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Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
Columns
Total | Winrate shifts | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Item | Pickups | Pickup rate | Rank | Winrate | When picked | Early | Late | Gradient (%/min) | |
 | Abyssal Blade | 2600 | 16.37% | 100.0 | 75.08% | +32.12% | +6.46% | -10.62% | -1.98% |
 | Refresher Orb | 583 | 3.67% | 96.9 | 75.47% | +28.29% | +10.15% | -14.51% | -2.25% |
 | Eye of Skadi | 1629 | 10.25% | 96.5 | 73.11% | +27.74% | +5.91% | -4.65% | -1.20% |
 | Aghanim's Scepter | 5076 | 31.95% | 96.4 | 71.83% | +34.70% | +6.85% | -6.58% | -1.58% |
 | Desolator | 45 | 0.28% | 95.9 | 91.11% | +43.01% | -11.11% | +8.89% | 0.00% |
 | Disperser | 411 | 2.59% | 93.2 | 73.97% | +26.44% | +0.79% | -6.01% | -0.53% |
 | Divine Rapier | 102 | 0.64% | 93.2 | 81.37% | +33.37% | -4.45% | -11.00% | 0.00% |
 | Meteor Hammer | 46 | 0.29% | 93.1 | 89.13% | +41.03% | -5.80% | +2.54% | 0.00% |
 | Scythe of Vyse | 491 | 3.09% | 92.9 | 73.12% | +25.70% | +13.87% | -14.58% | -2.94% |
 | Butterfly | 1376 | 8.66% | 92.7 | 70.64% | +24.55% | +3.20% | -6.98% | -1.14% |
 | Sange | 2963 | 18.65% | 92.2 | 69.25% | +25.85% | -5.55% | -4.83% | 0.07% |
 | Aghanim's Blessing | 913 | 5.75% | 91.5 | 70.54% | +23.68% | +11.63% | -9.84% | -2.26% |
 | Skull Basher | 4349 | 27.38% | 91.4 | 68.29% | +27.64% | +5.88% | -5.48% | -1.26% |
 | Bloodthorn | 7676 | 48.32% | 90.6 | 67.33% | +36.98% | +11.89% | -5.11% | -2.30% |
 | Moon Shard | 251 | 1.58% | 90.0 | 73.71% | +25.90% | +1.29% | -10.22% | -0.56% |
 | Nullifier | 4835 | 30.44% | 89.1 | 66.54% | +26.34% | +10.36% | -5.35% | -2.16% |
 | Javelin | 7122 | 44.83% | 86.1 | 64.07% | +28.73% | +6.87% | -4.38% | -1.42% |
 | Octarine Core | 75 | 0.47% | 85.1 | 78.67% | +30.60% | +5.54% | -10.25% | 0.00% |
 | Ring of Tarrasque | 814 | 5.12% | 85.0 | 66.09% | +18.84% | -5.60% | -5.31% | 0.02% |
 | Helm of Iron Will | 4833 | 30.42% | 84.8 | 63.36% | +21.76% | +6.42% | -4.25% | -1.35% |
 | Heart of Tarrasque | 169 | 1.06% | 79.8 | 68.64% | +20.64% | +5.78% | -1.20% | 0.00% |
 | Mind Breaker | 2282 | 14.36% | 77.7 | 58.94% | +12.52% | +1.99% | -1.77% | -1.88% |
 | Crippling Crossbow | 554 | 3.49% | 77.3 | 61.55% | +13.81% | +3.22% | -1.72% | -2.47% |
 | Kaya | 46 | 0.29% | 76.5 | 78.26% | +30.13% | +5.07% | -19.93% | 0.00% |
 | Manta Style | 12310 | 77.49% | 75.1 | 55.64% | +32.96% | +18.09% | -15.35% | -6.76% |
 | Orb of Frost | 3297 | 20.75% | 74.5 | 56.14% | +10.00% | -9.64% | +10.81% | 0.69% |
 | Magnifying Monocle | 158 | 0.99% | 73.5 | 64.56% | +16.51% | +4.19% | -3.95% | 0.00% |
 | Diffusal Blade | 1771 | 11.15% | 73.1 | 55.90% | +8.65% | +5.05% | +0.98% | -0.39% |
 | Nemesis Curse | 2809 | 17.68% | 72.2 | 54.65% | +7.81% | +4.72% | -5.73% | -5.23% |
 | Diadem | 12485 | 78.59% | 72.2 | 53.42% | +24.31% | +12.44% | -11.00% | -4.41% |
 | Aghanim's Shard | 2435 | 15.33% | 71.5 | 54.29% | +7.17% | -9.79% | +6.30% | 0.95% |
 | Monkey King Bar | 108 | 0.68% | 71.4 | 65.74% | +17.64% | -12.17% | +12.04% | 0.00% |
 | Yasha | 13824 | 87.02% | 70.6 | 52.23% | +30.89% | +14.48% | -11.26% | -5.11% |
 | Ceremonial Robe | 83 | 0.52% | 70.6 | 67.47% | +19.35% | +4.53% | -4.14% | 0.00% |
 | Daedalus | 30 | 0.19% | 69.9 | 80.00% | +31.84% | +20.00% | -30.00% | 0.00% |
 | Ogre Seal Totem | 451 | 2.84% | 69.9 | 56.76% | +8.79% | +3.09% | +0.16% | -1.47% |
 | Orchid Malevolence | 12887 | 81.12% | 69.7 | 51.63% | +18.09% | +12.38% | -5.40% | -3.91% |
 | Cornucopia | 12196 | 76.77% | 69.7 | 51.66% | +14.80% | +7.03% | -4.36% | -1.87% |
 | Harpoon | 306 | 1.93% | 69.7 | 58.17% | +10.15% | +4.17% | +2.87% | -0.15% |
 | Serrated Shiv | 4253 | 26.77% | 69.3 | 52.01% | +5.18% | +2.11% | -3.13% | -2.62% |
 | Ghost Scepter | 384 | 2.42% | 69.1 | 56.77% | +8.76% | -5.73% | +5.73% | 1.07% |
 | Radiance | 3166 | 19.93% | 68.2 | 51.55% | +4.16% | +14.44% | -11.10% | -4.48% |
 | Sange and Yasha | 520 | 3.27% | 68.1 | 55.00% | +7.01% | +8.08% | +2.69% | -0.87% |
 | Gunpowder Gauntlet | 2302 | 14.49% | 68.0 | 51.74% | +4.12% | +1.64% | -2.65% | -2.15% |
 | Brigand's Blade | 4112 | 25.88% | 67.7 | 50.92% | +3.65% | +5.61% | -5.51% | -5.56% |
 | Linken's Sphere | 76 | 0.48% | 67.2 | 65.79% | +17.66% | +2.63% | +7.89% | 0.00% |
 | Mana Draught | 2833 | 17.83% | 66.8 | 50.62% | +2.92% | -0.82% | -0.28% | 0.18% |
 | Magic Wand | 12424 | 78.21% | 66.3 | 49.07% | +3.92% | -0.03% | +0.13% | 0.04% |
 | Gale Guard | 1378 | 8.67% | 66.2 | 51.23% | +3.30% | +2.81% | -2.26% | -2.54% |
 | Power Treads | 15430 | 97.13% | 65.9 | 48.66% | +15.55% | +6.26% | -6.76% | -4.52% |
 | Orb of Destruction | 4920 | 30.97% | 65.7 | 49.25% | +1.49% | +0.36% | -2.63% | -1.00% |
 | Quelling Blade | 14465 | 91.06% | 65.5 | 48.45% | +2.64% | +0.05% | +0.01% | 0.00% |
 | Pyrrhic Cloak | 762 | 4.80% | 65.5 | 51.97% | +3.94% | +5.05% | -4.30% | -3.12% |
 | Magic Stick | 12924 | 81.35% | 65.5 | 48.49% | +1.46% | +1.02% | -2.01% | -3.03% |
 | Boots of Speed | 15794 | 99.42% | 65.4 | 48.28% | +11.32% | +2.45% | -3.64% | -2.26% |
 | Spark of Courage | 2720 | 17.12% | 64.6 | 49.04% | +0.99% | -0.44% | -0.57% | -0.06% |
 | Bracer | 2846 | 17.92% | 64.5 | 48.91% | +0.84% | +2.33% | -4.45% | -4.96% |
 | Searing Signet | 1205 | 7.59% | 64.2 | 49.96% | +1.88% | +6.71% | -3.70% | -5.21% |
 | Wraith Band | 5959 | 37.51% | 64.1 | 47.93% | -0.46% | +2.60% | -4.16% | -4.27% |
 | Crown | 546 | 3.44% | 63.1 | 51.10% | +2.98% | +0.72% | -4.72% | -0.40% |
 | Iron Talon | 4333 | 27.28% | 62.4 | 46.92% | -1.79% | +6.42% | -5.69% | -6.06% |
 | Ring of Protection | 1232 | 7.76% | 61.8 | 48.13% | -0.10% | -2.68% | +4.79% | 0.90% |
 | Fluffy Hat | 1374 | 8.65% | 61.4 | 47.67% | -0.60% | +1.75% | -0.29% | -0.16% |
 | Blight Stone | 1524 | 9.59% | 61.3 | 47.44% | -0.86% | -3.20% | -0.20% | 0.55% |
 | Black King Bar | 563 | 3.54% | 61.1 | 49.56% | +1.39% | +0.79% | +2.92% | 0.16% |
 | Shiva's Guard | 52 | 0.33% | 61.1 | 65.38% | +17.22% | +26.93% | -11.53% | 0.00% |
 | Null Talisman | 896 | 5.64% | 61.0 | 48.21% | -0.01% | +2.24% | +0.23% | -0.81% |
 | Orb of Corrosion | 1336 | 8.41% | 61.0 | 47.38% | -0.92% | +2.92% | -4.82% | -1.51% |
 | Urn of Shadows | 607 | 3.82% | 60.1 | 48.60% | +0.40% | -0.57% | -5.84% | -1.53% |
 | Blink Dagger | 998 | 6.28% | 60.1 | 47.29% | -0.99% | -4.43% | +2.91% | 0.80% |
 | Void Stone | 1716 | 10.80% | 59.8 | 46.10% | -2.38% | -3.44% | +4.02% | 0.58% |
 | Occult Bracelet | 1517 | 9.55% | 59.6 | 46.14% | -2.30% | +1.39% | -2.19% | -1.19% |
 | Ripper's Lash | 895 | 5.63% | 59.5 | 47.15% | -1.13% | -2.71% | -0.27% | 0.81% |
 | Essence Ring | 1898 | 11.95% | 59.5 | 45.73% | -2.83% | +5.30% | -4.60% | -4.95% |
 | Trusty Shovel | 1471 | 9.26% | 59.4 | 46.09% | -2.35% | -2.02% | +0.52% | 0.85% |
 | Glimmer Cape | 86 | 0.54% | 58.6 | 58.14% | +9.98% | +28.22% | -8.14% | 0.00% |
 | Gossamer Cape | 810 | 5.10% | 58.4 | 46.54% | -1.77% | +7.03% | -9.97% | -5.67% |
 | Crystalys | 109 | 0.69% | 58.4 | 55.96% | +7.79% | -9.53% | -0.79% | 0.00% |
 | Wind Lace | 1250 | 7.87% | 58.0 | 45.28% | -3.19% | -1.65% | +2.64% | 0.37% |
 | Chainmail | 3565 | 22.44% | 57.7 | 43.65% | -5.89% | +4.62% | -7.59% | -1.62% |
 | Ring of Health | 607 | 3.82% | 57.0 | 46.29% | -2.01% | -7.47% | +10.29% | 0.72% |
 | Morbid Mask | 375 | 2.36% | 56.8 | 47.73% | -0.50% | -9.43% | +11.84% | 0.95% |
 | Boots of Travel | 186 | 1.17% | 56.8 | 51.08% | +2.90% | -4.27% | +8.49% | 0.39% |
 | Blade Mail | 2762 | 17.39% | 56.4 | 42.94% | -6.39% | +12.05% | -12.87% | -3.68% |
 | Echo Sabre | 628 | 3.95% | 56.4 | 45.70% | -2.62% | +15.45% | +0.80% | -1.92% |
 | Pollywog Charm | 1125 | 7.08% | 55.5 | 43.64% | -4.93% | +1.49% | -3.79% | -1.76% |
 | Bottle | 715 | 4.50% | 55.2 | 44.48% | -3.91% | -1.86% | +3.56% | 5.42% |
 | Orb of Venom | 393 | 2.47% | 55.2 | 46.31% | -1.96% | -1.87% | -1.87% | 0.00% |
 | Veil of Discord | 72 | 0.45% | 54.8 | 56.94% | +8.76% | +31.95% | -12.50% | 0.00% |
 | Minotaur Horn | 39 | 0.25% | 54.6 | 64.10% | +15.92% | +2.57% | +10.90% | 0.00% |
 | Mage Slayer | 113 | 0.71% | 53.9 | 52.21% | +4.02% | +9.86% | -0.49% | 0.00% |
 | Assault Cuirass | 20 | 0.13% | 53.9 | 75.00% | +26.82% | +5.00% | -15.00% | 0.00% |
 | Pig Pole | 323 | 2.03% | 53.1 | 45.51% | -2.76% | -2.87% | +7.12% | 3.33% |
 | Ninja Gear | 223 | 1.40% | 52.9 | 47.09% | -1.14% | -0.61% | +4.10% | 2.36% |
 | Mjollnir | 143 | 0.90% | 52.8 | 49.65% | +1.44% | +5.91% | +5.91% | 0.00% |
