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Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
Columns
Total | Winrate shifts | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Item | Pickups | Pickup rate | Rank | Winrate | When picked | Early | Late | Gradient (%/min) | |
 | Meteor Hammer | 55 | 0.68% | 100.0 | 98.18% | +47.38% | -5.32% | +1.82% | 0.00% |
 | Kaya | 52 | 0.64% | 86.5 | 90.38% | +39.52% | +1.93% | -21.15% | 0.00% |
 | Sange and Yasha | 163 | 2.02% | 84.7 | 80.37% | +29.85% | +7.73% | -12.08% | -2.20% |
 | Assault Cuirass | 759 | 9.39% | 83.2 | 73.65% | +24.86% | +10.56% | -10.49% | -2.43% |
 | Buckler | 820 | 10.14% | 82.5 | 72.93% | +24.27% | +10.97% | -11.47% | -2.37% |
 | Harpoon | 579 | 7.16% | 81.7 | 73.06% | +23.63% | -3.40% | -2.72% | 0.05% |
 | Yasha | 170 | 2.10% | 80.8 | 77.06% | +26.50% | -0.32% | -9.62% | -0.79% |
 | Bloodthorn | 223 | 2.76% | 79.8 | 74.89% | +24.44% | +14.40% | -3.46% | -1.54% |
 | Moon Shard | 142 | 1.76% | 78.2 | 76.06% | +25.39% | +1.72% | -9.39% | 0.00% |
 | Wind Waker | 481 | 5.95% | 77.7 | 70.27% | +20.36% | +11.55% | -8.29% | -2.13% |
 | Octarine Core | 374 | 4.62% | 77.4 | 70.86% | +20.70% | +11.05% | -12.35% | -2.51% |
 | Aghanim's Scepter | 4225 | 52.24% | 75.1 | 64.52% | +28.06% | +6.99% | -6.43% | -1.53% |
 | Eternal Shroud | 617 | 7.63% | 74.9 | 67.26% | +17.47% | +8.87% | -5.97% | -1.58% |
 | Silver Edge | 36 | 0.45% | 74.3 | 86.11% | +35.15% | +2.78% | -19.44% | 0.00% |
 | Sange | 332 | 4.11% | 68.8 | 64.16% | +13.60% | -3.92% | -2.71% | 0.12% |
 | Diadem | 948 | 11.72% | 67.5 | 60.02% | +10.08% | -1.79% | +6.37% | 0.64% |
 | Eul's Scepter of Divinity | 1490 | 18.42% | 67.5 | 59.19% | +9.89% | +0.60% | -3.69% | -0.33% |
 | Orchid Malevolence | 2161 | 26.72% | 66.6 | 57.94% | +9.31% | +11.05% | -6.55% | -3.24% |
 | Javelin | 639 | 7.90% | 66.3 | 59.94% | +9.58% | -5.56% | +1.31% | 0.27% |
 | Aghanim's Shard | 6334 | 78.32% | 65.6 | 56.08% | +22.88% | +4.54% | -4.34% | -1.09% |
 | Echo Sabre | 1918 | 23.72% | 65.0 | 56.73% | +7.35% | +9.39% | -5.27% | -2.38% |
 | Ring of Protection | 1868 | 23.10% | 64.8 | 56.58% | +7.10% | -5.19% | +10.66% | 0.63% |
 | Nullifier | 214 | 2.65% | 64.6 | 62.62% | +11.81% | +10.11% | -16.32% | -2.60% |
 | Overwhelming Blink | 66 | 0.82% | 64.6 | 71.21% | +20.26% | +11.14% | -12.39% | 0.00% |
 | Black King Bar | 3752 | 46.40% | 64.3 | 55.44% | +8.06% | +7.09% | -3.90% | -1.62% |
 | Cornucopia | 1875 | 23.19% | 63.5 | 55.47% | +5.66% | +7.22% | -4.09% | -1.79% |
 | Void Stone | 3397 | 42.01% | 63.2 | 54.58% | +5.97% | +3.99% | +0.41% | -0.26% |
