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Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
Columns
Total | Winrate shifts | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Item | Pickups | Pickup rate | Rank | Winrate | When picked | Early | Late | Gradient (%/min) | |
 | Heart of Tarrasque | 1529 | 13.91% | 100.0 | 72.47% | +25.37% | +7.11% | -7.81% | -1.51% |
 | Overwhelming Blink | 486 | 4.42% | 91.0 | 68.72% | +18.92% | +12.43% | -5.08% | -1.51% |
 | Boots of Travel 2 | 261 | 2.37% | 90.7 | 70.88% | +20.74% | +13.74% | -17.03% | -1.76% |
 | Kaya and Sange | 641 | 5.83% | 90.2 | 67.39% | +17.80% | +2.61% | -1.76% | -0.40% |
 | Wind Waker | 955 | 8.69% | 89.3 | 65.86% | +16.68% | +9.87% | -10.21% | -1.93% |
 | Octarine Core | 781 | 7.11% | 88.8 | 65.94% | +16.48% | +3.80% | -7.99% | -1.01% |
 | Desolator | 17 | 0.15% | 88.7 | 100.00% | +49.44% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Shiva's Guard | 1127 | 10.25% | 88.6 | 65.04% | +16.05% | +7.30% | -8.66% | -1.87% |
 | Linken's Sphere | 387 | 3.52% | 84.3 | 64.86% | +14.75% | +6.27% | -8.16% | -1.37% |
 | Sange | 871 | 7.93% | 83.7 | 62.11% | +12.47% | +4.40% | -4.31% | -0.74% |
 | Boots of Travel | 4773 | 43.43% | 83.1 | 59.35% | +15.41% | -4.70% | +5.03% | 0.58% |
 | Lotus Orb | 1350 | 12.28% | 82.8 | 60.67% | +11.44% | +1.16% | -3.70% | -0.47% |
 | Kaya | 1736 | 15.80% | 82.5 | 60.02% | +11.15% | -0.11% | -5.64% | -0.45% |
 | Bloodstone | 166 | 1.51% | 81.3 | 66.87% | +16.49% | +6.94% | -3.46% | 0.00% |
 | Ethereal Blade | 924 | 8.41% | 80.2 | 59.52% | +9.70% | +4.12% | -4.97% | -0.84% |
 | Guardian Greaves | 150 | 1.36% | 80.1 | 66.67% | +16.26% | +7.01% | +0.90% | 0.00% |
 | Aghanim's Scepter | 8161 | 74.26% | 79.8 | 56.64% | +23.32% | +6.60% | -6.39% | -1.79% |
 | Scythe of Vyse | 362 | 3.29% | 79.6 | 61.88% | +11.63% | +0.76% | +0.34% | -0.04% |
 | Aghanim's Shard | 6617 | 60.21% | 79.5 | 56.57% | +14.91% | +0.99% | -3.73% | -0.39% |
 | Arcane Blink | 33 | 0.30% | 79.4 | 81.82% | +31.28% | +18.18% | -6.82% | 0.00% |
 | Aghanim's Blessing | 418 | 3.80% | 79.1 | 61.00% | +10.78% | +8.52% | -7.15% | -1.37% |
 | Pipe of Insight | 926 | 8.43% | 77.8 | 57.88% | +7.91% | +4.62% | -3.33% | -0.79% |
 | Eul's Scepter of Divinity | 5399 | 49.13% | 77.6 | 55.40% | +9.37% | +5.12% | -4.21% | -1.01% |
 | Mekansm | 165 | 1.50% | 77.5 | 64.24% | +13.82% | -5.70% | +1.61% | 0.00% |
 | Void Stone | 6431 | 58.52% | 77.2 | 54.98% | +10.48% | +2.98% | -2.43% | -0.50% |
 | Power Treads | 375 | 3.41% | 77.1 | 60.00% | +9.70% | +0.64% | -7.87% | -3.52% |
