Spectral Stats - Top 500 Meta Trends - 7.35d - Heroes

Explain this to me

Here you can see how winrates of the heroes change with match duration. Early winrate is calculated based on top 25% shortest games (duration less than Q1 - Early duration) and late winrate is based on top 25% longest games (duration higher than Q3 - Late duration). Gradient represents how chances to win change with every minute of the game.

Remove low matches (7415)

ColumnsDurationWinrateChart

		Duration					Winrate
Hero	Matches	Early (Q1)	Median	Late (Q3)	Mean	Std.dev	Early	Mean	Late	Gradient	Chart
Anti-Mage	12939	28:00	34:17	41:26	35:02	10:19	38.61%	50.13%	56.73%	1.35%
Axe	8042	28:43	34:59	41:39	35:29	10:12	46.67%	48.53%	50.02%	0.26%
Bane	15823	27:31	33:51	41:01	34:34	10:10	51.26%	54.06%	56.54%	0.39%
Bloodseeker	4646	29:48	36:07	42:59	36:40	10:35	46.99%	51.01%	54.51%	0.57%
Crystal Maiden	14346	27:41	34:02	41:15	34:48	10:19	51.38%	48.74%	47.45%	-0.29%
Drow Ranger	8396	29:21	35:45	42:37	36:20	10:32	49.24%	49.76%	45.52%	-0.28%
Earthshaker	7101	28:06	34:54	41:54	35:26	10:43	51.30%	50.92%	51.21%	-0.01%
Juggernaut	4080	28:04	34:24	40:51	34:40	09:50	43.19%	47.45%	48.33%	0.40%
Mirana	9359	27:34	33:39	40:47	34:30	10:02	42.78%	48.95%	52.52%	0.74%
Morphling	16276	27:21	33:33	40:32	34:12	10:02	50.64%	49.35%	49.32%	-0.10%
Shadow Fiend	6499	26:59	32:55	39:28	33:30	09:51	45.27%	46.56%	47.88%	0.21%
Phantom Lancer	2778	27:17	34:12	41:34	34:59	11:07	45.62%	46.26%	50.07%	0.31%
Puck	13644	28:16	34:34	41:35	35:17	10:14	44.94%	48.63%	51.63%	0.50%
Pudge	18923	27:42	34:02	41:13	34:39	10:16	47.25%	48.08%	47.95%	0.05%
Razor	24819	28:38	34:55	41:50	35:32	10:18	49.59%	48.76%	50.31%	0.05%
Sand King	1831	29:02	35:28	41:52	35:43	10:13	39.91%	45.60%	51.97%	0.94%
Storm Spirit	8495	28:49	34:59	41:58	35:41	10:15	45.67%	49.21%	53.55%	0.60%
Sven	5911	27:30	33:55	40:59	34:25	10:11	43.34%	45.10%	48.69%	0.40%
Tiny	24743	27:20	33:38	40:51	34:25	10:18	54.12%	51.05%	48.53%	-0.41%
Vengeful Spirit	10526	27:27	33:30	40:36	34:14	09:58	44.20%	48.44%	50.80%	0.50%
Windranger	18381	28:00	34:31	41:37	35:08	10:30	50.39%	49.06%	48.83%	-0.11%
Zeus	19960	28:58	35:27	42:20	36:06	10:35	54.42%	51.96%	49.72%	-0.35%
Kunkka	12928	28:13	34:49	41:48	35:30	10:39	52.25%	51.22%	49.61%	-0.19%
Lina	7592	28:00	34:10	41:12	34:50	10:08	42.50%	45.27%	44.46%	0.15%
Lion	11006	28:20	34:52	41:44	35:21	10:14	44.59%	48.36%	51.98%	0.55%
Shadow Shaman	7678	27:57	34:12	41:06	34:48	10:00	51.59%	52.49%	53.77%	0.17%
Slardar	14748	27:34	33:39	40:38	34:22	09:55	51.48%	52.98%	55.69%	0.32%
Tidehunter	3118	27:28	33:43	40:29	34:18	10:03	46.48%	47.05%	44.94%	-0.12%
Witch Doctor	3403	29:08	35:24	42:02	36:02	10:09	43.43%	49.10%	51.99%	0.66%
Lich	3756	28:36	35:10	42:26	35:56	10:54	43.33%	46.99%	49.20%	0.42%
Riki	2448	26:52	33:43	41:48	34:47	11:18	43.81%	47.96%	50.00%	0.41%
Enigma	5416	27:07	33:31	41:07	34:29	10:40	59.13%	53.73%	50.89%	-0.59%
Tinker	3184	27:22	34:01	41:22	34:31	10:18	30.83%	50.28%	64.16%	2.38%
Sniper	7783	28:49	35:34	42:37	36:09	10:58	52.72%	47.78%	41.14%	-0.84%
Necrophos	2859	28:26	34:30	41:32	35:11	10:33	37.90%	44.81%	48.68%	0.82%
Warlock	1722	28:47	35:22	41:35	35:39	10:32	41.57%	44.08%	45.01%	0.27%
Beastmaster	3793	25:52	32:00	38:55	32:44	09:52	55.63%	50.04%	43.64%	-0.92%
Queen of Pain	7669	28:19	34:54	41:56	35:28	10:23	43.40%	47.71%	51.69%	0.61%
Venomancer	15183	28:30	35:00	42:06	35:42	10:38	55.52%	52.65%	49.58%	-0.44%
Faceless Void	16091	28:34	34:55	41:48	35:31	10:14	40.07%	50.13%	59.42%	1.46%
Wraith King	1457	27:24	33:48	41:09	34:33	10:48	49.04%	48.32%	50.41%	0.10%
Death Prophet	5416	27:15	33:50	41:23	34:39	10:33	50.96%	51.29%	52.18%	0.09%
Phantom Assassin	3991	27:47	33:46	41:14	34:41	10:33	35.86%	44.32%	52.60%	1.24%
Pugna	9534	27:11	33:41	40:41	34:16	10:16	55.93%	51.11%	46.02%	-0.73%
Templar Assassin	9296	26:34	32:51	40:04	33:37	10:18	55.71%	50.98%	48.24%	-0.55%
Viper	6232	28:32	35:06	42:06	35:38	10:23	55.03%	50.14%	47.30%	-0.57%
Luna	19139	27:00	33:06	39:54	33:44	09:51	48.22%	48.45%	45.10%	-0.24%
Dragon Knight	8615	27:14	33:38	40:49	34:23	10:17	46.91%	47.97%	49.35%	0.18%
Dazzle	3928	27:09	33:28	40:42	34:11	10:22	47.21%	52.39%	53.87%	0.49%
Clockwerk	9039	28:40	34:50	41:51	35:39	10:27	53.52%	50.69%	48.36%	-0.39%
Leshrac	21118	27:37	33:36	40:54	34:32	10:09	53.77%	54.29%	55.38%	0.12%
Nature's Prophet	21902	28:08	34:19	41:16	34:53	10:07	50.14%	48.63%	46.53%	-0.27%
Lifestealer	19612	28:19	34:37	41:34	35:13	10:07	49.12%	51.68%	49.78%	0.05%
Dark Seer	4778	27:22	33:42	41:03	34:35	10:13	50.21%	53.70%	51.42%	0.09%
Clinkz	7161	27:42	33:54	41:01	34:36	10:13	52.03%	50.34%	47.58%	-0.33%
Omniknight	6771	27:16	33:47	41:01	34:32	10:16	47.08%	47.90%	46.84%	-0.02%
Enchantress	7738	27:42	34:10	41:19	34:52	10:22	50.00%	47.95%	47.62%	-0.17%
Huskar	5046	25:37	32:06	38:55	32:25	09:57	49.25%	47.92%	47.46%	-0.13%
Night Stalker	5776	27:39	34:26	41:27	35:00	10:24	52.80%	52.27%	50.93%	-0.14%
Broodmother	3632	24:36	31:21	38:44	32:01	10:25	67.73%	52.64%	42.73%	-1.77%
Bounty Hunter	11677	27:12	33:28	40:37	34:12	10:02	57.09%	53.05%	50.68%	-0.48%
Weaver	9994	28:08	34:29	41:33	35:07	10:28	51.92%	50.52%	51.88%	0.00%
Jakiro	3875	28:32	34:46	42:04	35:34	10:31	51.34%	48.36%	51.24%	-0.01%
Batrider	11352	28:00	34:02	40:53	34:49	10:08	50.14%	48.63%	48.42%	-0.13%
Chen	4600	25:39	31:52	38:26	32:30	09:47	58.98%	53.46%	51.74%	-0.57%
Spectre	3421	29:47	35:36	42:11	36:13	10:08	46.38%	50.39%	54.09%	0.62%
Ancient Apparition	3003	29:26	36:10	43:05	36:43	10:44	42.21%	48.35%	52.66%	0.77%
Doom	13582	28:41	35:12	42:21	35:47	10:29	47.33%	51.42%	54.60%	0.53%
Ursa	6707	28:18	34:57	41:48	35:25	10:24	48.66%	49.71%	50.89%	0.17%
Spirit Breaker	9492	28:01	34:03	41:16	34:57	10:06	47.87%	49.42%	52.84%	0.38%
Gyrocopter	13720	27:26	33:32	40:31	34:23	10:06	48.78%	47.93%	47.93%	-0.06%
Alchemist	3898	27:18	33:20	40:28	34:06	10:09	46.31%	47.92%	46.87%	0.04%
Invoker	8194	27:28	34:13	41:24	34:47	10:35	48.51%	49.22%	51.49%	0.21%
Silencer	3759	28:59	35:26	42:05	36:01	10:21	38.68%	46.53%	53.03%	1.10%
Outworld Destroyer	4882	28:36	35:04	41:37	35:28	10:03	37.96%	47.07%	50.37%	0.95%
Lycan	2147	26:16	32:57	39:48	33:32	10:12	66.11%	50.95%	41.45%	-1.82%
Brewmaster	9013	27:32	33:54	41:04	34:38	10:15	54.28%	54.28%	52.08%	-0.16%
Shadow Demon	11013	28:27	34:44	41:36	35:22	10:08	47.30%	50.39%	52.34%	0.38%
Lone Druid	2205	25:01	31:42	38:49	32:10	10:22	47.92%	50.20%	48.19%	0.02%
Chaos Knight	3710	27:19	34:02	41:09	34:33	10:34	52.80%	49.54%	48.49%	-0.31%
Meepo	4620	25:45	31:07	37:23	31:51	09:07	58.48%	57.40%	52.72%	-0.50%
Treant Protector	4149	26:51	33:31	40:39	34:09	10:24	54.51%	53.77%	49.95%	-0.33%
Ogre Magi	3487	28:14	34:13	41:06	34:54	10:16	46.96%	48.72%	48.57%	0.13%
Undying	4516	27:03	33:16	40:26	34:03	10:04	50.44%	49.18%	46.90%	-0.26%
Rubick	19117	28:12	34:35	41:37	35:18	10:19	49.14%	46.59%	45.55%	-0.27%
Disruptor	20579	27:52	34:12	41:34	34:56	10:26	59.89%	55.89%	51.64%	-0.60%
Nyx Assassin	9604	28:39	35:01	41:50	35:31	10:15	45.86%	51.18%	54.12%	0.63%
Naga Siren	3345	27:30	33:59	41:25	34:55	10:39	52.74%	49.00%	47.07%	-0.41%
Keeper of the Light	11834	27:30	33:51	41:05	34:36	10:17	59.22%	52.06%	44.44%	-1.09%
Io	10161	24:53	31:12	37:58	31:53	09:59	58.28%	53.40%	48.39%	-0.76%
Visage	3032	25:52	32:08	38:37	32:41	09:50	53.61%	52.01%	45.92%	-0.60%
Slark	8539	26:45	33:17	40:56	34:14	10:34	52.19%	49.06%	49.46%	-0.19%
Medusa	4235	28:13	34:58	42:08	35:25	10:39	50.80%	50.11%	50.38%	-0.03%
Troll Warlord	7997	26:50	33:01	40:06	33:53	10:10	50.87%	50.89%	48.95%	-0.14%
Centaur Warrunner	12976	28:14	34:28	41:33	35:11	10:12	49.63%	51.29%	52.71%	0.23%
Magnus	9930	28:08	34:00	41:04	34:55	10:09	50.04%	47.96%	46.48%	-0.28%
Timbersaw	16651	28:05	34:20	41:22	35:04	10:15	44.35%	46.88%	50.98%	0.50%
Bristleback	7354	27:29	33:21	40:32	34:22	10:08	40.41%	50.39%	53.26%	0.98%
Tusk	9511	27:18	33:36	40:54	34:20	10:18	51.61%	48.49%	49.01%	-0.19%
Skywrath Mage	5304	29:04	35:33	42:20	36:06	10:33	44.54%	46.06%	49.51%	0.37%
Abaddon	5661	27:09	33:07	40:15	34:01	09:59	54.51%	51.70%	48.13%	-0.49%
Elder Titan	2803	28:53	35:55	42:52	36:30	11:10	48.36%	50.84%	51.42%	0.22%
Legion Commander	4814	27:28	33:50	40:54	34:22	10:06	50.12%	49.02%	46.47%	-0.27%
Techies	13317	28:13	34:37	41:52	35:32	10:41	47.12%	48.46%	47.93%	0.06%
Ember Spirit	7415	27:33	33:55	40:57	34:35	10:15	49.84%	49.87%	48.63%	-0.09%
Earth Spirit	7454	27:49	34:15	41:21	34:56	10:25	51.98%	51.29%	50.03%	-0.14%
Underlord	1264	28:10	34:21	41:59	35:18	10:35	49.37%	46.36%	47.78%	-0.12%
Terrorblade	4400	27:12	33:31	41:10	34:28	10:40	49.64%	46.61%	44.43%	-0.37%
Phoenix	5192	28:27	34:56	41:55	35:39	10:26	49.92%	49.21%	49.81%	-0.01%
Oracle	5818	27:18	33:44	40:42	34:24	10:09	52.37%	52.97%	50.24%	-0.16%
Winter Wyvern	6077	27:58	34:34	41:55	35:19	10:40	50.20%	52.46%	52.92%	0.19%
Arc Warden	2938	27:30	34:11	41:33	34:53	10:54	56.73%	53.37%	50.61%	-0.44%
Monkey King	11516	27:42	34:13	41:33	34:50	10:31	50.99%	49.90%	51.02%	0.00%
Dark Willow	6461	28:34	34:55	42:09	35:51	10:40	53.09%	51.37%	51.82%	-0.09%
Pangolier	19298	27:55	34:11	41:23	34:59	10:17	52.50%	50.81%	48.95%	-0.26%
Grimstroke	6598	28:03	34:23	41:40	35:08	10:22	43.70%	48.09%	53.03%	0.69%
Hoodwink	22905	28:12	34:29	41:34	35:11	10:17	50.64%	49.40%	48.07%	-0.19%
Void Spirit	3909	27:39	33:53	41:14	34:45	10:18	39.06%	45.36%	50.10%	0.81%
Snapfire	4843	27:45	33:52	41:10	34:42	10:16	48.89%	47.26%	49.13%	0.02%
Mars	16481	28:14	34:30	41:30	35:08	10:08	44.88%	46.59%	49.03%	0.31%
Dawnbreaker	4541	28:04	34:02	41:01	34:48	10:05	51.93%	50.12%	50.26%	-0.13%
Marci	12090	26:14	32:27	39:38	33:11	10:14	56.99%	51.83%	47.54%	-0.71%
Primal Beast	11446	27:55	34:16	41:24	34:52	10:14	53.10%	51.16%	50.23%	-0.21%
Muerta	4601	27:48	34:23	41:20	35:01	10:29	44.92%	48.14%	48.40%	0.26%

Top 500 Meta Trends - 7.35d

Stats for matches of top-10% (500 rank, ~10k+ MMR) of immortal leaderboard players, data provided by Stratz.com

Average number of buybacks per game by Radiant: 0.7124