 | Blink Dagger | 7593 | 93.89% | 62.0 | 52.85% | +28.36% | +10.84% | -8.64% | -3.95% |
 | Linken's Sphere | 55 | 0.68% | 61.8 | 70.91% | +19.93% | -6.62% | -6.62% | 0.00% |
 | Orb of Corrosion | 256 | 3.17% | 61.8 | 59.38% | +8.53% | +3.12% | 0.00% | -0.79% |
 | Cloak of Flames | 526 | 6.50% | 61.5 | 56.46% | +5.71% | +0.43% | +1.12% | 0.25% |
 | Bullwhip | 427 | 5.28% | 61.3 | 56.91% | +6.11% | -2.29% | +5.16% | 2.48% |
 | Wind Lace | 2726 | 33.71% | 60.8 | 52.71% | +2.40% | -0.82% | +1.61% | 0.14% |
 | Aghanim's Blessing | 136 | 1.68% | 60.4 | 61.76% | +10.82% | +8.83% | -11.76% | 0.00% |
 | Heart of Tarrasque | 51 | 0.63% | 60.4 | 70.59% | +19.59% | +6.33% | -39.82% | 0.00% |
 | Magic Wand | 5407 | 66.86% | 60.1 | 51.49% | +1.12% | -0.02% | -3.78% | -0.83% |
 | Power Treads | 6456 | 79.83% | 60.0 | 51.29% | +0.83% | +10.22% | -11.66% | -10.59% |
 | Boots of Speed | 8075 | 99.85% | 60.0 | 51.12% | +1.12% | +3.24% | -3.04% | -2.88% |
 | Bracer | 7039 | 87.04% | 59.8 | 51.10% | -0.14% | +6.32% | -2.65% | -7.58% |
 | Bottle | 966 | 11.95% | 59.7 | 53.42% | +2.61% | +1.09% | -1.57% | -2.66% |
 | Ghost Scepter | 291 | 3.60% | 59.7 | 57.04% | +6.14% | -0.88% | -4.99% | -0.40% |
 | Defiant Shell | 782 | 9.67% | 59.7 | 53.84% | +3.01% | -3.46% | +0.06% | 1.76% |
 | Light Collector | 173 | 2.14% | 59.6 | 59.54% | +8.60% | +1.82% | -2.04% | -1.93% |
 | Helm of Iron Will | 524 | 6.48% | 59.5 | 54.77% | +3.90% | +2.48% | -5.15% | -0.30% |
 | Magic Stick | 6671 | 82.49% | 59.5 | 50.85% | -1.55% | -0.07% | +3.04% | 1.04% |
 | Havoc Hammer | 277 | 3.43% | 59.5 | 57.04% | +6.13% | -2.04% | -3.77% | -0.87% |
 | Quelling Blade | 6686 | 82.68% | 59.4 | 50.78% | -1.97% | +0.29% | -0.01% | 0.00% |
 | Broom Handle | 1847 | 22.84% | 59.1 | 51.76% | +0.83% | -0.89% | -0.73% | 0.05% |
 | Dragon Scale | 1356 | 16.77% | 58.2 | 51.47% | +0.42% | -1.34% | +6.01% | 2.45% |
 | Lance of Pursuit | 233 | 2.88% | 58.1 | 56.65% | +5.70% | +0.49% | -1.96% | -0.82% |
 | Phase Boots | 1512 | 18.70% | 58.0 | 51.12% | 0.00% | +9.99% | -9.50% | -9.34% |
 | Elven Tunic | 706 | 8.73% | 57.7 | 52.41% | +1.41% | -3.43% | +4.68% | 4.06% |
 | Duelist Gloves | 1318 | 16.30% | 57.6 | 50.99% | -0.15% | +2.87% | -0.99% | -1.29% |
 | Ring of Health | 347 | 4.29% | 57.5 | 54.47% | +3.50% | -8.49% | +5.30% | 0.99% |
 | Chainmail | 2030 | 25.10% | 57.3 | 50.15% | -1.29% | +0.73% | -1.32% | -0.59% |
 | Ascetic's Cap | 174 | 2.15% | 57.2 | 57.47% | +6.49% | +8.66% | -4.53% | -6.60% |
 | Orb of Venom | 364 | 4.50% | 57.0 | 53.85% | +2.86% | -7.70% | +7.69% | 3.45% |
 | Seeds of Serenity | 842 | 10.41% | 56.8 | 51.19% | +0.08% | +2.51% | -1.63% | -2.07% |
 | Wraith Band | 580 | 7.17% | 56.7 | 52.07% | +1.02% | -1.05% | +1.35% | 0.98% |
 | Spark of Courage | 628 | 7.77% | 56.4 | 51.59% | +0.51% | +0.18% | +1.16% | 0.33% |
 | Safety Bubble | 817 | 10.10% | 56.4 | 50.92% | -0.22% | +0.28% | -0.51% | -0.26% |
 | Soul Ring | 744 | 9.20% | 56.3 | 51.08% | -0.04% | +8.60% | -4.84% | -3.93% |
 | Orb of Destruction | 1122 | 13.87% | 56.3 | 50.18% | -1.09% | -0.90% | +0.99% | 0.63% |
 | Grove Bow | 105 | 1.30% | 56.2 | 60.00% | +9.00% | -4.44% | +1.11% | 0.00% |
 | Vambrace | 1247 | 15.42% | 56.2 | 49.88% | -1.47% | +0.62% | +3.97% | 1.12% |
 | Shadow Blade | 71 | 0.88% | 56.1 | 63.38% | +12.37% | -7.82% | -2.27% | 0.00% |
 | Vindicator's Axe | 947 | 11.71% | 56.1 | 50.37% | -0.85% | +1.36% | +1.39% | 0.01% |
 | Morbid Mask | 376 | 4.65% | 55.8 | 52.66% | +1.62% | +0.53% | +0.53% | 0.00% |
 | Heaven's Halberd | 137 | 1.69% | 55.7 | 57.66% | +6.65% | -6.23% | +5.20% | 0.00% |
 | Paladin Sword | 475 | 5.87% | 55.7 | 51.79% | +0.71% | -2.97% | +3.24% | 3.11% |
 | Arcane Blink | 28 | 0.35% | 55.7 | 75.00% | +23.96% | +10.71% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Blight Stone | 229 | 2.83% | 55.6 | 54.59% | +3.57% | +7.48% | -2.87% | -0.89% |
 | Dandelion Amulet | 142 | 1.76% | 55.3 | 57.04% | +6.03% | +0.74% | -2.49% | 0.00% |
 | Occult Bracelet | 536 | 6.63% | 54.5 | 50.37% | -0.80% | +2.66% | -4.60% | -2.42% |
 | Faded Broach | 294 | 3.64% | 53.9 | 52.04% | +0.96% | 0.00% | +3.52% | 1.17% |
 | Ring of Tarrasque | 172 | 2.13% | 53.9 | 54.65% | +3.61% | +5.82% | -1.16% | -0.54% |
 | Vampire Fangs | 761 | 9.41% | 53.6 | 48.75% | -2.62% | +0.60% | +3.99% | 1.13% |
 | Boots of Travel | 181 | 2.24% | 53.6 | 54.14% | +3.09% | -5.20% | -1.97% | 0.10% |
 | Fluffy Hat | 664 | 8.21% | 53.5 | 48.95% | -2.36% | -3.77% | +6.47% | 0.85% |
 | Monkey King Bar | 112 | 1.38% | 53.4 | 57.14% | +6.11% | -3.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Mind Breaker | 395 | 4.88% | 53.3 | 50.38% | -0.78% | +0.59% | -4.34% | -2.47% |
 | Ninja Gear | 195 | 2.41% | 53.1 | 53.33% | +2.27% | +1.60% | +5.24% | 1.82% |
 | Specialist's Array | 546 | 6.75% | 52.4 | 48.53% | -2.78% | -1.34% | +0.80% | 1.07% |
 | Crown | 429 | 5.30% | 52.3 | 49.18% | -2.05% | -7.51% | -3.81% | 0.30% |
 | Royal Jelly | 267 | 3.30% | 52.2 | 50.94% | -0.19% | -10.03% | +5.92% | 7.98% |
 | Arcane Ring | 279 | 3.45% | 51.9 | 50.54% | -0.60% | +4.18% | -4.45% | -4.32% |
 | Mask of Madness | 208 | 2.57% | 51.9 | 51.92% | +0.82% | +6.57% | +9.62% | 1.00% |
 | Tranquil Boots | 39 | 0.48% | 51.9 | 66.67% | +15.63% | +6.06% | -26.67% | 0.00% |
 | Vladmir's Offering | 19 | 0.23% | 51.9 | 78.95% | +27.90% | +1.05% | +1.05% | 0.00% |
 | Trickster Cloak | 221 | 2.73% | 51.9 | 51.58% | +0.47% | +1.58% | +0.14% | -0.72% |
 | Ogre Seal Totem | 536 | 6.63% | 51.2 | 47.57% | -3.80% | -0.90% | +0.93% | 0.91% |
 | Desolator | 21 | 0.26% | 51.2 | 76.19% | +25.14% | -9.52% | +9.52% | 0.00% |
 | Mage Slayer | 194 | 2.40% | 51.0 | 51.55% | +0.44% | +9.67% | +5.59% | -0.56% |
 | Null Talisman | 210 | 2.60% | 50.8 | 50.95% | -0.17% | -5.67% | +1.88% | 1.65% |
 | Rattlecage | 180 | 2.23% | 50.7 | 51.67% | +0.56% | +2.43% | +5.47% | 1.52% |
 | Divine Rapier | 11 | 0.14% | 50.7 | 90.91% | +39.85% | +9.09% | +9.09% | 0.00% |
 | Swift Blink | 16 | 0.20% | 50.5 | 81.25% | +30.19% | +18.75% | -56.25% | 0.00% |
 | Timeless Relic | 62 | 0.77% | 50.4 | 59.68% | +8.63% | +1.03% | -4.68% | 0.00% |
 | Aviana's Feather | 201 | 2.49% | 50.3 | 50.75% | -0.38% | 0.00% | -2.65% | -1.33% |
 | Pupil's Gift | 476 | 5.89% | 50.2 | 47.06% | -4.31% | +4.62% | -3.06% | -2.56% |
 | Gossamer Cape | 445 | 5.50% | 49.8 | 46.97% | -4.39% | -0.07% | -0.35% | -0.14% |
 | Pig Pole | 445 | 5.50% | 49.6 | 46.74% | -4.63% | -1.58% | -0.59% | 0.33% |
 | Lotus Orb | 60 | 0.74% | 48.5 | 58.33% | +7.26% | -5.00% | -5.00% | 0.00% |
 | Nemesis Curse | 167 | 2.07% | 47.3 | 49.10% | -2.06% | +1.81% | -5.35% | -3.58% |
 | Vanguard | 10 | 0.12% | 46.8 | 90.00% | +38.93% | +10.00% | -23.33% | 0.00% |
 | Veil of Discord | 33 | 0.41% | 46.0 | 63.64% | +12.57% | -8.08% | -19.20% | 0.00% |
 | Doubloon | 7 | 0.09% | 45.6 | 100.00% | +48.92% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Bloodstone | 7 | 0.09% | 45.6 | 100.00% | +48.92% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Trusty Shovel | 136 | 1.68% | 45.2 | 48.53% | -2.63% | +4.41% | +2.53% | 0.00% |
 | Craggy Coat | 205 | 2.53% | 44.9 | 45.85% | -5.41% | -3.43% | +11.56% | 5.00% |
 | Force Staff | 31 | 0.38% | 42.6 | 61.29% | +10.21% | +13.71% | -36.29% | 0.00% |
 | Ring of Basilius | 29 | 0.36% | 42.4 | 62.07% | +10.99% | -12.07% | -12.07% | 0.00% |
 | Stormcrafter | 50 | 0.62% | 41.6 | 54.00% | +2.90% | -6.63% | -4.00% | 0.00% |
 | Shiva's Guard | 23 | 0.28% | 41.5 | 65.22% | +14.14% | +1.45% | -15.22% | 0.00% |
 | Drum of Endurance | 13 | 0.16% | 41.2 | 76.92% | +25.84% | -26.92% | +23.08% | 0.00% |
 | Enchanted Quiver | 58 | 0.72% | 40.9 | 51.72% | +0.61% | -1.72% | -1.72% | 0.00% |
 | Force Boots | 6 | 0.07% | 40.2 | 100.00% | +48.92% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Headdress | 6 | 0.07% | 40.2 | 100.00% | +48.92% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Whisper of the Dread | 29 | 0.36% | 38.9 | 58.62% | +7.53% | -4.77% | +16.38% | 0.00% |
 | Ancient Guardian | 66 | 0.82% | 38.9 | 48.48% | -2.66% | -1.42% | +1.52% | 0.00% |
 | Hand of Midas | 509 | 6.29% | 38.6 | 36.74% | -15.34% | +14.82% | -6.27% | -5.43% |
 | Satanic | 19 | 0.23% | 36.2 | 63.16% | +12.07% | -23.16% | -3.16% | 0.00% |
 | Martyr's Plate | 53 | 0.66% | 35.3 | 47.17% | -3.98% | -10.33% | +13.94% | 0.00% |
 | Giant's Ring | 20 | 0.25% | 34.3 | 60.00% | +8.90% | +6.67% | -10.00% | 0.00% |
 | Blade Mail | 78 | 0.96% | 32.7 | 41.03% | -10.19% | -1.03% | -11.03% | 0.00% |
 | Manta Style | 14 | 0.17% | 31.7 | 64.29% | +13.19% | +10.71% | -39.29% | 0.00% |
 | Scythe of Vyse | 12 | 0.15% | 30.9 | 66.67% | +15.57% | 0.00% | +33.33% | 0.00% |
 | Pipe of Insight | 4 | 0.05% | 29.1 | 100.00% | +48.91% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Kaya and Sange | 8 | 0.10% | 29.1 | 75.00% | +23.90% | -25.00% | +25.00% | 0.00% |
 | Pirate Hat | 18 | 0.22% | 28.8 | 55.56% | +4.45% | +14.44% | -18.06% | 0.00% |
 | Ceremonial Robe | 50 | 0.62% | 25.8 | 38.00% | -13.20% | -2.71% | +0.46% | 0.00% |
 | Crimson Guard | 5 | 0.06% | 22.7 | 80.00% | +28.90% | +20.00% | -30.00% | 0.00% |
 | Boots of Bearing | 3 | 0.04% | 22.7 | 100.00% | +48.90% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Fairy's Trinket | 35 | 0.43% | 21.6 | 37.14% | -14.04% | +1.32% | -1.43% | 0.00% |
 | Mirror Shield | 8 | 0.10% | 21.0 | 62.50% | +11.39% | -2.50% | +4.17% | 0.00% |
 | Butterfly | 6 | 0.07% | 18.7 | 66.67% | +15.56% | +33.33% | -16.67% | 0.00% |
 | Armlet of Mordiggian | 9 | 0.11% | 18.6 | 55.56% | +4.45% | -55.56% | +44.44% | 0.00% |
 | Arcanist's Armor | 4 | 0.05% | 16.7 | 75.00% | +23.89% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Solar Crest | 7 | 0.09% | 16.2 | 57.14% | +6.03% | -7.14% | +42.86% | 0.00% |
 | Boots of Travel 2 | 7 | 0.09% | 16.2 | 57.14% | +6.03% | +42.86% | -57.14% | 0.00% |
 | Rod of Atos | 2 | 0.02% | 14.8 | 100.00% | +48.89% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Mekansm | 2 | 0.02% | 14.8 | 100.00% | +48.89% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Phylactery | 2 | 0.02% | 14.8 | 100.00% | +48.89% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Unwavering Condition | 2 | 0.02% | 14.8 | 100.00% | +48.89% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Philosopher's Stone | 22 | 0.27% | 13.4 | 31.82% | -19.35% | -3.25% | -15.15% | 0.00% |
 | Eye of the Vizier | 5 | 0.06% | 13.3 | 60.00% | +8.89% | -10.00% | -10.00% | 0.00% |
 | Crystalys | 9 | 0.11% | 12.6 | 44.44% | -6.69% | +22.23% | -44.44% | 0.00% |
 | Radiance | 10 | 0.12% | 11.4 | 40.00% | -11.13% | -6.67% | -6.67% | 0.00% |
 | Pavise | 6 | 0.07% | 11.1 | 50.00% | -1.12% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Book of the Dead | 3 | 0.04% | 10.3 | 66.67% | +15.56% | -66.67% | +33.33% | 0.00% |
 | Magic Lamp | 3 | 0.04% | 10.3 | 66.67% | +15.56% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Aeon Disk | 3 | 0.04% | 10.3 | 66.67% | +15.56% | +33.33% | -66.67% | 0.00% |
 | Arcane Boots | 9 | 0.11% | 7.6 | 33.33% | -17.81% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Dragon Lance | 1 | 0.01% | 7.3 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Holy Locket | 1 | 0.01% | 7.3 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Ethereal Blade | 1 | 0.01% | 7.3 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Diffusal Blade | 1 | 0.01% | 7.3 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Guardian Greaves | 1 | 0.01% | 7.3 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Mjollnir | 5 | 0.06% | 6.3 | 40.00% | -11.13% | -40.00% | +10.00% | 0.00% |
 | Refresher Orb | 5 | 0.06% | 6.3 | 40.00% | -11.13% | -40.00% | +10.00% | 0.00% |
 | Psychic Headband | 12 | 0.15% | 5.9 | 25.00% | -26.16% | +25.00% | +8.33% | 0.00% |
 | Maelstrom | 6 | 0.07% | 5.3 | 33.33% | -17.80% | +66.67% | -33.33% | 0.00% |
 | Eye of Skadi | 2 | 0.02% | 3.8 | 50.00% | -1.12% | +50.00% | -50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Aether Lens | 2 | 0.02% | 3.8 | 50.00% | -1.12% | -50.00% | +50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Battle Fury | 2 | 0.02% | 3.8 | 50.00% | -1.12% | +50.00% | -50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Daedalus | 2 | 0.02% | 3.8 | 50.00% | -1.12% | +50.00% | -50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Stygian Desolator | 10 | 0.12% | 3.4 | 20.00% | -31.16% | +8.57% | -20.00% | 0.00% |
 | Spirit Vessel | 3 | 0.04% | 2.8 | 33.33% | -17.80% | -33.33% | -33.33% | 0.00% |
 | Apex | 3 | 0.04% | 2.8 | 33.33% | -17.80% | +16.67% | -33.33% | 0.00% |
 | Urn of Shadows | 8 | 0.10% | 1.2 | 12.50% | -38.66% | +37.50% | -12.50% | 0.00% |
 | Yasha and Kaya | 1 | 0.01% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Telescope | 1 | 0.01% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Glimmer Cape | 1 | 0.01% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |