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Top 500 Meta Trends - 7.33c

Stats for matches of top-10% (500 rank, ~8.8k+ MMR) of immortal leaderboard players, data provided by Stratz.com

Total couriers killed: 126840

Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
ItemPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxStd.Dev
aghanims_shardAghanim's Shard14877337.70%64.054.96%+7.96%+1.11%-1.89%-0.27%27:5414:5921:5426:3632:501:29:0008:04
Columns
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
HeroPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxWindowStd.Dev
viperViper44650.28%100.065.02%+31.77%+9.05%-10.01%-1.69%26:1015:0019:2424:2330:411:02:4411:1708:48
elder_titanElder Titan54450.94%99.263.05%+12.67%+0.18%-3.49%-0.39%27:4715:0022:1926:1531:3760:2709:1808:03
shredderTimbersaw206435.54%98.462.02%+19.30%-0.39%+1.47%0.15%29:3015:0022:4028:1835:011:12:2412:2108:42
meepoMeepo98677.94%97.660.65%+28.47%+4.80%-9.84%-2.21%21:2415:0017:2319:4924:0143:4806:3804:40
faceless_voidFaceless Void181152.27%96.860.80%+21.69%-3.63%+0.71%0.44%30:1915:0025:1030:0735:001:02:2709:5007:40
slardarSlardar18445.77%96.062.50%+20.64%+0.37%+2.69%0.25%27:5415:0022:2827:2931:5151:2009:2305:11
medusaMedusa244835.44%95.260.29%+10.60%-2.71%+0.82%0.29%31:2215:0025:0131:1636:591:03:1911:5809:01
dark_seerDark Seer82830.20%94.460.99%+9.63%-3.02%+1.80%0.39%28:2615:0021:1527:1833:451:01:4212:3009:09
oracleOracle191944.88%93.559.77%+13.84%+2.73%-6.74%-0.98%27:2915:0021:5726:0531:391:02:1109:4207:14
doom_bringerDoom295944.84%92.759.38%+20.72%+0.00%-2.83%-0.33%29:2515:0024:4428:3033:201:06:3308:3606:32
enigmaEnigma22847.40%91.960.96%+17.64%+11.53%-4.81%-1.54%24:0215:0017:0821:0327:4351:0010:3505:53
queenofpainQueen of Pain337642.45%91.159.24%+16.14%-1.02%-0.59%0.04%30:3615:0024:3330:0935:431:03:2511:1008:12
jakiroJakiro75942.43%90.358.89%+15.62%-0.48%-6.01%-0.52%28:0015:0422:0526:3432:4257:1410:3708:01
windrunnerWindranger224721.74%89.558.52%+3.06%+0.28%-0.83%-0.09%29:5115:0023:0528:3235:251:08:4412:2008:48
naga_sirenNaga Siren77624.62%88.759.28%+5.37%+1.75%-4.14%-0.47%32:2515:0025:4532:2638:2359:1412:3808:28
batriderBatrider283228.26%87.958.02%+6.74%+1.92%-4.84%-0.60%29:0014:5922:4027:4733:551:25:5411:1508:37
spirit_breakerSpirit Breaker317030.21%87.157.76%+6.70%-0.63%+2.47%0.28%28:3715:0022:3127:1933:241:06:0310:5307:36
silencerSilencer170544.72%86.357.60%+12.23%+2.50%-2.43%-0.49%26:3315:0021:1225:0031:111:01:1809:5907:12
slarkSlark560874.36%85.556.63%+21.12%+9.51%-3.63%-2.04%25:1915:0021:4024:4028:071:17:3406:2705:01
bounty_hunterBounty Hunter304730.87%84.757.27%+7.26%-2.74%-2.48%0.03%28:1415:0022:2226:5432:421:08:4810:2007:37
shadow_demonShadow Demon97054.34%83.957.32%+14.77%-1.77%+0.76%0.29%26:5715:0022:0225:4530:5260:3508:5006:07
miranaMirana217633.80%83.157.26%+12.23%-2.12%+2.41%0.42%28:2715:0022:2527:1133:131:06:1110:4808:02
winter_wyvernWinter Wyvern123927.48%82.357.63%+6.21%+0.25%-3.27%-0.31%29:4415:0023:2628:2834:501:17:3511:2408:24
brewmasterBrewmaster64658.51%81.557.12%+14.79%-2.82%+4.01%0.77%25:1615:0020:0523:5328:5852:4108:5305:55
chenChen67358.47%80.657.06%+13.98%-0.50%+2.47%0.40%24:2115:0019:5922:5427:2153:1207:2205:19
rikiRiki117646.54%79.856.63%+11.54%+3.58%-1.19%-0.48%27:1915:0121:5326:0031:4454:0709:5107:42
earthshakerEarthshaker172669.62%79.056.03%+11.84%+5.45%-5.44%-1.32%24:2015:0019:2222:4427:3757:4308:1505:48
ember_spiritEmber Spirit469858.40%78.255.66%+15.23%+6.64%-6.85%-1.56%27:5015:0023:0927:1531:4857:1908:3906:34
undyingUndying185842.08%77.456.19%+6.54%+0.58%-4.67%-0.52%27:4515:0022:1026:1332:201:08:0910:1007:05
nyx_assassinNyx Assassin197343.12%76.656.06%+14.46%+2.16%-5.05%-0.73%27:1715:0021:5725:5131:461:04:5209:4906:53
venomancerVenomancer313638.68%75.855.90%+5.24%+2.06%-1.49%-0.33%28:2615:0022:2227:0333:111:09:4610:4907:59
invokerInvoker70844.08%75.056.50%+18.01%+4.49%-1.39%-0.56%28:4115:0022:5027:4633:1957:3310:2908:02
disruptorDisruptor144134.39%74.256.28%+11.05%-2.38%-4.47%-0.20%27:3515:0021:4225:3631:561:06:0610:1408:12
dark_willowDark Willow117149.68%73.456.02%+11.01%-1.94%-2.77%-0.09%26:3815:0021:3725:1830:2860:0008:5106:42
techiesTechies488542.39%72.655.58%+4.86%+2.20%-4.19%-0.65%27:4715:0022:0926:0932:011:06:3709:5207:11
huskarHuskar39721.96%71.857.68%+5.93%+2.73%-0.62%-0.26%29:4215:0023:0828:4735:5953:2112:5110:40
lichLich224051.85%71.055.27%+12.19%+4.44%-3.75%-0.84%27:1415:0021:4825:5931:331:06:5909:4507:17
muertaMuerta55327.92%70.256.60%+8.69%-3.74%-7.65%-0.32%30:0915:0023:3429:3635:421:12:3712:0808:42
arc_wardenArc Warden33123.81%69.457.40%+5.61%-1.49%-0.07%0.10%32:2215:0124:4532:2139:021:02:0914:1711:04
marciMarci128328.57%68.555.65%+5.48%+1.36%-3.77%-0.48%27:5715:0022:0226:3032:4857:3210:4607:57
abaddonAbaddon68524.85%67.756.35%+0.58%+1.76%-0.78%-0.20%29:3715:0022:4527:5835:141:04:5512:2908:42
bloodseekerBloodseeker312252.27%66.954.71%+10.28%+6.88%-3.36%-1.13%28:2415:0023:2427:1232:281:03:1209:0407:01
keeper_of_the_lightKeeper of the Light149735.60%66.155.31%+9.61%-0.38%-3.44%-0.28%28:3415:0022:3026:4633:221:03:2610:5207:50
warlockWarlock42561.86%65.355.29%+11.07%+2.27%-1.95%-0.40%23:4215:0017:5122:0628:1951:0110:2808:15
omniknightOmniknight177073.23%64.554.41%+14.24%+13.99%-5.78%-3.38%20:0115:0015:5117:4521:4253:3705:5104:01
baneBane63035.78%63.755.71%+3.56%+1.87%-4.46%-0.62%27:3715:0121:5125:5432:0057:3410:0906:52
clinkzClinkz260132.74%62.954.79%+7.16%+3.12%-2.18%-0.53%28:0815:0022:3226:4332:3060:1209:5807:22
broodmotherBroodmother28644.90%62.155.94%+14.86%+5.25%-13.66%-1.89%25:5915:0020:1925:0530:1956:5010:0006:06
death_prophetDeath Prophet54336.52%61.355.62%+9.85%+4.93%-0.05%-0.44%29:5215:0123:1829:1134:361:02:4411:1808:21
crystal_maidenCrystal Maiden243743.36%60.554.37%+9.80%-2.16%-0.35%0.18%28:1115:0022:3626:5932:371:01:1410:0106:54
lone_druidLone Druid45772.77%59.754.27%+22.06%+12.66%-6.87%-3.48%21:2115:0117:4820:3123:2544:1305:3704:46
alchemistAlchemist132627.24%58.954.75%+9.57%+0.96%-4.15%-0.42%31:1715:0024:5131:0237:041:08:3312:1308:51
skywrath_mageSkywrath Mage235636.86%58.154.07%+8.08%+0.85%-5.94%-0.64%28:2215:0022:2126:4332:561:09:2810:3508:03
ogre_magiOgre Magi57131.02%57.355.17%+10.81%-0.31%-2.70%-0.22%28:5115:0022:4227:4833:471:06:1911:0507:48
pangolierPangolier343645.23%56.553.67%+4.10%+2.03%-4.49%-0.59%28:2015:0022:2027:2633:2060:3411:0008:00
life_stealerLifestealer27344.75%55.655.31%+14.36%-3.89%-2.35%0.13%26:5215:0020:4124:4032:5857:5412:1708:49
legion_commanderLegion Commander169323.14%54.854.16%+2.19%-3.22%+0.70%0.33%29:3515:0023:0428:3734:581:01:4511:5409:17
dawnbreakerDawnbreaker87852.89%54.053.76%+8.16%+1.04%+0.14%-0.09%24:5115:0019:1522:5429:171:09:2310:0207:21
storm_spiritStorm Spirit182628.80%53.253.83%+7.17%+1.54%-0.98%-0.19%32:2915:0025:4232:4238:451:05:1513:0309:39
antimageAnti-Mage38814.93%52.456.19%+13.71%-17.40%+11.57%1.83%32:0215:0023:4631:0539:351:04:3215:4911:34
earth_spiritEarth Spirit83138.21%51.654.03%+7.51%+3.36%-6.70%-0.94%28:5715:0122:4927:3833:341:13:0110:4507:36
ursaUrsa124849.86%50.853.45%+15.26%+0.86%-1.68%-0.26%29:2215:0024:1128:5833:5556:4509:4407:48
hoodwinkHoodwink50748.06%50.054.04%+14.83%-3.26%+0.71%0.40%26:3315:0020:5925:0030:481:08:3109:4906:45
witch_doctorWitch Doctor110566.97%49.252.94%+11.62%+3.01%-1.12%-0.52%24:0115:0019:2922:2927:2859:5707:5905:54
zuusZeus58748.96%48.453.66%+11.83%+3.88%-4.35%-0.67%23:4015:0016:1021:2328:2457:2412:1408:28
axeAxe156144.59%47.653.11%+9.64%+4.95%-5.93%-0.98%27:4415:0021:4026:4632:4360:5811:0308:32
snapfireSnapfire135245.07%46.852.96%+8.95%+0.29%+0.59%0.03%25:4315:0020:2224:2229:5657:1709:3406:31
chaos_knightChaos Knight49946.03%46.053.51%+6.12%+4.85%+6.19%0.11%27:1915:0021:0926:0432:5153:0511:4207:08
tidehunterTidehunter44543.04%45.253.71%+10.48%-1.97%-4.23%-0.20%28:5315:0022:4227:4733:551:06:4811:1307:46
void_spiritVoid Spirit193818.05%44.453.35%+2.35%+0.87%+0.16%-0.05%30:2815:0023:0829:1336:401:29:0013:3209:06
kunkkaKunkka30653.40%43.553.59%+13.89%+8.67%+2.30%-0.58%24:2015:0017:2823:0328:301:06:2811:0208:30
necrolyteNecrophos124773.83%42.752.29%+14.28%+7.66%-0.85%-1.03%21:5015:0016:4719:5525:0350:2108:1606:09
pugnaPugna256841.31%41.952.53%+1.23%+3.24%-4.86%-0.88%27:2415:0022:0725:4831:2160:0209:1407:07
tinyTiny53736.19%41.153.63%+18.71%+2.67%-2.14%-0.42%27:4415:0021:2426:2232:5256:1111:2808:40
ancient_apparitionAncient Apparition102462.71%40.352.34%+7.42%+3.15%-4.68%-0.85%26:2415:0021:1625:1030:2954:0509:1306:35
svenSven52823.49%39.554.17%+5.87%-1.85%+3.85%0.46%30:5115:0324:0030:1436:181:01:2412:1809:27
wispIo48940.92%38.753.37%+5.28%-0.50%-3.75%-0.37%26:5015:0021:4924:4930:3257:0308:4305:51
treantTreant Protector37961.23%37.952.77%+1.07%+3.05%-4.90%-0.92%23:3215:0018:0321:5526:4354:4908:4006:15
phoenixPhoenix124568.75%37.151.89%+8.51%+1.17%-1.74%-0.35%25:2815:0020:4624:2229:1153:2708:2506:12
lycanLycan22553.96%36.353.33%+5.46%+9.82%-21.45%-3.35%22:2915:0217:0118:5926:2152:0409:2006:37
razorRazor14544.07%35.554.48%+15.35%-8.51%+3.90%1.13%25:2615:0119:1223:3630:1349:5311:0106:31
weaverWeaver33633.10%34.753.87%+4.59%+11.58%-1.47%-1.02%30:4215:0023:1029:1135:581:01:0312:4808:49
morphlingMorphling127130.76%33.952.56%+7.53%+0.91%-1.14%-0.16%29:5915:0023:1828:4735:541:16:3312:3609:51
rattletrapClockwerk84338.88%33.152.55%+7.10%+1.95%-4.93%-0.66%28:1815:0022:1326:5832:361:14:1110:2307:05
terrorbladeTerrorblade68617.63%32.353.50%+5.68%+0.56%-6.15%-0.43%32:5815:0024:2332:3740:091:08:5815:4610:23
tinkerTinker33623.16%31.554.17%+4.87%-3.57%+12.13%1.23%29:4915:0122:1928:3235:0459:3512:4508:20
lionLion73453.03%30.652.04%+13.86%+0.13%-5.85%-0.76%26:1715:0021:4425:0729:381:03:1807:5405:25
templar_assassinTemplar Assassin127359.93%29.851.37%+10.30%+5.06%-3.54%-1.06%23:2015:0018:1621:1226:251:08:2208:0906:17
nevermoreShadow Fiend70928.15%29.052.61%+9.65%-5.96%-2.86%0.26%30:3815:0024:0730:3135:5560:2811:4808:14
puckPuck54219.69%28.253.32%+9.31%-9.90%+4.40%0.95%32:1515:0024:1431:4339:141:02:3515:0013:03
rubickRubick395745.44%27.451.12%+4.78%+5.74%-7.54%-1.28%28:2415:0022:3827:1333:021:03:2410:2407:32
magnataurMagnus200518.05%26.651.97%+3.56%-1.58%+1.83%0.27%29:4115:0022:4828:2735:131:06:2512:2508:35
skeleton_kingWraith King18241.36%25.853.30%+6.21%-6.50%-8.94%-0.23%27:4315:0522:1326:4032:4050:3310:2708:59
marsMars82462.76%25.051.09%+8.60%-0.61%-5.26%-0.47%25:5215:0019:5924:5829:5655:1109:5708:10
enchantressEnchantress128635.59%24.251.32%+6.57%+4.27%-2.87%-0.71%27:2615:0021:4625:3531:491:13:0110:0307:51
juggernautJuggernaut122327.02%23.451.59%+8.40%-2.42%+1.21%0.29%30:4015:0023:4630:2736:281:04:4012:4208:42
grimstrokeGrimstroke58061.25%22.650.86%+13.83%+3.66%-1.21%-0.58%24:4915:0020:0223:5028:2655:0708:2406:25
visageVisage135254.14%21.850.59%+9.20%+2.07%-6.67%-0.93%26:4515:0021:4225:5331:0757:1909:2507:22
gyrocopterGyrocopter39479.28%21.050.25%+4.55%+5.31%-2.75%-1.37%19:0915:0015:1916:5021:1247:2005:5304:43
pudgePudge235647.78%20.249.79%+5.88%-0.47%-3.20%-0.30%27:0215:0021:5325:4430:5760:5009:0406:54
monkey_kingMonkey King108317.08%19.450.88%+2.26%-2.33%-0.33%0.15%30:2415:0023:0629:1436:131:19:1713:0709:34
shadow_shamanShadow Shaman30160.56%18.549.83%+15.84%+4.01%-5.79%-1.25%24:2715:0019:5822:4427:5048:3407:5205:36
obsidian_destroyerOutworld Destroyer20918.97%17.752.63%+4.58%-1.64%+3.37%0.40%31:1215:0023:3830:0536:1559:1112:3711:00
beastmasterBeastmaster93021.79%16.950.11%+2.03%+0.98%-4.18%-0.44%30:0415:0023:4629:0735:2760:4011:4108:09
vengefulspiritVengeful Spirit161662.49%16.148.39%+9.50%+3.60%-1.75%-0.68%25:1315:0020:5624:0528:461:05:5807:5005:51
tuskTusk50529.74%15.350.10%+7.33%-1.27%-4.86%-0.36%28:2515:0122:2526:4232:291:09:4610:0407:21
primal_beastPrimal Beast32824.42%14.550.61%+3.36%+3.59%+4.90%0.11%30:0115:0023:3129:2035:4356:3612:1209:10
abyssal_underlordUnderlord81031.67%13.749.14%+1.87%-0.36%-6.08%-0.48%29:5815:0023:2128:5035:151:01:3911:5408:28
centaurCentaur Warrunner20332.69%12.950.74%+13.31%-4.66%+1.33%0.55%31:0215:0124:5130:5635:491:06:4810:5808:34
phantom_lancerPhantom Lancer121135.59%12.148.22%+1.30%+0.61%-3.53%-0.40%31:0815:0025:4130:5135:571:01:0610:1608:10
night_stalkerNight Stalker38075.40%11.347.63%+17.99%+1.98%-1.91%-0.55%20:4015:0016:0318:1323:0646:5307:0304:22
bristlebackBristleback14638.83%10.550.00%+14.78%-0.02%-8.22%-0.59%27:5015:2219:4426:1133:361:08:3913:5211:25
phantom_assassinPhantom Assassin44746.56%9.747.65%+13.24%-8.36%+10.38%2.38%28:2415:0123:5627:4231:4953:2607:5306:05
troll_warlordTroll Warlord9512.86%8.953.68%+6.60%-25.68%-2.31%1.77%31:5916:0324:5031:3338:021:01:5613:1209:52
spectreSpectre12721.13%8.150.39%+6.18%-13.14%-4.08%0.76%31:0115:0023:5930:5935:5052:2011:5110:17
drow_rangerDrow Ranger19422.45%7.348.97%-2.14%-3.98%-3.89%0.01%31:2615:0022:5231:1137:521:07:3815:0009:37
sand_kingSand King22134.97%6.547.51%+11.10%-1.41%+0.68%0.18%27:1715:0020:4426:3132:2154:5111:3710:41
leshracLeshrac26531.21%5.646.79%-1.66%+1.02%+0.16%-0.07%31:1714:5925:0431:2536:4154:3111:3708:51
lunaLuna14125.50%4.848.23%+5.23%-12.75%+1.93%1.28%30:1015:0124:1029:3535:3650:5311:2608:31
dragon_knightDragon Knight31040.84%4.044.52%+0.26%+9.15%+4.86%-0.40%23:3815:0017:1720:5128:021:03:2810:4508:05
dazzleDazzle59372.32%3.242.33%+0.92%-0.04%+6.99%0.91%23:2915:0019:1322:1426:5948:5707:4605:08
furionNature's Prophet12627.94%2.446.03%+7.82%+6.85%-4.06%-1.09%26:1315:0120:2124:4930:2048:1409:5908:03
linaLina14446.91%1.642.36%-3.65%+13.23%-8.96%-1.68%24:2915:0016:5122:1430:0257:1813:1108:31
sniperSniper31636.66%0.841.14%-5.12%-1.93%+0.56%0.19%28:1815:0521:0825:5834:2559:4213:1709:17