 | Stygian Desolator | 75 | 0.47% | 52.5 | 54.67% | +6.48% | -1.01% | +1.21% | 0.00% |
 | Maelstrom | 174 | 1.10% | 51.9 | 47.70% | -0.52% | -4.52% | +2.30% | 0.00% |
 | Buckler | 25 | 0.16% | 50.7 | 68.00% | +19.81% | +17.71% | -10.86% | 0.00% |
 | Phase Boots | 195 | 1.23% | 48.1 | 44.10% | -4.17% | -0.10% | -1.24% | -0.21% |
 | Tumbler's Toy | 106 | 0.67% | 48.1 | 48.11% | -0.11% | +15.78% | -8.58% | 0.00% |
 | Magic Lamp | 45 | 0.28% | 46.6 | 55.56% | +7.36% | -5.56% | +11.11% | 0.00% |
 | Revenant's Brooch | 57 | 0.36% | 46.5 | 52.63% | +4.43% | -12.63% | +0.70% | 0.00% |
 | Satanic | 25 | 0.16% | 46.1 | 64.00% | +15.81% | -6.86% | +7.43% | 0.00% |
 | Pirate Hat | 25 | 0.16% | 46.1 | 64.00% | +15.81% | +19.33% | -39.00% | 0.00% |
 | Unrelenting Eye | 25 | 0.16% | 46.1 | 64.00% | +15.81% | +6.00% | +2.67% | 0.00% |
 | Ring of Basilius | 46 | 0.29% | 43.0 | 52.17% | +3.96% | +12.12% | -10.50% | 0.00% |
 | Falcon Blade | 143 | 0.90% | 42.2 | 41.26% | -7.02% | +0.41% | +0.41% | 0.00% |
 | Hand of Midas | 948 | 5.97% | 41.7 | 33.65% | -15.49% | +10.47% | -11.98% | -5.37% |
 | Mask of Madness | 84 | 0.53% | 39.3 | 42.86% | -5.39% | +9.52% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Whisper of the Dread | 35 | 0.22% | 38.1 | 51.43% | +3.22% | +4.13% | -6.99% | 0.00% |
 | Shadow Blade | 25 | 0.16% | 37.5 | 56.00% | +7.79% | +15.43% | -13.14% | 0.00% |
 | Dragon Lance | 5 | 0.03% | 37.5 | 100.00% | +51.80% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Spirit Vessel | 95 | 0.60% | 35.9 | 38.95% | -9.32% | -1.45% | +1.05% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon | 43 | 0.27% | 35.7 | 46.51% | -1.71% | +8.04% | +17.13% | 0.00% |
 | Silver Edge | 16 | 0.10% | 35.6 | 62.50% | +14.30% | +37.50% | -12.50% | 0.00% |
 | Rod of Atos | 14 | 0.09% | 34.6 | 64.29% | +16.09% | +35.71% | -39.29% | 0.00% |
 | Drum of Endurance | 37 | 0.23% | 33.0 | 45.95% | -2.27% | +4.05% | -5.95% | 0.00% |
 | Vanguard | 115 | 0.72% | 32.6 | 34.78% | -13.54% | -3.75% | -0.30% | 0.00% |
 | Yasha and Kaya | 6 | 0.04% | 30.8 | 83.33% | +35.12% | +16.67% | +16.67% | 0.00% |
 | Arcane Boots | 37 | 0.23% | 30.3 | 43.24% | -4.99% | +16.76% | -33.24% | 0.00% |
 | Spider Legs | 16 | 0.10% | 29.9 | 56.25% | +8.04% | +6.25% | -6.25% | 0.00% |
 | Eternal Shroud | 32 | 0.20% | 28.9 | 43.75% | -4.48% | +18.75% | -18.75% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 5) | 14 | 0.09% | 28.4 | 57.14% | +8.93% | -32.14% | -7.14% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 4) | 14 | 0.09% | 28.4 | 57.14% | +8.93% | -32.14% | +17.86% | 0.00% |
 | Fallen Sky | 20 | 0.13% | 28.2 | 50.00% | +1.78% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Heaven's Halberd | 52 | 0.33% | 25.3 | 34.62% | -13.64% | -11.54% | -11.54% | 0.00% |
 | Khanda | 13 | 0.08% | 24.5 | 53.85% | +5.64% | +46.15% | -28.85% | 0.00% |
 | Vladmir's Offering | 5 | 0.03% | 24.3 | 80.00% | +31.79% | -30.00% | +20.00% | 0.00% |
 | Lotus Orb | 5 | 0.03% | 24.3 | 80.00% | +31.79% | +20.00% | +20.00% | 0.00% |
 | Battle Fury | 40 | 0.25% | 23.1 | 35.00% | -13.25% | +15.00% | -15.00% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 3) | 18 | 0.11% | 21.9 | 44.44% | -3.78% | -24.44% | +15.56% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 2) | 18 | 0.11% | 21.9 | 44.44% | -3.78% | -24.44% | +15.56% | 0.00% |
 | Armlet of Mordiggian | 6 | 0.04% | 20.3 | 66.67% | +18.46% | -66.67% | +33.33% | 0.00% |
 | Boots of Travel 2 | 4 | 0.03% | 18.1 | 75.00% | +26.79% | +25.00% | +25.00% | 0.00% |
 | Book of the Dead | 10 | 0.06% | 17.9 | 50.00% | +1.78% | +16.67% | -16.67% | 0.00% |
 | Helm of the Dominator | 2 | 0.01% | 15.8 | 100.00% | +51.79% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Phylactery | 21 | 0.13% | 15.2 | 33.33% | -14.91% | +16.67% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Tranquil Boots | 28 | 0.18% | 14.2 | 28.57% | -19.68% | -14.28% | +28.57% | 0.00% |
 | Eul's Scepter of Divinity | 10 | 0.06% | 12.2 | 40.00% | -8.22% | +60.00% | -40.00% | 0.00% |
 | Pipe of Insight | 3 | 0.02% | 11.0 | 66.67% | +18.45% | +33.33% | -66.67% | 0.00% |
 | Wind Waker | 3 | 0.02% | 11.0 | 66.67% | +18.45% | +33.33% | -66.67% | 0.00% |
 | Kaya and Sange | 3 | 0.02% | 11.0 | 66.67% | +18.45% | +33.33% | +33.33% | 0.00% |
 | Force Staff | 7 | 0.04% | 10.2 | 42.86% | -5.36% | -42.86% | +7.14% | 0.00% |
 | Crimson Guard | 8 | 0.05% | 9.1 | 37.50% | -10.72% | +12.50% | +12.50% | 0.00% |
 | Boots of Bearing | 8 | 0.05% | 9.1 | 37.50% | -10.72% | -37.50% | +12.50% | 0.00% |
 | Hurricane Pike | 1 | 0.01% | 8.4 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Overwhelming Blink | 1 | 0.01% | 8.4 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Parasma | 1 | 0.01% | 8.4 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Soul Ring | 12 | 0.08% | 6.3 | 25.00% | -23.24% | +8.33% | +8.33% | 0.00% |
 | Headdress | 8 | 0.05% | 4.4 | 25.00% | -23.23% | +25.00% | -25.00% | 0.00% |
 | Solar Crest | 2 | 0.01% | 4.1 | 50.00% | +1.78% | +50.00% | -50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Pavise | 2 | 0.01% | 4.1 | 50.00% | +1.78% | +50.00% | -50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Mekansm | 2 | 0.01% | 4.1 | 50.00% | +1.78% | +50.00% | -50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Witch Blade | 7 | 0.04% | 1.3 | 14.29% | -33.94% | -14.29% | -14.29% | 0.00% |
 | Tough | 1 | 0.01% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Guardian Greaves | 1 | 0.01% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Swift Blink | 1 | 0.01% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |