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Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
Columns
Total | Winrate shifts | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Item | Pickups | Pickup rate | Rank | Winrate | When picked | Early | Late | Gradient (%/min) | |
 | Desolator | 151 | 1.04% | 100.0 | 92.72% | +42.99% | +7.28% | -13.77% | 0.00% |
 | Meteor Hammer | 38 | 0.26% | 85.6 | 94.74% | +44.68% | +5.26% | +5.26% | 0.00% |
 | Satanic | 3530 | 24.22% | 79.6 | 68.81% | +24.59% | +11.37% | -9.40% | -2.51% |
 | Swift Blink | 1028 | 7.05% | 78.7 | 69.84% | +21.16% | +11.09% | -9.92% | -2.41% |
 | Eye of Skadi | 796 | 5.46% | 77.8 | 69.60% | +20.55% | +11.81% | -8.29% | -2.49% |
 | Heart of Tarrasque | 119 | 0.82% | 77.1 | 77.31% | +27.36% | +12.69% | -3.98% | 0.00% |
 | Abyssal Blade | 1949 | 13.37% | 76.6 | 67.01% | +19.43% | +16.77% | -11.16% | -3.27% |
 | Butterfly | 321 | 2.20% | 74.6 | 69.78% | +20.05% | +8.97% | -11.03% | -2.69% |
 | Vanguard | 1873 | 12.85% | 74.1 | 64.92% | +16.92% | +16.28% | -11.93% | -3.30% |
 | Morbid Mask | 4156 | 28.52% | 71.8 | 62.05% | +16.61% | +1.47% | -6.23% | -0.74% |
 | Sange and Yasha | 6667 | 45.75% | 69.5 | 59.76% | +17.67% | +16.00% | -11.59% | -4.34% |
 | Daedalus | 167 | 1.15% | 69.4 | 68.86% | +18.90% | +7.33% | -6.96% | -1.53% |
 | Sange | 6648 | 45.62% | 69.0 | 59.37% | +16.91% | +16.44% | -12.44% | -4.65% |
 | Skull Basher | 4827 | 33.12% | 69.0 | 59.60% | +14.09% | +11.15% | -12.62% | -3.30% |
 | Silver Edge | 2158 | 14.81% | 69.0 | 60.43% | +12.04% | +10.31% | -12.56% | -2.77% |
 | Linken's Sphere | 672 | 4.61% | 69.0 | 62.65% | +13.08% | +11.75% | -3.72% | -1.68% |
 | Ring of Health | 1926 | 13.22% | 68.8 | 60.38% | +11.76% | -6.44% | -9.24% | -0.17% |
 | Aghanim's Blessing | 960 | 6.59% | 68.5 | 61.35% | +11.96% | +9.48% | -9.68% | -2.29% |
 | Divine Rapier | 137 | 0.94% | 68.4 | 69.34% | +19.35% | +1.25% | +7.13% | 0.00% |
 | Aghanim's Shard | 6875 | 47.18% | 67.7 | 58.23% | +15.24% | +0.41% | -3.72% | -0.35% |
 | Manta Style | 2074 | 14.23% | 67.3 | 59.02% | +10.31% | +15.55% | -10.56% | -4.66% |
 | Aghanim's Scepter | 4285 | 29.40% | 66.8 | 57.81% | +10.81% | +5.78% | -0.67% | -0.61% |
 | Crystalys | 2477 | 17.00% | 66.6 | 58.22% | +9.69% | +11.25% | -12.50% | -2.65% |
 | Mjollnir | 445 | 3.05% | 64.9 | 60.45% | +10.60% | +3.51% | -2.79% | -0.43% |
 | Yasha | 10034 | 68.85% | 64.5 | 55.26% | +16.33% | +17.24% | -14.87% | -10.53% |
 | Refresher Orb | 284 | 1.95% | 63.7 | 61.27% | +11.32% | +7.74% | +2.11% | -0.47% |
 | Shadow Blade | 2506 | 17.20% | 63.2 | 55.31% | +6.20% | +9.28% | -11.86% | -2.43% |
 | Boots of Travel 2 | 98 | 0.67% | 62.9 | 67.35% | +17.29% | -3.35% | +7.65% | 0.00% |
 | Disperser | 112 | 0.77% | 62.7 | 66.07% | +16.02% | +8.93% | -23.21% | 0.00% |
 | Monkey King Bar | 2403 | 16.49% | 62.3 | 54.56% | +5.25% | +13.49% | -5.31% | -2.45% |
 | Blink Dagger | 3829 | 26.27% | 62.1 | 53.93% | +5.09% | -6.91% | +1.03% | 0.57% |
 | Boots of Travel | 771 | 5.29% | 61.6 | 56.03% | +6.18% | -10.43% | +7.70% | 0.67% |
 | Battle Fury | 12802 | 87.85% | 59.9 | 51.20% | +8.46% | +15.62% | -18.01% | -14.52% |
 | Cornucopia | 12742 | 87.44% | 59.8 | 51.15% | +7.73% | +7.10% | -8.95% | -4.65% |
 | Nullifier | 704 | 4.83% | 59.7 | 54.69% | +4.74% | +15.20% | -1.85% | -2.15% |
 | Magic Wand | 10022 | 68.77% | 59.6 | 51.07% | +2.86% | +1.01% | +1.66% | 0.14% |
 | Orb of Destruction | 1723 | 11.82% | 59.5 | 52.70% | +2.86% | +5.30% | -5.14% | -10.44% |
 | Chainmail | 8375 | 57.47% | 58.9 | 50.56% | +0.90% | +3.50% | -2.33% | -1.81% |
 | Broom Handle | 3488 | 23.93% | 58.9 | 51.23% | +1.39% | +0.72% | -0.77% | -0.74% |
 | Boots of Speed | 14521 | 99.64% | 58.8 | 50.20% | +7.89% | +1.26% | -2.49% | -1.58% |
 | Phase Boots | 9332 | 64.04% | 58.8 | 50.43% | +0.71% | +5.55% | -4.01% | -4.10% |
 | Magic Stick | 13116 | 90.00% | 58.8 | 50.20% | +0.23% | +0.06% | -1.34% | -1.40% |
 | Quelling Blade | 14372 | 98.62% | 58.7 | 50.13% | -3.60% | -1.12% | +0.64% | 1.76% |
 | Black King Bar | 10531 | 72.26% | 58.7 | 50.23% | +0.21% | +9.28% | -7.54% | -3.57% |
 | Ghost Scepter | 499 | 3.42% | 58.6 | 54.71% | +4.70% | -3.51% | +6.89% | 1.12% |
 | Lance of Pursuit | 408 | 2.80% | 58.5 | 55.39% | +5.37% | -5.39% | +8.34% | 6.87% |
 | Wraith Band | 9227 | 63.32% | 58.3 | 49.99% | -0.50% | +2.89% | -1.83% | -3.41% |
 | Power Treads | 5099 | 34.99% | 58.0 | 50.13% | -0.07% | +6.11% | -5.97% | -5.49% |
 | Duelist Gloves | 2141 | 14.69% | 57.9 | 50.96% | +0.92% | -3.48% | +1.94% | 2.71% |
 | Titan Sliver | 2687 | 18.44% | 57.9 | 50.65% | +0.58% | +0.24% | +0.09% | -0.15% |
 | Spark of Courage | 2963 | 20.33% | 57.6 | 50.35% | +0.22% | -1.36% | +2.69% | 2.03% |
 | Wind Lace | 3771 | 25.88% | 57.4 | 49.88% | -0.40% | +0.07% | -4.49% | -0.54% |
 | Specialist's Array | 2198 | 15.08% | 57.0 | 50.18% | +0.01% | +4.00% | -4.82% | -8.82% |
 | Helm of Iron Will | 985 | 6.76% | 56.9 | 51.47% | +1.39% | +4.22% | -4.32% | -0.40% |
 | Blight Stone | 959 | 6.58% | 56.6 | 51.30% | +1.20% | -6.72% | -0.05% | 0.69% |
 | Ring of Aquila | 2997 | 20.57% | 56.4 | 49.28% | -1.13% | +2.79% | -3.62% | -6.41% |
 | Vampire Fangs | 1567 | 10.75% | 56.2 | 50.03% | -0.16% | +1.25% | +0.48% | -0.77% |
 | Orb of Corrosion | 118 | 0.81% | 56.2 | 60.17% | +10.08% | -10.17% | +1.90% | 0.00% |
 | Defiant Shell | 865 | 5.94% | 56.1 | 51.10% | +0.98% | +3.53% | -5.73% | -4.63% |
 | Mind Breaker | 1237 | 8.49% | 56.1 | 50.28% | +0.12% | +3.44% | -3.03% | -3.24% |
 | Ring of Protection | 1056 | 7.25% | 55.8 | 50.38% | +0.22% | +2.65% | -1.14% | -0.29% |
 | Javelin | 3310 | 22.71% | 55.8 | 48.64% | -1.99% | -2.75% | -2.09% | 0.03% |
 | Diffusal Blade | 581 | 3.99% | 55.7 | 51.81% | +1.70% | +16.47% | -2.84% | -2.91% |
 | Vambrace | 2290 | 15.71% | 55.7 | 49.00% | -1.39% | +0.91% | -2.50% | -3.41% |
 | Paladin Sword | 2416 | 16.58% | 55.6 | 48.88% | -1.55% | -2.36% | +2.94% | 5.30% |
 | Orchid Malevolence | 106 | 0.73% | 55.5 | 60.38% | +10.28% | -12.23% | -14.23% | 0.00% |
 | Fluffy Hat | 1431 | 9.82% | 55.4 | 49.48% | -0.77% | -0.32% | +1.64% | 0.14% |
 | Pupil's Gift | 1511 | 10.37% | 55.4 | 49.37% | -0.90% | +0.63% | +0.10% | -0.53% |
 | Occult Bracelet | 2731 | 18.74% | 54.9 | 48.11% | -2.54% | -3.16% | -1.40% | 0.88% |
 | Hurricane Pike | 16 | 0.11% | 54.8 | 87.50% | +37.37% | +12.50% | -12.50% | 0.00% |
 | Pig Pole | 1172 | 8.04% | 54.5 | 49.06% | -1.21% | +2.13% | -1.62% | -1.88% |
 | Penta-Edged Sword | 1166 | 8.00% | 54.2 | 48.80% | -1.49% | +2.91% | -6.19% | -4.55% |
 | Bottle | 920 | 6.31% | 53.7 | 48.91% | -1.35% | -10.65% | +8.92% | 19.57% |
 | Elven Tunic | 1897 | 13.02% | 53.7 | 47.55% | -3.02% | -3.67% | +4.14% | 7.81% |
 | Crown | 869 | 5.96% | 53.2 | 48.56% | -1.72% | +2.59% | -3.40% | -0.84% |
 | Dragon Scale | 481 | 3.30% | 53.0 | 50.10% | -0.08% | +3.23% | -4.27% | -7.50% |
 | Vindicator's Axe | 1154 | 7.92% | 52.8 | 47.66% | -2.73% | -2.33% | -0.09% | 2.24% |
 | Void Stone | 1682 | 11.54% | 52.7 | 46.85% | -3.76% | +0.42% | -0.90% | -0.09% |
 | Gossamer Cape | 476 | 3.27% | 52.6 | 49.79% | -0.40% | +2.31% | -1.05% | -3.36% |
 | Bloodthorn | 64 | 0.44% | 52.5 | 62.50% | +12.38% | +12.50% | -18.75% | 0.00% |
 | Moon Shard | 130 | 0.89% | 52.4 | 56.15% | +6.03% | +22.64% | -15.52% | 0.00% |
 | Mage Slayer | 112 | 0.77% | 52.3 | 57.14% | +7.02% | -3.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Blade Mail | 47 | 0.32% | 52.2 | 65.96% | +15.84% | +0.71% | +9.04% | 0.00% |
 | Seeds of Serenity | 476 | 3.27% | 52.1 | 49.37% | -0.83% | -5.67% | +1.89% | 3.78% |
 | Overwhelming Blink | 20 | 0.14% | 52.1 | 80.00% | +29.87% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Orb of Venom | 423 | 2.90% | 52.0 | 49.65% | -0.54% | -1.54% | -0.59% | 0.32% |
 | Faded Broach | 218 | 1.50% | 51.2 | 51.83% | +1.68% | +0.90% | +3.73% | 0.94% |
 | Ninja Gear | 713 | 4.89% | 51.1 | 47.27% | -3.05% | -2.33% | -0.08% | 1.13% |
 | Diadem | 400 | 2.74% | 51.0 | 49.00% | -1.21% | +3.00% | -7.00% | -0.83% |
 | Maelstrom | 1093 | 7.50% | 50.9 | 46.11% | -4.39% | +8.47% | -3.62% | -2.97% |
 | Grove Bow | 170 | 1.17% | 50.8 | 52.94% | +2.80% | +0.55% | +6.58% | 6.03% |
 | Arcane Ring | 420 | 2.88% | 50.7 | 48.57% | -1.65% | -9.52% | +5.72% | 5.08% |
 | Force Staff | 19 | 0.13% | 49.8 | 78.95% | +28.81% | +21.05% | -18.95% | 0.00% |
 | Dragon Lance | 28 | 0.19% | 49.7 | 71.43% | +21.30% | -14.29% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Trickster Cloak | 366 | 2.51% | 49.3 | 47.81% | -2.43% | -1.07% | -0.56% | 0.26% |
 | Harpoon | 57 | 0.39% | 47.9 | 59.65% | +9.51% | -16.79% | +4.64% | 0.00% |
 | Tumbler's Toy | 66 | 0.45% | 47.4 | 57.58% | +7.44% | +7.13% | -26.33% | 0.00% |
 | Falcon Blade | 179 | 1.23% | 46.9 | 49.16% | -1.03% | -0.27% | -6.94% | -1.70% |
 | Ring of Basilius | 121 | 0.83% | 46.3 | 51.24% | +1.07% | -1.24% | +5.43% | 0.00% |
 | Ascetic's Cap | 186 | 1.28% | 46.2 | 48.39% | -1.81% | +2.67% | -4.91% | -3.79% |
 | Trusty Shovel | 220 | 1.51% | 45.5 | 46.82% | -3.41% | -1.37% | +2.27% | 1.82% |
 | Bullwhip | 235 | 1.61% | 45.4 | 46.38% | -3.86% | -7.40% | +2.77% | 10.17% |
 | Buckler | 38 | 0.26% | 43.3 | 60.53% | +10.38% | -10.53% | -4.97% | 0.00% |
 | Bracer | 156 | 1.07% | 43.3 | 46.79% | -3.42% | +7.06% | -5.76% | -9.05% |
 | Cloak of Flames | 176 | 1.21% | 43.2 | 46.02% | -4.21% | +3.98% | +10.80% | 3.41% |
 | Stygian Desolator | 34 | 0.23% | 42.9 | 61.76% | +11.61% | -6.20% | +13.24% | 0.00% |
 | Ogre Seal Totem | 133 | 0.91% | 42.7 | 47.37% | -2.83% | +13.24% | -4.95% | 0.00% |
 | Echo Sabre | 83 | 0.57% | 42.2 | 50.60% | +0.43% | +11.30% | +1.78% | 0.00% |
 | Assault Cuirass | 20 | 0.14% | 41.9 | 70.00% | +19.85% | +30.00% | -30.00% | 0.00% |
 | Dandelion Amulet | 95 | 0.65% | 41.1 | 48.42% | -1.77% | +9.91% | -6.75% | 0.00% |
 | Mirror Shield | 41 | 0.28% | 39.8 | 56.10% | +5.94% | +3.90% | -46.10% | 0.00% |
 | Spell Prism | 128 | 0.88% | 39.4 | 44.53% | -5.69% | +5.47% | -0.78% | 0.00% |
 | Mask of Madness | 73 | 0.50% | 38.1 | 47.95% | -2.24% | -9.06% | +24.27% | 0.00% |
 | Radiance | 31 | 0.21% | 37.8 | 58.06% | +7.90% | -8.06% | -8.06% | 0.00% |
 | Scythe of Vyse | 40 | 0.27% | 35.9 | 52.50% | +2.33% | +7.50% | -12.50% | 0.00% |
 | Gleipnir | 35 | 0.24% | 35.9 | 54.29% | +4.12% | -9.85% | +1.27% | 0.00% |
 | Vladmir's Offering | 19 | 0.13% | 34.6 | 63.16% | +13.00% | -3.16% | +16.84% | 0.00% |
 | Rod of Atos | 34 | 0.23% | 34.2 | 52.94% | +2.77% | -8.50% | -2.94% | 0.00% |
 | Stormcrafter | 50 | 0.34% | 34.2 | 48.00% | -2.18% | -1.85% | -14.67% | 0.00% |
 | Quickening Charm | 46 | 0.32% | 33.1 | 47.83% | -2.35% | +10.50% | -2.38% | 0.00% |
 | Urn of Shadows | 31 | 0.21% | 31.7 | 51.61% | +1.44% | +23.39% | -51.61% | 0.00% |
 | Enchanted Quiver | 97 | 0.67% | 31.6 | 39.18% | -11.07% | -1.68% | -14.18% | 0.00% |
 | Giant's Ring | 14 | 0.10% | 30.2 | 64.29% | +14.13% | -14.29% | +2.38% | 0.00% |
 | Hand of Midas | 258 | 1.77% | 28.9 | 31.01% | -19.51% | +13.61% | -9.13% | -4.89% |
 | Kaya and Sange | 23 | 0.16% | 28.2 | 52.17% | +2.00% | -2.17% | -2.17% | 0.00% |
 | Kaya | 26 | 0.18% | 28.0 | 50.00% | -0.18% | +7.14% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Yasha and Kaya | 4 | 0.03% | 27.5 | 100.00% | +49.84% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Octarine Core | 13 | 0.09% | 26.8 | 61.54% | +11.38% | +5.13% | +38.46% | 0.00% |
 | Headdress | 11 | 0.08% | 25.6 | 63.64% | +13.48% | +3.03% | +3.03% | 0.00% |
 | Havoc Hammer | 42 | 0.29% | 25.3 | 40.48% | -9.72% | +4.97% | +9.52% | 0.00% |
 | Pipe of Insight | 9 | 0.06% | 24.0 | 66.67% | +16.51% | -16.67% | +33.33% | 0.00% |
 | Fairy's Trinket | 18 | 0.12% | 23.0 | 50.00% | -0.18% | -30.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Force Boots | 19 | 0.13% | 21.8 | 47.37% | -2.81% | -7.37% | -7.37% | 0.00% |
 | Martyr's Plate | 27 | 0.19% | 20.9 | 40.74% | -9.45% | +16.40% | -12.17% | 0.00% |
 | Arcane Boots | 3 | 0.02% | 20.9 | 100.00% | +49.84% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Pirate Hat | 14 | 0.10% | 19.9 | 50.00% | -0.18% | +25.00% | -50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Ex Machina | 22 | 0.15% | 18.8 | 40.91% | -9.28% | +42.42% | -40.91% | 0.00% |
 | Heaven's Halberd | 16 | 0.11% | 17.3 | 43.75% | -6.43% | +6.25% | -18.75% | 0.00% |
 | Tranquil Boots | 10 | 0.07% | 15.7 | 50.00% | -0.18% | -16.67% | +50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Spirit Vessel | 4 | 0.03% | 15.7 | 75.00% | +24.83% | -75.00% | +25.00% | 0.00% |
 | Apex | 19 | 0.13% | 14.6 | 36.84% | -13.35% | -16.84% | -16.84% | 0.00% |
 | Eternal Shroud | 5 | 0.03% | 12.3 | 60.00% | +9.83% | +40.00% | -60.00% | 0.00% |
 | Drum of Endurance | 9 | 0.06% | 11.8 | 44.44% | -5.74% | +55.56% | -44.44% | 0.00% |
 | Arcane Blink | 10 | 0.07% | 10.7 | 40.00% | -10.18% | +26.67% | -40.00% | 0.00% |
 | Armlet of Mordiggian | 3 | 0.02% | 9.5 | 66.67% | +16.50% | +33.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Witch Blade | 3 | 0.02% | 9.5 | 66.67% | +16.50% | +33.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Eul's Scepter of Divinity | 8 | 0.05% | 7.9 | 37.50% | -12.68% | -37.50% | -37.50% | 0.00% |
 | Philosopher's Stone | 14 | 0.10% | 7.8 | 28.57% | -21.63% | -3.57% | +38.10% | 0.00% |
 | Shiva's Guard | 4 | 0.03% | 7.3 | 50.00% | -0.18% | +50.00% | -50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Soul Ring | 1 | 0.01% | 7.3 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Ethereal Blade | 1 | 0.01% | 7.3 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Arcanist's Armor | 1 | 0.01% | 7.3 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Crimson Guard | 1 | 0.01% | 7.3 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Bloodstone | 5 | 0.03% | 5.8 | 40.00% | -10.18% | -40.00% | -40.00% | 0.00% |
 | Boots of Bearing | 5 | 0.03% | 5.8 | 40.00% | -10.18% | +60.00% | +60.00% | 0.00% |
 | Medallion of Courage | 13 | 0.09% | 5.1 | 23.08% | -27.12% | -23.08% | +43.59% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 3) | 6 | 0.04% | 5.0 | 33.33% | -16.85% | +16.67% | -33.33% | 0.00% |
 | Fallen Sky | 8 | 0.05% | 3.8 | 25.00% | -25.19% | -25.00% | -25.00% | 0.00% |
 | Revenant's Brooch | 2 | 0.01% | 3.5 | 50.00% | -0.18% | -50.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 5) | 2 | 0.01% | 3.5 | 50.00% | -0.18% | -50.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Solar Crest | 10 | 0.07% | 3.1 | 20.00% | -30.20% | -20.00% | +30.00% | 0.00% |
 | Ceremonial Robe | 3 | 0.02% | 2.5 | 33.33% | -16.85% | -33.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Wind Waker | 3 | 0.02% | 2.5 | 33.33% | -16.85% | +66.67% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Lotus Orb | 3 | 0.02% | 2.5 | 33.33% | -16.85% | -33.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 4) | 4 | 0.03% | 2.0 | 25.00% | -25.18% | -25.00% | -25.00% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon | 5 | 0.03% | 1.6 | 20.00% | -30.19% | -20.00% | -20.00% | 0.00% |
 | Timeless Relic | 5 | 0.03% | 1.6 | 20.00% | -30.19% | -20.00% | -20.00% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 2) | 5 | 0.03% | 1.6 | 20.00% | -30.19% | -20.00% | -20.00% | 0.00% |
 | Null Talisman | 9 | 0.06% | 1.0 | 11.11% | -39.09% | +38.89% | -11.11% | 0.00% |
 | Glimmer Cape | 2 | 0.01% | 0.0 | 0.00% | -50.18% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Mekansm | 1 | 0.01% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Aeon Disk | 3 | 0.02% | 0.0 | 0.00% | -50.19% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Psychic Headband | 1 | 0.01% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |