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Top 500 Meta Trends - 7.33c

Stats for matches of top-10% (500 rank, ~8.8k+ MMR) of immortal leaderboard players, data provided by Stratz.com

Heroes picked: 124

Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
ItemPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxStd.Dev
ghostGhost Scepter301937.65%60.854.28%+4.56%-1.12%-0.27%0.08%29:1106:4723:4228:2034:001:27:5707:28
Columns
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
HeroPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxWindowStd.Dev
tinkerTinker67146.24%100.064.23%+20.43%+5.99%-6.12%-1.73%27:4915:0023:5826:5930:5946:3407:0105:21
batriderBatrider9249.22%99.260.93%+8.53%+1.84%-0.75%-0.26%30:1512:0024:4329:2834:471:13:4510:0407:24
nyx_assassinNyx Assassin70015.30%98.460.86%+15.39%-0.06%-1.71%-0.16%31:4411:0026:2030:4536:5660:0010:3606:49
juggernautJuggernaut1603.54%97.666.25%+21.56%-7.58%+5.93%1.21%29:0412:4022:4728:0133:5949:5411:1210:15
magnataurMagnus5725.15%96.861.36%+12.98%+4.61%-12.07%-1.67%29:0512:0623:4228:1033:4053:1509:5806:57
slarkSlark2653.51%96.062.64%+11.91%-5.93%+10.09%1.62%29:4613:2624:2129:1534:141:03:2209:5306:33
faceless_voidFaceless Void1123.23%95.266.07%+16.23%-1.19%-6.65%-0.52%28:3811:3422:2828:2833:0057:0010:3207:57
spirit_breakerSpirit Breaker4794.56%94.460.54%+7.82%-8.88%+8.39%1.63%29:5114:0724:0929:0934:451:27:5710:3608:18
dark_seerDark Seer1495.43%93.563.76%+10.06%+4.54%-5.63%-0.89%30:2412:0123:5930:5035:2451:0011:2509:50
earthshakerEarthshaker25210.17%92.760.32%+8.80%+5.38%+2.64%-0.32%30:1015:0025:1729:3233:5250:0008:3505:55
kunkkaKunkka193.32%91.978.95%+32.92%+21.05%-36.85%-5.50%29:0514:0023:3230:1834:0439:0010:3206:19
elder_titanElder Titan656.09%91.166.15%+9.92%-2.99%+1.03%0.37%31:1312:0424:5130:4535:471:07:1110:5604:26
earth_spiritEarth Spirit33715.49%90.358.16%+10.52%+3.74%+0.23%-0.34%29:0612:0023:4928:2334:0055:0010:1107:53
bounty_hunterBounty Hunter5865.94%89.558.02%+6.14%-0.87%+1.96%0.27%30:3510:5924:5530:0435:2960:0010:3406:46
oracleOracle73117.10%88.756.22%+4.92%+3.93%-8.95%-1.15%28:3110:2322:2927:3933:411:02:0911:1208:08
techiesTechies170414.79%87.955.28%+2.94%-2.22%-6.10%-0.35%28:0609:2322:0727:1533:151:08:0011:0808:36
legion_commanderLegion Commander2803.83%87.158.93%+6.70%-0.09%+3.54%0.32%28:1510:5622:3127:3133:4451:0011:1306:56
axeAxe1363.88%86.361.03%+13.80%-0.93%-3.46%-0.22%30:1514:2123:3629:2535:0353:0811:2708:28
rattletrapClockwerk30013.84%85.556.33%+9.43%+3.67%+5.81%0.24%30:3112:0025:3730:1234:3953:3209:0207:24
gyrocopterGyrocopter14228.57%84.756.34%+9.83%-4.15%-13.18%-1.07%29:0511:3823:5828:5132:2552:4708:2705:22
ursaUrsa983.92%83.962.24%+17.13%-12.03%+11.72%2.66%28:1613:1124:0028:0832:5551:0008:5507:25
disruptorDisruptor61314.63%83.154.65%+6.60%-2.70%-0.12%0.23%28:2212:0822:3827:5233:4058:2311:0208:08
windrunnerWindranger3603.48%82.357.22%+1.13%-1.59%+7.94%0.87%29:0011:4823:0727:4534:0854:3211:0108:19
doom_bringerDoom2593.92%81.557.92%+10.38%-8.59%-1.66%0.67%30:4313:2725:0829:2535:2957:0010:2106:51
baneBane17710.05%80.657.63%+4.67%+6.74%+2.98%-0.37%31:2414:1825:2930:1435:4157:3210:1206:01
dark_willowDark Willow1516.41%79.858.94%+9.05%+9.10%-2.04%-0.93%29:5111:0023:5328:3635:4948:0011:5607:24
queenofpainQueen of Pain5566.99%79.055.22%+5.72%-4.53%-0.53%0.38%30:3113:4324:4329:5535:151:01:0010:3207:24
naga_sirenNaga Siren1093.46%78.261.47%+6.47%+6.67%-18.97%-2.37%28:1713:2722:1326:3533:0347:1010:5006:51
skywrath_mageSkywrath Mage159024.88%77.452.70%+5.01%+0.07%+2.11%0.22%28:1111:5623:0427:1732:161:03:0009:1207:00
venomancerVenomancer100312.37%76.653.64%+1.09%+3.91%-3.22%-0.66%29:3409:2023:4328:4034:351:14:2810:5207:55
pudgePudge89618.17%75.853.35%+8.11%-6.03%+1.55%0.72%29:4108:3724:0928:4734:421:02:0610:3308:17
shadow_demonShadow Demon20911.71%75.056.46%+6.68%-3.75%-3.49%0.03%29:3113:0023:5128:4933:561:05:1010:0505:15
undyingUndying65514.84%74.253.74%+1.58%-0.74%-2.19%-0.14%29:4911:0024:2029:0134:251:02:1910:0507:28
crystal_maidenCrystal Maiden79814.20%73.453.13%+5.04%+5.07%-3.12%-0.77%29:0712:0023:1228:2133:4958:2310:3707:31
miranaMirana4226.56%72.654.98%+6.22%-5.92%+6.01%1.14%30:2009:3324:3029:3534:5859:4310:2808:53
tuskTusk1418.30%71.857.45%+13.63%+5.44%-3.16%-0.77%29:1015:0023:0328:1234:1649:4511:1308:22
rubickRubick122914.11%71.052.24%+4.34%-1.10%-7.61%-0.65%29:0312:2423:3328:1333:381:02:0210:0507:45
shredderTimbersaw3526.06%70.254.83%+5.60%-0.23%+0.83%0.10%29:4209:4624:0528:4934:391:04:3510:3407:27
tinyTiny1298.69%69.457.36%+17.16%+9.22%-5.90%-1.53%30:2015:5924:3629:5634:3052:0009:5408:42
lionLion29921.60%68.553.18%+9.79%+4.20%-2.68%-0.81%28:3015:5123:1828:0731:4953:0008:3105:14
ogre_magiOgre Magi1648.91%67.756.10%+9.21%-2.41%-2.67%-0.03%30:5514:4024:5830:0935:0956:0010:1107:40
pugnaPugna3054.91%66.955.08%+3.44%+5.97%+2.75%-0.34%28:4712:2323:3828:2333:0455:2109:2606:28
primal_beastPrimal Beast1239.16%66.156.91%+9.74%-13.14%+6.59%1.77%31:5314:2925:4729:3936:561:03:1811:0906:20
medusaMedusa2693.89%65.355.39%+2.04%-9.14%+8.79%1.62%30:4113:5224:1830:2735:2359:4211:0507:06
lichLich58513.54%64.552.14%+3.18%+0.60%+0.57%0.00%29:3611:4523:4928:4734:011:03:1310:1207:28
wispIo35229.46%63.751.70%+2.61%-1.22%-4.04%-0.28%27:3213:1822:0426:2432:0558:5410:0106:40
abaddonAbaddon943.41%62.959.57%+3.78%+0.52%-7.55%-0.93%29:0414:5624:4028:4233:2350:0008:4306:40
phoenixPhoenix1639.00%62.155.21%+6.64%-9.99%+3.72%1.24%28:4812:0022:3227:2633:3654:5311:0409:28
witch_doctorWitch Doctor27616.73%61.352.54%+4.14%-5.38%+1.09%0.60%28:3111:2922:2927:2433:1359:2610:4407:29
hoodwinkHoodwink18417.44%60.553.26%+8.41%+2.03%-22.16%-2.13%28:4114:5322:5026:5934:1346:4011:2309:11
pangolierPangolier2553.36%59.754.90%+3.60%-0.98%+5.45%0.56%28:4011:4522:3128:0034:041:02:0011:3307:00
vengefulspiritVengeful Spirit2047.89%58.953.92%+9.88%-0.10%+5.69%0.63%30:3410:5625:0929:5134:231:04:0009:1406:40
marciMarci1914.25%58.154.97%+3.38%+1.68%+0.49%-0.12%28:0912:2522:5227:3732:4452:0009:5208:08
ancient_apparitionAncient Apparition31018.98%57.350.97%+1.76%+5.48%-11.22%-1.66%28:3711:0022:5427:5232:571:04:0010:0307:57
terrorbladeTerrorblade1193.06%56.557.14%+8.58%-2.37%+22.76%2.72%28:1912:5523:1027:4232:2549:0009:1507:10
necrolyteNecrophos1156.81%55.655.65%+7.62%-5.73%+9.57%1.37%27:5407:2621:3726:4032:4549:0011:0810:00
silencerSilencer53714.08%54.850.09%-0.85%-1.20%+6.33%0.71%28:5410:0023:1128:0133:461:06:0010:3507:09
puckPuck1876.79%54.052.94%+7.62%+6.57%+4.42%-0.26%27:4711:0023:1226:3831:1956:0008:0704:46
winter_wyvernWinter Wyvern2074.59%53.253.14%+0.02%+5.39%+3.82%-0.16%30:2815:0325:1028:5934:4557:3709:3505:44
shadow_shamanShadow Shaman9719.52%52.452.58%+11.18%-3.48%-5.69%-0.20%28:5511:3422:5228:1834:0548:3411:1309:53
monkey_kingMonkey King2704.26%51.651.85%+2.97%-4.73%+10.04%1.32%29:3611:4023:4128:2634:521:01:4511:1108:40
beastmasterBeastmaster2004.69%50.852.50%+4.17%+6.49%-0.65%-0.77%29:0313:1724:0028:1333:171:02:4409:1706:24
jakiroJakiro26714.92%50.049.44%-0.53%-4.66%-0.21%0.38%29:4810:0023:5829:0735:4952:0011:5108:14
grimstrokeGrimstroke16517.42%49.250.30%+5.84%+20.57%-14.01%-3.36%27:0008:5020:5626:2031:1355:0010:1706:47
invokerInvoker623.86%48.458.06%+12.13%-2.17%-2.17%0.00%31:1617:3624:3130:1537:1656:2112:4507:24
antimageAnti-Mage793.04%47.656.96%+12.84%+0.42%+6.54%0.64%27:4816:2521:5326:5431:2646:5009:3308:53
death_prophetDeath Prophet1399.35%46.851.80%+2.69%+9.32%+5.69%-0.30%31:3911:0024:5830:4136:5858:0012:0010:42
enigmaEnigma234.78%46.065.22%+14.24%+19.57%-19.57%-3.75%31:1321:0024:0727:1034:3454:2910:2702:07
svenSven783.47%45.256.41%+6.98%+9.52%+6.63%-0.24%28:0112:5221:3627:2133:3655:3312:0008:42
ember_spiritEmber Spirit3013.74%44.450.17%+0.90%-1.59%-7.62%-0.54%29:5111:0923:4628:4934:571:02:2911:1107:51
omniknightOmniknight893.68%43.555.06%+4.65%-9.50%+2.23%1.15%28:5016:4123:1427:0633:2750:2910:1308:28
rikiRiki1024.04%42.753.92%+3.63%-3.81%-10.13%-0.66%28:0413:0022:2227:2131:5955:4009:3708:12
snapfireSnapfire2989.93%41.948.32%+0.32%+1.66%+1.84%0.02%28:5106:4724:1127:5233:2359:0009:1207:45
zuusZeus29724.77%41.146.80%-1.09%-6.30%+3.23%0.93%24:5010:1718:4523:5129:021:01:1110:1706:59
weaverWeaver515.02%40.356.86%+6.75%+6.87%+15.69%0.69%28:0415:3620:4027:3933:2354:3112:4309:37
marsMars634.80%39.555.56%+8.08%-2.33%+24.65%2.72%30:1515:0024:5729:3634:5252:1909:5507:34
keeper_of_the_lightKeeper of the Light62914.96%38.745.63%-4.08%+9.14%-3.60%-1.20%28:2211:5122:3527:2633:1155:3510:3606:40
warlockWarlock9113.25%37.950.55%-0.54%-0.02%-1.42%-0.14%28:4313:5623:1727:4633:1347:0009:5606:41
bristlebackBristleback277.18%37.159.26%+19.72%+14.81%-12.96%-2.89%31:0316:1823:3028:3933:0658:0009:3603:01
dawnbreakerDawnbreaker865.18%36.352.33%+2.55%+4.07%-5.35%-1.08%28:4115:2824:0328:0932:4753:2008:4407:33
void_spiritVoid Spirit3973.70%35.547.10%-4.49%-0.03%+2.95%0.31%29:0012:3023:3327:4533:091:14:2009:3606:54
abyssal_underlordUnderlord1295.04%34.750.39%+2.66%-6.83%-0.63%0.51%30:4513:2224:0329:4836:0855:3512:0508:46
broodmotherBroodmother264.08%33.961.54%+14.44%+11.54%-19.23%-3.19%28:1715:0321:5928:3331:3848:0009:3916:06
bloodseekerBloodseeker1793.00%33.149.16%-0.65%-0.24%+2.12%0.21%30:0208:1323:2229:3234:2354:0211:0105:42
alchemistAlchemist1573.23%32.349.04%+1.30%-7.84%+7.11%1.41%28:5813:2323:0328:2033:4150:4310:3808:26
leshracLeshrac10812.72%31.547.22%-0.83%-6.45%+11.40%2.02%27:3411:3723:0227:1131:5346:5708:5107:24
sand_kingSand King8813.92%30.647.73%+8.64%-12.78%+4.32%1.79%27:2314:0022:3626:5932:0941:0009:3307:05
slardarSlardar266.47%29.857.69%+6.86%+14.75%-12.82%-3.09%27:1315:2620:2627:3429:2249:0008:5606:45
huskarHuskar904.98%29.050.00%-3.21%+2.15%+2.15%0.00%30:1611:3923:5829:3334:3755:0010:3908:18
clinkzClinkz3484.38%28.245.11%-5.00%+0.97%-7.85%-0.88%27:1911:5022:1226:1432:1252:0010:0007:43
nevermoreShadow Fiend1054.17%27.449.52%+4.01%+6.33%+8.60%0.23%29:1915:0423:3828:5433:3447:3809:5605:22
storm_spiritStorm Spirit2093.30%26.646.89%-1.88%-9.51%+8.65%1.85%29:3314:1824:0128:0833:511:03:0509:5007:57
enchantressEnchantress1825.04%25.846.70%-0.40%-5.31%-6.77%-0.15%30:4912:4025:1830:2034:5455:2309:3605:39
tidehunterTidehunter767.35%25.048.68%+1.03%+11.25%-27.63%-4.27%32:5418:4927:4532:3236:5155:0009:0606:37
troll_warlordTroll Warlord212.84%24.261.90%+14.38%-19.04%-9.52%0.93%29:0813:0322:0428:2232:1844:4810:1403:31
razorRazor164.86%23.462.50%+17.46%+3.12%+9.37%0.70%30:4719:0623:5928:5132:5445:4908:5502:57
muertaMuerta552.78%22.652.73%+2.47%-19.70%+4.85%3.05%30:2112:0024:5829:2933:0153:0008:0303:21
templar_assassinTemplar Assassin1135.32%21.846.90%-0.35%+14.73%-5.86%-2.19%27:2112:2821:4025:4131:051:02:0209:2506:53
dazzleDazzle8610.49%21.046.51%+4.94%-1.04%-15.00%-1.49%27:5514:5022:4427:4332:0744:2209:2308:04
phantom_lancerPhantom Lancer1263.70%20.246.83%-0.57%-3.18%-0.80%0.25%29:5115:2124:0328:0433:4357:0909:4006:19
chenChen817.04%19.446.91%-4.29%+0.28%+4.45%0.38%30:1111:1724:3729:5035:2944:4810:5209:11
phantom_assassinPhantom Assassin414.27%18.551.22%+11.16%-16.99%-28.05%-1.34%30:0016:4425:1028:1233:2752:4408:1709:11
life_stealerLifestealer142.66%17.764.29%+16.64%-28.57%+28.57%6.51%31:5723:3926:2429:5935:1144:0708:4709:37
obsidian_destroyerOutworld Destroyer413.72%16.951.22%+2.40%-13.01%+8.13%1.88%32:2215:4525:5429:4237:0856:0211:1408:37
treantTreant Protector447.11%16.147.73%-4.95%+27.09%-28.41%-3.66%32:4517:0024:0130:1839:121:14:0015:1112:49
viperViper626.99%15.345.16%-4.35%+11.29%-18.01%-3.53%27:5815:4323:0827:4931:2640:1708:1808:00
morphlingMorphling1323.19%14.542.42%-5.07%-12.22%-4.81%0.62%28:2912:0422:2127:5234:1453:3611:5306:05
chaos_knightChaos Knight444.06%13.747.73%-2.56%+6.82%+15.91%1.10%28:2116:5923:3825:1831:5644:3608:1810:19
lone_druidLone Druid304.78%12.950.00%+2.07%-3.33%0.00%0.35%30:3819:4424:1429:3233:4245:0809:2801:23
linaLina6822.15%12.139.71%-5.90%-12.07%-8.12%0.37%26:0014:0019:1623:5829:5056:2110:3407:06
brewmasterBrewmaster353.17%11.348.57%-2.45%-1.42%+14.28%1.58%29:0914:5122:1729:2832:1554:0009:5809:23
furionNature's Prophet224.88%10.550.00%+10.21%-20.45%-11.37%0.78%29:5215:4322:1629:2233:5648:0311:4006:34
visageVisage913.64%9.737.36%-9.27%+32.60%-20.34%-4.99%30:0515:0823:4329:4934:1956:0110:3608:56
sniperSniper323.71%8.943.75%-0.66%-8.34%-15.62%-0.83%31:1719:0225:4930:2734:3843:3908:4907:41
centaurCentaur Warrunner213.38%8.147.62%-1.77%+19.05%-19.05%-5.00%26:4113:1622:4625:4730:2336:2307:3705:54
arc_wardenArc Warden433.09%7.339.53%-14.02%+6.98%-19.38%-2.74%29:1617:1523:2126:5832:5848:0009:3707:40
lunaLuna173.07%6.547.06%+2.81%-11.76%+5.88%1.23%30:2414:2122:2130:2236:3944:0714:1806:28
drow_rangerDrow Ranger333.82%5.639.39%-11.68%+0.01%-15.65%-1.50%28:2314:5821:4328:4932:0948:3510:2607:23
meepoMeepo332.61%4.839.39%-15.30%-28.79%+8.08%5.78%26:1816:1122:0025:0228:2339:3506:2303:22
dragon_knightDragon Knight182.37%4.044.44%-13.21%-16.66%+5.56%2.54%30:0415:5622:4027:2831:2444:4008:4405:55
night_stalkerNight Stalker244.76%3.237.50%-5.96%+1.39%+12.50%1.16%29:2420:1823:5528:5533:3238:3209:3707:48
lycanLycan215.04%2.438.10%-12.68%+11.90%+0.00%-4.18%28:2221:2525:3926:2628:3042:1502:5100:58
spectreSpectre162.66%1.637.50%-8.20%+9.37%-9.38%-1.96%27:4217:3922:1325:5931:4835:0209:3505:48
skeleton_kingWraith King92.05%0.844.44%-19.71%-11.10%+33.34%3.79%30:3214:5123:0332:4634:4642:0011:4300:25