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Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
Columns
Total | Winrate shifts | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Item | Pickups | Pickup rate | Rank | Winrate | When picked | Early | Late | Gradient (%/min) | |
 | Refresher Orb | 1165 | 21.53% | 100.0 | 65.06% | +19.56% | +8.57% | -5.13% | -1.37% |
 | Meteor Hammer | 27 | 0.50% | 99.1 | 88.89% | +39.37% | +11.11% | -3.18% | 0.00% |
 | Heart of Tarrasque | 531 | 9.82% | 98.3 | 65.73% | +17.76% | +2.69% | -7.84% | -0.93% |
 | Octarine Core | 311 | 5.75% | 97.4 | 66.88% | +18.21% | -1.50% | -7.91% | -0.39% |
 | Holy Locket | 118 | 2.18% | 96.2 | 71.19% | +21.96% | -6.67% | +2.14% | 1.04% |
 | Aghanim's Scepter | 2453 | 45.34% | 95.5 | 61.23% | +21.07% | +5.76% | -7.97% | -1.55% |
 | Ring of Tarrasque | 1617 | 29.89% | 95.5 | 61.72% | +17.12% | +2.23% | -5.81% | -0.73% |
 | Cornucopia | 1325 | 24.49% | 94.0 | 61.06% | +15.02% | -1.12% | -7.45% | -0.50% |
 | Vladmir's Offering | 91 | 1.68% | 93.4 | 71.43% | +22.09% | +3.57% | -14.91% | -1.58% |
 | Guardian Greaves | 316 | 5.84% | 93.2 | 64.24% | +15.43% | +7.91% | -13.61% | -1.82% |
 | Buckler | 400 | 7.39% | 91.3 | 62.25% | +13.54% | -1.25% | -7.25% | -0.45% |
 | Mekansm | 398 | 7.36% | 91.0 | 62.06% | +13.33% | -2.06% | -6.06% | -0.34% |
 | Solar Crest | 261 | 4.82% | 89.1 | 62.45% | +13.38% | +8.76% | -6.39% | -2.35% |
 | Headdress | 503 | 9.30% | 88.6 | 59.84% | +11.16% | -5.87% | -2.70% | 0.24% |
 | Kaya | 68 | 1.26% | 87.7 | 70.59% | +21.14% | +11.76% | -5.88% | 0.00% |
 | Aeon Disk | 239 | 4.42% | 87.6 | 61.92% | +12.77% | +3.08% | -16.92% | -1.63% |
 | Pavise | 278 | 5.14% | 86.3 | 60.43% | +11.30% | +5.28% | -1.86% | -0.96% |
 | Aether Lens | 1362 | 25.18% | 85.9 | 55.95% | +8.33% | +6.04% | -5.07% | -1.17% |
 | Boots of Travel | 212 | 3.92% | 85.7 | 61.32% | +12.08% | -2.83% | -4.72% | -0.07% |
 | Pipe of Insight | 102 | 1.89% | 83.9 | 64.71% | +15.28% | +8.37% | -10.86% | -2.10% |
 | Lotus Orb | 193 | 3.57% | 83.0 | 60.10% | +10.77% | +7.25% | -9.08% | -1.85% |
 | Aghanim's Shard | 3990 | 73.75% | 82.0 | 52.18% | +9.39% | +3.76% | -3.58% | -0.86% |
 | Void Stone | 1920 | 35.49% | 81.7 | 52.81% | +4.80% | +5.32% | -2.08% | -0.64% |
 | Bullwhip | 434 | 8.02% | 81.1 | 55.53% | +6.32% | +2.80% | +0.43% | -0.63% |
 | Chainmail | 815 | 15.06% | 80.9 | 53.74% | +4.74% | -3.50% | +5.08% | 0.67% |
 | Dandelion Amulet | 327 | 6.04% | 80.7 | 56.27% | +6.98% | +4.78% | +0.05% | -1.18% |
 | Arcane Boots | 4759 | 87.97% | 80.0 | 50.77% | +8.75% | +6.07% | -7.82% | -4.55% |
 | Magic Wand | 2927 | 54.10% | 79.9 | 51.18% | +3.19% | +2.57% | -1.93% | -0.63% |
 | Telescope | 294 | 5.43% | 79.8 | 56.12% | +6.77% | -4.43% | +1.57% | 2.00% |
 | Ring of Basilius | 4908 | 90.72% | 79.5 | 50.41% | +7.47% | +2.32% | -3.22% | -1.23% |
 | Blink Dagger | 684 | 12.64% | 79.0 | 52.92% | +3.67% | -3.80% | +8.48% | 1.09% |
 | Ring of Protection | 882 | 16.30% | 78.8 | 52.27% | +3.05% | -7.22% | -1.82% | 0.32% |
 | Morbid Mask | 138 | 2.55% | 78.8 | 59.42% | +9.96% | +0.58% | -10.85% | -0.60% |
 | Magic Stick | 4222 | 78.04% | 78.7 | 50.07% | +1.63% | +1.14% | -0.26% | -0.91% |
 | Diadem | 327 | 6.04% | 78.7 | 55.05% | +5.68% | -5.05% | -1.39% | 0.37% |
 | Drum of Endurance | 182 | 3.36% | 78.7 | 57.69% | +8.25% | +5.35% | -9.86% | -1.14% |
 | Boots of Speed | 5404 | 99.89% | 78.6 | 49.74% | +21.17% | +1.85% | -5.19% | -2.11% |
 | Trusty Shovel | 699 | 12.92% | 78.4 | 52.50% | +3.20% | -1.00% | -2.28% | -0.43% |
 | Wind Lace | 1631 | 30.15% | 78.2 | 50.77% | +1.51% | +0.21% | -3.47% | -0.31% |
 | Ring of Health | 316 | 5.84% | 78.1 | 54.75% | +5.35% | -9.18% | +7.28% | 1.20% |
 | Crown | 453 | 8.37% | 78.0 | 53.42% | +4.05% | +0.97% | -8.68% | -1.08% |
 | Ogre Seal Totem | 431 | 7.97% | 77.3 | 53.13% | +3.71% | +2.43% | -6.23% | -2.89% |
 | Eye of the Vizier | 716 | 13.23% | 77.0 | 51.54% | +2.10% | +2.51% | -0.23% | -0.69% |
 | Quelling Blade | 647 | 11.96% | 76.9 | 51.78% | +2.35% | +2.13% | -4.41% | -6.54% |
 | Sange | 86 | 1.59% | 76.8 | 61.63% | +12.11% | +6.55% | +2.01% | -0.36% |
 | Craggy Coat | 130 | 2.40% | 76.7 | 58.46% | +8.96% | -9.89% | +0.08% | 2.49% |
 | Boots of Bearing | 88 | 1.63% | 76.7 | 61.36% | +11.84% | -2.27% | -11.36% | -0.67% |
 | Hand of Midas | 1504 | 27.80% | 76.7 | 49.93% | +0.30% | +3.92% | -16.51% | -4.98% |
 | Glimmer Cape | 2188 | 40.44% | 76.4 | 49.27% | -0.75% | +11.64% | -6.13% | -2.35% |
 | Timeless Relic | 262 | 4.84% | 76.0 | 54.20% | +4.71% | -0.03% | -1.51% | -0.74% |
 | Arcane Ring | 619 | 11.44% | 75.9 | 51.21% | +1.69% | +6.48% | -1.21% | -1.92% |
 | Psychic Headband | 938 | 17.34% | 75.8 | 50.21% | +0.60% | +3.26% | -3.54% | -2.27% |
 | Ghost Scepter | 701 | 12.96% | 75.7 | 50.78% | +1.23% | +4.90% | +2.06% | -0.26% |
 | Philosopher's Stone | 1513 | 27.97% | 75.4 | 49.11% | -0.84% | +1.19% | +0.49% | -0.23% |
 | Faded Broach | 681 | 12.59% | 75.2 | 50.51% | +0.91% | -4.03% | +3.03% | 2.35% |
 | Safety Bubble | 559 | 10.33% | 75.1 | 50.98% | +1.41% | -0.06% | -0.30% | -0.08% |
 | Ethereal Blade | 77 | 1.42% | 74.4 | 61.04% | +11.49% | +18.96% | -16.04% | -2.43% |
 | Cloak of Flames | 68 | 1.26% | 73.7 | 61.76% | +12.20% | +2.95% | -6.20% | 0.00% |
 | Light Collector | 154 | 2.85% | 73.3 | 55.19% | +5.64% | +15.40% | -5.19% | -5.15% |
 | Ceremonial Robe | 254 | 4.70% | 72.9 | 52.36% | +2.78% | +1.90% | -11.73% | -3.63% |
 | Fluffy Hat | 1138 | 21.04% | 72.9 | 47.98% | -2.20% | +2.55% | -7.28% | -0.85% |
 | Tranquil Boots | 351 | 6.49% | 72.8 | 51.00% | +1.38% | +4.68% | +2.41% | -0.25% |
 | Null Talisman | 303 | 5.60% | 72.7 | 51.49% | +1.88% | -1.49% | +2.46% | 0.76% |
 | Ascetic's Cap | 131 | 2.42% | 72.5 | 55.73% | +6.17% | -6.79% | -1.18% | 1.60% |
 | Seeds of Serenity | 538 | 9.94% | 72.5 | 49.44% | -0.30% | +1.88% | +0.02% | -0.62% |
 | Royal Jelly | 302 | 5.58% | 72.4 | 51.32% | +1.70% | +3.97% | -6.08% | -2.51% |
 | Vampire Fangs | 157 | 2.90% | 71.8 | 54.14% | +4.56% | -0.57% | -1.97% | -0.47% |
 | Kaya and Sange | 37 | 0.68% | 71.7 | 67.57% | +17.98% | -7.57% | +12.43% | 0.00% |
 | Ninja Gear | 115 | 2.13% | 71.0 | 55.65% | +6.07% | +0.35% | +9.98% | 3.21% |
 | Fairy's Trinket | 816 | 15.08% | 71.0 | 47.43% | -2.69% | +5.02% | -5.98% | -3.67% |
 | Defiant Shell | 45 | 0.83% | 70.9 | 64.44% | +14.85% | +10.56% | +2.23% | 0.00% |
 | Vambrace | 264 | 4.88% | 70.6 | 50.76% | +1.10% | +1.29% | +4.03% | 0.69% |
 | Linken's Sphere | 32 | 0.59% | 70.4 | 68.75% | +19.15% | +6.25% | -6.25% | 0.00% |
 | Dragon Scale | 179 | 3.31% | 68.7 | 51.40% | +1.74% | +2.84% | +6.60% | 0.94% |
 | Whisper of the Dread | 292 | 5.40% | 68.5 | 48.97% | -0.79% | +3.47% | +1.66% | -0.45% |
 | Force Staff | 716 | 13.23% | 68.4 | 46.09% | -4.18% | +1.95% | -8.10% | -1.08% |
 | Gossamer Cape | 387 | 7.15% | 68.3 | 47.80% | -2.06% | +3.09% | -1.32% | -1.47% |
 | Doubloon | 116 | 2.14% | 67.7 | 53.45% | +3.82% | +14.29% | -3.45% | -4.44% |
 | Pupil's Gift | 298 | 5.51% | 67.6 | 48.32% | -1.47% | -3.27% | +1.19% | 1.49% |
 | Bottle | 268 | 4.95% | 66.7 | 48.13% | -1.67% | -3.84% | +1.12% | 4.96% |
 | Paladin Sword | 74 | 1.37% | 65.2 | 55.41% | +5.78% | -3.41% | -5.41% | -0.67% |
 | Helm of Iron Will | 179 | 3.31% | 63.5 | 48.04% | -1.73% | -5.82% | +5.29% | 0.60% |
 | Aviana's Feather | 42 | 0.78% | 62.3 | 59.52% | +9.88% | +15.48% | -17.41% | 0.00% |
 | Bloodstone | 14 | 0.26% | 62.0 | 78.57% | +28.93% | -3.57% | -3.57% | 0.00% |
 | Stormcrafter | 45 | 0.83% | 61.0 | 57.78% | +8.13% | -14.03% | +25.55% | 0.00% |
 | Occult Bracelet | 93 | 1.72% | 60.8 | 50.54% | +0.84% | -7.30% | +11.53% | 6.28% |
 | Javelin | 233 | 4.31% | 60.3 | 44.64% | -5.30% | +6.21% | +6.21% | 0.00% |
 | Pig Pole | 167 | 3.09% | 60.0 | 46.11% | -3.72% | -1.28% | -2.71% | -0.48% |
 | Trickster Cloak | 141 | 2.61% | 59.6 | 46.81% | -2.98% | +0.92% | -2.37% | -0.82% |
 | Blight Stone | 110 | 2.03% | 59.2 | 48.18% | -1.57% | -1.75% | -1.75% | 0.00% |
 | Bracer | 225 | 4.16% | 58.4 | 43.56% | -6.42% | -4.96% | -3.21% | 0.18% |
 | Moon Shard | 11 | 0.20% | 58.2 | 81.82% | +32.17% | -15.15% | +18.18% | 0.00% |
 | Wind Waker | 25 | 0.46% | 57.9 | 64.00% | +14.35% | -6.86% | -6.86% | 0.00% |
 | Eul's Scepter of Divinity | 199 | 3.68% | 57.0 | 43.22% | -6.74% | +12.78% | -11.22% | -2.35% |
 | Martyr's Plate | 20 | 0.37% | 54.0 | 65.00% | +15.34% | -25.00% | +1.67% | 0.00% |
 | Boots of Travel 2 | 12 | 0.22% | 52.6 | 75.00% | +25.34% | +25.00% | +25.00% | 0.00% |
 | Orb of Venom | 87 | 1.61% | 51.7 | 44.83% | -4.96% | -4.83% | +5.17% | 4.74% |
 | Havoc Hammer | 21 | 0.39% | 51.2 | 61.90% | +12.23% | -19.04% | +13.10% | 0.00% |
 | Rod of Atos | 33 | 0.61% | 50.9 | 54.55% | +4.87% | -32.33% | +12.12% | 0.00% |
 | Specialist's Array | 64 | 1.18% | 50.8 | 46.88% | -2.87% | +4.97% | +6.06% | 0.00% |
 | Lance of Pursuit | 55 | 1.02% | 49.3 | 47.27% | -2.47% | -2.27% | -8.38% | 0.00% |
 | Elven Tunic | 40 | 0.74% | 48.2 | 50.00% | +0.29% | -4.55% | +10.00% | 0.00% |
 | Scythe of Vyse | 30 | 0.55% | 47.5 | 53.33% | +3.64% | +21.67% | -3.33% | 0.00% |
 | Heaven's Halberd | 20 | 0.37% | 41.7 | 55.00% | +5.31% | +5.00% | +5.00% | 0.00% |
 | Black King Bar | 15 | 0.28% | 41.2 | 60.00% | +10.32% | -10.00% | +15.00% | 0.00% |
 | Shiva's Guard | 4 | 0.07% | 40.8 | 100.00% | +50.32% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Veil of Discord | 6 | 0.11% | 40.1 | 83.33% | +33.65% | -33.33% | +16.67% | 0.00% |
 | Soul Ring | 25 | 0.46% | 37.7 | 48.00% | -1.72% | -5.14% | +9.14% | 0.00% |
 | Aghanim's Blessing | 62 | 1.15% | 37.1 | 37.10% | -12.76% | +12.90% | +6.65% | 0.00% |
 | Urn of Shadows | 62 | 1.15% | 37.1 | 37.10% | -12.76% | -5.85% | -5.85% | 0.00% |
 | Spirit Vessel | 39 | 0.72% | 36.2 | 41.03% | -8.75% | -21.03% | +8.97% | 0.00% |
 | Mirror Shield | 7 | 0.13% | 34.0 | 71.43% | +21.74% | +28.57% | +28.57% | 0.00% |
 | Desolator | 3 | 0.06% | 32.1 | 100.00% | +50.31% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Assault Cuirass | 5 | 0.09% | 32.0 | 80.00% | +30.31% | +20.00% | -30.00% | 0.00% |
 | Spark of Courage | 16 | 0.30% | 31.9 | 50.00% | +0.29% | -33.33% | +10.00% | 0.00% |
 | Seer Stone | 16 | 0.30% | 31.9 | 50.00% | +0.29% | 0.00% | -10.00% | 0.00% |
 | Rattlecage | 24 | 0.44% | 29.9 | 41.67% | -8.08% | +3.78% | -8.34% | 0.00% |
 | Grove Bow | 28 | 0.52% | 29.5 | 39.29% | -10.48% | +5.15% | -14.29% | 0.00% |
 | Yasha | 6 | 0.11% | 26.6 | 66.67% | +16.98% | +33.33% | -16.67% | 0.00% |
 | Gleipnir | 9 | 0.17% | 26.2 | 55.56% | +5.86% | +11.11% | +11.11% | 0.00% |
 | Force Boots | 9 | 0.17% | 26.2 | 55.56% | +5.86% | -15.56% | +19.44% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 2) | 4 | 0.07% | 23.4 | 75.00% | +25.31% | +25.00% | -75.00% | 0.00% |
 | Black Grimoire | 2 | 0.04% | 21.7 | 100.00% | +50.31% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Phylactery | 2 | 0.04% | 21.7 | 100.00% | +50.31% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Book of the Dead | 16 | 0.30% | 20.1 | 37.50% | -12.25% | +2.50% | -12.50% | 0.00% |
 | Maelstrom | 8 | 0.15% | 20.0 | 50.00% | +0.29% | +50.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Yasha and Kaya | 5 | 0.09% | 18.8 | 60.00% | +10.30% | +40.00% | -10.00% | 0.00% |
 | Shadow Blade | 13 | 0.24% | 18.2 | 38.46% | -11.28% | -13.46% | -13.46% | 0.00% |
 | Wraith Band | 15 | 0.28% | 15.9 | 33.33% | -16.43% | +16.67% | +16.67% | 0.00% |
 | Enchanted Quiver | 6 | 0.11% | 15.8 | 50.00% | +0.29% | +10.00% | -10.00% | 0.00% |
 | Giant's Ring | 6 | 0.11% | 15.8 | 50.00% | +0.29% | +16.67% | -16.67% | 0.00% |
 | Arcane Blink | 3 | 0.06% | 14.6 | 66.67% | +16.97% | +33.33% | +33.33% | 0.00% |
 | Radiance | 3 | 0.06% | 14.6 | 66.67% | +16.97% | +33.33% | +33.33% | 0.00% |
 | Blade Mail | 7 | 0.13% | 13.7 | 42.86% | -6.86% | -42.86% | +57.14% | 0.00% |
 | Duelist Gloves | 7 | 0.13% | 13.7 | 42.86% | -6.86% | -42.86% | +7.14% | 0.00% |
 | Vindicator's Axe | 7 | 0.13% | 13.7 | 42.86% | -6.86% | +7.14% | +7.14% | 0.00% |
 | Mask of Madness | 1 | 0.02% | 10.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Hurricane Pike | 1 | 0.02% | 10.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Satanic | 1 | 0.02% | 10.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Apex | 1 | 0.02% | 10.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Silver Edge | 1 | 0.02% | 10.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Sange and Yasha | 1 | 0.02% | 10.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Khanda | 1 | 0.02% | 10.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Witch Blade | 1 | 0.02% | 10.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Skull Basher | 1 | 0.02% | 10.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Crystalys | 1 | 0.02% | 10.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Book of Shadows | 10 | 0.18% | 9.8 | 30.00% | -19.75% | +3.33% | +3.33% | 0.00% |
 | Orchid Malevolence | 5 | 0.09% | 9.0 | 40.00% | -9.72% | +10.00% | -40.00% | 0.00% |
 | Vanguard | 5 | 0.09% | 9.0 | 40.00% | -9.72% | +10.00% | +10.00% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon | 5 | 0.09% | 9.0 | 40.00% | -9.72% | +10.00% | -40.00% | 0.00% |
 | Broom Handle | 8 | 0.15% | 5.9 | 25.00% | -24.75% | +75.00% | -25.00% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 3) | 2 | 0.04% | 5.6 | 50.00% | +0.29% | +50.00% | -50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Overwhelming Blink | 2 | 0.04% | 5.6 | 50.00% | +0.29% | -50.00% | +50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Crimson Guard | 3 | 0.06% | 3.9 | 33.33% | -16.39% | -33.33% | +66.67% | 0.00% |
 | Divine Rapier | 3 | 0.06% | 3.9 | 33.33% | -16.39% | +66.67% | -33.33% | 0.00% |
 | Orb of Corrosion | 3 | 0.06% | 3.9 | 33.33% | -16.39% | -33.33% | +66.67% | 0.00% |
 | Nemesis Curse | 3 | 0.06% | 3.9 | 33.33% | -16.39% | +66.67% | -33.33% | 0.00% |
 | Eternal Shroud | 4 | 0.07% | 3.0 | 25.00% | -24.73% | -25.00% | +75.00% | 0.00% |
 | Power Treads | 4 | 0.07% | 3.0 | 25.00% | -24.73% | -25.00% | -25.00% | 0.00% |
 | Orb of Destruction | 6 | 0.11% | 2.1 | 16.67% | -33.08% | -16.67% | -16.67% | 0.00% |
 | Armlet of Mordiggian | 2 | 0.04% | 0.0 | 0.00% | -49.73% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Helm of the Dominator | 1 | 0.02% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Helm of the Overlord | 1 | 0.02% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 4) | 1 | 0.02% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Magic Lamp | 2 | 0.04% | 0.0 | 0.00% | -49.73% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Mage Slayer | 1 | 0.02% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Pirate Hat | 1 | 0.02% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Phase Boots | 2 | 0.04% | 0.0 | 0.00% | -49.73% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |