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Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
Columns
Total | Winrate shifts | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Item | Pickups | Pickup rate | Rank | Winrate | When picked | Early | Late | Gradient (%/min) | |
 | Meteor Hammer | 146 | 0.91% | 100.0 | 93.15% | +44.49% | -6.66% | +1.29% | 0.00% |
 | Boots of Travel | 387 | 2.40% | 83.3 | 76.49% | +28.10% | +0.83% | -6.39% | -0.45% |
 | Drum of Endurance | 151 | 0.94% | 82.4 | 80.13% | +31.36% | -3.81% | +1.45% | 0.36% |
 | Desolator | 27 | 0.17% | 79.7 | 96.30% | +47.32% | +3.70% | -10.59% | 0.00% |
 | Blink Dagger | 766 | 4.75% | 76.6 | 68.93% | +20.86% | -1.22% | -4.01% | -0.21% |
 | Shiva's Guard | 275 | 1.70% | 75.7 | 71.64% | +22.97% | +13.87% | -10.77% | -2.89% |
 | Ring of Health | 1512 | 9.37% | 75.2 | 66.40% | +19.13% | -1.06% | -3.17% | -0.15% |
 | Lotus Orb | 859 | 5.32% | 74.4 | 66.82% | +18.75% | -0.77% | +0.62% | 0.14% |
 | Aghanim's Scepter | 2000 | 12.40% | 73.7 | 64.70% | +17.85% | +4.90% | -3.90% | -0.77% |
 | Kaya and Sange | 660 | 4.09% | 73.4 | 66.67% | +18.36% | -4.25% | -3.03% | 0.11% |
 | Aghanim's Shard | 3190 | 19.77% | 71.8 | 62.57% | +16.84% | +5.10% | -8.12% | -1.16% |
 | Black King Bar | 5537 | 34.32% | 70.6 | 61.03% | +18.22% | +3.78% | -5.90% | -1.17% |
 | Wraith Pact | 287 | 1.78% | 69.8 | 66.55% | +17.80% | +2.89% | +0.12% | -0.25% |
 | Void Stone | 4584 | 28.42% | 69.6 | 60.34% | +15.75% | -0.31% | +1.18% | 0.11% |
 | Headdress | 246 | 1.52% | 69.5 | 67.07% | +18.28% | -10.62% | +5.06% | 0.74% |
 | Hood of Defiance | 237 | 1.47% | 69.3 | 67.09% | +18.29% | +5.79% | -4.38% | -0.91% |
 | Pipe of Insight | 123 | 0.76% | 68.8 | 70.73% | +21.83% | +3.46% | +3.46% | 0.00% |
 | Ghost Scepter | 2670 | 16.55% | 68.3 | 59.78% | +12.84% | -4.24% | +1.99% | 0.60% |
 | Aether Lens | 613 | 3.80% | 68.2 | 62.48% | +13.95% | -1.04% | -5.62% | -0.25% |
 | Eul's Scepter of Divinity | 2626 | 16.28% | 67.8 | 59.37% | +12.31% | +4.86% | -1.29% | -0.80% |
 | Vladmir's Offering | 380 | 2.36% | 67.7 | 63.68% | +14.97% | -0.52% | +2.64% | 0.24% |
 | Arcane Boots | 1168 | 7.24% | 67.6 | 60.45% | +12.27% | -6.34% | +1.88% | 0.51% |
 | Sange | 1087 | 6.74% | 67.3 | 60.35% | +12.10% | -3.00% | -3.73% | -0.06% |
 | Kaya | 1437 | 8.91% | 67.3 | 59.78% | +11.76% | -8.25% | -2.12% | 0.49% |
 | Heart of Tarrasque | 34 | 0.21% | 65.7 | 82.35% | +33.36% | -15.68% | -7.35% | 0.00% |
 | Morbid Mask | 397 | 2.46% | 65.0 | 61.21% | +12.45% | -0.60% | -2.62% | -0.14% |
 | Octarine Core | 95 | 0.59% | 64.8 | 69.47% | +20.53% | +1.36% | -11.14% | 0.00% |
 | Buckler | 550 | 3.41% | 64.7 | 59.82% | +11.14% | -4.02% | +0.03% | 0.23% |
 | Ethereal Blade | 553 | 3.43% | 64.3 | 59.49% | +10.80% | -4.42% | +2.10% | 0.62% |
 | Scythe of Vyse | 250 | 1.55% | 64.0 | 62.40% | +13.55% | +4.27% | -12.40% | -1.75% |
 | Crown | 1761 | 10.92% | 63.1 | 55.88% | +7.65% | +0.26% | +1.62% | 0.18% |
 | Aeon Disk | 232 | 1.44% | 62.2 | 61.21% | +12.32% | -4.31% | +4.31% | 0.74% |
 | Spirit Vessel | 7951 | 49.29% | 61.8 | 53.24% | +8.23% | +5.76% | -10.48% | -3.03% |
 | Force Staff | 1323 | 8.20% | 61.5 | 55.03% | +6.50% | +1.47% | +2.07% | 0.06% |
 | Quickening Charm | 1011 | 6.27% | 61.4 | 55.49% | +6.86% | +3.40% | +1.03% | -0.59% |
 | Blast Rig | 1116 | 6.92% | 61.3 | 55.20% | +6.59% | +6.09% | -1.79% | -1.97% |
 | Linken's Sphere | 49 | 0.30% | 61.1 | 73.47% | +24.48% | -15.14% | +9.86% | 0.00% |
 | Trickster Cloak | 276 | 1.71% | 61.1 | 59.42% | +10.54% | +8.70% | -10.14% | -4.71% |
 | Cloak of Flames | 1392 | 8.63% | 61.0 | 54.53% | +5.98% | +1.79% | -2.23% | -0.80% |
 | Blight Stone | 191 | 1.18% | 61.0 | 61.26% | +12.34% | -9.18% | +9.57% | 1.05% |
 | Mekansm | 92 | 0.57% | 60.7 | 66.30% | +17.33% | -9.78% | +16.31% | 0.00% |
 | Ring of Basilius | 2033 | 12.60% | 60.3 | 53.32% | +4.87% | +0.22% | +3.18% | 0.34% |
 | Heaven's Halberd | 324 | 2.01% | 60.3 | 58.02% | +9.14% | -3.70% | +3.71% | 0.75% |
 | Flicker | 268 | 1.66% | 59.9 | 58.58% | +9.68% | +8.58% | -6.34% | -3.73% |
 | Vambrace | 1027 | 6.37% | 59.9 | 54.14% | +5.42% | -1.61% | +0.72% | 0.33% |
 | Wind Lace | 8345 | 51.73% | 59.8 | 51.53% | +5.11% | -1.72% | +6.43% | 0.87% |
 | Boots of Bearing | 45 | 0.28% | 59.7 | 73.33% | +24.33% | -0.60% | +8.49% | 0.00% |
 | Tranquil Boots | 6400 | 39.67% | 59.5 | 51.47% | +3.99% | -1.59% | +7.91% | 1.24% |
 | Veil of Discord | 1443 | 8.94% | 58.9 | 52.67% | +3.96% | +2.18% | -2.53% | -0.78% |
 | Magic Wand | 9574 | 59.35% | 58.7 | 50.53% | +3.61% | -0.99% | +2.33% | 0.48% |
 | Pupil's Gift | 705 | 4.37% | 58.7 | 54.04% | +5.20% | +2.78% | -5.18% | -1.59% |
 | Nether Shawl | 1731 | 10.73% | 58.6 | 52.05% | +3.35% | +1.53% | -5.86% | -1.85% |
 | Ceremonial Robe | 1521 | 9.43% | 58.4 | 52.14% | +3.40% | +1.54% | -3.98% | -1.84% |
 | Havoc Hammer | 498 | 3.09% | 58.2 | 54.62% | +5.73% | +7.78% | -9.46% | -3.45% |
 | Magic Stick | 14109 | 87.46% | 58.2 | 49.83% | +6.08% | +0.75% | -0.95% | -0.24% |
 | Null Talisman | 76 | 0.47% | 57.9 | 65.79% | +16.81% | +2.63% | +7.89% | 0.00% |
 | Fluffy Hat | 1736 | 10.76% | 57.9 | 51.50% | +2.73% | +0.11% | +3.80% | 0.29% |
 | Chainmail | 467 | 2.89% | 57.7 | 54.39% | +5.48% | -3.11% | +3.73% | 0.59% |
 | Boots of Speed | 15005 | 93.01% | 57.7 | 49.37% | +4.38% | +0.64% | -2.32% | -0.53% |
 | Ring of Protection | 13004 | 80.61% | 57.6 | 49.43% | +1.89% | +0.95% | -1.04% | -0.50% |
 | Bullwhip | 1498 | 9.29% | 57.6 | 51.47% | +2.65% | +1.33% | -0.13% | -0.37% |
 | Urn of Shadows | 12403 | 76.88% | 57.6 | 49.42% | +1.53% | +1.63% | -3.21% | -1.40% |
 | Orb of Corrosion | 110 | 0.68% | 57.2 | 61.82% | +12.84% | -1.11% | +19.66% | 0.00% |
 | Arcane Ring | 1815 | 11.25% | 56.9 | 50.58% | +1.71% | -1.46% | +1.84% | 0.82% |
 | Seeds of Serenity | 2340 | 14.51% | 56.8 | 50.09% | +1.20% | -2.06% | -2.23% | -0.04% |
 | Pig Pole | 1469 | 9.11% | 56.8 | 50.78% | +1.89% | -0.37% | -0.92% | -0.14% |
 | Guardian Greaves | 54 | 0.33% | 56.7 | 68.52% | +19.52% | +2.91% | +0.71% | 0.00% |
 | Fairy's Trinket | 2121 | 13.15% | 56.7 | 50.17% | +1.27% | -0.55% | +0.02% | 0.14% |
 | Dagon (level 5) | 35 | 0.22% | 56.6 | 74.29% | +25.28% | +14.60% | +14.60% | 0.00% |
 | Ring of Aquila | 560 | 3.47% | 56.6 | 52.86% | +3.93% | +0.71% | +3.57% | 0.57% |
 | Dragon Scale | 1342 | 8.32% | 56.5 | 50.67% | +1.75% | +2.01% | -2.01% | -0.80% |
 | Titan Sliver | 243 | 1.51% | 56.3 | 55.97% | +7.01% | +3.05% | -0.23% | -0.55% |
 | Trusty Shovel | 2345 | 14.54% | 56.3 | 49.68% | +0.72% | +3.90% | -4.80% | -2.18% |
 | Tumbler's Toy | 2037 | 12.63% | 56.3 | 49.83% | +0.88% | +3.61% | -6.02% | -2.41% |
 | Psychic Headband | 643 | 3.99% | 56.2 | 52.10% | +3.16% | +0.70% | +1.94% | 0.25% |
 | Orb of Venom | 4265 | 26.44% | 56.1 | 48.86% | -0.28% | -1.58% | -0.55% | 1.03% |
 | Timeless Relic | 436 | 2.70% | 56.0 | 53.21% | +4.26% | 0.00% | -3.67% | -1.22% |
 | Lance of Pursuit | 1820 | 11.28% | 55.6 | 49.45% | +0.44% | +4.62% | -5.49% | -3.37% |
 | Power Treads | 785 | 4.87% | 55.3 | 50.83% | +1.86% | +0.19% | +0.70% | 0.07% |
 | Bottle | 1256 | 7.79% | 55.3 | 49.76% | +0.75% | +4.06% | -1.03% | -5.09% |
 | Refresher Orb | 59 | 0.37% | 55.2 | 66.10% | +17.10% | +27.23% | +0.57% | 0.00% |
 | Philosopher's Stone | 2215 | 13.73% | 55.1 | 48.71% | -0.41% | +0.21% | -1.24% | -0.36% |
 | Ascetic's Cap | 339 | 2.10% | 55.1 | 53.39% | +4.42% | +14.85% | -8.68% | -4.71% |
 | Wind Waker | 54 | 0.33% | 54.6 | 66.67% | +17.67% | -9.53% | +17.95% | 0.00% |
 | Ogre Seal Totem | 980 | 6.07% | 54.6 | 49.69% | +0.67% | -1.12% | -0.30% | 0.21% |
 | Spell Prism | 273 | 1.69% | 54.1 | 53.48% | +4.49% | +12.70% | -6.42% | -4.78% |
 | Quelling Blade | 1905 | 11.81% | 53.6 | 47.61% | -1.65% | +1.97% | -4.12% | -6.09% |
 | Glimmer Cape | 447 | 2.77% | 53.5 | 51.01% | +2.00% | -5.47% | -3.69% | 0.18% |
 | Stormcrafter | 426 | 2.64% | 53.5 | 51.17% | +2.16% | -4.44% | -0.23% | 1.05% |
 | Possessed Mask | 626 | 3.88% | 53.3 | 49.68% | +0.64% | +1.28% | +3.53% | 0.56% |
 | Bracer | 1105 | 6.85% | 53.1 | 48.14% | -0.99% | +0.77% | -2.13% | -0.27% |
 | Occult Bracelet | 1481 | 9.18% | 52.9 | 47.47% | -1.76% | +2.53% | -1.79% | -1.44% |
 | Arcanist's Armor | 30 | 0.19% | 52.7 | 73.33% | +24.31% | -10.83% | -16.19% | 0.00% |
 | Broom Handle | 1519 | 9.42% | 52.5 | 47.07% | -2.20% | +0.82% | -3.91% | -1.58% |
 | Dagon | 146 | 0.91% | 52.3 | 55.48% | +6.47% | -4.13% | +0.08% | 0.00% |
 | Eye of the Vizier | 377 | 2.34% | 52.1 | 50.40% | +1.37% | -3.59% | -0.40% | 0.53% |
 | Ninja Gear | 87 | 0.54% | 51.2 | 58.62% | +9.61% | +5.02% | -13.17% | 0.00% |
 | Specialist's Array | 286 | 1.77% | 50.7 | 50.35% | +1.31% | +5.21% | -2.46% | -1.92% |
 | Dagon (level 2) | 88 | 0.55% | 50.6 | 57.95% | +8.93% | +5.69% | +1.14% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 3) | 68 | 0.42% | 50.4 | 60.29% | +11.27% | +10.30% | -7.35% | 0.00% |
 | Telescope | 179 | 1.11% | 49.8 | 51.96% | +2.93% | +10.26% | -11.96% | -4.44% |
 | Elven Tunic | 117 | 0.73% | 49.6 | 54.70% | +5.68% | -2.98% | -13.32% | 0.00% |
 | Grove Bow | 273 | 1.69% | 49.4 | 49.45% | +0.39% | -2.39% | +6.43% | 1.76% |
 | Mage Slayer | 19 | 0.12% | 49.4 | 78.95% | +29.92% | +1.05% | +1.05% | 0.00% |
 | Assault Cuirass | 28 | 0.17% | 49.3 | 71.43% | +22.40% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Witchbane | 105 | 0.65% | 49.2 | 55.24% | +6.22% | +2.45% | -5.24% | 0.00% |
 | Blade Mail | 243 | 1.51% | 49.2 | 49.79% | +0.74% | +7.59% | -3.89% | -1.32% |
 | Orchid Malevolence | 35 | 0.22% | 47.1 | 65.71% | +16.68% | -21.27% | +0.96% | 0.00% |
 | Medallion of Courage | 49 | 0.30% | 45.1 | 59.18% | +10.15% | -0.85% | +7.49% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 4) | 45 | 0.28% | 44.8 | 60.00% | +10.97% | +12.73% | +12.73% | 0.00% |
 | Mask of Madness | 15 | 0.09% | 44.8 | 80.00% | +30.96% | -30.00% | +20.00% | 0.00% |
 | Dagger of Ristul | 101 | 0.63% | 43.6 | 50.50% | +1.45% | +17.50% | +5.50% | 0.00% |
 | Phase Boots | 87 | 0.54% | 43.6 | 51.72% | +2.67% | -15.36% | +11.92% | 0.00% |
 | Solar Crest | 36 | 0.22% | 42.7 | 61.11% | +12.07% | +5.56% | -16.67% | 0.00% |
 | Falcon Blade | 52 | 0.32% | 40.2 | 53.85% | +4.80% | +7.69% | +7.69% | 0.00% |
 | Radiance | 36 | 0.22% | 39.9 | 58.33% | +9.29% | +8.34% | +8.34% | 0.00% |
 | Enchanted Quiver | 122 | 0.76% | 39.3 | 45.08% | -4.01% | +0.08% | -1.75% | 0.00% |
 | Eternal Shroud | 11 | 0.07% | 39.2 | 81.82% | +32.78% | +18.18% | -15.15% | 0.00% |
 | Helm of Iron Will | 39 | 0.24% | 39.1 | 56.41% | +7.36% | -16.41% | +13.59% | 0.00% |
 | Crimson Guard | 24 | 0.15% | 37.7 | 62.50% | +13.46% | -29.17% | +20.83% | 0.00% |
 | Paladin Sword | 48 | 0.30% | 37.5 | 52.08% | +3.03% | -10.41% | +6.25% | 0.00% |
 | Hand of Midas | 465 | 2.88% | 37.4 | 36.77% | -12.66% | +5.47% | -10.91% | -2.43% |
 | Soul Ring | 107 | 0.66% | 36.1 | 42.99% | -6.11% | +5.16% | +1.45% | 0.00% |
 | Boots of Travel 2 | 16 | 0.10% | 36.0 | 68.75% | +19.71% | +6.25% | +6.25% | 0.00% |
 | Vanguard | 69 | 0.43% | 35.7 | 46.38% | -2.70% | -16.97% | +18.33% | 0.00% |
 | Skull Basher | 23 | 0.14% | 35.4 | 60.87% | +11.82% | -10.87% | -10.87% | 0.00% |
 | Wraith Band | 47 | 0.29% | 34.1 | 48.94% | -0.12% | -15.61% | +9.39% | 0.00% |
 | Brigand's Blade | 76 | 0.47% | 33.6 | 43.42% | -5.67% | +9.21% | -1.31% | 0.00% |
 | Mind Breaker | 68 | 0.42% | 33.3 | 44.12% | -4.96% | -2.94% | -14.71% | 0.00% |
 | Bloodthorn | 5 | 0.03% | 32.3 | 100.00% | +50.95% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Abyssal Blade | 5 | 0.03% | 32.3 | 100.00% | +50.95% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Book of the Dead | 19 | 0.12% | 29.8 | 57.89% | +8.84% | -17.89% | +22.11% | 0.00% |
 | Aghanim's Blessing | 17 | 0.11% | 28.9 | 58.82% | +9.77% | +16.18% | -33.82% | 0.00% |
 | Giant's Ring | 18 | 0.11% | 27.0 | 55.56% | +6.50% | +4.44% | -5.56% | 0.00% |
 | Maelstrom | 6 | 0.04% | 26.6 | 83.33% | +34.28% | -33.33% | +16.67% | 0.00% |
 | Book of Shadows | 19 | 0.12% | 25.6 | 52.63% | +3.57% | -12.63% | +27.37% | 0.00% |
 | Divine Rapier | 15 | 0.09% | 22.7 | 53.33% | +4.27% | -3.33% | -3.33% | 0.00% |
 | Force Boots | 7 | 0.04% | 22.2 | 71.43% | +22.38% | -21.43% | +28.57% | 0.00% |
 | Penta-Edged Sword | 16 | 0.10% | 21.3 | 50.00% | +0.94% | +50.00% | -50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Overwhelming Blink | 5 | 0.03% | 21.0 | 80.00% | +30.95% | +20.00% | -80.00% | 0.00% |
 | Javelin | 5 | 0.03% | 21.0 | 80.00% | +30.95% | +20.00% | +20.00% | 0.00% |
 | Hurricane Pike | 3 | 0.02% | 20.8 | 100.00% | +50.95% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Rod of Atos | 6 | 0.04% | 17.6 | 66.67% | +17.61% | -16.67% | +33.33% | 0.00% |
 | Pirate Hat | 6 | 0.04% | 17.6 | 66.67% | +17.61% | +33.33% | -66.67% | 0.00% |
 | Armlet of Mordiggian | 6 | 0.04% | 17.6 | 66.67% | +17.61% | +33.33% | -66.67% | 0.00% |
 | Echo Sabre | 20 | 0.12% | 16.9 | 40.00% | -9.08% | +20.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Mirror Shield | 4 | 0.02% | 15.0 | 75.00% | +25.94% | +25.00% | -75.00% | 0.00% |
 | Apex | 7 | 0.04% | 14.8 | 57.14% | +8.08% | +42.86% | -7.14% | 0.00% |
 | Moon Shard | 15 | 0.09% | 14.1 | 40.00% | -9.07% | -15.00% | +35.00% | 0.00% |
 | Diffusal Blade | 2 | 0.01% | 13.6 | 100.00% | +50.94% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Gleipnir | 2 | 0.01% | 13.6 | 100.00% | +50.94% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Eye of Skadi | 2 | 0.01% | 13.6 | 100.00% | +50.94% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Dragon Lance | 2 | 0.01% | 13.6 | 100.00% | +50.94% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Manta Style | 2 | 0.01% | 13.6 | 100.00% | +50.94% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Ex Machina | 12 | 0.07% | 12.9 | 41.67% | -7.40% | -8.34% | -8.34% | 0.00% |
 | Seer Stone | 5 | 0.03% | 12.2 | 60.00% | +10.94% | -60.00% | -60.00% | 0.00% |
 | Fallen Sky | 14 | 0.09% | 11.2 | 35.71% | -13.37% | +14.29% | -35.71% | 0.00% |
 | Witch Blade | 3 | 0.02% | 9.5 | 66.67% | +17.61% | +33.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Shadow Blade | 7 | 0.04% | 8.8 | 42.86% | -6.21% | +7.14% | -42.86% | 0.00% |
 | Helm of the Dominator | 1 | 0.01% | 7.2 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Mjollnir | 1 | 0.01% | 7.2 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Silver Edge | 1 | 0.01% | 7.2 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Helm of the Overlord | 1 | 0.01% | 7.2 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Holy Locket | 1 | 0.01% | 7.2 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Stygian Desolator | 1 | 0.01% | 7.2 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Bloodstone | 4 | 0.02% | 7.0 | 50.00% | +0.94% | +50.00% | -50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Yasha | 4 | 0.02% | 7.0 | 50.00% | +0.94% | -50.00% | +50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Satanic | 2 | 0.01% | 3.5 | 50.00% | +0.94% | +50.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Crystalys | 4 | 0.02% | 1.9 | 25.00% | -24.07% | -25.00% | +75.00% | 0.00% |
 | Sange and Yasha | 1 | 0.01% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Yasha and Kaya | 2 | 0.01% | 0.0 | 0.00% | -49.07% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Nullifier | 1 | 0.01% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Daedalus | 1 | 0.01% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |