00%	-8.02%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	40:11	36:28	43:53	43:53	43:53	43:53	00:00	05:14
Magnus	2	0.03%	8.7	50.00%	-1.74%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	29:15	18:38	39:52	39:52	39:52	39:52	00:00	15:00
Axe	2	0.02%	7.8	50.00%	-0.88%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	51:10	46:40	55:40	55:40	55:40	55:40	00:00	06:21
Keeper of the Light	2	0.02%	7.0	50.00%	+1.57%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	42:14	40:04	44:24	44:24	44:24	44:24	00:00	03:03
Grimstroke	2	0.02%	6.1	50.00%	-2.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	50:53	44:23	57:23	57:23	57:23	57:23	00:00	09:11
Pudge	2	0.02%	5.2	50.00%	+1.38%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	36:52	27:09	46:34	46:34	46:34	46:34	00:00	13:43
Ogre Magi	2	0.01%	4.3	50.00%	-6.68%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	32:05	23:31	40:39	40:39	40:39	40:39	00:00	12:06
Lich	2	0.01%	3.5	50.00%	-2.94%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	44:46	42:21	47:11	47:11	47:11	47:11	00:00	03:25
Meepo	1	0.07%	2.6	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	28:38	28:38	28:38	28:38	28:38	28:38	00:00	00:00
Pugna	1	0.01%	1.7	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	30:02	30:02	30:02	30:02	30:02	30:02	00:00	00:00
Venomancer	2	0.04%	0.9	0.00%	-56.55%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	41:59	21:26	1:02:31	1:02:31	1:02:31	1:02:31	00:00	29:03

Immortal Rank Meta Trends - 7.28(a)

Stats for matches of Immortal rank players, data provided by Stratz.com

Heroes picked: 120