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Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
Columns
Total | Winrate shifts | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Item | Pickups | Pickup rate | Rank | Winrate | When picked | Early | Late | Gradient (%/min) | |
 | Meteor Hammer | 60 | 1.37% | 100.0 | 98.33% | +46.37% | +1.67% | +1.67% | 0.00% |
 | Wind Waker | 146 | 3.34% | 78.7 | 77.40% | +25.66% | -1.08% | -4.43% | -0.28% |
 | Octarine Core | 215 | 4.91% | 73.0 | 70.70% | +19.04% | +7.08% | -13.29% | -1.99% |
 | Kaya | 240 | 5.48% | 72.3 | 69.58% | +17.97% | +12.09% | -4.58% | -1.28% |
 | Lotus Orb | 275 | 6.28% | 72.0 | 68.73% | +17.22% | +2.70% | +2.28% | -0.05% |
 | Scythe of Vyse | 302 | 6.90% | 71.8 | 68.21% | +16.77% | +1.53% | -3.74% | -0.45% |
 | Guardian Greaves | 234 | 5.35% | 71.8 | 69.23% | +17.58% | +13.82% | -21.77% | -3.30% |
 | Headdress | 353 | 8.06% | 71.5 | 67.42% | +16.13% | +2.24% | -8.99% | -0.88% |
 | Mekansm | 284 | 6.49% | 70.0 | 66.90% | +15.30% | +10.56% | -11.97% | -1.85% |
 | Parasma | 84 | 1.92% | 69.7 | 73.81% | +21.63% | +11.90% | -11.91% | -1.44% |
 | Aeon Disk | 245 | 5.60% | 69.3 | 66.94% | +15.20% | +0.80% | -5.65% | -0.58% |
 | Phylactery | 132 | 3.02% | 68.7 | 69.70% | +17.64% | +12.65% | -9.09% | -3.21% |
 | Buckler | 268 | 6.12% | 68.7 | 66.04% | +14.32% | +13.06% | -16.79% | -2.57% |
 | Drum of Endurance | 117 | 2.67% | 68.3 | 70.09% | +17.98% | +6.58% | -6.76% | -1.02% |
 | Solar Crest | 209 | 4.77% | 67.4 | 66.03% | +14.11% | +5.67% | -7.54% | -1.38% |
 | Ring of Health | 430 | 9.82% | 65.8 | 61.86% | +10.28% | +0.18% | -0.75% | -0.08% |
 | Eul's Scepter of Divinity | 1185 | 27.07% | 65.8 | 59.49% | +9.46% | +2.25% | -2.59% | -0.45% |
 | Pavise | 224 | 5.12% | 65.8 | 64.29% | +12.33% | +0.62% | -3.58% | -0.42% |
 | Boots of Travel | 186 | 4.25% | 65.6 | 65.05% | +13.01% | -11.86% | -5.48% | 0.21% |
 | Pipe of Insight | 76 | 1.74% | 65.4 | 71.05% | +18.78% | +13.16% | -13.16% | 0.00% |
 | Crown | 686 | 15.67% | 65.4 | 60.20% | +9.02% | -1.82% | -0.32% | 0.14% |
 | Void Stone | 1858 | 42.45% | 65.0 | 58.13% | +9.62% | -3.72% | -2.65% | 0.09% |
 | Boots of Bearing | 63 | 1.44% | 63.8 | 71.43% | +19.11% | -2.68% | +3.57% | 0.00% |
 | Blink Dagger | 618 | 14.12% | 63.6 | 58.90% | +7.34% | -7.29% | +8.20% | 1.39% |
 | Hurricane Pike | 259 | 5.92% | 63.2 | 61.39% | +9.35% | +4.76% | -10.62% | -1.31% |
 | Aether Lens | 390 | 8.91% | 63.0 | 59.74% | +7.85% | +2.50% | -12.80% | -1.40% |
 | Pupil's Gift | 300 | 6.85% | 62.6 | 60.33% | +8.31% | -0.91% | +2.83% | 1.25% |
