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Top 500 Meta Trends - 7.35d

Stats for matches of top-10% (500 rank, ~10k+ MMR) of immortal leaderboard players, data provided by Stratz.com

Median hero xpm: 599

Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
ItemPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxStd.Dev
abyssal_bladeAbyssal Blade82141.21%95.869.43%+19.67%+8.04%-8.74%-1.85%38:1519:1033:0937:1342:121:19:5706:50
Columns
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
HeroPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxWindowStd.Dev
phantom_assassinPhantom Assassin49217.95%100.074.80%+37.45%+4.72%-12.62%-2.23%36:4323:5732:1535:4240:021:15:3407:4705:25
life_stealerLifestealer125410.37%98.471.85%+22.63%+12.39%-15.08%-3.51%40:1822:0035:5039:1243:401:07:4407:5005:30
ursaUrsa128030.83%96.869.92%+29.74%+9.05%-12.49%-3.13%33:4419:4629:5833:0736:511:03:1606:5304:59
bloodseekerBloodseeker2729.44%95.272.43%+24.31%+2.67%-6.03%-1.07%39:2924:1434:5137:5043:011:19:0008:1005:39
antimageAnti-Mage187623.19%93.768.44%+24.52%+6.72%-5.52%-1.61%37:1621:5432:5936:3240:341:10:4107:3505:14
spectreSpectre1969.12%92.172.45%+24.22%+17.69%-8.82%-3.32%40:2328:3835:4039:2443:391:07:0307:5906:42
marciMarci2964.27%90.572.30%+20.57%+12.19%-0.86%-1.31%39:3021:4533:3939:2843:391:06:1010:0006:11
pangolierPangolier4904.13%88.970.41%+20.69%+7.83%-10.05%-1.82%43:0322:5737:4541:5647:341:12:5909:4907:04
troll_warlordTroll Warlord55010.94%87.368.18%+19.04%+8.37%-10.09%-2.40%37:1124:3432:5235:5840:331:06:4107:4105:19
slarkSlark1132.00%85.774.34%+25.78%+3.15%-7.12%-0.98%44:1327:4638:2341:5048:541:19:5710:3110:21
night_stalkerNight Stalker1083.14%84.171.30%+19.69%-10.58%-0.94%0.95%42:1524:4736:3441:4346:421:04:3110:0808:26
monkey_kingMonkey King2313.08%82.565.80%+16.41%+7.41%-12.63%-2.23%41:5728:3737:1440:5546:141:06:0009:0007:34
alchemistAlchemist41814.81%81.061.96%+15.25%+15.66%-16.66%-5.60%33:4924:3530:1732:3236:031:06:0205:4604:39
juggernautJuggernaut1023.82%79.465.69%+19.04%+23.77%-20.64%-5.27%41:1727:0036:5739:4245:2360:0008:2607:09
abaddonAbaddon732.33%77.863.01%+11.16%+13.25%-8.67%-3.33%40:3229:0036:4240:0343:1757:0006:3506:20
bristlebackBristleback601.60%76.265.00%+15.80%+8.33%+13.33%0.52%42:3229:0037:3741:1447:181:04:2009:4103:24
phantom_lancerPhantom Lancer583.30%74.662.07%+15.87%+5.89%+6.18%0.03%45:5029:0040:2944:4250:241:08:5409:5509:32
skeleton_kingWraith King263.03%73.069.23%+17.01%+1.92%0.00%-0.22%42:3530:0938:0140:2046:5460:3408:5311:15
bounty_hunterBounty Hunter220.30%71.477.27%+7.97%+13.64%-18.18%-2.69%37:0319:1031:2839:2343:1851:2411:5000:00
dawnbreakerDawnbreaker582.02%69.860.34%+10.36%+23.28%-19.40%-3.61%44:0330:2137:3744:0049:261:11:4711:4905:57
lycanLycan261.79%68.361.54%+8.97%+19.23%-11.54%-4.19%46:1426:2942:2746:2249:481:16:2907:2108:19
brewmasterBrewmaster160.28%66.775.00%+13.31%-12.50%+25.00%4.29%46:1628:5841:5946:3750:431:04:0108:4406:55
svenSven60.18%65.1100.00%+23.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%44:2133:4343:4944:2144:531:07:2101:0400:00
meepoMeepo140.48%63.571.43%+5.48%+0.00%-14.28%-6.21%35:1629:2134:0735:1436:2545:3002:1800:40
chaos_knightChaos Knight130.69%61.969.23%+28.36%+23.08%-23.08%-7.12%43:5332:1740:5344:4247:221:07:3206:2900:00
broodmotherBroodmother150.63%60.360.00%+16.18%+13.34%-46.66%-8.80%42:2432:1738:5342:1445:4250:0706:4905:05
void_spiritVoid Spirit130.47%58.761.54%+17.05%+7.69%+7.69%0.00%41:1129:0037:3240:3044:2958:0606:5708:09
gyrocopterGyrocopter170.19%57.158.82%+19.88%+35.30%-11.76%-6.63%45:2334:2241:4744:0848:531:11:0507:0609:13
naga_sirenNaga Siren231.02%55.647.83%-7.82%+4.34%-0.01%-0.96%35:5323:2833:2336:0537:5550:0804:3203:41
ogre_magiOgre Magi30.14%54.0100.00%+42.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%37:1633:2336:2937:1638:0340:1801:3401:45
legion_commanderLegion Commander50.20%52.480.00%+8.43%0.00%0.00%0.00%44:0034:2042:3444:0045:2649:5702:5200:00
rikiRiki80.57%50.862.50%-5.37%-12.49%+25.01%11.78%46:2939:2545:0046:5848:1151:4603:1100:00
ember_spiritEmber Spirit30.08%49.2100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%42:3238:2942:3242:3242:3246:0700:0000:00
abyssal_underlordUnderlord40.48%47.675.00%-3.88%0.00%0.00%0.00%38:2832:5038:0838:2838:4847:2000:4000:00
elder_titanElder Titan40.21%46.075.00%+6.21%+25.00%-25.00%-6.65%50:1438:5646:2950:1454:001:09:0007:3111:08
omniknightOmniknight60.12%44.466.67%-8.95%+16.66%-16.67%-15.75%46:2641:0045:2346:2647:3055:3002:0704:42
beastmasterBeastmaster20.14%42.9100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%42:0237:0042:0242:0242:0247:0400:0000:00
marsMars60.06%41.366.67%+50.96%+16.67%-33.33%-13.64%39:0035:0036:4937:3440:2947:2903:4000:00
hoodwinkHoodwink40.03%39.775.00%+24.63%0.00%0.00%0.00%41:0234:1440:0441:0242:0149:5901:5702:54
lone_druidLone Druid60.49%38.150.00%+20.74%+16.67%-16.67%-6.56%46:3235:4043:5946:3249:0460:2505:0503:43
earth_spiritEarth Spirit50.11%36.560.00%+31.98%0.00%0.00%0.00%42:3740:0042:0742:0742:5346:4300:4600:57
weaverWeaver50.08%34.960.00%+29.35%+20.00%-20.00%-12.57%44:1532:4642:3944:1445:5054:2703:1100:00
razorRazor50.05%33.360.00%+21.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%37:5329:2237:3837:5338:0943:1000:3100:00
centaurCentaur Warrunner30.06%31.766.67%-9.86%+0.00%+0.00%0.00%41:1237:1741:1241:1241:1244:0900:0000:00
axeAxe10.14%30.2100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%32:5832:5832:5832:5832:5832:5800:0000:00
keeper_of_the_lightKeeper of the Light30.04%28.666.67%+20.44%+0.00%+0.00%0.00%45:1435:3045:1445:1445:1457:0400:0000:00
viperViper10.13%27.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%39:0239:0239:0239:0239:0239:0200:0000:00
miranaMirana10.11%25.4100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%37:4737:4737:4737:4737:4737:4700:0000:00
batriderBatrider10.08%23.8100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1:11:271:11:271:11:271:11:271:11:271:11:2700:0000:00
shredderTimbersaw10.06%22.2100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1:04:301:04:301:04:301:04:301:04:301:04:3000:0000:00
pudgePudge10.06%20.6100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%46:0046:0046:0046:0046:0046:0000:0000:00
windrunnerWindranger10.05%19.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%52:5252:5252:5252:5252:5252:5200:0000:00
tinyTiny10.04%17.5100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%44:0344:0344:0344:0344:0344:0300:0000:00
morphlingMorphling20.03%15.950.00%+24.93%0.00%0.00%0.00%48:5441:4848:5448:5448:5456:0000:0000:00
zuusZeus20.02%14.350.00%-27.20%0.00%0.00%0.00%42:0629:0642:0642:0642:0655:0500:0000:00
terrorbladeTerrorblade50.18%12.720.00%-0.72%-20.00%+20.00%21.05%44:5737:0744:0044:5745:541:04:0301:5400:00
sand_kingSand King10.35%11.10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%39:3539:3539:3539:3539:3539:3500:0000:00
dark_willowDark Willow10.17%9.50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%44:3544:3544:3544:3544:3544:3500:0000:00
dragon_knightDragon Knight10.12%7.90.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%42:2342:2342:2342:2342:2342:2300:0000:00
linaLina10.14%6.30.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%51:1751:1751:1751:1751:1751:1700:0000:00
rattletrapClockwerk10.15%4.80.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1:07:061:07:061:07:061:07:061:07:061:07:0600:0000:00
dark_seerDark Seer10.18%3.20.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%36:0436:0436:0436:0436:0436:0400:0000:00
huskarHuskar10.16%1.60.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%42:2342:2342:2342:2342:2342:2300:0000:00