Spectral Stats - Immortal Rank Meta Trends - 7.29b - Items - Heroes

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Explain this to me

Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.

		Total			Winrate shifts					Timings
	Item	Pickups	Pickup rate	Rank	Winrate	When picked	Early	Late	Gradient (%/min)	Mean	Min	Q1	Median	Q3	Max	Std.Dev
	Magic Stick	547789	76.42%	31.6	50.66%	-2.32%	+1.33%	-1.00%	-0.42%	04:02	-01:30	01:00	02:57	06:29	1:03:56	04:33

ColumnsTotalWinrate shiftsTimings

	Total			Winrate shifts					Timings
Hero	Pickups	Pickup rate	Rank	Winrate	When picked	Early	Late	Gradient (%/min)	Mean	Min	Q1	Median	Q3	Max	Window	Std.Dev
Broodmother	1403	38.59%	100.0	58.80%	-0.18%	+4.55%	-5.52%	-10.07%	01:04	-01:30	-01:29	-01:11	02:22	24:59	03:51	03:46
Nyx Assassin	6039	87.22%	99.2	57.29%	-1.83%	+1.41%	-2.19%	-0.70%	04:14	-01:29	01:21	03:28	06:30	43:02	05:09	04:07
Invoker	6815	66.42%	98.3	56.55%	-0.32%	+0.63%	-0.15%	-0.16%	03:38	-01:29	00:55	02:07	05:47	30:21	04:52	04:26
Clinkz	967	43.07%	97.5	56.77%	-1.35%	+6.19%	-3.46%	-2.61%	02:41	-01:29	00:07	01:51	03:49	28:36	03:42	04:06
Visage	1885	68.97%	96.7	55.76%	-1.93%	+4.20%	-6.08%	-2.01%	03:19	-01:29	00:23	02:07	05:30	26:47	05:07	04:29
Ancient Apparition	6068	81.08%	95.9	55.32%	-1.86%	+2.72%	-1.27%	-0.60%	04:35	-01:29	01:09	03:22	07:48	34:32	06:39	04:50
Chen	426	51.45%	95.0	56.57%	+1.88%	-7.50%	+7.58%	1.16%	10:34	-01:29	03:12	10:22	16:10	1:03:56	12:58	08:38
Templar Assassin	1948	35.82%	94.2	55.95%	-0.34%	-1.24%	-0.71%	0.09%	03:37	-01:30	00:26	02:27	06:08	34:16	05:42	04:44
Riki	3329	82.40%	93.4	55.00%	-1.33%	+1.06%	-2.00%	-0.66%	03:40	-01:30	00:51	02:05	05:29	35:27	04:38	04:51
Winter Wyvern	5181	67.38%	92.6	55.09%	-2.22%	+3.01%	+1.28%	-0.30%	04:12	-01:29	00:58	03:02	06:49	45:56	05:51	04:55
Dawnbreaker	23397	88.02%	91.7	54.56%	-1.68%	+2.59%	-1.68%	-0.81%	04:04	-01:30	01:16	03:17	06:33	56:49	05:17	04:00
Faceless Void	6559	84.93%	90.9	54.38%	-3.02%	+1.01%	-1.09%	-0.52%	03:10	-01:30	00:29	01:44	04:31	33:16	04:02	04:48
Enigma	948	31.80%	90.1	55.80%	-2.00%	+3.02%	-0.10%	-0.49%	04:57	-01:29	01:19	04:15	07:44	25:16	06:25	04:49
Omniknight	1291	86.99%	89.3	54.22%	-1.28%	+3.19%	+6.46%	0.55%	04:19	-01:29	01:00	03:02	06:54	41:55	05:54	04:53
Dark Seer	2081	59.42%	88.4	54.54%	-3.42%	+2.27%	-2.23%	-0.79%	05:04	-01:29	01:53	04:30	07:36	29:18	05:43	04:49
Elder Titan	2412	81.49%	87.6	54.19%	-3.20%	-0.05%	-1.45%	-0.23%	05:09	-01:30	01:48	04:39	08:00	40:00	06:12	04:29
Luna	7191	76.19%	86.8	53.97%	-1.27%	+1.78%	-3.19%	-2.42%	02:05	-01:30	-00:47	01:27	02:50	30:07	03:37	03:39
Medusa	2144	68.48%	86.0	53.92%	-0.16%	+1.57%	-2.80%	-1.33%	03:14	-01:29	01:02	02:03	04:19	26:45	03:17	04:10
Bane	2485	86.98%	85.1	53.28%	-2.40%	+1.86%	+0.18%	-0.30%	03:53	-01:29	01:01	02:47	06:37	23:32	05:36	04:18
Dark Willow	7271	90.20%	84.3	53.14%	-2.13%	+2.82%	-1.43%	-0.69%	04:12	-01:29	01:00	03:14	07:12	38:06	06:12	04:32
Drow Ranger	2919	55.16%	83.5	53.58%	-0.43%	+4.15%	-5.09%	-2.43%	03:32	-01:29	01:12	02:22	05:00	34:11	03:48	04:10
Necrophos	5140	95.43%	82.6	53.00%	-2.33%	+0.19%	-2.42%	-0.83%	02:09	-01:30	00:20	01:41	03:28	35:38	03:08	03:15
Razor	3932	89.28%	81.8	52.87%	-2.31%	+0.99%	+0.23%	-0.17%	03:49	-01:29	01:22	03:24	05:50	25:45	04:28	03:43
Leshrac	3882	73.09%	81.0	52.96%	-2.14%	+1.05%	-1.52%	-0.63%	04:20	-01:29	02:09	03:49	06:15	42:16	04:06	03:53
Chaos Knight	2249	85.64%	80.2	52.82%	-1.90%	+1.53%	-3.00%	-1.98%	02:14	-01:30	-01:06	01:34	03:23	27:45	04:29	03:40
Beastmaster	5320	57.58%	79.3	53.01%	-0.74%	-1.47%	+1.28%	0.57%	04:00	-01:29	00:54	02:52	05:41	36:58	04:47	04:57
Venomancer	3766	81.27%	78.5	52.73%	-1.41%	-0.24%	-1.83%	-0.27%	04:25	-01:29	01:09	03:37	07:02	30:00	05:53	04:36
Bounty Hunter	7455	84.38%	77.7	52.60%	-2.53%	+0.54%	-0.13%	-0.11%	05:08	-01:30	01:42	04:36	07:55	38:38	06:13	04:23
Pugna	3345	71.00%	76.9	52.71%	-0.08%	-0.62%	+0.64%	0.25%	04:12	-01:30	01:27	03:31	06:32	33:37	05:05	04:15
Wraith King	7923	87.59%	76.0	52.44%	-2.46%	+1.80%	-0.95%	-1.81%	02:14	-01:30	-01:26	00:56	02:57	30:22	04:23	05:02
Axe	4767	79.29%	75.2	52.46%	-2.23%	+1.44%	-3.55%	-0.75%	04:38	-01:30	00:53	03:40	07:33	32:47	06:40	05:07
Sand King	6679	83.23%	74.4	52.12%	-1.79%	-1.07%	-1.40%	-0.08%	03:35	-01:29	00:58	02:49	05:14	37:52	04:16	04:08
Silencer	1692	71.79%	73.6	52.36%	-1.63%	+1.89%	+1.78%	-0.02%	04:21	-01:29	01:07	03:29	07:20	30:04	06:13	04:38
Abaddon	4598	91.41%	72.7	51.94%	-2.79%	+0.28%	+0.19%	-0.01%	04:09	-01:30	00:45	03:00	07:10	53:25	06:25	04:58
Ogre Magi	4882	82.17%	71.9	51.97%	-3.40%	+0.98%	-0.33%	-0.23%	04:00	-01:29	00:55	02:42	06:31	28:31	05:36	04:49
Morphling	9335	91.30%	71.1	51.86%	-2.08%	+1.63%	-2.16%	-0.98%	03:20	-01:30	00:56	02:06	04:48	28:17	03:52	04:10
Centaur Warrunner	7052	79.65%	70.2	51.83%	-2.13%	+1.34%	+0.13%	-0.16%	05:35	-01:29	01:14	05:04	08:56	34:45	07:42	05:15
Dragon Knight	2260	83.52%	69.4	51.81%	-1.03%	+1.37%	-4.73%	-1.23%	03:54	-01:29	01:14	03:06	06:12	25:06	04:58	04:06
Slark	7514	91.29%	68.6	51.60%	-2.27%	+1.75%	-0.96%	-0.69%	02:55	-01:29	00:43	01:56	04:37	27:31	03:54	03:54
Batrider	955	62.46%	67.8	52.25%	-1.17%	+2.75%	-5.39%	-1.16%	05:52	-01:29	02:34	05:19	09:35	23:42	07:01	04:57
Mirana	7293	81.92%	66.9	51.57%	-3.08%	+0.29%	-0.50%	-0.13%	05:15	-01:29	01:43	04:45	07:55	36:48	06:12	04:43
Jakiro	4131	86.28%	66.1	51.54%	-2.15%	+1.46%	-3.62%	-0.87%	04:03	-01:29	01:02	02:58	06:53	31:30	05:51	04:26
Night Stalker	2744	90.59%	65.3	51.38%	-2.03%	-2.04%	-0.51%	0.29%	03:28	-01:29	00:48	02:38	06:06	28:42	05:18	04:04
Spirit Breaker	4263	77.40%	64.5	51.35%	-2.17%	+1.70%	+1.84%	0.02%	05:48	-01:29	02:01	05:21	08:40	29:15	06:39	04:44
Treant Protector	2124	69.30%	63.6	51.55%	-1.65%	+3.15%	+1.75%	-0.22%	05:03	-01:29	01:26	03:46	07:46	28:43	06:20	04:52
Warlock	5042	81.70%	62.8	51.21%	-2.71%	+0.14%	+0.14%	0.00%	04:51	-01:30	01:20	03:47	07:32	45:20	06:12	05:12
Windranger	7925	76.27%	62.0	51.17%	-2.96%	+2.36%	-1.75%	-0.69%	04:20	-01:30	01:10	03:13	07:05	41:02	05:55	04:40
Lifestealer	6890	74.96%	61.2	51.12%	-2.13%	+0.74%	+0.85%	0.02%	04:03	-01:30	00:08	02:13	06:55	32:16	06:47	05:22
Underlord	2858	81.33%	60.3	51.12%	-1.56%	+1.95%	-0.14%	-0.38%	04:01	-01:29	00:59	03:11	06:27	35:30	05:28	04:22
Shadow Shaman	7091	80.42%	59.5	51.04%	-3.34%	+0.88%	-0.22%	-0.21%	04:08	-01:29	01:13	03:03	06:30	37:33	05:17	04:25
Shadow Demon	1849	79.53%	58.7	51.16%	-2.25%	+0.68%	+2.74%	0.32%	04:04	-01:30	00:39	03:10	07:08	25:36	06:29	04:36
Arc Warden	604	33.50%	57.9	52.65%	-1.86%	-0.68%	+2.32%	3.00%	00:51	-01:29	-01:29	00:44	01:52	40:44	03:21	03:09
Vengeful Spirit	1801	82.58%	57.0	50.75%	-3.62%	+1.36%	-0.31%	-0.29%	04:02	-01:29	00:57	02:54	06:44	31:28	05:47	04:37
Dazzle	4689	84.00%	56.2	50.59%	-3.31%	-0.97%	-0.25%	0.12%	04:22	-01:29	01:06	03:07	06:53	47:27	05:47	04:59
Weaver	3899	91.59%	55.4	50.50%	-2.36%	+0.32%	-1.88%	-0.75%	02:30	-01:29	00:45	01:36	03:42	26:34	02:57	03:31
Lion	13196	86.53%	54.5	50.42%	-2.45%	+0.37%	-1.25%	-0.29%	04:23	-01:30	01:21	03:59	06:59	38:15	05:38	04:13
Oracle	5638	87.96%	53.7	50.44%	-3.00%	+1.79%	+0.16%	-0.34%	03:34	-01:30	00:55	02:33	05:44	34:56	04:49	04:11
Sven	1755	75.84%	52.9	50.66%	-2.24%	+0.25%	+0.82%	0.44%	01:57	-01:30	-01:18	01:03	02:36	32:39	03:54	04:03
Keeper of the Light	1508	65.34%	52.1	50.73%	-1.42%	-3.11%	+0.73%	0.70%	04:40	-01:29	01:36	04:50	07:03	25:49	05:27	03:59
Bristleback	3752	84.16%	51.2	50.16%	-2.11%	+2.13%	-1.01%	-0.51%	04:03	-01:29	00:49	03:01	06:59	25:34	06:10	04:33
Clockwerk	3658	88.44%	50.4	50.11%	-1.61%	+1.64%	-1.31%	-0.52%	05:16	-01:29	02:05	05:00	07:45	30:31	05:40	04:17
Lina	6076	68.85%	49.6	50.21%	-2.08%	+1.37%	-2.68%	-0.76%	04:26	-01:30	01:27	03:35	06:47	56:26	05:20	04:26
Viper	3052	73.79%	48.8	50.23%	-1.15%	+1.86%	+0.23%	-0.33%	04:36	-01:30	01:45	03:56	06:45	27:55	05:00	04:20
Slardar	3491	85.00%	47.9	50.07%	-3.04%	+0.50%	+1.82%	0.25%	04:00	-01:29	01:07	03:13	06:18	25:29	05:11	04:06
Magnus	3024	72.12%	47.1	50.23%	-2.86%	+0.50%	-2.74%	-0.62%	03:58	-01:29	01:04	03:03	06:19	32:14	05:15	04:26
Legion Commander	6348	80.46%	46.3	50.05%	-2.06%	+2.22%	-1.28%	-0.71%	03:29	-01:30	00:51	02:30	05:47	31:38	04:56	04:10
Disruptor	4988	85.22%	45.5	50.02%	-2.91%	-0.34%	-1.58%	-0.20%	04:23	-01:29	01:07	03:07	07:23	30:46	06:16	04:41
Earthshaker	3955	73.21%	44.6	50.06%	-2.24%	-0.06%	+0.80%	0.18%	05:28	-01:30	02:03	04:31	06:56	31:54	04:53	04:58
Doom	4257	83.13%	43.8	49.78%	-2.80%	-1.05%	-2.32%	-0.25%	03:52	-01:29	01:07	03:25	06:14	28:13	05:07	03:42
Ursa	7882	78.76%	43.0	49.75%	-3.35%	+1.82%	-2.39%	-1.51%	02:43	-01:30	-01:10	01:26	03:57	27:09	05:07	04:41
Brewmaster	1491	88.64%	42.1	49.77%	-3.13%	-2.18%	+0.63%	0.61%	03:13	-01:30	00:46	02:21	05:24	31:48	04:38	03:58
Ember Spirit	6101	89.95%	41.3	49.65%	-1.34%	+0.87%	-2.96%	-0.81%	04:38	-01:29	02:19	04:08	07:01	26:29	04:42	03:54
Earth Spirit	7089	87.67%	40.5	49.64%	-3.01%	-0.97%	+0.13%	0.17%	06:05	-01:29	02:21	05:49	08:55	35:59	06:34	04:40
Phantom Lancer	8274	83.12%	39.7	49.66%	-1.87%	+1.21%	+0.24%	-0.35%	02:21	-01:29	00:06	01:24	02:52	33:46	02:46	04:15
Crystal Maiden	7059	88.81%	38.8	49.54%	-2.52%	-0.16%	-2.80%	-0.41%	04:35	-01:29	01:19	03:19	07:49	45:57	06:30	04:28
Juggernaut	12044	85.44%	38.0	49.47%	-1.89%	+1.49%	-0.15%	-0.37%	03:00	-01:30	00:17	02:00	04:41	34:41	04:24	04:24
Storm Spirit	5889	60.15%	37.2	49.70%	-2.73%	+1.08%	-2.62%	-0.97%	04:42	-01:29	02:16	03:40	06:06	37:41	03:50	04:32
Pangolier	7801	88.31%	36.4	49.42%	-2.33%	-0.88%	+0.63%	0.23%	04:36	-01:29	01:09	03:55	07:38	26:23	06:29	04:29
Timbersaw	7581	87.56%	35.5	49.41%	-1.70%	+1.17%	-2.50%	-0.74%	03:31	-01:30	00:54	02:50	05:50	37:35	04:56	03:53
