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Top 2500 Meta Trends - 7.33c

Stats for matches of top-50% (2500 rank, ~7k+ MMR) of immortal leaderboard players, data provided by Stratz.com

Heroes picked: 124

Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
ItemPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxStd.Dev
moon_shardMoon Shard104801.09%93.067.48%+16.04%+8.93%-9.60%-1.02%40:4610:4831:1739:4649:271:43:4013:08
Columns
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
HeroPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxWindowStd.Dev
spectreSpectre964.86%100.084.38%+40.11%-0.65%-1.47%-0.06%41:5926:3734:2240:0847:211:08:0412:5906:16
legion_commanderLegion Commander2951.48%99.281.02%+28.53%+8.14%-16.20%-1.66%34:1113:5325:3031:0240:111:10:4114:4111:56
slarkSlark10425.50%98.472.55%+22.56%+9.88%-7.19%-1.45%35:0516:0028:1333:1740:011:12:0011:4809:43
antimageAnti-Mage3114.12%97.674.28%+29.97%+7.82%-9.40%-1.32%43:2818:0836:3743:4749:391:11:0413:0209:01
svenSven2734.54%96.772.53%+23.16%+11.49%-15.38%-1.82%39:5214:2132:2040:0547:051:11:3414:4509:31
alchemistAlchemist5294.47%95.970.89%+24.14%+5.64%-11.81%-1.05%37:5713:3429:1337:4845:531:18:5716:4012:40
faceless_voidFaceless Void2002.45%95.174.00%+24.79%+0.42%-6.91%-0.41%43:4915:3434:3145:5752:141:08:4617:4315:14
muertaMuerta91417.50%94.368.27%+22.98%+0.73%-8.42%-0.65%31:3310:4823:4130:2837:421:16:2914:0111:11
spirit_breakerSpirit Breaker1360.55%93.577.21%+24.18%+11.24%+1.71%-0.51%47:3621:0037:0149:3355:361:20:2418:3515:02
slardarSlardar855.65%92.775.29%+31.48%+2.10%-17.14%-1.67%34:0718:0327:1132:3938:4257:5511:3109:08
medusaMedusa5463.25%91.969.05%+15.39%+3.00%-6.55%-0.58%45:0615:0036:1445:4752:501:24:1416:3609:51
dark_willowDark Willow4258.12%91.168.00%+18.90%-1.56%-0.92%0.06%37:3221:4931:4736:3442:331:08:1710:4607:51
chaos_knightChaos Knight732.41%90.275.34%+25.44%+2.74%-12.87%-0.87%33:5012:4823:2530:1341:261:02:0618:0119:53
skeleton_kingWraith King292.14%89.482.76%+37.68%-6.90%+4.59%0.54%42:1116:5929:0535:3650:111:11:2521:0607:22
obsidian_destroyerOutworld Destroyer2898.75%88.666.78%+20.71%+11.29%-3.42%-1.29%35:4315:5129:0635:1040:291:16:1611:2308:50
templar_assassinTemplar Assassin1001.98%87.872.00%+25.14%+19.96%-7.90%-1.27%43:0517:4731:2546:3453:241:13:2521:5917:27
juggernautJuggernaut2341.87%87.067.95%+22.85%-7.52%-0.71%0.39%42:4518:3633:2142:0650:411:14:3017:2013:42
monkey_kingMonkey King2351.56%86.268.09%+19.68%+16.50%-17.99%-1.56%41:2517:0929:3340:0951:381:19:2822:0516:17
arc_wardenArc Warden2577.22%85.465.76%+14.36%+15.85%-20.43%-2.81%43:4022:0036:4445:1549:381:12:4212:5410:00
batriderBatrider1380.76%84.671.01%+18.89%+23.42%-3.10%-1.86%39:5218:5131:1336:4145:281:22:3314:1507:26
silencerSilencer1411.41%83.769.50%+18.87%+8.15%-14.07%-1.81%41:5123:0034:3240:3246:481:32:1812:1610:05
zuusZeus2576.41%82.964.98%+18.91%-10.44%+3.35%1.23%37:4417:4931:1536:3342:291:12:4211:1408:40
phantom_assassinPhantom Assassin531.59%82.175.47%+33.54%+9.82%+10.76%0.06%41:1116:3930:5240:1046:291:15:3915:3710:53
troll_warlordTroll Warlord150.65%81.393.33%+44.40%+6.67%+6.67%0.00%47:0219:1228:0048:1158:001:17:2630:0043:08
winter_wyvernWinter Wyvern840.82%80.572.62%+19.16%+18.12%-9.76%-1.56%45:5121:0037:1544:0955:051:10:1017:5007:52
magnataurMagnus3321.33%79.764.16%+14.63%+10.85%-10.49%-1.18%41:3914:1731:5642:3649:571:22:2318:0111:08
naga_sirenNaga Siren2894.24%78.963.32%+8.92%+20.26%-20.27%-3.37%43:0412:5236:4143:2748:431:19:3812:0211:10
enchantressEnchantress4225.92%78.061.85%+16.89%+6.00%-9.55%-1.39%37:3320:3731:0635:5542:171:07:0011:1108:07
tinyTiny1102.70%77.267.27%+25.02%-2.68%-0.24%0.19%35:5718:5528:0633:5441:051:27:0012:5907:59
lone_druidLone Druid805.23%76.467.50%+19.03%+17.65%-10.27%-2.62%31:5117:1724:5329:2935:321:04:4710:3907:34
sniperSniper1866.69%75.661.83%+18.34%+14.48%-11.40%-1.40%38:1715:1128:4735:4247:151:13:5218:2816:35
void_spiritVoid Spirit1470.60%74.865.31%+14.03%+4.70%-3.41%-0.69%51:3524:5845:1451:4157:011:23:2111:4708:00
abaddonAbaddon560.84%74.071.43%+17.53%+23.21%-30.14%-3.14%42:0718:0931:3339:5048:321:21:3416:5905:48
queenofpainQueen of Pain730.39%73.269.86%+20.10%+4.98%+1.51%-0.17%51:0319:1641:2051:531:01:351:13:2120:1520:30
phantom_lancerPhantom Lancer1271.30%72.462.20%+11.60%+25.15%-0.80%-1.13%47:1518:0234:4549:0257:371:24:5722:5217:10
furionNature's Prophet161.57%71.581.25%+40.69%+6.25%-50.00%-5.02%41:2928:5933:2338:3744:351:03:3911:1206:31
doom_bringerDoom510.36%70.770.59%+24.01%+15.19%-18.30%-2.01%51:0228:1241:3948:5258:211:22:4316:4210:47
life_stealerLifestealer341.72%69.970.59%+25.72%+17.65%-21.57%-2.11%39:4118:0326:5139:0445:271:16:4918:3612:25
terrorbladeTerrorblade2152.63%69.157.67%+9.48%+12.79%-2.77%-1.37%45:5914:5340:4646:5652:061:17:1911:2006:23
nevermoreShadow Fiend831.04%68.362.65%+16.71%+23.09%-12.89%-1.80%41:4317:0030:4838:4550:461:14:2319:5811:33
bloodseekerBloodseeker1020.76%67.561.76%+11.56%-3.78%+1.18%0.27%48:4716:5539:3650:1257:501:19:3118:1411:30
ancient_apparitionAncient Apparition551.02%66.763.64%+11.95%+15.99%-2.73%-1.47%46:0429:0037:5543:5050:411:35:5412:4612:57
lunaLuna150.90%65.980.00%+35.56%+20.00%+20.00%0.00%43:2630:5337:0942:1346:5753:3909:4802:46
windrunnerWindranger420.17%65.069.05%+12.37%+13.49%-5.95%-1.30%54:5820:5544:1553:3559:101:23:4914:5510:44
storm_spiritStorm Spirit380.28%64.268.42%+19.99%+3.95%-9.21%-0.70%53:5520:5043:2054:261:02:161:25:5418:5621:28
abyssal_underlordUnderlord160.25%63.481.25%+24.92%-3.12%-34.38%-0.99%56:3222:0037:3859:161:09:191:34:0031:4110:39
techiesTechies1140.46%62.656.14%+3.94%+9.65%+0.46%-0.58%47:1822:0038:2147:5754:181:20:2115:5709:30
weaverWeaver381.90%61.860.53%+10.45%+39.47%-14.92%-4.03%50:5422:1842:1350:2455:421:11:2313:2905:25
clinkzClinkz300.16%61.070.00%+19.95%+3.33%-14.99%-0.95%53:2321:5940:5651:1960:151:21:0019:1915:45
razorRazor121.87%60.275.00%+30.16%+25.00%-4.17%-2.33%40:2920:3633:4243:5046:1347:4812:3112:45
night_stalkerNight Stalker171.03%59.370.59%+38.21%+23.53%+2.94%-1.80%38:3821:0028:0635:2839:341:16:5011:2808:08
ogre_magiOgre Magi160.29%58.575.00%+17.51%-18.75%-12.50%0.59%47:2240:0341:3044:5852:0959:4610:3910:00
ursaUrsa340.46%57.761.76%+16.36%+4.42%-5.88%-0.59%52:1418:0041:0753:5458:421:14:0817:3506:11
bounty_hunterBounty Hunter560.25%56.957.14%+4.60%+28.58%-16.24%-3.59%46:3923:4639:4146:1152:101:13:3212:2909:30
viperViper80.33%56.187.50%+15.43%-12.50%0.00%0.84%54:1733:0045:3853:4660:271:18:0414:4919:40
morphlingMorphling570.68%55.354.39%+7.52%+23.93%-10.84%-2.98%53:2620:0047:1754:5158:561:17:1311:3909:30
miranaMirana540.37%54.555.56%+5.92%+13.58%-17.90%-2.05%46:5220:5437:3845:4853:001:12:5115:2208:08
rikiRiki230.35%53.765.22%+15.12%+34.78%-50.01%-4.64%50:4226:0037:1048:0155:261:23:4418:1611:24
dragon_knightDragon Knight231.19%52.860.87%+18.36%-19.56%+2.18%1.11%41:1922:0030:0239:3849:391:02:4519:3712:09
dawnbreakerDawnbreaker180.38%52.066.67%+16.03%+33.33%+0.00%-1.44%45:3524:1632:4742:5355:541:19:3123:0717:28
tuskTusk160.31%51.268.75%+22.83%+18.75%-31.25%-4.98%49:5831:1340:4046:4950:431:16:1310:0307:57
linaLina40.46%50.4100.00%+13.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%46:4716:0042:4050:5450:541:06:1808:1400:00
omniknightOmniknight160.22%49.668.75%+18.03%+12.50%0.00%-0.49%43:2824:0030:5437:5156:341:11:5625:4016:27
elder_titanElder Titan271.14%48.855.56%-1.30%+44.44%-33.33%-6.47%42:5116:5034:5341:3046:541:13:3112:0109:06
drow_rangerDrow Ranger391.41%48.048.72%-0.07%+33.33%-26.50%-4.16%52:2121:0044:3852:0459:011:21:3314:2316:53
venomancerVenomancer310.17%47.254.84%+2.16%-11.83%+0.54%0.69%53:0320:1740:3151:0858:281:33:1517:5720:30
axeAxe130.14%46.369.23%+20.80%+30.77%-38.46%-3.63%52:1920:5636:5547:5055:591:18:4419:0423:13
disruptorDisruptor130.12%45.569.23%+9.01%+7.69%+7.69%0.00%51:0834:3042:2049:4456:041:07:4213:4410:05
oracleOracle130.12%44.769.23%+17.36%0.00%-15.38%-0.94%50:5733:4342:4048:4459:001:02:0916:2008:22
lycanLycan91.02%43.966.67%+1.19%+11.11%+11.11%0.00%43:3023:0033:5037:5649:301:05:3115:4002:02
baneBane40.10%43.1100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%44:0030:0144:0044:0044:0051:5000:0000:00
meepoMeepo60.17%42.383.33%+4.63%+16.67%0.00%-16.67%52:2250:4751:5252:5252:5255:1901:0000:00
pudgePudge160.10%41.562.50%+3.88%+18.75%-18.75%-1.87%48:2817:4636:0052:1356:011:07:1620:0113:50
pangolierPangolier270.17%40.751.85%+2.28%+23.46%-25.93%-2.73%48:0620:0037:3749:2855:411:05:5818:0419:06
puckPuck180.27%39.855.56%+8.40%+16.66%+19.44%0.15%57:1936:4744:5458:471:03:281:24:0718:3421:04
broodmotherBroodmother50.37%39.080.00%+20.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%28:4718:0021:2525:5539:0147:2017:3600:00
crystal_maidenCrystal Maiden260.18%38.250.00%+0.63%+26.92%-9.62%-2.32%46:1521:1237:1745:0453:021:03:2815:4508:54
gyrocopterGyrocopter30.18%37.4100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1:03:1553:001:03:151:03:151:03:151:20:3000:0000:00
ember_spiritEmber Spirit360.21%36.644.44%-4.97%+0.93%+1.86%0.05%53:3520:0042:0354:3359:401:12:2317:3711:30
tinkerTinker240.73%35.845.83%-7.19%+45.84%-25.00%-4.43%52:1737:2242:4751:2058:471:16:0416:0015:28
warlockWarlock30.13%35.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%51:3529:5851:3551:3551:351:22:4000:0000:00
shredderTimbersaw250.20%34.148.00%-0.66%+20.00%-12.00%-2.57%54:5135:5747:5953:3060:251:11:1612:2605:37
invokerInvoker180.34%33.350.00%+1.89%-27.78%+27.78%2.32%50:2923:5033:4549:3157:441:11:0523:5923:45
jakiroJakiro70.12%32.571.43%+8.21%+0.00%+0.00%0.00%46:3638:0344:2148:5048:5052:4504:2907:08
earthshakerEarthshaker120.17%31.758.33%+6.24%+16.67%+16.67%0.00%48:1835:0542:1848:0751:2556:5009:0707:35
keeper_of_the_lightKeeper of the Light180.21%30.950.00%+1.44%+16.67%-16.67%-2.62%53:3635:2945:4653:4358:301:03:5712:4402:48
marciMarci150.15%30.153.33%+12.20%+26.67%-13.33%-3.64%43:4829:0039:0840:4950:0758:1910:5903:37
lichLich160.14%29.350.00%-0.31%+12.50%-18.75%-1.42%49:3625:0036:2043:3158:161:21:0521:5605:09
tidehunterTidehunter60.25%28.566.67%-4.01%+0.00%+0.00%0.00%49:2526:0046:2852:2152:211:13:2405:5305:34
nyx_assassinNyx Assassin100.08%27.660.00%+10.50%+20.00%0.00%-1.72%48:0536:3942:1448:5353:5260:3211:3805:18
bristlebackBristleback130.98%26.846.15%+3.65%+7.69%-38.46%-4.44%46:4332:2640:3544:1550:591:02:4910:2408:35
rubickRubick230.11%26.043.48%-5.25%+39.13%-8.69%-3.20%52:2630:2041:2050:5156:181:13:0714:5811:09
shadow_demonShadow Demon90.26%25.255.56%-13.09%-22.23%-33.34%-2.03%47:4137:1744:2347:4949:5259:5305:2900:00
skywrath_mageSkywrath Mage170.12%24.447.06%-2.13%-29.41%+0.00%1.80%51:5231:2340:3251:1256:541:12:2616:2214:03
hoodwinkHoodwink40.22%23.675.00%+30.22%+25.00%0.00%-1.61%48:0240:1540:1555:4955:491:01:0715:3407:35
huskarHuskar240.44%22.837.50%-15.61%+4.17%-12.50%-1.32%40:3422:0132:3539:1445:151:02:1912:4016:42
grimstrokeGrimstroke20.08%22.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%32:3629:2332:3632:3632:3635:4900:0000:00
dark_seerDark Seer100.16%21.150.00%-3.95%-50.00%+30.00%17.52%50:0644:3246:0749:4050:4156:2304:3403:27
snapfireSnapfire110.20%20.345.45%-21.08%+54.55%-36.36%-8.00%45:5528:3039:1442:4350:361:02:3411:2211:34
vengefulspiritVengeful Spirit110.19%19.545.45%-13.41%+54.55%-9.09%-2.34%59:2736:0344:5455:111:12:051:42:4627:1138:07
primal_beastPrimal Beast80.23%18.750.00%+25.69%-12.50%0.00%1.65%53:2742:2849:0454:3956:381:03:5407:3408:42
witch_doctorWitch Doctor50.10%17.960.00%-10.84%-20.00%0.00%2.34%53:4739:3850:1052:2958:431:03:4608:3310:33
sand_kingSand King30.26%17.166.67%-4.37%+33.33%+0.00%-8.23%46:1844:1744:1748:2048:2050:2104:0304:29
brewmasterBrewmaster30.15%16.366.67%-17.96%-33.34%+0.00%3.37%34:3627:0029:3939:3239:3241:4909:5300:00
kunkkaKunkka70.43%15.442.86%-29.25%+28.57%-0.01%-2.36%55:0046:3348:1557:3660:211:10:1312:0616:45
earth_spiritEarth Spirit60.12%14.650.00%+0.26%+16.67%0.00%-1.36%46:0934:3240:0052:1652:1654:0012:1601:13
dazzleDazzle30.12%13.866.67%+9.94%+33.33%+0.00%-2.63%54:0745:0047:4760:2660:261:03:5812:3914:02
leshracLeshrac70.35%13.042.86%+5.96%+14.28%+0.00%-2.81%49:3736:2647:0552:1052:101:03:4005:0502:35
pugnaPugna140.11%12.235.71%-17.07%-21.42%+14.29%3.96%52:0836:1344:0946:4853:101:43:4009:0109:08
lionLion10.07%11.4100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%58:0758:0758:0758:0758:0758:0700:0000:00
phoenixPhoenix80.19%10.637.50%+0.70%+25.01%0.00%-0.97%42:3620:3631:2443:2057:111:07:1625:4700:00
chenChen40.17%9.850.00%-5.68%0.00%0.00%0.00%44:5835:0244:5844:5844:5850:5300:0000:00
beastmasterBeastmaster40.05%8.950.00%+0.84%+25.00%0.00%-4.64%39:2824:0036:4642:0942:0953:1805:2307:59
visageVisage100.21%8.130.00%-17.67%-10.00%+30.00%1.59%46:3324:0030:5550:5556:051:06:4825:1031:42
necrolyteNecrophos100.19%7.330.00%-8.09%0.00%+30.00%2.41%44:3117:3935:5446:3248:221:03:5612:2807:18
enigmaEnigma20.18%6.550.00%+26.81%0.00%0.00%0.00%59:4046:2959:4059:4059:401:12:5100:0000:00
shadow_shamanShadow Shaman20.13%5.750.00%-21.73%0.00%0.00%0.00%50:2448:3950:2450:2450:2452:0800:0000:00
undyingUndying140.13%4.921.43%-18.66%+3.57%-21.43%-2.53%46:2019:2239:2745:0749:201:04:5309:5310:03
centaurCentaur Warrunner30.17%4.133.33%-56.97%0.00%0.00%0.00%49:4643:2947:0052:3352:3357:0505:3300:00
treantTreant Protector40.20%3.325.00%-2.25%0.00%0.00%0.00%45:1932:0745:1945:1945:1954:3800:0000:00
death_prophetDeath Prophet50.15%2.420.00%-20.82%-20.00%0.00%3.22%56:0945:5653:0259:1559:151:21:2706:1303:39
rattletrapClockwerk90.23%1.611.11%-37.40%-11.11%0.00%0.79%49:5538:3142:5847:0156:581:05:4114:0020:07
marsMars20.06%0.80.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1:01:4856:521:01:481:01:481:01:481:06:4300:0000:00