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Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
Columns
Total | Winrate shifts | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Item | Pickups | Pickup rate | Rank | Winrate | When picked | Early | Late | Gradient (%/min) | |
 | Eye of Skadi | 188 | 9.26% | 100.0 | 64.36% | +21.58% | +5.85% | -9.04% | -1.77% |
 | Butterfly | 528 | 26.01% | 96.5 | 58.71% | +18.83% | +1.90% | +1.90% | 0.00% |
 | Disperser | 177 | 8.72% | 94.6 | 61.58% | +18.41% | +7.31% | -19.36% | -3.35% |
 | Bloodthorn | 842 | 41.48% | 94.1 | 56.29% | +19.67% | +16.22% | -2.74% | -2.22% |
 | Guardian Greaves | 63 | 3.10% | 93.8 | 68.25% | +24.22% | -5.75% | +19.25% | 0.00% |
 | Aghanim's Shard | 518 | 25.52% | 91.7 | 55.98% | +15.04% | +5.56% | +3.25% | -0.16% |
 | Heart of Tarrasque | 827 | 40.74% | 91.1 | 54.53% | +16.46% | +10.69% | -9.60% | -3.62% |
 | Ring of Tarrasque | 678 | 33.40% | 90.9 | 54.87% | +15.15% | +8.66% | -7.22% | -2.54% |
 | Heaven's Halberd | 21 | 1.03% | 90.9 | 80.95% | +36.55% | -14.28% | +19.05% | 0.00% |
 | Javelin | 692 | 34.09% | 90.6 | 54.62% | +14.93% | +12.43% | -6.07% | -2.03% |
 | Desolator | 9 | 0.44% | 90.2 | 100.00% | +55.47% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Scythe of Vyse | 182 | 8.97% | 89.1 | 58.24% | +14.79% | +13.50% | -3.89% | -2.19% |
 | Aghanim's Scepter | 188 | 9.26% | 88.9 | 57.98% | +14.55% | +7.98% | -2.66% | -0.70% |
 | Diffusal Blade | 346 | 17.04% | 85.9 | 53.76% | +10.83% | -8.31% | -4.33% | 0.26% |
 | Linken's Sphere | 36 | 1.77% | 85.2 | 69.44% | +25.11% | +8.34% | -2.77% | 0.00% |
 | Blink Dagger | 413 | 20.34% | 84.7 | 52.54% | +9.74% | -3.50% | +5.15% | 0.55% |
 | Vanguard | 24 | 1.18% | 84.5 | 75.00% | +30.58% | -25.00% | +8.33% | 0.00% |
 | Orb of Frost | 340 | 16.75% | 83.9 | 52.65% | +9.45% | -5.59% | +2.64% | 0.29% |
 | Drum of Endurance | 91 | 4.48% | 83.7 | 59.34% | +15.25% | +1.53% | -2.82% | -0.85% |
 | Mekansm | 88 | 4.33% | 82.9 | 59.09% | +14.96% | -4.54% | +13.64% | 2.49% |
 | Swift Blink | 63 | 3.10% | 82.9 | 61.90% | +17.67% | +6.85% | -18.15% | 0.00% |
 | Orchid Malevolence | 1285 | 63.30% | 82.3 | 48.64% | +10.52% | +15.14% | -11.68% | -6.17% |
 | Cornucopia | 1092 | 53.79% | 81.6 | 48.53% | +8.12% | +8.92% | -10.80% | -3.74% |
 | Ring of Protection | 257 | 12.66% | 81.3 | 52.14% | +8.43% | +3.24% | -1.37% | -0.33% |
 | Buckler | 98 | 4.83% | 80.9 | 57.14% | +12.99% | -9.14% | -5.14% | 0.37% |
 | Solar Crest | 81 | 3.99% | 80.0 | 58.02% | +13.79% | +3.88% | +8.65% | 0.81% |
 | Headdress | 112 | 5.52% | 79.4 | 55.36% | +11.20% | -16.07% | -1.79% | 1.38% |
 | Magic Wand | 841 | 41.43% | 79.0 | 47.44% | +4.55% | -0.99% | +2.80% | 0.69% |
 | Ghost Scepter | 66 | 3.25% | 78.8 | 59.09% | +14.79% | -0.27% | -6.15% | 0.00% |
 | Manta Style | 1461 | 71.97% | 78.0 | 45.93% | +4.10% | +14.02% | -10.06% | -5.41% |
 | Pavise | 83 | 4.09% | 77.9 | 56.63% | +12.36% | -9.01% | -4.25% | 0.79% |
 | Diadem | 1449 | 71.38% | 77.4 | 45.62% | +2.93% | +13.33% | -8.29% | -4.20% |
 | Magic Stick | 1250 | 61.58% | 77.0 | 45.60% | +2.14% | -2.97% | +2.97% | 5.09% |
 | Boots of Speed | 2012 | 99.11% | 76.9 | 44.88% | +11.55% | +0.07% | -2.44% | -1.02% |
 | Chainmail | 241 | 11.87% | 76.8 | 49.79% | +5.69% | -3.89% | +5.95% | 1.06% |
 | Wind Lace | 822 | 40.49% | 76.8 | 46.23% | +2.44% | -3.23% | -1.57% | 0.21% |
 | Yasha | 1528 | 75.27% | 76.4 | 44.96% | +0.74% | +14.11% | -6.32% | -5.95% |
 | Boots of Bearing | 30 | 1.48% | 76.4 | 66.67% | +22.22% | +8.33% | -16.67% | 0.00% |
 | Quelling Blade | 1470 | 72.41% | 76.1 | 44.83% | +0.19% | -0.47% | -0.04% | 0.00% |
 | Mana Draught | 614 | 30.25% | 76.1 | 46.42% | +2.35% | -6.42% | +4.69% | 3.70% |
 | Moon Shard | 38 | 1.87% | 75.8 | 63.16% | +18.73% | +16.84% | -23.16% | 0.00% |
 | Silver Edge | 79 | 3.89% | 75.7 | 55.70% | +11.36% | -20.70% | +9.30% | 3.17% |
 | Power Treads | 1552 | 76.45% | 75.7 | 44.52% | -1.09% | +5.09% | -5.96% | -5.72% |
 | Ogre Seal Totem | 96 | 4.73% | 75.6 | 54.17% | +9.86% | +7.99% | -13.43% | -7.14% |
 | Orb of Destruction | 382 | 18.82% | 75.5 | 47.38% | +3.21% | +1.73% | +2.62% | 0.45% |
 | Wraith Band | 1079 | 53.15% | 75.0 | 44.67% | -0.23% | +0.21% | +2.56% | 1.74% |
 | Void Stone | 315 | 15.52% | 74.8 | 47.62% | +3.36% | -2.05% | -4.58% | -0.19% |
 | Abyssal Blade | 23 | 1.13% | 74.4 | 69.57% | +25.08% | +30.43% | -2.90% | 0.00% |
 | Arcane Boots | 276 | 13.60% | 73.8 | 47.46% | +3.10% | -5.43% | -1.08% | 1.19% |
 | Skull Basher | 33 | 1.63% | 73.6 | 63.64% | +19.17% | +3.03% | -8.08% | 0.00% |
 | Crown | 172 | 8.47% | 73.6 | 49.42% | +5.07% | -12.21% | +4.07% | 1.63% |
 | Tumbler's Toy | 111 | 5.47% | 72.6 | 51.35% | +6.95% | +8.17% | -12.46% | -10.32% |
 | Boots of Travel 2 | 16 | 0.79% | 72.4 | 75.00% | +30.46% | -25.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Ring of Basilius | 317 | 15.62% | 72.2 | 46.06% | +1.52% | +7.69% | +2.69% | -0.98% |
 | Gossamer Cape | 292 | 14.38% | 72.0 | 46.23% | +1.70% | +1.60% | -3.37% | -2.49% |
 | Serrated Shiv | 354 | 17.44% | 71.4 | 45.20% | +0.51% | +2.87% | -3.00% | -5.87% |
 | Tranquil Boots | 145 | 7.14% | 71.3 | 48.97% | +4.51% | -3.02% | +7.79% | 2.86% |
 | Ring of Health | 118 | 5.81% | 71.0 | 50.00% | +5.54% | -13.33% | -3.33% | 0.57% |
 | Fluffy Hat | 246 | 12.12% | 70.4 | 45.93% | +1.31% | -7.22% | -7.22% | 0.00% |
 | Boots of Travel | 159 | 7.83% | 70.2 | 47.80% | +3.28% | -17.80% | +12.20% | 1.36% |
 | Trusty Shovel | 187 | 9.21% | 69.4 | 46.52% | +1.92% | +2.66% | -5.25% | -2.64% |
 | Ninja Gear | 245 | 12.07% | 68.7 | 44.90% | +0.14% | +1.77% | -1.89% | -1.83% |
 | Sange | 31 | 1.53% | 68.5 | 61.29% | +16.77% | -36.29% | +13.71% | 0.00% |
 | Gunpowder Gauntlet | 130 | 6.40% | 68.2 | 47.69% | +3.11% | +2.31% | +2.31% | 0.00% |
 | Kaya | 27 | 1.33% | 68.0 | 62.96% | +18.43% | +22.75% | -5.82% | 0.00% |
 | Searing Signet | 298 | 14.68% | 67.8 | 43.62% | -1.36% | -3.62% | +7.00% | 5.31% |
 | Brigand's Blade | 341 | 16.80% | 67.7 | 43.11% | -2.01% | +4.01% | -5.11% | -9.12% |
 | Meteor Hammer | 21 | 1.03% | 67.4 | 66.67% | +22.12% | +16.66% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Gale Guard | 210 | 10.34% | 67.3 | 44.76% | -0.02% | +3.72% | -7.68% | -5.70% |
 | Eternal Shroud | 75 | 3.69% | 66.7 | 50.67% | +6.12% | -3.30% | -13.83% | -1.26% |
 | Bottle | 104 | 5.12% | 66.5 | 48.08% | +3.48% | -3.64% | +13.46% | 17.10% |
 | Aether Lens | 90 | 4.43% | 66.1 | 48.89% | +4.30% | -9.76% | -1.06% | 0.71% |
 | Blight Stone | 206 | 10.15% | 65.4 | 43.69% | -1.21% | -11.49% | +8.23% | 4.45% |
 | Spark of Courage | 204 | 10.05% | 65.2 | 43.63% | -1.28% | -6.13% | +2.61% | 4.37% |
 | Aghanim's Blessing | 53 | 2.61% | 65.2 | 52.83% | +8.27% | -2.83% | -2.83% | 0.00% |
 | Iron Talon | 256 | 12.61% | 65.1 | 42.58% | -2.52% | +5.83% | -5.66% | -11.49% |
 | Null Talisman | 112 | 5.52% | 64.6 | 46.43% | +1.75% | -3.57% | +10.71% | 2.40% |
 | Black King Bar | 68 | 3.35% | 64.3 | 50.00% | +5.40% | +8.82% | -20.59% | -3.22% |
 | Ripper's Lash | 228 | 11.23% | 64.2 | 42.54% | -2.52% | -0.12% | +0.18% | 0.15% |
 | Shadow Blade | 131 | 6.45% | 63.8 | 45.04% | +0.28% | -2.62% | +0.41% | 0.26% |
 | Essence Ring | 194 | 9.56% | 63.5 | 42.78% | -2.21% | -5.04% | -2.27% | 1.39% |
 | Pollywog Charm | 140 | 6.90% | 63.2 | 44.29% | -0.52% | +2.77% | -4.71% | -3.74% |
 | Nemesis Curse | 152 | 7.49% | 62.5 | 43.42% | -1.47% | +2.03% | +6.58% | 2.28% |
 | Magnifying Monocle | 48 | 2.36% | 62.4 | 52.08% | +7.48% | -2.08% | -7.08% | 0.00% |
 | Mind Breaker | 186 | 9.16% | 61.7 | 41.94% | -3.13% | -1.94% | +5.89% | 3.92% |
 | Orb of Corrosion | 81 | 3.99% | 61.7 | 46.91% | +2.22% | -4.05% | +0.71% | 0.92% |
 | Pipe of Insight | 32 | 1.58% | 61.4 | 56.25% | +11.66% | +6.25% | +6.25% | 0.00% |
 | Holy Locket | 21 | 1.03% | 60.3 | 61.90% | +17.30% | +4.77% | +4.77% | 0.00% |
 | Force Staff | 28 | 1.38% | 59.9 | 57.14% | +12.53% | -14.28% | -14.28% | 0.00% |
 | Crippling Crossbow | 54 | 2.66% | 58.1 | 48.15% | +3.46% | -9.26% | +5.18% | 0.00% |
 | Revenant's Brooch | 49 | 2.41% | 57.9 | 48.98% | +4.31% | +27.94% | -10.52% | 0.00% |
 | Occult Bracelet | 183 | 9.01% | 57.3 | 39.34% | -5.98% | -8.73% | +8.85% | 8.79% |
 | Helm of Iron Will | 138 | 6.80% | 55.9 | 39.86% | -5.28% | +3.00% | -8.43% | -0.93% |
 | Morbid Mask | 67 | 3.30% | 55.9 | 44.78% | 0.00% | +8.16% | -15.37% | -1.29% |
 | Radiance | 185 | 9.11% | 55.8 | 38.38% | -7.04% | +19.07% | +6.30% | -2.95% |
 | Lotus Orb | 18 | 0.89% | 55.4 | 61.11% | +16.48% | +18.89% | -41.11% | 0.00% |
 | Glimmer Cape | 108 | 5.32% | 55.0 | 40.74% | -4.27% | +18.52% | +3.70% | -1.77% |
 | Spirit Vessel | 16 | 0.79% | 54.2 | 62.50% | +17.86% | +12.50% | -12.50% | 0.00% |
 | Nullifier | 64 | 3.15% | 53.6 | 43.75% | -1.06% | +18.75% | -25.00% | 0.00% |
 | Bracer | 56 | 2.76% | 53.2 | 44.64% | -0.14% | -1.78% | -8.93% | 0.00% |
 | Crystalys | 56 | 2.76% | 53.2 | 44.64% | -0.14% | +33.93% | -1.78% | 0.00% |
 | Orb of Venom | 76 | 3.74% | 51.2 | 40.79% | -4.14% | +17.10% | -9.21% | -3.06% |
 | Assault Cuirass | 20 | 0.99% | 49.5 | 55.00% | +10.32% | +5.00% | -15.00% | 0.00% |
 | Eul's Scepter of Divinity | 31 | 1.53% | 49.2 | 48.39% | +3.67% | -10.89% | +1.61% | 0.00% |
 | Urn of Shadows | 26 | 1.28% | 48.1 | 50.00% | +5.29% | +7.14% | +7.14% | 0.00% |
 | Pig Pole | 60 | 2.96% | 47.1 | 40.00% | -4.92% | -16.19% | +6.67% | 0.00% |
 | Divine Rapier | 7 | 0.34% | 41.3 | 71.43% | +26.74% | -21.43% | +28.57% | 0.00% |
 | Yasha and Kaya | 7 | 0.34% | 41.3 | 71.43% | +26.74% | +28.57% | -21.43% | 0.00% |
 | Pyrrhic Cloak | 27 | 1.33% | 41.3 | 44.44% | -0.34% | 0.00% | +13.89% | 0.00% |
 | Octarine Core | 15 | 0.74% | 40.9 | 53.33% | +8.62% | -3.33% | +21.67% | 0.00% |
 | Refresher Orb | 5 | 0.25% | 39.5 | 80.00% | +35.31% | +20.00% | -30.00% | 0.00% |
 | Ceremonial Robe | 29 | 1.43% | 38.4 | 41.38% | -3.45% | -16.38% | +4.77% | 0.00% |
 | Hand of Midas | 55 | 2.71% | 32.9 | 30.91% | -14.25% | +4.80% | -9.48% | 0.00% |
 | Mage Slayer | 18 | 0.89% | 27.7 | 38.89% | -5.94% | +1.11% | -18.89% | 0.00% |
 | Book of the Dead | 2 | 0.10% | 26.7 | 100.00% | +55.28% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Whisper of the Dread | 15 | 0.74% | 26.0 | 40.00% | -4.81% | +10.00% | -25.71% | 0.00% |
 | Sange and Yasha | 8 | 0.39% | 24.5 | 50.00% | +5.24% | 0.00% | +50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Vladmir's Offering | 14 | 0.69% | 20.8 | 35.71% | -9.13% | -10.71% | +14.29% | 0.00% |
 | Monkey King Bar | 6 | 0.30% | 19.6 | 50.00% | +5.24% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Ethereal Blade | 7 | 0.34% | 16.9 | 42.86% | -1.92% | +7.14% | +7.14% | 0.00% |
 | Falcon Blade | 20 | 0.99% | 15.0 | 25.00% | -19.98% | -25.00% | +35.00% | 0.00% |
 | Minotaur Horn | 4 | 0.20% | 13.8 | 50.00% | +5.23% | 0.00% | +50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Aeon Disk | 4 | 0.20% | 13.8 | 50.00% | +5.23% | +50.00% | -50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Wind Waker | 4 | 0.20% | 13.8 | 50.00% | +5.23% | -50.00% | -50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Phase Boots | 1 | 0.05% | 13.1 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Crimson Guard | 1 | 0.05% | 13.1 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Echo Sabre | 1 | 0.05% | 13.1 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Daedalus | 1 | 0.05% | 13.1 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Armlet of Mordiggian | 1 | 0.05% | 13.1 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Unrelenting Eye | 1 | 0.05% | 13.1 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Quickened | 1 | 0.05% | 13.1 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Vast | 1 | 0.05% | 13.1 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Mystical | 1 | 0.05% | 13.1 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Gleipnir | 1 | 0.05% | 13.1 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Harpoon | 1 | 0.05% | 13.1 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Pirate Hat | 1 | 0.05% | 13.1 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Rod of Atos | 11 | 0.54% | 11.2 | 27.27% | -17.60% | +6.06% | +6.06% | 0.00% |
 | Magic Lamp | 7 | 0.34% | 8.3 | 28.57% | -16.26% | -28.57% | +4.76% | 0.00% |
 | Fallen Sky | 2 | 0.10% | 7.0 | 50.00% | +5.23% | +50.00% | -50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Stygian Desolator | 2 | 0.10% | 7.0 | 50.00% | +5.23% | +50.00% | -50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Parasma | 1 | 0.05% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Witch Blade | 2 | 0.10% | 0.0 | 0.00% | -44.82% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon | 1 | 0.05% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 3) | 1 | 0.05% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Blade Mail | 1 | 0.05% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Mask of Madness | 1 | 0.05% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 2) | 1 | 0.05% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Soul Ring | 1 | 0.05% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 4) | 1 | 0.05% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 5) | 1 | 0.05% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |