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Who should I spam, or how does winrate change with player’s experience?

Immortal Rank Meta Trends - 7.28c

Stats for matches of Immortal rank players, data provided by Stratz.com

Total roshans killed: 314994

Here you can see how winrate of a player on a hero changes with more experience (number of matches played). Less experienced players had Q1 and less matches, more experienced players had Q3 and more matches. Winrate gradient represents winrate increase for every match played, winrate difference is the raw difference between winrates of less and more experienced players.
PlayersMatchesLess Experienced PlayersMore Experienced PlayersWinrate Shifts
Hero1 match1+ matchesQ1Q3MaxWinrateMatches avgPlayersWinrateMatches avgPlayersGradientDifference
antimageAnti-Mage40264281267640.40%1.28558150.48%12.3510710.91%10.08%
axeAxe342421612517341.46%1.22437249.27%11.625410.75%7.81%
baneBane256114392517047.39%1.19316257.18%14.833600.72%9.79%
bloodseekerBloodseeker289020392511642.87%1.22372553.62%11.335101.06%10.75%
crystal_maidenCrystal Maiden623856352610743.39%1.25835951.94%13.9014090.68%8.55%
drow_rangerDrow Ranger2011903243341.78%1.19247751.51%7.312261.59%9.73%
earthshakerEarthshaker58905593268143.21%1.25789852.32%12.2713990.83%9.11%
juggernautJuggernaut50716270279744.29%1.28705552.30%13.1915680.67%8.01%
miranaMirana527155552715845.09%1.25707353.56%16.5213890.55%8.47%
morphlingMorphling300746792918237.72%1.29421349.26%20.9711700.59%11.54%
nevermoreShadow Fiend370348002719938.25%1.27506848.62%16.3912000.69%10.37%
phantom_lancerPhantom Lancer354047012810640.22%1.27488155.07%18.6111760.86%14.85%
puckPuck53257144279443.40%1.29747554.43%15.8417860.76%11.03%
pudgePudge435439152625737.97%1.25578648.14%13.639790.82%10.17%
razorRazor289722302511048.22%1.24380257.77%12.265580.87%9.55%
sand_kingSand King477438362611143.32%1.24624354.45%14.199590.86%11.13%
storm_spiritStorm Spirit420049762713241.72%1.27574552.51%17.1612440.68%10.79%
svenSven813257243440.24%1.1494852.25%7.97651.76%12.01%
tinyTiny43093450259240.30%1.25571051.20%11.338631.08%10.90%
vengefulspiritVengeful Spirit2164850247840.32%1.17262055.04%9.452131.78%14.72%
windrunnerWindranger590960742621243.71%1.27811153.55%14.0315190.77%9.84%
zuusZeus39992033246339.80%1.20497650.58%8.495091.48%10.78%
kunkkaKunkka23061258246836.88%1.20288049.35%9.733151.46%12.47%
linaLina514633482510541.12%1.23664249.60%9.888370.98%8.48%
lionLion711567732510345.17%1.26962953.40%11.6216940.79%8.23%
shadow_shamanShadow Shaman665963772514046.11%1.26899554.55%12.4615950.75%8.44%
slardarSlardar33681668249544.15%1.20419551.62%8.914170.97%7.47%
tidehunterTidehunter54464922269043.42%1.25725253.02%11.7212310.92%9.60%
witch_doctorWitch Doctor524236682511042.64%1.22676349.14%11.239170.65%6.50%
lichLich543039602513043.31%1.23706650.18%12.399900.62%6.87%
rikiRiki257116162510338.65%1.22328251.51%11.734041.22%12.86%
enigmaEnigma340636752720045.39%1.25451259.43%19.729190.76%14.04%
tinkerTinker199521522817635.64%1.25265056.97%23.665380.95%21.33%
sniperSniper1382559259438.03%1.17166250.81%10.511401.37%12.78%
necrolyteNecrophos1500596246543.40%1.16178754.27%8.541491.47%10.87%
warlockWarlock210611282514543.03%1.18258351.86%13.052820.74%8.83%
beastmasterBeastmaster364939372715543.75%1.26493357.43%18.779850.78%13.68%
queenofpainQueen of Pain454939232614843.16%1.25604953.07%13.199810.83%9.91%
venomancerVenomancer309120802522344.52%1.21393554.53%12.615200.88%10.01%
faceless_voidFaceless Void1652601233240.67%1.17198351.16%6.971511.81%10.49%
skeleton_kingWraith King44505646279840.80%1.28621252.37%15.1414120.83%11.57%
death_prophetDeath Prophet439451102711942.81%1.27604054.90%15.6512780.84%12.09%
phantom_assassinPhantom Assassin491658172710638.48%1.28679949.28%14.6114550.81%10.80%
pugnaPugna304218582527644.71%1.21383455.87%14.014650.87%11.16%
templar_assassinTemplar Assassin226521552613343.26%1.25302155.47%14.945390.89%12.21%
viperViper34632208256441.81%1.22443351.23%9.695521.11%9.42%
lunaLuna268721872612144.75%1.24353355.04%13.835470.82%10.29%
dragon_knightDragon Knight275516832416242.51%1.23355951.66%8.274211.30%9.15%
dazzleDazzle1674687247942.10%1.17200750.92%9.881721.01%8.82%
rattletrapClockwerk45593200259644.77%1.22587354.13%11.138000.94%9.36%
leshracLeshrac28732354267141.78%1.24376053.63%12.455891.06%11.85%
furionNature's Prophet27132436268938.50%1.25360350.34%13.606090.96%11.84%
life_stealerLifestealer231413282411343.05%1.20289251.18%9.143321.02%8.13%
dark_seerDark Seer158212872715343.82%1.21200555.29%17.353220.71%11.47%
clinkzClinkz157512412619440.35%1.22203155.78%17.143110.97%15.43%
omniknightOmniknight903293244045.31%1.14104555.64%9.91741.18%10.33%
enchantressEnchantress188811542510138.16%1.20237350.24%14.712890.89%12.08%
huskarHuskar12177982524638.62%1.21154654.53%16.432001.05%15.91%
night_stalkerNight Stalker324022912545545.22%1.22417554.90%13.175730.81%9.68%
broodmotherBroodmother8778812928341.57%1.23114559.39%26.242210.71%17.82%
bounty_hunterBounty Hunter390940142714146.80%1.25522755.56%18.7910040.50%8.76%
weaverWeaver455452012710844.07%1.28632054.48%14.5413010.79%10.41%
jakiroJakiro45212609259042.77%1.20568051.44%11.056530.88%8.67%
batriderBatrider257816782510040.73%1.21327553.78%11.154201.31%13.05%
chenChen4303072710242.94%1.2053856.64%19.86770.73%13.70%
spectreSpectre18958382412340.34%1.18230951.25%7.942101.61%10.91%
ancient_apparitionAncient Apparition436829172515145.71%1.21555453.91%13.537300.67%8.20%
doom_bringerDoom22011104249339.99%1.20275152.51%9.462761.52%12.52%
ursaUrsa486661542711042.19%1.28677453.40%15.2215390.80%11.21%
spirit_breakerSpirit Breaker406831492615743.28%1.23528254.37%15.477880.78%11.09%
gyrocopterGyrocopter283423342512943.92%1.24374955.12%12.145841.03%11.20%
alchemistAlchemist405652162814741.77%1.27558254.36%17.3413040.78%12.59%
invokerInvoker308438362812942.21%1.27420653.97%19.569590.64%11.76%
silencerSilencer29821225246143.00%1.18361951.56%8.723071.14%8.56%
obsidian_destroyerOutworld Destroyer425051642713040.02%1.28587951.13%16.2912910.74%11.11%
lycanLycan213822532717646.08%1.26289260.97%17.535640.92%14.89%
brewmasterBrewmaster13177802616239.19%1.20163853.77%15.551951.02%14.58%
shadow_demonShadow Demon2348962249543.53%1.17284651.63%9.612410.96%8.10%
lone_druidLone Druid5332932612135.47%1.1864754.19%19.68741.01%18.72%
chaos_knightChaos Knight197111652513642.98%1.20245055.27%12.042921.13%12.29%
meepoMeepo428240276034.99%1.1852352.97%15.65601.24%17.98%
treantTreant Protector235314762517344.11%1.21297153.50%13.653690.75%9.39%
ogre_magiOgre Magi555636382517145.36%1.21705154.47%12.559100.80%9.11%
undyingUndying334822532617342.59%1.21426452.78%13.665640.82%10.19%
rubickRubick592166752712741.97%1.27808650.03%15.1716690.58%8.06%
disruptorDisruptor515635832519741.97%1.23666151.68%11.998960.90%9.71%
nyx_assassinNyx Assassin491241952610447.54%1.24647957.36%13.3010490.81%9.82%
naga_sirenNaga Siren13179072521845.31%1.21167257.56%15.812270.84%12.25%
keeper_of_the_lightKeeper of the Light254820402612136.25%1.23329149.90%14.305101.04%13.65%
wispIo197821942814536.27%1.25262256.04%23.705490.88%19.77%
visageVisage5535172922340.29%1.2371655.19%30.791300.50%14.90%
slarkSlark39293761268340.50%1.26528252.05%12.019411.07%11.55%
medusaMedusa1523799246936.98%1.20191253.60%8.152002.39%16.62%
troll_warlordTroll Warlord428252492715243.80%1.27590655.21%15.8413130.78%11.41%
centaurCentaur Warrunner20061037247743.29%1.19248052.92%9.132601.21%9.63%
magnataurMagnus2335979247140.04%1.17282651.14%10.262451.22%11.10%
shredderTimbersaw457246732720041.21%1.26616051.29%16.6511690.65%10.08%
bristlebackBristleback341819492417036.79%1.20429149.79%10.954881.33%13.00%
tuskTusk589964692720043.04%1.27806052.77%14.4416180.74%9.73%
skywrath_mageSkywrath Mage326520302515543.71%1.20410351.63%13.625080.64%7.92%
abaddonAbaddon286317782515548.01%1.21361555.44%11.764450.70%7.43%
elder_titanElder Titan13848652713044.53%1.19170155.46%20.082170.58%10.93%
legion_commanderLegion Commander457532312515642.48%1.22589050.86%12.068080.77%8.38%
techiesTechies146313572914735.44%1.22187850.94%25.673400.63%15.50%
ember_spiritEmber Spirit413145702612141.47%1.27564952.28%14.0111430.85%10.81%
earth_spiritEarth Spirit298141182916741.62%1.28412852.48%23.2710300.49%10.86%
abyssal_underlordUnderlord36482202256943.05%1.20458554.11%10.595511.18%11.06%
terrorbladeTerrorblade25402385269740.06%1.25337151.41%13.995970.89%11.35%
phoenixPhoenix379937822727941.67%1.25506552.62%19.029460.62%10.95%
oracleOracle436242332719142.45%1.25578353.81%17.2010590.71%11.36%
winter_wyvernWinter Wyvern376624912511843.33%1.22481055.87%14.406230.95%12.54%
arc_wardenArc Warden12871052269738.76%1.23166452.82%14.762631.04%14.06%
monkey_kingMonkey King504260692713242.98%1.28699653.28%14.8615180.76%10.30%
dark_willowDark Willow336628832717543.90%1.23434653.37%21.127210.48%9.47%
pangolierPangolier444057942816041.62%1.27609852.82%19.9214490.60%11.20%
grimstrokeGrimstroke579150672614439.05%1.25769149.37%12.9312670.88%10.32%
hoodwinkHoodwink321534282818739.11%1.25430852.16%21.188570.65%13.05%
void_spiritVoid Spirit486067852815540.97%1.29679851.58%17.5316970.65%10.61%
snapfireSnapfire34301798247741.43%1.20427649.24%9.134500.98%7.81%
marsMars587971842612840.42%1.29829250.40%14.4517960.76%9.98%