 | Rod of Atos | 662 | 15.12% | 62.6 | 57.85% | +6.19% | +5.02% | +3.60% | -0.20% |
 | Chainmail | 896 | 20.47% | 62.4 | 57.03% | +5.58% | +0.75% | -1.67% | -0.12% |
 | Aghanim's Shard | 3225 | 73.68% | 62.4 | 55.16% | +9.76% | +1.22% | -4.91% | -0.74% |
 | Royal Jelly | 218 | 4.98% | 62.3 | 61.47% | +9.34% | -4.33% | +3.44% | 1.94% |
 | Spirit Vessel | 341 | 7.79% | 61.9 | 59.24% | +7.21% | +2.39% | -6.91% | -1.42% |
 | Ring of Protection | 1058 | 24.17% | 61.9 | 56.24% | +4.81% | +1.87% | -0.01% | -0.11% |
 | Wind Lace | 2365 | 54.03% | 61.7 | 54.88% | +4.98% | -1.18% | +3.40% | 0.35% |
 | Dragon Lance | 328 | 7.49% | 61.7 | 59.15% | +7.09% | +5.48% | -4.27% | -0.86% |
 | Glimmer Cape | 1658 | 37.88% | 61.6 | 55.25% | +4.28% | +4.13% | -3.45% | -0.89% |
 | Ethereal Blade | 122 | 2.79% | 61.4 | 63.93% | +11.66% | +0.59% | -9.09% | -0.81% |
 | Force Staff | 1858 | 42.45% | 61.3 | 54.90% | +4.01% | +5.10% | -3.93% | -0.94% |
 | Moon Shard | 62 | 1.42% | 61.2 | 69.35% | +17.00% | +11.90% | -6.85% | 0.00% |
 | Arcane Boots | 3239 | 74.00% | 61.1 | 54.09% | +5.76% | +2.74% | -6.68% | -2.83% |
 | Yasha and Kaya | 52 | 1.19% | 61.1 | 71.15% | +18.78% | -9.61% | -1.92% | 0.00% |
 | Ring of Basilius | 3301 | 75.42% | 61.0 | 53.92% | +5.41% | +2.17% | -3.68% | -1.19% |
 | Fluffy Hat | 2274 | 51.95% | 60.5 | 53.87% | +2.66% | +3.25% | -2.55% | -0.55% |
 | Ghost Scepter | 868 | 19.83% | 60.1 | 55.07% | +3.09% | +0.73% | +0.69% | 0.00% |
 | Whisper of the Dread | 429 | 9.80% | 60.1 | 56.88% | +4.75% | +9.79% | -5.85% | -5.21% |
 | Null Talisman | 776 | 17.73% | 60.1 | 55.28% | +3.27% | -6.05% | -2.19% | 0.84% |
 | Aghanim's Scepter | 491 | 11.22% | 60.1 | 56.42% | +4.31% | +7.81% | +1.30% | -0.55% |
 | Ring of Tarrasque | 148 | 3.38% | 60.0 | 61.49% | +9.21% | +8.78% | +0.67% | -0.53% |
 | Boots of Speed | 4371 | 99.86% | 59.8 | 52.62% | +19.29% | +1.76% | -1.84% | -1.00% |
 | Magic Wand | 2913 | 66.55% | 59.7 | 52.94% | +1.03% | -0.96% | +0.61% | 0.23% |
 | Cornucopia | 195 | 4.46% | 59.4 | 59.49% | +7.22% | -6.43% | -0.31% | 0.28% |
 | Magic Stick | 3644 | 83.25% | 59.2 | 52.28% | -1.88% | +0.88% | -1.24% | -1.12% |
 | Witch Blade | 317 | 7.24% | 59.2 | 57.10% | +4.86% | +7.90% | +5.40% | -0.13% |
 | Dandelion Amulet | 261 | 5.96% | 58.7 | 57.47% | +5.19% | +5.69% | -6.77% | -4.15% |
 | Quelling Blade | 560 | 12.79% | 58.2 | 54.46% | +2.14% | +0.16% | -2.38% | -2.54% |
 | Bullwhip | 282 | 6.44% | 58.2 | 56.74% | +4.43% | +5.76% | -2.00% | -2.59% |
 | Arcane Ring | 535 | 12.22% | 58.0 | 54.39% | +2.05% | -0.26% | +5.61% | 1.96% |
 | Pig Pole | 174 | 3.98% | 57.8 | 58.62% | +6.28% | -4.07% | +9.18% | 4.42% |
 | Ceremonial Robe | 199 | 4.55% | 57.6 | 57.79% | +5.44% | -0.81% | +2.21% | 1.01% |
 | Fairy's Trinket | 1019 | 23.28% | 57.3 | 52.31% | -0.37% | +0.35% | +3.20% | 0.95% |
 | Psychic Headband | 591 | 13.50% | 57.1 | 53.30% | +0.82% | +1.50% | -3.60% | -1.70% |
 | Linken's Sphere | 59 | 1.35% | 56.9 | 66.10% | +13.69% | +27.23% | -12.77% | 0.00% |
 | Diadem | 357 | 8.16% | 56.8 | 54.62% | +2.21% | -12.40% | +4.27% | 1.73% |
 | Tranquil Boots | 681 | 15.56% | 56.8 | 52.72% | +0.15% | +6.34% | -4.77% | -2.65% |
 | Helm of Iron Will | 158 | 3.61% | 56.7 | 58.23% | +5.85% | -0.73% | +6.77% | 0.31% |
 | Stormcrafter | 45 | 1.03% | 56.6 | 68.89% | +16.47% | +1.11% | +6.11% | 0.00% |
 | Urn of Shadows | 503 | 11.49% | 56.6 | 53.28% | +0.78% | -0.11% | -0.11% | 0.00% |
 | Ogre Seal Totem | 368 | 8.41% | 56.3 | 54.08% | +1.62% | +2.17% | -4.08% | -2.08% |
 | Faded Broach | 608 | 13.89% | 56.0 | 52.30% | -0.34% | -4.61% | +1.25% | 1.95% |
 | Blight Stone | 135 | 3.08% | 55.9 | 58.52% | +6.12% | -4.23% | -11.46% | -0.83% |
 | Seeds of Serenity | 342 | 7.81% | 55.7 | 53.80% | +1.31% | -8.97% | +6.53% | 7.75% |
 | Enchanted Quiver | 453 | 10.35% | 55.6 | 52.76% | +0.19% | +5.68% | -4.13% | -3.27% |
 | Timeless Relic | 337 | 7.70% | 55.6 | 53.71% | +1.21% | +4.80% | -2.55% | -1.84% |
 | Philosopher's Stone | 933 | 21.32% | 55.2 | 50.59% | -2.55% | +1.23% | +4.78% | 1.18% |
 | Yasha | 46 | 1.05% | 55.2 | 67.39% | +14.95% | +7.61% | -17.39% | 0.00% |
 | Safety Bubble | 510 | 11.65% | 54.9 | 51.76% | -0.94% | -2.53% | +1.39% | 1.31% |
 | Gossamer Cape | 288 | 6.58% | 54.2 | 53.13% | +0.57% | +1.35% | +0.62% | -0.24% |
 | Grove Bow | 614 | 14.03% | 54.2 | 50.65% | -2.26% | +0.19% | +1.55% | 0.45% |
 | Trusty Shovel | 452 | 10.33% | 53.7 | 51.11% | -1.65% | -1.55% | +1.70% | 1.44% |
 | Shadow Blade | 38 | 0.87% | 53.6 | 68.42% | +15.97% | +11.58% | +1.58% | 0.00% |
 | Bottle | 317 | 7.24% | 52.4 | 51.10% | -1.61% | +1.40% | +2.65% | 1.25% |
 | Javelin | 233 | 5.32% | 52.3 | 52.36% | -0.25% | +1.88% | -1.51% | -0.14% |
 | Ninja Gear | 78 | 1.78% | 51.8 | 58.97% | +6.49% | +3.10% | +1.03% | 0.00% |
 | Specialist's Array | 185 | 4.23% | 51.8 | 52.97% | +0.39% | +2.77% | -1.30% | -1.36% |
 | Telescope | 194 | 4.43% | 51.6 | 52.58% | -0.01% | -6.82% | -1.60% | 1.31% |
 | Vambrace | 258 | 5.89% | 51.5 | 51.16% | -1.52% | -3.40% | +1.54% | 1.24% |
 | Doubloon | 44 | 1.01% | 50.4 | 63.64% | +11.16% | -4.82% | -9.79% | 0.00% |
 | Aghanim's Blessing | 18 | 0.41% | 50.2 | 77.78% | +25.29% | +22.22% | +2.22% | 0.00% |
 | Morbid Mask | 95 | 2.17% | 50.1 | 55.79% | +3.27% | +6.71% | -18.29% | -1.00% |
 | Kaya and Sange | 35 | 0.80% | 49.4 | 65.71% | +13.22% | +0.96% | +0.96% | 0.00% |
 | Elven Tunic | 74 | 1.69% | 48.9 | 56.76% | +4.24% | -9.39% | +15.97% | 0.00% |
 | Hand of Midas | 452 | 10.33% | 48.2 | 46.24% | -7.08% | +9.51% | -11.73% | -3.85% |
 | Eye of the Vizier | 212 | 4.84% | 48.1 | 49.06% | -3.71% | 0.00% | +1.82% | 0.56% |
 | Craggy Coat | 67 | 1.53% | 47.8 | 56.72% | +4.19% | -3.78% | -14.61% | 0.00% |
 | Light Collector | 63 | 1.44% | 47.7 | 57.14% | +4.61% | -7.14% | +3.97% | 0.00% |
 | Lance of Pursuit | 166 | 3.79% | 46.5 | 48.80% | -3.94% | +6.37% | -9.22% | -5.20% |
 | Orchid Malevolence | 31 | 0.71% | 46.3 | 64.52% | +12.01% | -2.02% | +10.48% | 0.00% |
 | Trickster Cloak | 139 | 3.18% | 46.3 | 49.64% | -3.05% | +11.47% | -3.13% | -3.65% |
 | Bracer | 215 | 4.91% | 44.9 | 46.05% | -6.88% | +11.36% | -1.61% | -1.26% |
 | Sange | 41 | 0.94% | 44.1 | 58.54% | +6.00% | +5.10% | -3.99% | 0.00% |
 | Vladmir's Offering | 39 | 0.89% | 43.9 | 58.97% | +6.43% | +31.03% | -8.97% | 0.00% |
 | Aviana's Feather | 50 | 1.14% | 43.8 | 56.00% | +3.45% | -12.25% | -13.14% | 0.00% |
 | Vampire Fangs | 76 | 1.74% | 43.3 | 51.32% | -1.30% | -8.46% | +8.68% | 0.00% |
 | Mind Breaker | 91 | 2.08% | 42.9 | 49.45% | -3.21% | -2.57% | +4.72% | 1.82% |
 | Defiant Shell | 47 | 1.07% | 42.4 | 55.32% | +2.76% | -2.38% | -8.26% | 0.00% |
 | Ascetic's Cap | 49 | 1.12% | 40.6 | 53.06% | +0.47% | -0.43% | +4.08% | 0.00% |
 | Refresher Orb | 24 | 0.55% | 40.2 | 62.50% | +9.96% | +20.83% | -29.17% | 0.00% |
 | Occult Bracelet | 107 | 2.44% | 40.2 | 45.79% | -6.97% | -9.43% | -5.79% | 1.21% |
 | Dragon Scale | 79 | 1.80% | 40.2 | 48.10% | -4.58% | -5.24% | +8.66% | 6.95% |
 | Nemesis Curse | 52 | 1.19% | 40.1 | 51.92% | -0.68% | -25.25% | +17.65% | 0.00% |
 | Paladin Sword | 22 | 0.50% | 39.9 | 63.64% | +11.10% | -30.31% | +19.69% | 0.00% |
 | Bloodstone | 8 | 0.18% | 39.7 | 87.50% | +34.97% | +12.50% | +12.50% | 0.00% |
 | Orb of Venom | 68 | 1.55% | 39.3 | 48.53% | -4.13% | -12.53% | +12.58% | 0.00% |
 | Power Treads | 121 | 2.76% | 39.0 | 43.80% | -9.04% | +11.04% | -5.09% | -1.03% |
 | Seer Stone | 12 | 0.27% | 38.6 | 75.00% | +22.47% | -25.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon | 17 | 0.39% | 36.4 | 64.71% | +12.16% | +35.29% | -44.71% | 0.00% |
 | Vindicator's Axe | 47 | 1.07% | 35.9 | 48.94% | -3.69% | +9.88% | -2.27% | 0.00% |
 | Cloak of Flames | 37 | 0.85% | 35.6 | 51.35% | -1.25% | +8.65% | -11.35% | 0.00% |
 | Rattlecage | 13 | 0.30% | 35.4 | 69.23% | +16.69% | +14.10% | -12.09% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 3) | 7 | 0.16% | 34.9 | 85.71% | +33.17% | +14.29% | -35.71% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 2) | 11 | 0.25% | 34.9 | 72.73% | +20.19% | +27.27% | -72.73% | 0.00% |
 | Mage Slayer | 18 | 0.41% | 34.2 | 61.11% | +8.55% | -21.11% | +18.89% | 0.00% |
 | Gleipnir | 33 | 0.75% | 31.4 | 48.48% | -4.14% | +7.08% | -4.04% | 0.00% |
 | Black King Bar | 17 | 0.39% | 31.3 | 58.82% | +6.25% | -18.82% | +21.18% | 0.00% |
 | Maelstrom | 45 | 1.03% | 31.1 | 44.44% | -8.24% | +5.56% | +5.56% | 0.00% |
 | Pirate Hat | 10 | 0.23% | 30.8 | 70.00% | +17.45% | -3.33% | -3.33% | 0.00% |
 | Book of Shadows | 10 | 0.23% | 30.8 | 70.00% | +17.45% | +5.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Monkey King Bar | 10 | 0.23% | 30.8 | 70.00% | +17.45% | -3.33% | -3.33% | 0.00% |
 | Duelist Gloves | 28 | 0.64% | 30.8 | 50.00% | -2.61% | -20.00% | +10.00% | 0.00% |
 | Divine Rapier | 8 | 0.18% | 30.0 | 75.00% | +22.45% | -25.00% | +25.00% | 0.00% |
 | Mjollnir | 6 | 0.14% | 29.6 | 83.33% | +30.78% | -33.33% | +16.67% | 0.00% |
 | Wraith Band | 34 | 0.78% | 27.8 | 44.12% | -8.54% | +0.32% | -21.90% | 0.00% |
 | Boots of Travel 2 | 9 | 0.21% | 26.5 | 66.67% | +14.11% | +33.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 4) | 5 | 0.11% | 23.6 | 80.00% | +27.44% | +20.00% | -30.00% | 0.00% |
 | Blade Mail | 3 | 0.07% | 23.5 | 100.00% | +47.44% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Mask of Madness | 3 | 0.07% | 23.5 | 100.00% | +47.44% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Force Boots | 11 | 0.25% | 21.5 | 54.55% | +1.96% | +12.12% | -29.55% | 0.00% |
 | Vanguard | 6 | 0.14% | 19.7 | 66.67% | +14.10% | -66.67% | +33.33% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 5) | 4 | 0.09% | 17.4 | 75.00% | +22.43% | +25.00% | -75.00% | 0.00% |
 | Ancient Guardian | 14 | 0.32% | 16.9 | 42.86% | -9.76% | +7.14% | -2.86% | 0.00% |
 | Veil of Discord | 7 | 0.16% | 16.8 | 57.14% | +4.55% | -57.14% | -7.14% | 0.00% |
 | Crimson Guard | 7 | 0.16% | 16.8 | 57.14% | +4.55% | -57.14% | -7.14% | 0.00% |
 | Silver Edge | 2 | 0.05% | 16.1 | 100.00% | +47.43% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Eye of Skadi | 2 | 0.05% | 16.1 | 100.00% | +47.43% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Orb of Corrosion | 11 | 0.25% | 15.8 | 45.45% | -7.16% | +21.22% | +54.55% | 0.00% |
 | Mirror Shield | 11 | 0.25% | 15.8 | 45.45% | -7.16% | -20.45% | +54.55% | 0.00% |
 | Spark of Courage | 20 | 0.46% | 12.0 | 30.00% | -22.70% | +12.86% | -13.33% | 0.00% |
 | Heaven's Halberd | 6 | 0.14% | 11.7 | 50.00% | -2.60% | +50.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Phase Boots | 6 | 0.14% | 11.7 | 50.00% | -2.60% | -50.00% | +50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Eternal Shroud | 6 | 0.14% | 11.7 | 50.00% | -2.60% | 0.00% | -50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Magic Lamp | 6 | 0.14% | 11.7 | 50.00% | -2.60% | +16.67% | -16.67% | 0.00% |
 | Book of the Dead | 6 | 0.14% | 11.7 | 50.00% | -2.60% | -16.67% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Crystalys | 6 | 0.14% | 11.7 | 50.00% | -2.60% | 0.00% | -50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Soul Ring | 3 | 0.07% | 10.7 | 66.67% | +14.09% | +33.33% | -66.67% | 0.00% |
 | Apex | 4 | 0.09% | 8.1 | 50.00% | -2.60% | +50.00% | -50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Shiva's Guard | 4 | 0.09% | 8.1 | 50.00% | -2.60% | +50.00% | -50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Arcane Blink | 1 | 0.02% | 7.7 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Echo Sabre | 1 | 0.02% | 7.7 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Desolator | 1 | 0.02% | 7.7 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Skull Basher | 1 | 0.02% | 7.7 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Nullifier | 1 | 0.02% | 7.7 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Arcanist's Armor | 1 | 0.02% | 7.7 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Revenant's Brooch | 1 | 0.02% | 7.7 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Giant's Ring | 1 | 0.02% | 7.7 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Martyr's Plate | 10 | 0.23% | 7.3 | 30.00% | -22.64% | -30.00% | +3.33% | 0.00% |
 | Orb of Destruction | 5 | 0.11% | 6.6 | 40.00% | -12.61% | +10.00% | -6.67% | 0.00% |
 | Khanda | 5 | 0.11% | 6.6 | 40.00% | -12.61% | +10.00% | -40.00% | 0.00% |
 | Broom Handle | 12 | 0.27% | 6.1 | 25.00% | -27.67% | -25.00% | +8.33% | 0.00% |
 | Diffusal Blade | 2 | 0.05% | 4.2 | 50.00% | -2.59% | -50.00% | +50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Bloodthorn | 2 | 0.05% | 4.2 | 50.00% | -2.59% | -50.00% | +50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Manta Style | 1 | 0.02% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Stygian Desolator | 2 | 0.05% | 0.0 | 0.00% | -52.62% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Havoc Hammer | 1 | 0.02% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |