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Top 500 Meta Trends - 7.32d

Stats for matches of top-10% (500) of immortal leaderboard players, data provided by Stratz.com

Total buybacks: 186264

Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
ItemPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxStd.Dev
ultimate_scepterAghanim's Scepter2480017.71%74.959.71%+11.83%+0.62%+1.58%0.08%28:3411:2121:2427:1134:061:19:3909:37
Columns
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
HeroPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxWindowStd.Dev
legion_commanderLegion Commander514.51%100.084.31%+34.59%+8.09%-15.19%-1.25%35:5818:5825:1633:2043:571:12:2318:4113:09
slardarSlardar4912.73%99.277.55%+31.56%-1.36%+14.51%1.44%35:4118:4529:5634:2140:5654:1711:0007:20
wispIo2626.26%98.476.92%+27.41%+23.08%+6.42%-4.22%18:1413:1614:2917:3418:2632:4803:5702:34
razorRazor9213.31%97.673.91%+29.67%+13.04%-13.28%-2.42%36:0213:0130:0235:3040:5459:5610:5206:37
ursaUrsa26313.26%96.770.72%+23.74%+3.48%-8.61%-1.07%39:0020:3333:1439:1344:3460:4011:2007:46
dark_seerDark Seer26141.17%95.968.58%+15.92%-0.44%+5.17%0.57%28:1113:0222:5127:3932:4355:2909:5207:42
phantom_assassinPhantom Assassin8023.81%95.171.25%+37.68%+4.59%-8.14%-2.08%32:3320:3228:4431:3934:5257:0406:0805:28
warlockWarlock3317.93%94.375.76%+32.62%+2.12%-4.04%-0.92%31:5519:0026:4430:3533:2750:0206:4305:55
dragon_knightDragon Knight22539.13%93.567.11%+32.81%+6.11%+0.75%-0.66%30:3717:0026:1630:4734:2254:0708:0606:24
silencerSilencer894.26%92.774.16%+22.63%+3.00%-1.38%-0.29%35:1216:1427:1233:1342:071:06:2714:5511:48
monkey_kingMonkey King28719.68%91.967.25%+24.74%+9.14%+0.35%-0.85%29:0515:3422:2326:5232:461:04:0010:2307:34
disruptorDisruptor61635.30%91.164.94%+22.62%+3.23%-5.20%-1.01%34:1619:0029:4933:5238:1055:0708:2105:52
ember_spiritEmber Spirit115637.28%90.264.10%+20.18%+9.95%-8.74%-2.42%31:2115:1327:1430:5034:571:05:1007:4305:50
spirit_breakerSpirit Breaker62936.36%89.463.28%+23.97%+1.70%-7.86%-1.18%31:2516:0626:5531:0435:0253:4308:0705:44
marciMarci753.08%88.673.33%+26.46%+16.36%-0.95%-1.14%40:2516:5032:2539:3547:331:07:4215:0810:57
miranaMirana1926.50%87.867.19%+15.27%+3.64%+5.73%0.16%32:0413:0824:2330:3337:111:07:0412:4808:25
huskarHuskar48055.49%87.061.88%+35.88%+12.31%-10.16%-2.74%26:1812:5021:5425:5330:0646:2008:1205:12
witch_doctorWitch Doctor8213.31%86.268.29%+27.46%+8.14%-8.53%-2.04%34:3121:1929:5434:0038:0451:0008:1003:34
treantTreant Protector2015.54%85.466.67%+12.13%-3.91%-6.54%-0.22%36:4918:4529:4836:0941:441:07:3311:5608:58
rattletrapClockwerk34117.50%84.663.64%+17.02%-2.45%-2.48%0.00%31:3713:4424:5230:2037:021:02:0612:1008:40
windrunnerWindranger8310.52%83.768.67%+20.63%+2.82%+2.66%-0.02%34:2422:1528:2833:1538:5354:2210:2507:08
faceless_voidFaceless Void866.34%82.969.77%+21.47%-7.95%+11.20%1.15%40:5921:2531:5242:1148:271:06:2616:3510:37
enigmaEnigma665.40%82.171.21%+17.16%-18.56%+4.55%2.47%42:5421:5038:1342:5147:351:16:3909:2206:22
pangolierPangolier98737.85%81.360.69%+15.83%+6.11%-9.87%-2.08%28:3316:2824:0927:3231:511:07:3907:4205:37
tuskTusk89723.73%80.561.20%+13.83%+1.90%-2.72%-0.51%33:3815:2428:4932:5537:541:10:5709:0507:00
slarkSlark246483.30%79.759.46%+29.49%+13.11%-16.11%-7.10%20:3113:0017:5719:5222:0455:4804:0702:54
death_prophetDeath Prophet1183.76%78.968.64%+13.65%-15.44%+3.82%0.90%35:4212:3523:4835:5745:151:06:1821:2715:42
doom_bringerDoom45624.37%78.061.62%+18.65%-1.98%+2.41%0.52%35:2318:5330:3834:3039:051:01:4608:2706:49
skywrath_mageSkywrath Mage13911.52%77.265.47%+20.09%+0.38%-8.30%-1.25%34:2515:1029:5632:3336:531:04:4706:5703:48
batriderBatrider913.39%76.469.23%+17.44%+8.92%-8.34%-1.49%44:3027:1737:1243:3248:481:08:0211:3605:23
dawnbreakerDawnbreaker31223.28%75.661.54%+16.29%+1.23%+1.25%0.00%28:4715:0323:3127:3132:2252:4008:5106:14
rubickRubick3638.30%74.862.53%+13.41%-4.27%+3.09%0.65%35:0713:4629:0134:1840:241:08:1211:2308:17
bounty_hunterBounty Hunter44229.02%74.059.95%+11.06%+4.06%+2.76%-0.15%22:4011:2417:5821:2426:2756:3408:2906:54
tidehunterTidehunter7419.58%73.264.86%+18.12%-12.16%+12.78%1.99%27:3914:2920:5425:3933:2653:1312:3207:46
brewmasterBrewmaster8525.45%72.463.53%+9.34%+17.47%-10.95%-2.57%25:0414:1118:0824:1229:1152:4911:0307:52
meepoMeepo8155.48%71.560.49%+14.34%+15.26%-0.79%-2.78%21:4013:2417:3120:1523:1748:0705:4605:14
lycanLycan7655.88%70.760.53%+7.40%-2.64%+2.63%0.61%32:5418:5926:3831:0835:171:05:0908:3906:21
jakiroJakiro7515.40%69.965.33%+14.84%-7.44%+19.00%2.01%34:2121:3626:4134:2739:4953:2313:0811:09
arc_wardenArc Warden10836.73%69.161.11%+12.68%-5.43%-1.36%0.67%33:4817:1729:3132:4235:3855:2206:0704:46
puckPuck472.88%68.372.34%+21.99%-6.02%+9.79%1.36%48:2426:0042:1348:5153:511:10:5711:3807:51
skeleton_kingWraith King179.71%67.576.47%+34.87%+5.88%+1.96%-0.30%39:0624:3832:1335:3845:1255:3012:5907:22
broodmotherBroodmother29315.69%66.760.41%+6.99%+5.37%-1.50%-0.75%27:5313:0322:5026:5432:0052:0709:1006:24
leshracLeshrac1897.92%65.962.43%+11.00%+1.46%+5.69%0.33%36:3417:5629:4135:2642:251:10:4112:4407:45
shredderTimbersaw53540.29%65.057.20%+21.83%+3.24%-5.31%-1.16%27:5914:4923:3226:3830:5356:0407:2105:36
shadow_demonShadow Demon6223.31%64.262.90%+18.78%-12.36%-3.63%0.75%32:4819:0026:4331:0338:2153:3011:3809:24
kunkkaKunkka7818.57%63.462.82%+22.47%-2.88%-2.83%0.01%32:4517:3027:2730:4135:481:02:1508:2105:45
morphlingMorphling74641.51%62.656.70%+15.85%+6.21%-1.86%-1.49%26:2715:4622:4725:0828:121:01:4005:2504:08
elder_titanElder Titan9354.39%61.858.06%+28.57%+11.62%-23.00%-4.63%24:0314:2319:2421:4126:5358:4707:2909:34
crystal_maidenCrystal Maiden352.10%61.074.29%+28.09%-18.29%+25.71%5.21%46:0831:4941:4546:5150:1257:3208:2704:45
keeper_of_the_lightKeeper of the Light20420.94%60.258.82%+14.66%0.00%+1.99%0.17%29:5715:5323:1428:4435:1160:3211:5710:46
void_spiritVoid Spirit32251.60%59.356.21%+22.33%+5.49%+0.57%-0.70%26:1914:0822:1825:2729:2052:0107:0205:25
nevermoreShadow Fiend1216.05%58.562.81%+16.29%-2.93%-9.55%-0.44%38:4519:2930:2739:1545:201:03:0914:5309:46
primal_beastPrimal Beast74926.74%57.756.21%+7.62%+5.29%-0.59%-0.71%30:0912:3125:1229:0833:311:07:2808:1905:53
drow_rangerDrow Ranger943.67%56.964.89%+15.72%-6.50%+8.78%1.40%42:5512:5539:1543:3850:091:06:4110:5407:27
baneBane2313.69%56.169.57%+30.50%-21.74%+30.43%5.49%34:2421:4128:4235:1438:1247:2009:3006:27
earth_spiritEarth Spirit7610.98%55.363.16%+12.76%-0.07%-0.07%0.00%37:5321:3631:4537:1342:221:02:1710:3708:31
spectreSpectre107289.78%54.554.20%+42.75%+20.15%-13.38%-10.06%20:3813:0918:3619:5721:5638:2503:2002:20
vengefulspiritVengeful Spirit13843.81%53.757.25%+16.01%-11.38%+7.44%1.46%27:2613:0020:4325:5033:3453:4512:5109:22
tinyTiny73222.18%52.856.15%+6.40%+7.24%-3.15%-1.07%29:5414:1324:2528:2734:051:04:0409:4007:32
zuusZeus79455.02%52.054.91%+21.27%+2.16%-2.89%-0.63%28:0113:0823:4127:3231:4252:1008:0105:58
rikiRiki611.85%51.268.85%+15.55%-2.18%-2.18%0.00%29:2015:5321:5728:1832:541:03:1610:5709:41
chenChen85.59%50.487.50%+42.30%-25.00%+12.50%2.86%30:1019:0023:0030:5936:0844:0013:0815:16
venomancerVenomancer7213.71%49.662.50%+11.40%+11.27%-3.81%-1.55%36:2824:1530:5335:4940:351:03:0109:4205:52
storm_spiritStorm Spirit30025.13%48.857.00%+11.82%+13.67%-9.00%-3.04%36:0822:3931:4435:3239:121:05:5607:2804:39
lunaLuna3418.89%48.064.71%+14.71%+24.70%-1.47%-4.22%26:4317:1921:5225:1628:0450:4406:1206:14
invokerInvoker16921.53%47.257.99%+11.13%+4.79%+1.56%-0.22%28:1614:1219:4924:3234:3259:1714:4311:48
snapfireSnapfire57621.47%46.355.73%+9.71%-9.22%+6.79%1.53%29:3711:2824:1129:3534:371:09:0010:2608:33
shadow_shamanShadow Shaman277.22%45.570.37%+28.01%-12.59%+15.56%1.84%34:0112:1426:3032:5041:4850:0615:1814:24
troll_warlordTroll Warlord6114.77%44.762.30%+18.27%-8.86%+4.26%0.80%29:4316:0521:2127:1137:4056:3816:1909:34
visageVisage8123.34%43.959.26%+3.45%-1.92%+16.15%1.55%25:4815:0119:1922:3530:5851:4811:3909:48
obsidian_destroyerOutworld Destroyer49846.67%43.154.22%+6.57%+6.27%-3.42%-1.58%22:4012:4718:4621:2624:5349:5606:0704:22
hoodwinkHoodwink462.11%42.369.57%+21.80%-2.90%-2.90%0.00%41:1720:4935:2942:1547:4858:1012:1909:16
queenofpainQueen of Pain343.40%41.570.59%+25.16%+7.35%+18.23%0.73%37:4517:3529:1639:0244:071:06:0514:5111:46
sand_kingSand King4315.41%40.762.79%+18.72%+0.47%+0.93%0.07%32:2617:5528:0331:2534:1349:0806:1005:42
undyingUndying572.45%39.866.67%+18.25%+5.26%+4.82%-0.03%36:2217:3527:4333:0644:181:12:1916:3508:27
omniknightOmniknight3010.10%39.066.67%+17.39%+5.33%+5.33%0.00%39:0523:2331:5638:4644:1958:3212:2309:12
phoenixPhoenix375.27%38.267.57%+19.73%+12.48%-34.24%-3.76%39:5525:0732:2739:5644:5359:5412:2605:24
pudgePudge68336.84%37.453.15%+14.36%+11.17%-3.44%-2.41%20:4812:0316:4118:5522:451:02:1806:0404:04
viperViper23430.55%36.654.70%+5.16%+1.24%-3.06%-0.41%24:4411:4718:1821:5028:4455:3610:2608:25
chaos_knightChaos Knight92.40%35.888.89%+48.03%+11.11%+11.11%0.00%39:5519:0932:1241:0544:5453:0012:4207:34
antimageAnti-Mage10817.28%35.057.41%+8.83%+9.20%+5.38%-0.26%34:0720:4526:1130:2841:001:07:2714:4913:28
juggernautJuggernaut244.92%34.170.83%+24.81%+14.59%+29.17%0.82%37:0418:4826:4837:0844:3652:5017:4810:37
furionNature's Prophet127531.60%33.352.08%+2.10%+4.03%-1.61%-0.79%20:4511:2115:2118:1022:271:02:3307:0604:46
naga_sirenNaga Siren1029.16%32.557.84%+7.49%+30.15%-9.95%-3.07%36:4721:0329:0434:4242:081:19:3913:0409:25
magnataurMagnus161.07%31.781.25%+31.86%-6.25%-6.25%0.00%33:5414:2917:2632:5240:4959:1523:2315:14
lichLich214.13%30.971.43%+26.44%-11.90%+28.57%4.51%38:2524:4933:4437:3242:4352:0708:5908:51
earthshakerEarthshaker876.17%30.158.62%+7.59%-0.21%-11.05%-0.94%26:1012:0220:2625:0031:5550:5311:2908:40
tinkerTinker183373.47%29.348.09%-4.56%+8.42%+15.01%0.61%28:1414:5821:1225:0032:0559:3410:5307:40
enchantressEnchantress19823.97%28.552.02%+6.49%+1.99%+3.98%0.14%24:4812:0316:5322:1031:171:02:2514:2409:46
bristlebackBristleback5764.04%27.650.88%+36.52%+8.07%+0.17%-1.25%22:4113:3718:0520:5124:2544:1306:2007:03
night_stalkerNight Stalker4211.38%26.859.52%+14.87%+10.52%+10.52%0.00%23:1814:1417:3620:1126:4952:1309:1303:22
marsMars100.68%26.090.00%+46.49%+10.00%-30.00%-3.74%36:5019:1229:3837:3040:1951:3610:4110:45
dark_willowDark Willow627.50%25.258.06%+5.20%+3.95%-18.14%-2.08%32:2615:0326:0131:0636:381:03:2210:3709:16
terrorbladeTerrorblade919.92%24.454.95%+7.72%+19.17%-4.95%-1.95%42:1721:2335:5642:3148:181:06:4612:2209:01
pugnaPugna399.90%23.658.97%+10.52%+20.52%+10.26%-0.75%32:1313:4523:4129:1937:221:12:2713:4106:59
lone_druidLone Druid256.10%22.864.00%+13.22%-7.20%-14.00%-0.99%39:0726:5334:5738:4341:4950:2006:5201:48
alchemistAlchemist4221.65%22.054.76%+4.76%-0.34%+3.97%0.38%26:1416:0220:0222:3831:2443:4211:2205:50
winter_wyvernWinter Wyvern4418.97%21.154.55%+5.94%+20.39%-4.55%-3.69%28:2218:4824:1526:3231:0058:5806:4505:44
abaddonAbaddon3413.77%20.355.88%+13.16%-11.76%-0.49%1.01%36:0020:2530:2936:2641:3950:0111:1007:24
templar_assassinTemplar Assassin485.64%19.556.25%+9.59%-10.22%+7.36%1.17%37:0214:5829:3638:1844:3758:4515:0109:10
centaurCentaur Warrunner364.35%18.758.33%+13.05%-2.31%-14.35%-1.24%37:1321:4030:3236:4140:1659:1509:4412:43
gyrocopterGyrocopter9213.81%17.948.91%-2.73%+11.96%-9.78%-5.75%17:5111:2814:5916:3718:4646:5703:4702:14
axeAxe256.74%17.156.00%+13.88%+4.80%+13.60%0.77%38:1126:0031:4336:4543:0650:4111:2307:27
oracleOracle103.79%16.370.00%+20.57%0.00%+30.00%2.23%36:4722:0728:5534:3242:2255:5713:2702:35
dazzleDazzle204.20%15.460.00%+6.62%0.00%0.00%0.00%32:0215:4422:0232:5038:4145:0516:3908:50
grimstrokeGrimstroke176.97%14.658.82%+16.97%-32.35%+41.18%6.75%32:0220:3924:3532:1535:2946:1510:5407:08
lionLion203.29%13.860.00%+11.52%0.00%-20.00%-1.37%32:2514:2625:2128:3339:5848:5614:3702:21
life_stealerLifestealer267.26%13.053.85%+10.44%-38.47%+15.38%5.22%30:2318:0725:0428:4335:2347:1010:1904:07
medusaMedusa1320.31%12.253.85%+4.83%-15.39%-15.39%0.00%33:1821:2123:2628:4842:3048:5319:0417:51
weaverWeaver2615.76%11.450.00%+4.85%+1.54%-1.54%-0.29%31:5015:5224:4832:3235:2848:3610:4012:09
linaLina512.25%10.650.98%-4.32%+3.05%+23.75%1.11%35:1519:4724:2633:4043:061:02:1618:4012:08
abyssal_underlordUnderlord198.64%9.852.63%+9.08%+27.63%-32.89%-11.64%34:1119:2030:5633:3836:0848:0205:1207:39
clinkzClinkz216.19%8.952.38%+6.73%-19.05%+30.16%3.99%43:0020:1237:0342:3249:2354:0012:2005:54
svenSven285.79%8.150.00%+2.29%0.00%+2.86%0.21%34:3518:0425:4735:1539:3558:5513:4811:01
bloodseekerBloodseeker81.09%7.375.00%+25.49%-12.50%0.00%0.75%38:3524:2728:0438:1244:4751:0816:4308:22
phantom_lancerPhantom Lancer52.27%6.580.00%+28.62%+20.00%0.00%-0.86%46:3424:3232:4453:5156:0760:1023:2311:12
nyx_assassinNyx Assassin345.99%5.747.06%-4.25%+3.92%-34.80%-3.66%38:4028:4431:4838:2342:2253:0010:3409:14
necrolyteNecrophos174.63%4.952.94%+4.77%+23.53%-2.94%-1.73%35:1621:2424:4133:1140:0153:3415:2010:12
ogre_magiOgre Magi142.84%4.157.14%+9.31%+0.01%+28.57%2.42%31:4319:5225:1130:4937:0043:0011:4909:28
sniperSniper676.72%3.338.81%-2.71%+8.41%+20.35%0.61%30:3215:2520:5825:0940:351:05:3119:3715:11
ancient_apparitionAncient Apparition124.51%2.441.67%-4.79%-41.67%+58.33%6.66%35:3418:2025:4731:2540:481:04:1215:0111:11
techiesTechies81.34%1.650.00%+2.55%0.00%+50.00%0.00%37:0824:3426:0029:5344:4555:1918:4513:53
beastmasterBeastmaster121.47%0.825.00%-24.59%+16.67%+33.33%0.79%28:3411:4014:4319:0835:491:05:1421:0613:31