Gyrocopter	5065	89.46%	34.7	49.36%	-2.25%	+1.55%	-1.97%	-0.87%	03:10	-01:29	00:54	02:02	04:57	24:45	04:03	03:57
Puck	7833	58.46%	33.9	49.57%	-3.47%	+0.61%	-2.69%	-0.78%	04:32	-01:29	02:17	04:01	06:31	40:25	04:14	03:55
Huskar	1562	29.23%	33.1	50.58%	-4.12%	+2.48%	-0.58%	-0.70%	03:13	-01:29	00:20	01:40	04:43	34:54	04:23	04:49
Anti-Mage	3106	47.04%	32.2	49.87%	-2.24%	+4.24%	+0.52%	-0.93%	04:03	-01:29	-01:02	01:26	05:03	31:08	06:05	06:34
Bloodseeker	2539	87.04%	31.4	49.31%	-2.34%	+0.06%	+2.66%	0.88%	02:28	-01:30	-01:07	01:38	04:04	27:23	05:11	03:49
Grimstroke	10559	85.50%	30.6	49.01%	-3.28%	+1.05%	-0.64%	-0.31%	03:54	-01:30	00:59	02:49	06:27	36:22	05:28	04:26
Lycan	343	43.36%	29.8	51.02%	-0.26%	+7.60%	-2.18%	-7.16%	01:55	-01:29	-01:29	-00:39	02:51	21:32	04:20	04:56
Snapfire	9492	83.18%	28.9	49.00%	-1.91%	+0.96%	+0.68%	-0.04%	05:15	-01:29	01:36	03:49	08:15	31:15	06:39	05:04
Tiny	7553	78.95%	28.1	48.88%	-1.83%	+1.62%	-3.06%	-0.95%	05:09	-01:29	02:12	04:29	07:08	34:44	04:56	04:34
Spectre	4889	89.17%	27.3	48.56%	-3.07%	+0.74%	-0.44%	-0.64%	02:26	-01:29	-01:13	01:16	03:04	32:10	04:17	04:35
Lich	4368	85.95%	26.4	48.51%	-3.00%	+1.54%	+2.31%	0.13%	04:18	-01:29	01:12	02:47	07:09	32:49	05:57	04:36
Tidehunter	4363	87.79%	25.6	48.32%	-2.82%	+3.24%	-3.22%	-1.27%	03:26	-01:29	00:45	02:18	05:50	29:40	05:05	04:18
Hoodwink	3505	83.39%	24.8	48.19%	-1.86%	+2.89%	-2.64%	-0.95%	04:05	-01:30	00:59	02:50	06:50	32:30	05:51	04:40
Phoenix	5589	76.50%	24.0	48.18%	-2.90%	+1.46%	-1.22%	-0.37%	04:55	-01:29	01:04	04:06	08:21	44:08	07:17	05:06
Undying	3304	91.27%	23.1	47.94%	-4.32%	-1.51%	-1.21%	0.05%	04:17	-01:30	01:18	03:27	06:55	37:01	05:37	04:22
Terrorblade	1866	58.37%	22.3	48.39%	-0.84%	-0.31%	-7.19%	-3.72%	02:31	-01:29	-01:11	01:32	03:02	26:29	04:13	04:30
Tinker	479	10.48%	21.5	51.36%	-3.60%	-0.12%	-8.86%	-8.74%	-00:27	-01:29	-01:29	-01:24	-00:51	20:10	00:38	02:16
Io	1689	76.15%	20.7	47.84%	-4.30%	-1.03%	-2.58%	-0.31%	03:27	-01:29	00:21	02:19	05:17	35:27	04:56	04:53
Skywrath Mage	1969	39.63%	19.8	48.40%	-3.48%	+4.34%	-3.68%	-1.51%	04:04	-01:29	01:00	02:36	06:19	43:52	05:19	05:09
Death Prophet	2889	87.04%	19.0	47.49%	-2.63%	+1.75%	-3.72%	-1.23%	03:55	-01:29	01:27	03:27	05:54	23:29	04:27	03:48
Tusk	7543	85.98%	18.2	47.43%	-2.30%	+1.54%	-1.04%	-0.47%	05:05	-01:29	01:57	04:22	07:24	33:03	05:27	04:18
Queen of Pain	4174	72.36%	17.4	47.53%	-3.06%	+0.99%	-1.32%	-0.59%	04:43	-01:30	02:27	04:11	06:21	38:13	03:54	04:06
Outworld Destroyer	2095	48.55%	16.5	47.83%	-2.85%	+2.46%	-2.60%	-0.60%	06:05	-01:29	01:14	06:56	09:42	33:26	08:28	05:14
Pudge	8435	75.35%	15.7	47.20%	-2.15%	+2.28%	-1.21%	-0.59%	05:50	-01:29	02:28	05:31	08:22	34:28	05:54	04:29
Rubick	10753	88.69%	14.9	47.04%	-1.91%	+1.86%	-0.43%	-0.46%	03:43	-01:29	01:05	02:40	06:06	32:07	05:01	04:12
Troll Warlord	4472	87.63%	14.0	47.05%	-2.85%	+1.65%	+0.18%	-0.72%	02:21	-01:30	-00:58	01:25	03:01	32:36	03:59	04:18
Witch Doctor	4004	85.78%	13.2	46.88%	-2.04%	+3.82%	-1.92%	-0.99%	03:57	-01:29	00:52	02:52	06:40	35:42	05:48	04:36
Mars	9772	86.79%	12.4	46.78%	-3.00%	+1.46%	-1.51%	-0.58%	03:45	-01:30	01:02	03:03	06:08	24:50	05:06	03:54
Shadow Fiend	4765	51.61%	11.6	47.07%	-1.75%	+0.08%	-1.48%	-0.45%	04:27	-01:29	02:17	03:47	05:46	36:30	03:29	04:03
Enchantress	1971	85.07%	10.7	46.78%	-2.31%	+4.64%	-1.95%	-0.98%	05:41	-01:29	01:49	04:52	08:33	36:43	06:44	05:10
Naga Siren	353	24.79%	9.9	49.29%	-3.40%	-0.98%	+0.71%	0.79%	02:28	-01:29	-01:06	01:22	03:14	20:54	04:20	04:30
Void Spirit	7001	77.87%	9.1	46.09%	-3.07%	+0.63%	-2.20%	-0.69%	04:20	-01:29	02:13	03:39	06:19	42:19	04:06	03:52
Nature's Prophet	2101	61.09%	8.3	46.31%	-1.10%	+3.69%	+0.36%	-0.64%	04:57	-01:29	01:41	03:46	06:52	26:27	05:11	04:27
Kunkka	1408	67.18%	7.4	46.16%	-2.69%	+2.57%	+0.15%	-0.44%	05:01	-01:29	02:06	04:38	07:34	30:34	05:28	04:26
Phantom Assassin	6099	81.39%	6.6	44.96%	-4.00%	+0.13%	-1.16%	-0.80%	02:07	-01:29	-01:16	01:11	02:53	36:52	04:09	04:25
Monkey King	3273	72.91%	5.8	44.67%	-3.00%	+0.38%	+1.17%	0.14%	04:12	-01:29	01:01	03:26	06:41	29:21	05:40	04:25
Lone Druid	138	15.21%	5.0	49.28%	-6.23%	+0.72%	-2.22%	-0.27%	06:56	-01:29	00:49	04:26	11:31	29:15	10:42	07:54
Sniper	483	38.64%	4.1	44.72%	-1.73%	-2.92%	+0.73%	0.85%	03:34	-01:29	01:06	02:55	05:25	26:59	04:19	03:59
Alchemist	430	28.70%	3.3	43.72%	-4.91%	+1.23%	+3.94%	0.84%	02:53	-01:29	-01:09	01:46	04:22	33:22	05:31	05:05
Zeus	776	23.54%	2.5	42.78%	-6.84%	+0.81%	+4.64%	0.80%	03:16	-01:29	00:39	02:35	05:26	23:17	04:47	04:03
Techies	157	3.28%	1.7	46.50%	-4.44%	-9.00%	+2.22%	2.40%	03:38	-01:29	00:49	02:25	05:30	33:37	04:41	05:06
Meepo	7	0.57%	0.8	14.29%	-41.98%	+19.04%	-14.29%	0.00%	03:47	-01:29	01:13	03:41	04:59	17:15	03:46	06:24

Immortal Rank Meta Trends - 7.29b

Stats for matches of Immortal rank players, data provided by Stratz.com

Total creeps murdered: 138891092