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Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
Columns
Total | Winrate shifts | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Item | Pickups | Pickup rate | Rank | Winrate | When picked | Early | Late | Gradient (%/min) | |
 | Meteor Hammer | 68 | 0.84% | 100.0 | 94.12% | +44.20% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Kaya | 85 | 1.04% | 80.2 | 78.82% | +28.83% | +7.54% | -28.82% | 0.00% |
 | Boots of Bearing | 1909 | 23.47% | 77.6 | 64.75% | +18.89% | -3.37% | -2.83% | 0.04% |
 | Octarine Core | 1257 | 15.45% | 77.1 | 65.00% | +17.40% | -2.14% | +0.82% | 0.27% |
 | Guardian Greaves | 301 | 3.70% | 76.6 | 68.44% | +18.85% | -2.65% | -6.60% | -0.35% |
 | Aghanim's Scepter | 2140 | 26.31% | 75.4 | 62.85% | +17.05% | +3.88% | -3.66% | -0.86% |
 | Refresher Orb | 1423 | 17.49% | 74.3 | 62.54% | +14.85% | +9.37% | -7.20% | -1.86% |
 | Linken's Sphere | 484 | 5.95% | 74.2 | 64.88% | +15.51% | -3.72% | -0.42% | 0.34% |
 | Buckler | 1456 | 17.90% | 72.0 | 60.65% | +12.62% | -4.61% | +6.93% | 1.16% |
 | Vladmir's Offering | 1112 | 13.67% | 71.4 | 60.61% | +11.96% | -1.98% | +0.90% | 0.46% |
 | Aether Lens | 414 | 5.09% | 71.3 | 63.04% | +13.44% | -2.46% | -8.23% | -0.37% |
 | Mekansm | 413 | 5.08% | 70.6 | 62.47% | +12.83% | +0.39% | -3.82% | -0.44% |
 | Ring of Tarrasque | 1871 | 23.00% | 70.5 | 59.01% | +11.32% | +2.53% | -4.43% | -0.38% |
 | Headdress | 1234 | 15.17% | 70.2 | 59.40% | +10.74% | +0.28% | -1.47% | -0.21% |
 | Aghanim's Shard | 2749 | 33.80% | 70.1 | 58.24% | +12.01% | +0.98% | +0.25% | -0.06% |
 | Assault Cuirass | 33 | 0.41% | 69.8 | 81.82% | +31.66% | -4.04% | -4.04% | 0.00% |
 | Pipe of Insight | 795 | 9.77% | 69.5 | 59.75% | +10.49% | +2.56% | -8.49% | -1.47% |
 | Boots of Travel | 373 | 4.59% | 68.8 | 61.39% | +11.63% | -16.71% | -2.88% | 0.56% |
 | Cornucopia | 1747 | 21.48% | 68.6 | 57.58% | +9.29% | -2.89% | -4.03% | -0.05% |
 | Ghost Scepter | 539 | 6.63% | 68.5 | 59.93% | +10.32% | +11.18% | -3.63% | -1.21% |
 | Void Stone | 1598 | 19.65% | 67.1 | 56.45% | +7.67% | -5.20% | +2.05% | 0.48% |
 | Aghanim's Blessing | 120 | 1.48% | 67.0 | 65.83% | +15.77% | +10.84% | +4.17% | 0.00% |
 | Ring of Health | 976 | 12.00% | 66.8 | 57.07% | +7.71% | -6.25% | -3.79% | 0.14% |
 | Black King Bar | 5197 | 63.89% | 66.0 | 54.28% | +11.05% | +6.20% | -2.75% | -1.27% |
 | Ring of Basilius | 2285 | 28.09% | 65.7 | 54.88% | +6.38% | -2.70% | +1.91% | 0.69% |
 | Morbid Mask | 997 | 12.26% | 65.7 | 56.17% | +6.70% | +0.63% | -5.37% | -0.77% |
 | Chainmail | 979 | 12.04% | 65.3 | 55.87% | +6.35% | -3.22% | +1.68% | 0.57% |
 | Drum of Endurance | 4711 | 57.92% | 64.5 | 53.17% | +6.85% | +3.90% | +0.60% | -0.84% |
 | Lotus Orb | 93 | 1.14% | 64.2 | 65.59% | +15.48% | +1.08% | -3.09% | 0.00% |
 | Blight Stone | 465 | 5.72% | 64.0 | 56.77% | +6.87% | +2.55% | +3.06% | 0.11% |
 | Shiva's Guard | 69 | 0.85% | 63.9 | 68.12% | +17.98% | -1.45% | -1.45% | 0.00% |
 | Veil of Discord | 92 | 1.13% | 63.6 | 65.22% | +15.10% | -13.05% | +17.39% | 0.00% |
 | Orchid Malevolence | 142 | 1.75% | 63.6 | 61.97% | +11.89% | +10.25% | -11.97% | -3.61% |
 | Tranquil Boots | 5492 | 67.52% | 63.3 | 52.04% | +5.39% | -0.52% | -0.40% | 0.02% |
 | Ring of Protection | 2028 | 24.93% | 63.2 | 52.96% | +3.56% | -4.93% | +4.63% | 0.92% |
 | Aeon Disk | 143 | 1.76% | 63.1 | 61.54% | +11.45% | +13.46% | -3.21% | -1.40% |
 | Ogre Seal Totem | 365 | 4.49% | 62.6 | 56.44% | +6.44% | +6.15% | -2.18% | -2.78% |
 | Gleipnir | 88 | 1.08% | 62.6 | 64.77% | +14.64% | -5.68% | +12.50% | 0.00% |
 | Magic Wand | 5507 | 67.70% | 62.4 | 51.33% | +3.23% | +0.81% | +0.12% | -0.13% |
 | Ceremonial Robe | 483 | 5.94% | 62.4 | 55.28% | +5.31% | +5.68% | -12.94% | -6.21% |
 | Bracer | 2357 | 28.98% | 62.0 | 51.80% | +2.13% | +3.35% | -2.48% | -3.84% |
 | Magic Stick | 4727 | 58.11% | 62.0 | 51.11% | +1.96% | -0.33% | +2.99% | 1.67% |
 | Wind Lace | 6057 | 74.47% | 62.0 | 50.88% | +2.32% | +1.45% | -0.12% | -0.38% |
 | Blink Dagger | 7377 | 90.69% | 61.8 | 50.62% | +3.52% | +4.29% | -1.84% | -1.00% |
 | Boots of Speed | 7980 | 98.11% | 61.7 | 50.48% | +9.83% | +0.14% | -1.43% | -0.38% |
 | Scythe of Vyse | 45 | 0.55% | 61.7 | 71.11% | +20.94% | +12.22% | +3.89% | 0.00% |
 | Null Talisman | 772 | 9.49% | 61.6 | 53.37% | +3.40% | +3.62% | -3.63% | -1.74% |
 | Essence Ring | 1676 | 20.60% | 61.4 | 51.79% | +1.89% | -0.15% | -2.63% | -1.24% |
 | Vanguard | 363 | 4.46% | 61.3 | 55.37% | +5.32% | -3.72% | +2.24% | 0.68% |
 | Helm of Iron Will | 582 | 7.16% | 61.2 | 53.78% | +3.76% | +0.33% | +3.07% | 0.19% |
 | Arcane Boots | 1166 | 14.33% | 61.1 | 52.14% | +2.16% | -1.46% | +1.63% | 0.49% |
 | Magnifying Monocle | 423 | 5.20% | 61.0 | 54.61% | +4.56% | -0.44% | -10.25% | -3.27% |
 | Ripper's Lash | 1244 | 15.29% | 60.5 | 51.53% | +1.46% | -3.96% | +1.96% | 1.97% |
 | Mana Draught | 2203 | 27.08% | 60.5 | 50.61% | +0.44% | +0.23% | -1.42% | -0.55% |
 | Crown | 562 | 6.91% | 60.2 | 53.02% | +2.93% | +3.32% | -1.25% | -0.39% |
 | Orb of Frost | 408 | 5.02% | 60.0 | 53.92% | +3.82% | -0.98% | -0.98% | 0.00% |
 | Ninja Gear | 2344 | 28.82% | 59.9 | 50.09% | -0.28% | +0.12% | +1.06% | 0.47% |
 | Crimson Guard | 212 | 2.61% | 59.9 | 56.60% | +6.48% | -1.88% | +1.89% | 0.44% |
 | Rod of Atos | 135 | 1.66% | 59.9 | 59.26% | +9.12% | -6.32% | +2.50% | 0.61% |
 | Tumbler's Toy | 1725 | 21.21% | 59.8 | 50.38% | +0.11% | -0.31% | -2.12% | -0.91% |
 | Force Staff | 277 | 3.41% | 59.8 | 55.23% | +5.12% | +0.48% | +3.92% | 0.35% |
 | Gossamer Cape | 1201 | 14.77% | 59.8 | 50.96% | +0.79% | +3.26% | -1.44% | -2.35% |
 | Gale Guard | 1103 | 13.56% | 59.7 | 51.04% | +0.87% | -2.09% | +1.25% | 1.67% |
 | Whisper of the Dread | 966 | 11.88% | 59.2 | 50.93% | +0.73% | +0.08% | +1.39% | 0.66% |
 | Pollywog Charm | 720 | 8.85% | 59.1 | 51.53% | +1.36% | +3.75% | -3.67% | -2.47% |
 | Orb of Venom | 217 | 2.67% | 59.0 | 55.76% | +5.62% | -8.49% | +6.06% | 2.16% |
 | Trusty Shovel | 1548 | 19.03% | 58.9 | 49.81% | -0.59% | -2.36% | +1.25% | 1.20% |
 | Fluffy Hat | 1054 | 12.96% | 58.9 | 50.47% | +0.21% | -0.66% | -0.09% | 0.04% |
 | Pig Pole | 647 | 7.95% | 58.2 | 51.00% | +0.77% | -3.38% | +2.57% | 2.98% |
 | Orb of Destruction | 773 | 9.50% | 58.0 | 50.45% | +0.18% | -3.50% | -2.68% | 0.27% |
 | Helm of the Dominator | 53 | 0.65% | 57.9 | 66.04% | +15.85% | +5.39% | -8.90% | 0.00% |
 | Solar Crest | 83 | 1.02% | 57.9 | 61.45% | +11.28% | +5.22% | -13.83% | 0.00% |
 | Pavise | 87 | 1.07% | 57.8 | 60.92% | +10.75% | +11.81% | -15.47% | 0.00% |
 | Glimmer Cape | 567 | 6.97% | 56.2 | 49.74% | -0.59% | +8.71% | -5.37% | -1.41% |
 | Javelin | 276 | 3.39% | 56.0 | 52.17% | +1.95% | -8.69% | +8.70% | 0.85% |
 | Searing Signet | 1355 | 16.66% | 55.6 | 47.31% | -3.57% | +4.21% | -4.39% | -4.30% |
 | Heaven's Halberd | 133 | 1.64% | 55.4 | 55.64% | +5.44% | +0.24% | -5.64% | 0.00% |
 | Boots of Travel 2 | 17 | 0.21% | 55.3 | 82.35% | +32.13% | +17.65% | -15.68% | 0.00% |
 | Diadem | 500 | 6.15% | 54.8 | 49.00% | -1.37% | +4.60% | -2.97% | -0.67% |
 | Eul's Scepter of Divinity | 90 | 1.11% | 54.4 | 57.78% | +7.57% | -5.61% | +7.44% | 0.00% |
 | Bottle | 343 | 4.22% | 54.3 | 49.85% | -0.46% | -4.80% | -4.50% | 0.30% |
 | Spark of Courage | 354 | 4.35% | 54.3 | 49.72% | -0.59% | +1.24% | +2.78% | 0.77% |
 | Helm of the Overlord | 26 | 0.32% | 54.2 | 73.08% | +22.86% | +12.63% | -30.22% | 0.00% |
 | Orb of Corrosion | 49 | 0.60% | 53.5 | 63.27% | +13.06% | +29.04% | -17.12% | 0.00% |
 | Hand of Midas | 2205 | 27.11% | 53.4 | 44.85% | -7.46% | +4.34% | -5.46% | -2.15% |
 | Bloodthorn | 21 | 0.26% | 53.3 | 76.19% | +25.97% | -9.52% | -9.52% | 0.00% |
 | Occult Bracelet | 628 | 7.72% | 52.2 | 46.18% | -4.45% | +2.41% | -3.05% | -2.73% |
 | Quelling Blade | 545 | 6.70% | 51.8 | 46.24% | -4.34% | +0.47% | -6.09% | -1.04% |
 | Iron Talon | 530 | 6.52% | 49.9 | 44.72% | -5.96% | +3.53% | -1.86% | -2.70% |
 | Soul Ring | 452 | 5.56% | 49.5 | 44.91% | -5.70% | +4.21% | -3.32% | -2.05% |
 | Ethereal Blade | 29 | 0.36% | 47.9 | 65.52% | +15.29% | +34.48% | -28.02% | 0.00% |
 | Shadow Blade | 126 | 1.55% | 44.6 | 46.83% | -3.51% | +9.42% | -15.58% | 0.00% |
 | Gunpowder Gauntlet | 54 | 0.66% | 44.0 | 53.70% | +3.43% | +2.82% | -11.59% | 0.00% |
 | Spirit Vessel | 167 | 2.05% | 43.0 | 43.71% | -6.72% | +18.19% | -10.38% | -4.75% |
 | Urn of Shadows | 207 | 2.54% | 42.9 | 42.51% | -7.98% | +7.49% | -9.82% | -3.06% |
 | Wraith Band | 37 | 0.45% | 42.2 | 56.76% | +6.50% | +13.24% | +3.24% | 0.00% |
 | Yasha | 20 | 0.25% | 40.6 | 65.00% | +14.75% | +15.00% | -45.00% | 0.00% |
 | Arcane Blink | 17 | 0.21% | 37.2 | 64.71% | +14.45% | +15.29% | +15.29% | 0.00% |
 | Magic Lamp | 22 | 0.27% | 36.5 | 59.09% | +8.82% | +12.34% | -9.09% | 0.00% |
 | Hurricane Pike | 5 | 0.06% | 36.4 | 100.00% | +49.74% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Desolator | 5 | 0.06% | 36.4 | 100.00% | +49.74% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Overwhelming Blink | 15 | 0.18% | 36.4 | 66.67% | +16.41% | +8.33% | -16.67% | 0.00% |
 | Power Treads | 30 | 0.37% | 35.7 | 53.33% | +3.05% | +21.67% | +21.67% | 0.00% |
 | Fallen Sky | 23 | 0.28% | 34.7 | 56.52% | +6.25% | +26.81% | +14.91% | 0.00% |
 | Nemesis Curse | 27 | 0.33% | 32.8 | 51.85% | +1.57% | +35.65% | -37.56% | 0.00% |
 | Yasha and Kaya | 15 | 0.18% | 30.7 | 60.00% | +9.73% | +15.00% | -35.00% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon | 26 | 0.32% | 30.5 | 50.00% | -0.29% | +35.71% | -50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Minotaur Horn | 8 | 0.10% | 30.3 | 75.00% | +24.74% | -25.00% | -8.33% | 0.00% |
 | Dragon Lance | 6 | 0.07% | 29.5 | 83.33% | +33.07% | -33.33% | +16.67% | 0.00% |
 | Brigand's Blade | 37 | 0.45% | 28.7 | 43.24% | -7.08% | +6.76% | -13.24% | 0.00% |
 | Book of the Dead | 14 | 0.17% | 27.2 | 57.14% | +6.86% | -7.14% | +28.57% | 0.00% |
 | Divine Rapier | 9 | 0.11% | 26.6 | 66.67% | +16.40% | +33.33% | -33.34% | 0.00% |
 | Pyrrhic Cloak | 47 | 0.58% | 26.5 | 38.30% | -12.06% | +8.76% | -22.92% | 0.00% |
 | Crippling Crossbow | 26 | 0.32% | 23.8 | 42.31% | -8.00% | -20.09% | +11.54% | 0.00% |
 | Quickened | 5 | 0.06% | 23.7 | 80.00% | +29.73% | -30.00% | +20.00% | 0.00% |
 | Tough | 3 | 0.04% | 23.6 | 100.00% | +49.73% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Spider Legs | 17 | 0.21% | 22.3 | 47.06% | -3.24% | +8.50% | +12.94% | 0.00% |
 | Unrelenting Eye | 6 | 0.07% | 19.5 | 66.67% | +16.39% | -16.67% | +33.33% | 0.00% |
 | Phase Boots | 6 | 0.07% | 19.5 | 66.67% | +16.39% | +33.33% | -16.67% | 0.00% |
 | Wind Waker | 10 | 0.12% | 17.4 | 50.00% | -0.29% | -50.00% | +16.67% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 2) | 4 | 0.05% | 17.4 | 75.00% | +24.72% | +25.00% | -75.00% | 0.00% |
 | Greedy | 4 | 0.05% | 17.4 | 75.00% | +24.72% | -75.00% | +25.00% | 0.00% |
 | Mind Breaker | 14 | 0.17% | 17.0 | 42.86% | -7.44% | +17.14% | -5.36% | 0.00% |
 | Harpoon | 2 | 0.02% | 15.4 | 100.00% | +49.72% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Phylactery | 5 | 0.06% | 13.9 | 60.00% | +9.72% | +40.00% | -10.00% | 0.00% |
 | Serrated Shiv | 13 | 0.16% | 13.5 | 38.46% | -11.85% | +11.54% | +1.54% | 0.00% |
 | Radiance | 9 | 0.11% | 13.1 | 44.44% | -5.86% | -11.11% | -11.11% | 0.00% |
 | Sange | 6 | 0.07% | 11.6 | 50.00% | -0.29% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Manta Style | 4 | 0.05% | 8.1 | 50.00% | -0.29% | +50.00% | -50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Mask of Madness | 1 | 0.01% | 7.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Nullifier | 1 | 0.01% | 7.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 3) | 1 | 0.01% | 7.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Keen-eyed | 1 | 0.01% | 7.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 5) | 1 | 0.01% | 7.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Sange and Yasha | 1 | 0.01% | 7.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Brawny | 1 | 0.01% | 7.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Mystical | 1 | 0.01% | 7.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Holy Locket | 1 | 0.01% | 7.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Stygian Desolator | 1 | 0.01% | 7.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 4) | 1 | 0.01% | 7.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Falcon Blade | 1 | 0.01% | 7.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Moon Shard | 6 | 0.07% | 5.5 | 33.33% | -16.97% | +16.67% | +16.67% | 0.00% |
 | Pirate Hat | 2 | 0.02% | 4.0 | 50.00% | -0.29% | +50.00% | -50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Kaya and Sange | 4 | 0.05% | 2.2 | 25.00% | -25.30% | -25.00% | -25.00% | 0.00% |
 | Maelstrom | 2 | 0.02% | 0.0 | 0.00% | -50.30% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Blade Mail | 4 | 0.05% | 0.0 | 0.00% | -50.31% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Eternal Shroud | 2 | 0.02% | 0.0 | 0.00% | -50.30% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Heart of Tarrasque | 1 | 0.01% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |