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Top 2500 Meta Trends - 7.33d

Stats for matches of top-50% (2500 rank, ~7k+ MMR) of immortal leaderboard players, data provided by Stratz.com

Median hero xpm: 570

Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
ItemPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxStd.Dev
abyssal_bladeAbyssal Blade83271.34%95.768.45%+14.99%+6.67%-7.93%-1.44%37:1519:5531:3636:2241:431:34:5907:16
Columns
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
HeroPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxWindowStd.Dev
spectreSpectre17616.22%100.075.57%+30.23%+10.75%-7.43%-2.58%40:1128:2736:0040:0143:0356:2807:0305:06
phantom_assassinPhantom Assassin40119.20%98.673.57%+35.28%+11.61%+1.41%-1.43%36:2722:2032:4035:5439:4856:1807:0804:26
slarkSlark3092.70%97.175.40%+23.58%+4.06%-5.65%-1.02%42:2724:3637:1241:2946:451:17:2609:3307:14
bloodseekerBloodseeker96710.58%95.770.53%+22.86%+7.57%-8.54%-1.90%40:0723:5735:3439:2044:021:15:0408:2805:59
antimageAnti-Mage215841.46%94.368.54%+36.56%+9.98%-5.83%-2.17%32:2121:2928:1231:3435:3057:3807:1805:42
ursaUrsa103832.86%92.968.40%+31.75%+11.14%-10.49%-2.63%33:2319:5928:5732:5437:1159:5508:1406:31
juggernautJuggernaut4895.69%91.468.92%+24.34%+5.90%+0.79%-0.71%39:3626:1735:2738:2742:411:14:3507:1404:51
monkey_kingMonkey King3464.28%90.069.36%+21.54%+16.69%-12.38%-3.39%40:5923:3736:2140:2444:551:01:3408:3406:20
dawnbreakerDawnbreaker642.19%88.676.56%+25.07%+11.51%-13.23%-2.57%42:3023:0037:2641:1147:041:01:0309:3809:31
pangolierPangolier4995.50%87.166.53%+17.26%+14.11%-2.82%-1.59%42:5623:5637:0541:5947:441:14:5710:3908:45
night_stalkerNight Stalker293.64%85.779.31%+32.96%+5.17%-4.60%-0.64%43:1929:4434:5442:5350:0460:4115:1010:29
marciMarci1763.75%84.367.61%+21.46%+5.74%+0.92%-0.52%41:2226:3035:5640:0145:111:10:1109:1506:23
troll_warlordTroll Warlord18715.83%82.964.71%+19.22%+7.61%-13.73%-2.62%36:0220:4731:3834:4639:4756:4908:0906:03
alchemistAlchemist33813.68%81.461.83%+14.17%+22.69%-9.48%-5.03%34:0520:5930:1233:2736:361:12:1806:2404:57
lycanLycan932.51%80.068.82%+20.80%+14.67%-9.29%-2.77%41:2228:0036:2940:3145:081:09:4408:3906:42
broodmotherBroodmother700.90%78.671.43%+24.07%+6.48%+4.90%-0.17%43:2027:2137:3842:2147:001:15:0309:2205:00
bristlebackBristleback636.24%77.166.67%+19.78%-5.16%-20.13%-1.81%38:4926:5634:0537:3942:221:15:2308:1707:02
abaddonAbaddon1274.19%75.762.99%+16.44%+15.75%-5.29%-2.25%40:3421:3135:1239:2244:341:06:3309:2206:20
rikiRiki441.85%74.370.45%+17.01%+4.67%-26.51%-2.69%42:1227:3635:1141:0246:461:07:2911:3510:38
life_stealerLifestealer13112.63%72.958.78%+13.08%+4.72%-4.37%-1.34%38:4421:5935:1439:0142:0156:3306:4705:37
chaos_knightChaos Knight141.02%71.485.71%+37.28%+14.29%+7.15%-0.62%41:5932:2034:5237:1646:2056:0811:2806:43
skeleton_kingWraith King263.68%70.069.23%+26.48%-26.28%-6.41%2.73%38:5529:0833:2936:3840:4660:2307:1705:20
phantom_lancerPhantom Lancer2053.09%68.656.10%+7.36%+18.97%-16.11%-3.00%45:0924:1938:2744:4050:091:11:3011:4209:05
magnataurMagnus200.33%67.180.00%+35.01%+20.00%-20.00%-3.92%38:3026:0031:3338:4841:4550:3710:1209:45
naga_sirenNaga Siren721.16%65.761.11%+3.51%+10.75%-10.78%-3.30%38:0022:0034:0537:2740:361:02:5106:3106:52
lone_druidLone Druid211.95%64.371.43%+7.23%+9.52%+9.52%0.00%41:4932:1336:4241:1344:2252:4607:4000:00
axeAxe200.34%62.975.00%+25.33%+25.00%-18.33%-4.51%44:3831:0036:4840:5046:251:34:5909:3709:35
legion_commanderLegion Commander500.37%61.462.00%+7.69%+14.00%-12.67%-2.71%42:1525:1935:5840:0945:491:07:5509:5109:48
bounty_hunterBounty Hunter350.34%60.065.71%+15.39%-9.52%-11.42%-0.16%38:4926:0431:2537:5943:2358:0011:5805:17
weaverWeaver110.78%58.672.73%+20.64%-18.19%+18.18%4.30%40:2231:5633:3940:0742:0649:2108:2707:56
doom_bringerDoom70.16%57.185.71%+25.37%-14.28%0.00%2.48%35:3327:1931:0236:4336:4743:4105:4501:22
abyssal_underlordUnderlord60.33%55.783.33%+32.70%+16.67%+0.01%-1.90%39:2031:3935:4537:4644:3052:5908:4509:43
omniknightOmniknight100.37%54.370.00%+20.24%+30.00%+20.00%-1.13%39:5226:4034:0442:3542:5553:0208:5103:23
marsMars40.08%52.9100.00%+21.55%0.00%0.00%0.00%42:1419:5532:5951:2951:2956:5518:3000:00
elder_titanElder Titan110.43%51.463.64%+9.01%+36.36%-18.19%-4.48%43:2924:5833:4142:1745:511:01:2012:1002:17
void_spiritVoid Spirit130.15%50.061.54%+15.66%-23.08%-7.70%1.29%44:0527:2639:1045:4751:0858:0311:5808:14
windrunnerWindranger40.03%48.6100.00%+35.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%45:1034:5137:4242:4055:0958:0817:2717:14
svenSven50.18%47.180.00%-3.76%+20.00%0.00%-2.38%36:3126:5132:2536:1740:5045:0108:2500:00
shredderTimbersaw30.08%45.7100.00%+50.79%0.00%0.00%0.00%37:2031:0031:0035:0046:0046:0015:0011:06
gyrocopterGyrocopter20.56%44.3100.00%+53.93%0.00%0.00%0.00%49:5846:2546:2553:3053:3053:3007:0505:14
kunkkaKunkka20.51%42.9100.00%+50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%41:4637:3237:3246:0046:0046:0008:2806:16
sand_kingSand King60.46%41.466.67%+4.18%-16.67%+0.00%1.80%35:5926:2231:4438:4240:5947:0009:1503:31
ember_spiritEmber Spirit70.06%40.071.43%+20.23%+0.00%+0.00%0.00%39:4128:2835:0737:4247:0059:3511:5302:13
undyingUndying30.02%38.6100.00%+17.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%33:2127:0032:3334:0934:0943:3801:3600:00
wispIo20.26%37.1100.00%+47.57%0.00%0.00%0.00%32:1226:2026:2038:0338:0338:0311:4308:40
ogre_magiOgre Magi70.32%35.757.14%+26.33%0.00%-42.86%-42.86%35:4129:2333:5434:5134:5347:3300:5901:14
dark_seerDark Seer40.07%34.375.00%-9.41%+25.00%0.00%-14.71%45:5235:0245:0146:4346:4352:2501:4200:00
brewmasterBrewmaster30.15%32.966.67%+3.72%+0.00%+0.00%0.00%39:5136:3139:5139:5139:5144:1500:0000:00
slardarSlardar10.32%31.4100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%29:3429:3429:3429:3429:3429:3400:0000:00
dragon_knightDragon Knight10.23%30.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1:04:421:04:421:04:421:04:421:04:421:04:4200:0000:00
meepoMeepo70.22%28.642.86%+1.41%+14.28%-28.58%-4.58%41:5932:1236:1641:0345:3749:2309:2100:00
sniperSniper10.15%27.1100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1:07:241:07:241:07:241:07:241:07:241:07:2400:0000:00
pudgePudge30.05%25.766.67%-7.74%+33.33%+0.00%-3.42%45:0738:0040:1549:5949:5952:3609:4400:00
earth_spiritEarth Spirit10.10%24.3100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%30:5030:5030:5030:5030:5030:5000:0000:00
necrolyteNecrophos10.08%22.9100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%39:2839:2839:2839:2839:2839:2800:0000:00
primal_beastPrimal Beast10.05%21.4100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%54:2754:2754:2754:2754:2754:2700:0000:00
techiesTechies10.02%20.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%30:2030:2030:2030:2030:2030:2000:0000:00
terrorbladeTerrorblade50.12%18.640.00%-6.91%+60.00%0.00%-7.88%43:3137:2840:0644:4047:4353:5107:3707:16
keeper_of_the_lightKeeper of the Light60.19%17.133.33%-49.97%-16.66%-16.66%0.00%39:1232:1433:2735:5240:5752:0807:3000:00
razorRazor20.12%15.750.00%-11.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%53:0051:0053:0053:0053:0055:0000:0000:00
rattletrapClockwerk20.05%14.350.00%-10.46%0.00%0.00%0.00%56:5840:0056:5856:5856:581:13:5600:0000:00
miranaMirana20.03%12.950.00%-21.86%0.00%0.00%0.00%49:3243:4649:3249:3249:3255:1800:0000:00
snapfireSnapfire20.02%11.450.00%+14.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%45:5939:5145:5945:5945:5952:0600:0000:00
beastmasterBeastmaster30.09%10.033.33%-41.62%0.00%0.00%0.00%40:3834:2039:0042:1542:1548:2003:1500:00
huskarHuskar30.06%8.633.33%+14.70%+33.34%0.00%-1.79%42:4730:3733:2752:0652:0658:3618:3900:00
centaurCentaur Warrunner20.25%7.10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%36:5535:2536:5536:5536:5538:2500:0000:00
batriderBatrider10.03%5.70.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%24:0024:0024:0024:0024:0024:0000:0000:00
puckPuck10.06%4.30.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1:03:001:03:001:03:001:03:001:03:001:03:0000:0000:00
nevermoreShadow Fiend20.06%2.90.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%34:3030:2034:3034:3034:3038:3900:0000:00
spirit_breakerSpirit Breaker10.02%1.40.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%46:0746:0746:0746:0746:0746:0700:0000:00