 | Headdress | 1068 | 9.72% | 76.9 | 56.93% | +6.98% | +2.25% | -0.75% | -0.28% |
 | Cornucopia | 832 | 7.57% | 76.7 | 57.33% | +7.25% | -2.52% | +1.32% | 0.23% |
 | Meteor Hammer | 481 | 4.38% | 74.9 | 57.59% | +7.28% | +0.74% | +19.91% | 5.09% |
 | Black King Bar | 1157 | 10.53% | 74.5 | 55.06% | +4.95% | +1.69% | -2.81% | -0.49% |
 | Radiance | 247 | 2.25% | 74.5 | 59.92% | +9.50% | -5.08% | +6.21% | 0.00% |
 | Crimson Guard | 309 | 2.81% | 74.4 | 58.90% | +8.51% | +7.33% | -8.25% | -1.17% |
 | Cloak of Flames | 2094 | 19.05% | 74.3 | 53.96% | +4.11% | +0.43% | +2.25% | 0.91% |
 | Buckler | 176 | 1.60% | 73.9 | 61.36% | +10.90% | +4.55% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Wind Lace | 6328 | 57.58% | 73.8 | 52.58% | +4.59% | -1.76% | +1.02% | 0.18% |
 | Bullwhip | 769 | 7.00% | 73.7 | 55.40% | +5.13% | -0.19% | +2.93% | 1.04% |
 | Phase Boots | 629 | 5.72% | 73.3 | 55.64% | +5.31% | +7.42% | -7.87% | -6.28% |
 | Ghost Scepter | 1646 | 14.98% | 73.2 | 53.58% | +3.47% | +1.03% | -2.24% | -0.33% |
 | Magic Wand | 8328 | 75.78% | 73.2 | 51.97% | +5.52% | +1.10% | -0.87% | -0.35% |
 | Dagon | 160 | 1.46% | 72.9 | 61.25% | +10.77% | +3.75% | -8.75% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 4) | 99 | 0.90% | 72.8 | 64.65% | +14.15% | +7.35% | -0.65% | 0.00% |
 | Bracer | 4904 | 44.62% | 72.7 | 51.98% | +2.43% | +1.12% | -1.16% | -1.35% |
 | Blink Dagger | 10553 | 96.02% | 72.5 | 51.32% | +17.30% | +7.66% | -9.55% | -4.51% |
 | Ring of Health | 5858 | 53.30% | 72.3 | 51.55% | +1.97% | +0.12% | +3.85% | 0.93% |
 | Magic Stick | 9188 | 83.60% | 72.0 | 51.04% | +2.51% | -0.41% | +0.64% | 0.37% |
 | Bottle | 1530 | 13.92% | 71.9 | 52.75% | +2.46% | +0.77% | +0.65% | -0.12% |
 | Arcane Boots | 4147 | 37.73% | 71.8 | 51.51% | +1.41% | +3.26% | -3.20% | -1.30% |
 | Chainmail | 1742 | 15.85% | 71.8 | 52.47% | +2.18% | +0.97% | +0.40% | -0.08% |
 | Boots of Speed | 10957 | 99.70% | 71.6 | 50.69% | +18.34% | +0.97% | -3.04% | -1.11% |
 | Quelling Blade | 9010 | 81.98% | 71.3 | 50.59% | -0.24% | -0.39% | -0.72% | -0.33% |
 | Arcane Ring | 1596 | 14.52% | 71.2 | 52.19% | +1.82% | +1.95% | -6.07% | -2.67% |
 | Vanguard | 3789 | 34.48% | 70.9 | 50.94% | +0.47% | +3.76% | -3.53% | -2.94% |
 | Dagon (level 2) | 124 | 1.13% | 70.6 | 61.29% | +10.78% | +12.90% | -3.23% | 0.00% |
 | Seeds of Serenity | 816 | 7.42% | 70.2 | 52.82% | +2.36% | +1.59% | -4.29% | -1.96% |
 | Timeless Relic | 1126 | 10.25% | 70.1 | 52.04% | +1.57% | -5.59% | -0.79% | 1.60% |
 | Dagon (level 5) | 86 | 0.78% | 70.1 | 63.95% | +13.42% | +17.87% | -6.81% | 0.00% |
 | Fairy's Trinket | 2588 | 23.55% | 70.0 | 50.70% | +0.09% | +0.46% | -3.40% | -1.29% |
 | Heaven's Halberd | 212 | 1.93% | 70.0 | 57.55% | +7.05% | +2.83% | +2.83% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 3) | 112 | 1.02% | 69.9 | 61.61% | +11.09% | +13.39% | +6.25% | 0.00% |
 | Dragon Scale | 1530 | 13.92% | 69.8 | 51.24% | +0.71% | -4.76% | +0.59% | 1.78% |
 | Crown | 1501 | 13.66% | 69.7 | 51.23% | +0.69% | +2.64% | +1.57% | -0.12% |
 | Quickening Charm | 963 | 8.76% | 69.6 | 52.02% | +1.52% | +6.07% | -1.40% | -2.49% |
 | Havoc Hammer | 353 | 3.21% | 69.6 | 54.96% | +4.47% | -4.96% | -1.55% | 1.71% |
 | Stormcrafter | 254 | 2.31% | 69.5 | 56.30% | +5.80% | +10.89% | -16.62% | -9.17% |
 | Vampire Fangs | 1242 | 11.30% | 69.3 | 51.29% | +0.74% | -0.81% | -2.58% | -0.59% |
 | Eternal Shroud | 76 | 0.69% | 69.2 | 64.47% | +13.93% | -1.31% | +14.48% | 0.00% |
 | Ring of Protection | 1941 | 17.66% | 68.9 | 50.28% | -0.43% | -1.21% | +0.03% | 0.15% |
 | Occult Bracelet | 1830 | 16.65% | 68.8 | 50.27% | -0.43% | +3.22% | -0.16% | -1.13% |
 | Ceremonial Robe | 1015 | 9.24% | 68.5 | 51.13% | +0.55% | +0.05% | +0.05% | 0.00% |
 | Eye of the Vizier | 317 | 2.88% | 68.5 | 54.57% | +4.05% | -0.14% | +1.13% | 0.42% |
 | Soul Ring | 756 | 6.88% | 68.4 | 51.72% | +1.17% | -3.04% | -3.04% | 0.00% |
 | Specialist's Array | 387 | 3.52% | 68.4 | 53.75% | +3.23% | -0.14% | -8.39% | -4.13% |
 | Ascetic's Cap | 303 | 2.76% | 68.0 | 54.46% | +3.94% | +4.75% | -1.83% | -2.19% |
 | Vambrace | 2093 | 19.04% | 67.9 | 49.50% | -1.40% | -0.93% | +1.74% | 0.89% |
 | Broom Handle | 248 | 2.26% | 67.9 | 55.24% | +4.71% | -3.63% | -0.40% | 1.08% |
 | Defiant Shell | 379 | 3.45% | 67.7 | 53.30% | +2.76% | +2.49% | -4.88% | -3.69% |
 | Helm of Iron Will | 482 | 4.39% | 67.4 | 52.28% | +1.72% | +2.27% | -8.95% | -0.51% |
 | Tumbler's Toy | 1208 | 10.99% | 67.1 | 49.75% | -0.99% | +3.23% | -5.71% | -2.98% |
 | Blight Stone | 467 | 4.25% | 66.9 | 52.03% | +1.46% | -3.31% | +0.96% | 0.37% |
 | Psychic Headband | 457 | 4.16% | 66.3 | 51.64% | +1.05% | -1.64% | +0.11% | 0.58% |
 | Gossamer Cape | 657 | 5.98% | 66.0 | 50.38% | -0.27% | -6.48% | +2.67% | 3.05% |
 | Spell Prism | 631 | 5.74% | 65.9 | 50.40% | -0.25% | +7.19% | -10.53% | -5.91% |
 | Echo Sabre | 93 | 0.85% | 65.9 | 60.22% | +9.67% | +0.65% | -3.70% | 0.00% |
 | Aeon Disk | 227 | 2.07% | 65.8 | 54.19% | +3.63% | +0.20% | -1.56% | 0.00% |
 | Pig Pole | 582 | 5.30% | 65.8 | 50.52% | -0.12% | +2.22% | +3.96% | 0.87% |
 | Paladin Sword | 211 | 1.92% | 65.7 | 54.50% | +3.94% | -9.22% | +0.22% | 0.00% |
 | Wraith Band | 366 | 3.33% | 65.5 | 51.91% | +1.32% | +2.44% | -12.35% | -6.77% |
 | Trusty Shovel | 545 | 4.96% | 65.4 | 50.46% | -0.18% | -4.14% | -1.20% | 0.98% |
 | Veil of Discord | 513 | 4.67% | 65.2 | 50.49% | -0.15% | +1.85% | -9.86% | -1.39% |
 | Diadem | 335 | 3.05% | 65.1 | 51.94% | +1.35% | +4.01% | -1.94% | -0.43% |
 | Pupil's Gift | 648 | 5.90% | 65.0 | 49.69% | -1.00% | -1.54% | +6.48% | 2.67% |
 | Ring of Basilius | 527 | 4.80% | 65.0 | 50.28% | -0.37% | +5.78% | -10.13% | -1.78% |
 | Ring of Aquila | 290 | 2.64% | 64.9 | 52.41% | +1.83% | +3.75% | +4.53% | 0.26% |
 | Grove Bow | 206 | 1.87% | 64.6 | 53.88% | +3.31% | -3.88% | +2.98% | 0.00% |
 | Trickster Cloak | 258 | 2.35% | 64.6 | 52.71% | +2.13% | +1.14% | -2.71% | -1.28% |
 | Martyr's Plate | 143 | 1.30% | 64.5 | 55.94% | +5.38% | -11.50% | +10.73% | 0.00% |
 | Tranquil Boots | 703 | 6.40% | 64.5 | 49.08% | -1.66% | +6.60% | -0.78% | -1.58% |
 | Titan Sliver | 360 | 3.28% | 64.3 | 51.11% | +0.49% | +3.33% | -4.44% | -2.59% |
 | Faded Broach | 973 | 8.85% | 63.9 | 47.89% | -3.01% | -0.56% | -1.39% | -0.28% |
 | Lance of Pursuit | 243 | 2.21% | 63.6 | 52.26% | +1.66% | -4.72% | -1.44% | 0.00% |
 | Fluffy Hat | 1037 | 9.44% | 63.4 | 47.44% | -3.52% | +3.53% | -8.44% | -0.88% |
 | Blade Mail | 244 | 2.22% | 63.3 | 52.05% | +1.45% | -2.87% | -4.51% | 0.00% |
 | Divine Rapier | 17 | 0.15% | 62.4 | 82.35% | +31.77% | +17.65% | -7.35% | 0.00% |
 | Orchid Malevolence | 35 | 0.32% | 62.0 | 68.57% | +17.99% | -1.90% | +9.21% | 0.00% |
 | Null Talisman | 243 | 2.21% | 60.7 | 50.21% | -0.43% | +2.25% | -2.67% | 0.00% |
 | Dandelion Amulet | 415 | 3.78% | 60.3 | 47.71% | -3.04% | +9.02% | +1.33% | -2.56% |
 | Javelin | 219 | 1.99% | 60.0 | 50.23% | -0.41% | -4.78% | -1.14% | 0.00% |
 | Mask of Madness | 11 | 0.10% | 59.3 | 90.91% | +40.32% | +9.09% | -24.24% | 0.00% |
 | Philosopher's Stone | 1112 | 10.12% | 59.0 | 44.15% | -7.21% | +4.77% | -2.06% | -2.28% |
 | Skull Basher | 27 | 0.25% | 58.9 | 70.37% | +19.79% | -13.23% | -41.80% | 0.00% |
 | Orb of Venom | 266 | 2.42% | 58.4 | 48.12% | -2.57% | +4.12% | -1.15% | -1.45% |
 | Ogre Seal Totem | 800 | 7.28% | 57.6 | 43.88% | -7.28% | -3.38% | -3.88% | -0.25% |
 | Harpoon | 34 | 0.31% | 56.4 | 64.71% | +14.12% | +1.96% | -2.21% | 0.00% |
 | Spark of Courage | 156 | 1.42% | 56.2 | 49.36% | -1.29% | -0.64% | +1.92% | 0.00% |
 | Giant's Ring | 51 | 0.46% | 55.7 | 58.82% | +8.23% | +2.72% | -20.36% | 0.00% |
 | Boots of Bearing | 17 | 0.15% | 55.0 | 76.47% | +25.88% | +23.53% | -1.47% | 0.00% |
 | Bloodthorn | 10 | 0.09% | 54.9 | 90.00% | +39.40% | +10.00% | +10.00% | 0.00% |
 | Refresher Orb | 37 | 0.34% | 54.7 | 62.16% | +11.57% | +4.51% | +4.51% | 0.00% |
 | Mage Slayer | 23 | 0.21% | 54.2 | 69.57% | +18.98% | -2.90% | +13.76% | 0.00% |
 | Urn of Shadows | 287 | 2.61% | 53.1 | 43.90% | -6.91% | +10.27% | -14.73% | -5.05% |
 | Yasha | 26 | 0.24% | 51.9 | 65.38% | +14.78% | -22.52% | +1.29% | 0.00% |
 | Force Staff | 187 | 1.70% | 51.6 | 44.92% | -5.81% | +10.40% | +4.02% | 0.00% |
 | Morbid Mask | 196 | 1.78% | 51.2 | 44.39% | -6.36% | +6.63% | -5.61% | 0.00% |
 | Moon Shard | 41 | 0.37% | 48.8 | 56.10% | +5.49% | -16.10% | -16.10% | 0.00% |
 | Ninja Gear | 188 | 1.71% | 48.5 | 42.55% | -8.22% | +8.51% | -2.12% | 0.00% |
 | Drum of Endurance | 19 | 0.17% | 48.4 | 68.42% | +17.82% | +31.58% | -8.42% | 0.00% |
 | Telescope | 37 | 0.34% | 48.0 | 56.76% | +6.15% | +9.91% | -12.32% | 0.00% |
 | Orb of Destruction | 49 | 0.45% | 47.9 | 53.06% | +2.44% | -11.39% | -3.06% | 0.00% |
 | Spirit Vessel | 197 | 1.79% | 47.6 | 41.62% | -9.18% | +9.40% | -15.09% | 0.00% |
 | Elven Tunic | 62 | 0.56% | 47.2 | 50.00% | -0.64% | -6.25% | +30.00% | 0.00% |
 | Vindicator's Axe | 74 | 0.67% | 46.0 | 47.30% | -3.35% | +0.07% | -8.41% | 0.00% |
 | Aether Lens | 70 | 0.64% | 45.2 | 47.14% | -3.51% | -2.70% | -11.85% | 0.00% |
 | Hand of Midas | 578 | 5.26% | 44.4 | 35.12% | -16.37% | +16.60% | -12.20% | -5.07% |
 | Orb of Corrosion | 15 | 0.14% | 41.2 | 66.67% | +16.06% | -16.67% | +8.33% | 0.00% |
 | Abyssal Blade | 15 | 0.14% | 41.2 | 66.67% | +16.06% | -16.67% | -41.67% | 0.00% |
 | Manta Style | 16 | 0.15% | 38.4 | 62.50% | +11.88% | -12.50% | -12.50% | 0.00% |
 | Mind Breaker | 10 | 0.09% | 34.9 | 70.00% | +19.39% | -3.33% | +30.00% | 0.00% |
 | Duelist Gloves | 35 | 0.32% | 34.4 | 45.71% | -4.94% | -12.38% | +9.85% | 0.00% |
 | Mirror Shield | 32 | 0.29% | 34.3 | 46.88% | -3.76% | +15.62% | +28.12% | 0.00% |
 | Vladmir's Offering | 6 | 0.05% | 32.9 | 83.33% | +32.72% | +16.67% | -83.33% | 0.00% |
 | Assault Cuirass | 19 | 0.17% | 31.9 | 52.63% | +2.00% | +7.37% | +7.37% | 0.00% |
 | Ex Machina | 24 | 0.22% | 29.1 | 45.83% | -4.81% | +54.17% | -29.16% | 0.00% |
 | Fallen Sky | 24 | 0.22% | 29.1 | 45.83% | -4.81% | -12.50% | +20.84% | 0.00% |
 | Book of Shadows | 15 | 0.14% | 28.6 | 53.33% | +2.70% | -3.33% | -28.33% | 0.00% |
 | Penta-Edged Sword | 7 | 0.06% | 27.9 | 71.43% | +20.81% | +28.57% | -21.43% | 0.00% |
 | Shadow Blade | 7 | 0.06% | 27.9 | 71.43% | +20.81% | -21.43% | +28.57% | 0.00% |
 | Enchanted Quiver | 24 | 0.22% | 25.1 | 41.67% | -8.98% | +8.33% | -8.34% | 0.00% |
 | Medallion of Courage | 8 | 0.07% | 24.4 | 62.50% | +11.88% | +37.50% | -12.50% | 0.00% |
 | Solar Crest | 8 | 0.07% | 24.4 | 62.50% | +11.88% | +37.50% | -12.50% | 0.00% |
 | Arcanist's Armor | 15 | 0.14% | 23.0 | 46.67% | -3.97% | +3.33% | +3.33% | 0.00% |
 | Hurricane Pike | 6 | 0.05% | 21.8 | 66.67% | +16.05% | +33.33% | -66.67% | 0.00% |
 | Yasha and Kaya | 6 | 0.05% | 21.8 | 66.67% | +16.05% | -16.67% | +33.33% | 0.00% |
 | Sange and Yasha | 4 | 0.04% | 19.6 | 75.00% | +24.38% | -75.00% | +25.00% | 0.00% |
 | Phylactery | 2 | 0.02% | 17.9 | 100.00% | +49.38% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Butterfly | 2 | 0.02% | 17.9 | 100.00% | +49.38% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Dragon Lance | 5 | 0.05% | 15.7 | 60.00% | +9.37% | +40.00% | -60.00% | 0.00% |
 | Rod of Atos | 13 | 0.12% | 15.1 | 38.46% | -12.19% | -5.13% | +28.21% | 0.00% |
 | Book of the Dead | 6 | 0.05% | 12.9 | 50.00% | -0.63% | 0.00% | +50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Seer Stone | 8 | 0.07% | 9.9 | 37.50% | -13.14% | +62.50% | -37.50% | 0.00% |
 | Force Boots | 4 | 0.04% | 9.1 | 50.00% | -0.63% | +50.00% | +50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Pirate Hat | 4 | 0.04% | 9.1 | 50.00% | -0.63% | -50.00% | +50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Glimmer Cape | 5 | 0.05% | 7.4 | 40.00% | -10.64% | -40.00% | +60.00% | 0.00% |
 | Crystalys | 5 | 0.05% | 7.4 | 40.00% | -10.64% | -40.00% | +60.00% | 0.00% |
 | Silver Edge | 6 | 0.05% | 6.1 | 33.33% | -17.31% | +16.67% | -33.33% | 0.00% |
 | Diffusal Blade | 2 | 0.02% | 4.6 | 50.00% | -0.63% | -50.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Disperser | 2 | 0.02% | 4.6 | 50.00% | -0.63% | +50.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Holy Locket | 2 | 0.02% | 4.6 | 50.00% | -0.63% | -50.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Armlet of Mordiggian | 2 | 0.02% | 4.6 | 50.00% | -0.63% | -50.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Pavise | 3 | 0.03% | 3.2 | 33.33% | -17.31% | -33.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Eye of Skadi | 3 | 0.03% | 3.2 | 33.33% | -17.31% | -33.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Nullifier | 4 | 0.04% | 2.5 | 25.00% | -25.64% | +75.00% | -25.00% | 0.00% |
 | Falcon Blade | 4 | 0.04% | 2.5 | 25.00% | -25.64% | -25.00% | +75.00% | 0.00% |
 | Apex | 6 | 0.05% | 1.7 | 16.67% | -33.98% | +33.33% | -16.67% | 0.00% |
 | Witch Blade | 1 | 0.01% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |