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Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
Columns
Total | Winrate shifts | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Item | Pickups | Pickup rate | Rank | Winrate | When picked | Early | Late | Gradient (%/min) | |
 | Shiva's Guard | 287 | 21.07% | 100.0 | 62.37% | +19.77% | +15.41% | -10.98% | -3.09% |
 | Refresher Orb | 128 | 9.40% | 99.3 | 65.63% | +20.82% | +18.75% | -9.38% | -2.66% |
 | Assault Cuirass | 119 | 8.74% | 98.4 | 65.55% | +20.58% | +21.12% | -8.88% | -3.47% |
 | Buckler | 253 | 18.58% | 96.6 | 60.87% | +17.32% | -1.49% | -10.87% | -0.68% |
 | Bloodstone | 63 | 4.63% | 95.0 | 68.25% | +22.52% | +13.00% | -5.75% | -2.37% |
 | Kaya | 72 | 5.29% | 94.2 | 66.67% | +21.01% | +11.11% | -27.78% | -3.75% |
 | Vladmir's Offering | 127 | 9.32% | 93.3 | 62.20% | +17.02% | -2.82% | +0.30% | 0.32% |
 | Helm of the Overlord | 236 | 17.33% | 92.8 | 58.90% | +14.67% | +17.37% | -9.75% | -5.78% |
 | Veil of Discord | 373 | 27.39% | 91.5 | 56.57% | +13.50% | +9.75% | -7.63% | -2.17% |
 | Overwhelming Blink | 23 | 1.69% | 90.9 | 78.26% | +32.03% | -11.59% | +5.07% | 0.00% |
 | Ring of Tarrasque | 157 | 11.53% | 90.2 | 59.24% | +14.09% | +10.76% | -6.74% | -1.50% |
 | Black King Bar | 689 | 50.59% | 89.0 | 53.56% | +13.74% | +13.49% | -10.21% | -4.01% |
 | Crown | 323 | 23.72% | 88.2 | 55.11% | +10.93% | +4.15% | -10.67% | -1.29% |
 | Drum of Endurance | 61 | 4.48% | 87.0 | 63.93% | +17.97% | +17.32% | -5.11% | -2.78% |
 | Helm of Iron Will | 579 | 42.51% | 85.7 | 51.99% | +9.08% | +5.15% | +1.11% | -0.24% |
 | Helm of the Dominator | 284 | 20.85% | 84.8 | 53.52% | +8.53% | +14.09% | -8.45% | -5.64% |
 | Yasha and Kaya | 16 | 1.17% | 84.7 | 81.25% | +34.89% | +18.75% | -31.25% | 0.00% |
 | Aghanim's Shard | 625 | 45.89% | 84.7 | 51.20% | +8.19% | +7.40% | -6.61% | -1.33% |
 | Headdress | 88 | 6.46% | 83.8 | 59.09% | +13.17% | -4.54% | -9.09% | -0.68% |
 | Blink Dagger | 966 | 70.93% | 83.6 | 49.69% | +10.04% | +12.51% | -7.30% | -3.31% |
 | Yasha | 73 | 5.36% | 83.4 | 60.27% | +14.27% | +8.15% | -7.64% | -1.69% |
 | Bottle | 217 | 15.93% | 82.9 | 53.46% | +7.96% | -0.73% | -6.40% | -5.67% |
 | Royal Jelly | 103 | 7.56% | 82.6 | 57.28% | +11.37% | +2.29% | -12.04% | -7.17% |
 | Aghanim's Scepter | 1083 | 79.52% | 81.9 | 48.48% | +8.34% | +22.74% | -17.97% | -10.37% |
 | Cornucopia | 187 | 13.73% | 81.8 | 53.48% | +7.78% | -6.67% | -8.80% | -0.14% |
 | Kaya and Sange | 42 | 3.08% | 81.1 | 64.29% | +18.08% | +26.62% | -27.93% | -5.73% |
 | Ring of Protection | 320 | 23.49% | 81.1 | 50.94% | +5.45% | -9.69% | +4.06% | 0.69% |
 | Magic Wand | 1023 | 75.11% | 80.9 | 48.00% | +4.93% | +3.95% | -0.92% | -0.80% |
 | Arcane Boots | 1054 | 77.39% | 80.0 | 47.44% | +2.96% | +11.43% | -6.46% | -9.17% |
 | Ring of Basilius | 1116 | 81.94% | 80.0 | 47.31% | +3.00% | +7.46% | -3.22% | -3.66% |
 | Boots of Speed | 1350 | 99.12% | 79.8 | 46.89% | +13.56% | +2.23% | +0.60% | -0.62% |
 | Sange | 116 | 8.52% | 78.9 | 54.31% | +8.24% | +21.55% | -23.28% | -4.95% |
 | Pipe of Insight | 63 | 4.63% | 78.7 | 58.73% | +12.54% | +10.02% | -14.98% | -4.82% |
 | Magic Stick | 1152 | 84.58% | 78.4 | 46.35% | -2.70% | +0.62% | +2.78% | 1.28% |
 | Octarine Core | 30 | 2.20% | 78.0 | 66.67% | +20.35% | -16.67% | +8.33% | 0.00% |
 | Meteor Hammer | 12 | 0.88% | 77.7 | 83.33% | +36.89% | -16.66% | -16.66% | 0.00% |
 | Boots of Travel | 99 | 7.27% | 77.6 | 54.55% | +8.39% | -0.70% | -2.55% | -0.08% |
 | Eternal Shroud | 116 | 8.52% | 77.5 | 53.45% | +7.30% | +16.55% | -18.97% | -4.25% |
 | Aghanim's Blessing | 62 | 4.55% | 77.3 | 58.06% | +11.83% | +23.19% | -20.56% | -8.02% |
 | Scythe of Vyse | 56 | 4.11% | 77.2 | 58.93% | +12.68% | -1.79% | -16.07% | -2.08% |
 | Arcane Ring | 138 | 10.13% | 77.0 | 52.17% | +6.01% | -0.45% | -5.11% | -2.33% |
 | Diadem | 381 | 27.97% | 76.6 | 47.77% | +1.39% | +13.69% | -5.06% | -1.87% |
 | Boots of Bearing | 23 | 1.69% | 76.3 | 69.57% | +23.19% | +13.76% | -52.90% | 0.00% |
 | Morbid Mask | 112 | 8.22% | 75.8 | 52.68% | +6.44% | -6.25% | -9.82% | -0.24% |
 | Trusty Shovel | 47 | 3.45% | 75.4 | 59.57% | +13.26% | +0.43% | +13.76% | 6.67% |
 | Void Stone | 321 | 23.57% | 74.5 | 47.04% | +0.35% | -2.60% | -2.60% | 0.00% |
 | Fluffy Hat | 134 | 9.84% | 74.3 | 50.75% | +4.41% | +2.19% | -3.69% | -0.43% |
 | Wind Lace | 386 | 28.34% | 74.3 | 46.37% | -0.56% | -3.07% | +1.63% | 0.45% |
 | Bracer | 410 | 30.10% | 74.2 | 46.10% | -0.96% | +1.98% | +5.36% | 1.58% |
 | Stormcrafter | 18 | 1.32% | 73.7 | 72.22% | +25.79% | +27.78% | -12.22% | 0.00% |
 | Wind Waker | 18 | 1.32% | 73.7 | 72.22% | +25.79% | -12.22% | +7.78% | 0.00% |
 | Eul's Scepter of Divinity | 44 | 3.23% | 73.4 | 59.09% | +12.73% | -13.64% | +22.73% | 3.15% |
 | Guardian Greaves | 24 | 1.76% | 72.7 | 66.67% | +20.26% | +16.66% | -33.34% | 0.00% |
 | Cloak of Flames | 128 | 9.40% | 72.7 | 50.00% | +3.57% | +6.67% | +4.05% | -1.31% |
 | Null Talisman | 150 | 11.01% | 71.9 | 48.67% | +2.14% | -14.46% | +6.59% | 8.06% |
 | Vampire Fangs | 274 | 20.12% | 71.8 | 45.99% | -0.98% | +3.27% | -0.78% | -2.03% |
 | Quelling Blade | 669 | 49.12% | 71.6 | 43.35% | -6.72% | +1.21% | -3.35% | -4.56% |
 | Seeds of Serenity | 160 | 11.75% | 71.5 | 48.13% | +1.54% | +1.87% | -0.59% | -1.23% |
 | Whisper of the Dread | 122 | 8.96% | 70.8 | 49.18% | +2.65% | -9.56% | +7.34% | 16.90% |
 | Dagon | 52 | 3.82% | 70.8 | 55.77% | +9.36% | +13.46% | -1.92% | -1.64% |
 | Bullwhip | 72 | 5.29% | 70.7 | 52.78% | +6.35% | -1.43% | -10.67% | -4.62% |
 | Dagon (level 2) | 35 | 2.57% | 70.5 | 60.00% | +13.58% | +6.67% | -4.44% | 0.00% |
 | Chainmail | 241 | 17.69% | 70.4 | 45.64% | -1.37% | -7.94% | +1.90% | 1.16% |
 | Tranquil Boots | 33 | 2.42% | 70.3 | 60.61% | +14.18% | -5.05% | -5.05% | 0.00% |
 | Sange and Yasha | 15 | 1.10% | 69.9 | 73.33% | +26.86% | +1.67% | -23.33% | 0.00% |
 | Mekansm | 29 | 2.13% | 69.9 | 62.07% | +15.63% | -12.07% | -12.07% | 0.00% |
 | Manta Style | 40 | 2.94% | 69.1 | 57.50% | +11.06% | -7.50% | -2.95% | 0.46% |
 | Fairy's Trinket | 223 | 16.37% | 68.6 | 44.84% | -2.31% | -1.82% | -2.49% | -0.34% |
 | Rattlecage | 32 | 2.35% | 67.7 | 59.38% | +12.91% | +4.91% | -3.82% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 3) | 28 | 2.06% | 67.0 | 60.71% | +14.23% | -3.57% | -3.57% | 0.00% |
 | Dragon Scale | 204 | 14.98% | 65.9 | 43.63% | -3.69% | +2.29% | -2.12% | -4.41% |
 | Ogre Seal Totem | 88 | 6.46% | 65.0 | 47.73% | +1.03% | +16.79% | -9.80% | -13.30% |
 | Bloodthorn | 45 | 3.30% | 64.6 | 53.33% | +6.78% | +13.34% | -11.66% | -2.91% |
 | Faded Broach | 69 | 5.07% | 64.5 | 49.28% | +2.64% | +21.55% | -8.65% | -15.10% |
 | Linken's Sphere | 27 | 1.98% | 63.9 | 59.26% | +12.74% | +12.17% | -2.12% | 0.00% |
 | Desolator | 5 | 0.37% | 63.4 | 100.00% | +53.43% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Vindicator's Axe | 53 | 3.89% | 63.4 | 50.94% | +4.34% | -7.19% | -3.32% | 1.94% |
 | Duelist Gloves | 66 | 4.85% | 62.6 | 48.48% | +1.80% | +1.52% | +1.52% | 0.00% |
 | Pig Pole | 115 | 8.44% | 62.3 | 44.35% | -2.64% | +7.26% | -5.33% | -4.20% |
 | Ascetic's Cap | 28 | 2.06% | 61.5 | 57.14% | +10.59% | +17.86% | -14.28% | 0.00% |
 | Safety Bubble | 157 | 11.53% | 61.3 | 42.04% | -5.35% | +6.40% | -1.66% | -4.03% |
 | Vambrace | 153 | 11.23% | 59.7 | 41.18% | -6.30% | +0.20% | +1.41% | 0.61% |
 | Crimson Guard | 11 | 0.81% | 59.1 | 72.73% | +26.17% | -6.06% | +27.27% | 0.00% |
 | Ring of Health | 124 | 9.10% | 59.1 | 41.94% | -5.31% | +12.90% | +6.45% | -0.40% |
 | Orchid Malevolence | 86 | 6.31% | 59.0 | 44.19% | -2.75% | +1.26% | -12.37% | -1.36% |
 | Heaven's Halberd | 44 | 3.23% | 59.0 | 50.00% | +3.34% | +4.55% | -22.73% | -3.72% |
 | Gossamer Cape | 73 | 5.36% | 58.7 | 45.21% | -1.65% | +4.79% | -8.85% | -6.82% |
 | Javelin | 95 | 6.98% | 58.4 | 43.16% | -3.88% | -5.66% | -13.99% | -0.39% |
 | Paladin Sword | 137 | 10.06% | 58.3 | 40.88% | -6.55% | -4.88% | +0.03% | 2.46% |
 | Dagon (level 4) | 25 | 1.84% | 57.4 | 56.00% | +9.40% | +15.43% | +1.14% | 0.00% |
 | Orb of Destruction | 35 | 2.57% | 57.2 | 51.43% | +4.78% | -8.57% | +4.82% | 0.00% |
 | Blight Stone | 43 | 3.16% | 56.8 | 48.84% | +2.14% | +5.71% | +14.80% | 1.07% |
 | Grove Bow | 38 | 2.79% | 56.5 | 50.00% | +3.32% | +14.71% | -13.64% | 0.00% |
 | Light Collector | 16 | 1.17% | 56.0 | 62.50% | +15.92% | -2.50% | +4.17% | 0.00% |
 | Power Treads | 75 | 5.51% | 55.0 | 42.67% | -4.34% | +9.96% | +9.96% | 0.00% |
 | Dandelion Amulet | 29 | 2.13% | 54.2 | 51.72% | +5.06% | +2.83% | +14.95% | 0.00% |
 | Occult Bracelet | 98 | 7.20% | 53.4 | 39.80% | -7.51% | +7.82% | -19.11% | -8.98% |
 | Orb of Venom | 57 | 4.19% | 53.4 | 43.86% | -3.04% | +22.81% | -23.86% | -11.16% |
 | Aeon Disk | 4 | 0.29% | 52.9 | 100.00% | +53.39% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Radiance | 4 | 0.29% | 52.9 | 100.00% | +53.39% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Lotus Orb | 38 | 2.79% | 52.6 | 47.37% | +0.62% | +22.63% | -17.37% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 5) | 22 | 1.62% | 52.6 | 54.55% | +7.91% | +12.12% | -4.55% | 0.00% |
 | Ceremonial Robe | 58 | 4.26% | 52.5 | 43.10% | -3.83% | -5.00% | +11.07% | 8.04% |
 | Broom Handle | 82 | 6.02% | 52.2 | 40.24% | -6.95% | -3.88% | +5.91% | 4.90% |
 | Nullifier | 6 | 0.44% | 51.1 | 83.33% | +36.72% | +16.67% | -33.33% | 0.00% |
 | Specialist's Array | 66 | 4.85% | 50.7 | 40.91% | -6.16% | +5.52% | -4.07% | -9.59% |
 | Lance of Pursuit | 18 | 1.32% | 49.4 | 55.56% | +8.91% | -15.56% | +6.94% | 0.00% |
 | Nemesis Curse | 18 | 1.32% | 49.4 | 55.56% | +8.91% | +11.11% | +4.44% | 0.00% |
 | Pupil's Gift | 75 | 5.51% | 48.8 | 38.67% | -8.57% | +0.22% | +11.33% | 5.56% |
 | Phase Boots | 47 | 3.45% | 48.7 | 42.55% | -4.37% | -9.22% | +7.45% | 5.92% |
 | Craggy Coat | 60 | 4.41% | 48.2 | 40.00% | -7.08% | +7.37% | -2.50% | -4.94% |
 | Timeless Relic | 60 | 4.41% | 48.2 | 40.00% | -7.08% | +14.55% | -6.67% | -10.61% |
 | Wraith Band | 73 | 5.36% | 48.0 | 38.36% | -8.89% | -6.78% | +9.01% | 6.03% |
 | Psychic Headband | 36 | 2.64% | 47.4 | 44.44% | -2.39% | -6.94% | +22.23% | 0.00% |
 | Vanguard | 19 | 1.40% | 46.8 | 52.63% | +5.94% | +7.37% | +7.37% | 0.00% |
 | Ghost Scepter | 49 | 3.60% | 46.7 | 40.82% | -6.17% | +13.03% | -17.74% | -3.13% |
 | Defiant Shell | 64 | 4.70% | 42.8 | 35.94% | -11.36% | +9.51% | -8.16% | -5.89% |
 | Philosopher's Stone | 28 | 2.06% | 41.1 | 42.86% | -3.99% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Elven Tunic | 53 | 3.89% | 40.5 | 35.85% | -11.36% | +7.90% | -12.04% | -19.94% |
 | Eye of the Vizier | 13 | 0.95% | 39.8 | 53.85% | +7.15% | -3.85% | +6.15% | 0.00% |
 | Trickster Cloak | 38 | 2.79% | 37.6 | 36.84% | -10.21% | -20.17% | +6.02% | 0.00% |
 | Spark of Courage | 31 | 2.28% | 37.2 | 38.71% | -8.25% | +21.29% | -18.71% | 0.00% |
 | Havoc Hammer | 24 | 1.76% | 36.9 | 41.67% | -5.19% | -5.31% | -8.34% | 0.00% |
 | Martyr's Plate | 11 | 0.81% | 36.9 | 54.55% | +7.84% | +45.45% | -4.55% | 0.00% |
 | Ninja Gear | 37 | 2.72% | 34.9 | 35.14% | -11.95% | -7.36% | +1.22% | 0.00% |
 | Telescope | 6 | 0.44% | 34.2 | 66.67% | +19.99% | +33.33% | -16.67% | 0.00% |
 | Urn of Shadows | 6 | 0.44% | 34.2 | 66.67% | +19.99% | +33.33% | -16.67% | 0.00% |
 | Echo Sabre | 16 | 1.17% | 32.4 | 43.75% | -3.06% | +6.25% | +6.25% | 0.00% |
 | Silver Edge | 4 | 0.29% | 30.5 | 75.00% | +28.31% | +25.00% | +25.00% | 0.00% |
 | Blade Mail | 21 | 1.54% | 30.4 | 38.10% | -8.81% | +11.90% | -21.43% | 0.00% |
 | Boots of Travel 2 | 7 | 0.51% | 29.3 | 57.14% | +10.42% | -7.14% | +9.53% | 0.00% |
 | Mind Breaker | 14 | 1.03% | 29.1 | 42.86% | -3.95% | +14.28% | -22.86% | 0.00% |
 | Orb of Corrosion | 18 | 1.32% | 28.9 | 38.89% | -7.99% | +41.11% | +1.11% | 0.00% |
 | Arcane Blink | 2 | 0.15% | 28.2 | 100.00% | +53.31% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Aether Lens | 2 | 0.15% | 28.2 | 100.00% | +53.31% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Butterfly | 2 | 0.15% | 28.2 | 100.00% | +53.31% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Heart of Tarrasque | 2 | 0.15% | 28.2 | 100.00% | +53.31% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Harpoon | 11 | 0.81% | 27.4 | 45.45% | -1.33% | -45.45% | -12.12% | 0.00% |
 | Aviana's Feather | 16 | 1.17% | 25.5 | 37.50% | -9.38% | +5.36% | +2.50% | 0.00% |
 | Soul Ring | 13 | 0.95% | 23.4 | 38.46% | -8.39% | -13.46% | -13.46% | 0.00% |
 | Force Staff | 6 | 0.44% | 20.6 | 50.00% | +3.24% | -50.00% | +50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Swift Blink | 3 | 0.22% | 18.9 | 66.67% | +19.94% | +33.33% | -66.67% | 0.00% |
 | Book of the Dead | 3 | 0.22% | 18.9 | 66.67% | +19.94% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Skull Basher | 4 | 0.29% | 14.5 | 50.00% | +3.24% | -50.00% | +50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Eye of Skadi | 1 | 0.07% | 13.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Arcanist's Armor | 1 | 0.07% | 13.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Abyssal Blade | 1 | 0.07% | 13.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Force Boots | 1 | 0.07% | 13.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Daedalus | 1 | 0.07% | 13.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Crystalys | 1 | 0.07% | 13.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Armlet of Mordiggian | 1 | 0.07% | 13.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Solar Crest | 1 | 0.07% | 13.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Glimmer Cape | 1 | 0.07% | 13.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Magic Lamp | 1 | 0.07% | 13.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Witch Blade | 1 | 0.07% | 13.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Satanic | 1 | 0.07% | 13.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Ethereal Blade | 1 | 0.07% | 13.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Doubloon | 1 | 0.07% | 13.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Shadow Blade | 12 | 0.88% | 11.0 | 25.00% | -21.96% | +8.33% | -25.00% | 0.00% |
 | Mask of Madness | 6 | 0.44% | 10.1 | 33.33% | -13.50% | +16.67% | -33.33% | 0.00% |
 | Mirror Shield | 2 | 0.15% | 7.4 | 50.00% | +3.24% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Divine Rapier | 2 | 0.15% | 7.4 | 50.00% | +3.24% | -50.00% | +50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Pavise | 2 | 0.15% | 7.4 | 50.00% | +3.24% | -50.00% | +50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Ancient Guardian | 2 | 0.15% | 7.4 | 50.00% | +3.24% | -50.00% | +50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Spirit Vessel | 3 | 0.22% | 5.2 | 33.33% | -13.47% | -33.33% | +66.67% | 0.00% |
 | Mjollnir | 4 | 0.29% | 4.0 | 25.00% | -21.83% | -25.00% | -25.00% | 0.00% |
 | Moon Shard | 5 | 0.37% | 3.4 | 20.00% | -26.87% | +30.00% | -20.00% | 0.00% |
 | Maelstrom | 7 | 0.51% | 2.5 | 14.29% | -32.65% | -14.29% | +35.71% | 0.00% |
 | Hand of Midas | 17 | 1.25% | 1.2 | 5.88% | -41.41% | -5.88% | +14.12% | 0.00% |
 | Rod of Atos | 1 | 0.07% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Seer Stone | 2 | 0.15% | 0.0 | 0.00% | -46.84% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Mage Slayer | 1 | 0.07% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Pirate Hat | 1 | 0.07% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Giant's Ring | 1 | 0.07% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |