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Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
Columns
Total | Winrate shifts | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Item | Pickups | Pickup rate | Rank | Winrate | When picked | Early | Late | Gradient (%/min) | |
 | Desolator | 105 | 0.65% | 100.0 | 98.10% | +48.29% | -1.80% | -1.67% | 0.01% |
 | Meteor Hammer | 51 | 0.32% | 85.0 | 94.12% | +44.14% | +5.88% | -1.81% | 0.00% |
 | Octarine Core | 578 | 3.57% | 80.7 | 76.64% | +27.50% | +8.39% | -6.57% | -1.57% |
 | Abyssal Blade | 1057 | 6.54% | 78.0 | 72.94% | +24.41% | +9.32% | -10.53% | -1.91% |
 | Ghost Scepter | 61 | 0.38% | 77.5 | 86.89% | +36.91% | +6.86% | -5.64% | 0.00% |
 | Eye of Skadi | 1681 | 10.39% | 77.3 | 71.56% | +23.92% | +6.64% | -8.05% | -1.65% |
 | Divine Rapier | 79 | 0.49% | 76.4 | 83.54% | +33.58% | +7.37% | -13.97% | 0.00% |
 | Bloodthorn | 924 | 5.71% | 75.5 | 71.00% | +22.14% | +6.16% | -7.64% | -1.43% |
 | Disperser | 2045 | 12.65% | 75.5 | 69.63% | +22.33% | +3.22% | -4.72% | -0.68% |
 | Butterfly | 454 | 2.81% | 75.3 | 72.69% | +23.22% | +3.63% | -12.16% | -1.65% |
 | Kaya | 36 | 0.22% | 75.2 | 91.67% | +41.64% | +8.33% | -2.78% | 0.00% |
 | Moon Shard | 311 | 1.92% | 73.6 | 72.67% | +22.99% | +9.38% | -13.70% | -1.38% |
 | Skull Basher | 2324 | 14.37% | 72.7 | 67.00% | +19.71% | +9.94% | -11.41% | -2.21% |
 | Blink Dagger | 397 | 2.45% | 71.4 | 69.77% | +20.14% | +0.23% | -8.99% | -0.65% |
 | Silver Edge | 1517 | 9.38% | 70.6 | 65.79% | +17.29% | +3.50% | -6.73% | -0.96% |
 | Harpoon | 1088 | 6.73% | 70.4 | 66.18% | +17.21% | -0.37% | -2.21% | -0.17% |
 | Linken's Sphere | 1016 | 6.28% | 69.9 | 65.85% | +16.78% | -0.75% | -7.03% | -0.63% |
 | Sange | 3809 | 23.55% | 69.0 | 63.19% | +17.09% | +3.51% | +0.89% | -0.22% |
 | Sange and Yasha | 2971 | 18.37% | 68.1 | 62.64% | +15.33% | +7.02% | -3.45% | -1.26% |
 | Diadem | 1325 | 8.19% | 67.4 | 63.09% | +14.12% | -0.44% | -1.95% | -0.14% |
 | Ring of Health | 1134 | 7.01% | 67.0 | 63.05% | +13.90% | -5.66% | -6.71% | -0.09% |
 | Nullifier | 1401 | 8.66% | 66.8 | 62.46% | +13.51% | +14.75% | -9.75% | -2.69% |
 | Refresher Orb | 386 | 2.39% | 65.8 | 65.03% | +15.27% | +10.23% | -1.11% | -0.89% |
 | Yasha | 3398 | 21.01% | 65.8 | 60.39% | +13.00% | +5.34% | -2.86% | -0.95% |
 | Helm of Iron Will | 1513 | 9.36% | 65.5 | 61.20% | +12.22% | +12.15% | -9.75% | -2.28% |
 | Orchid Malevolence | 2305 | 14.25% | 65.1 | 60.26% | +11.82% | +3.93% | -3.51% | -0.65% |
 | Aghanim's Scepter | 10984 | 67.92% | 64.5 | 58.33% | +25.58% | +12.52% | -10.22% | -3.53% |
 | Javelin | 2185 | 13.51% | 64.3 | 59.59% | +10.94% | +8.97% | -5.03% | -1.43% |
 | Aghanim's Blessing | 663 | 4.10% | 64.0 | 61.69% | +12.06% | +11.80% | -6.00% | -1.61% |
 | Ring of Tarrasque | 397 | 2.45% | 63.9 | 63.22% | +13.43% | +9.78% | -0.22% | -0.77% |
 | Void Stone | 2983 | 18.45% | 62.0 | 57.12% | +8.58% | +2.05% | +7.22% | 0.35% |
 | Aghanim's Shard | 12954 | 80.10% | 62.0 | 56.01% | +29.60% | +8.61% | -9.72% | -2.56% |
 | Boots of Travel | 63 | 0.39% | 60.9 | 73.02% | +22.99% | -16.77% | -23.02% | 0.00% |
 | Swift Blink | 51 | 0.32% | 59.8 | 74.51% | +24.46% | +17.80% | +2.41% | 0.00% |
 | Crown | 101 | 0.62% | 59.6 | 67.33% | +17.31% | +5.75% | -5.79% | 0.00% |
 | Cornucopia | 8230 | 50.89% | 59.3 | 53.82% | +7.52% | +7.09% | -6.49% | -2.13% |
 | Satanic | 88 | 0.54% | 59.2 | 68.18% | +18.16% | +22.73% | -13.63% | 0.00% |
 | Shadow Blade | 3357 | 20.76% | 59.2 | 54.45% | +5.46% | +9.16% | -6.53% | -1.82% |
 | Monkey King Bar | 1056 | 6.53% | 58.3 | 55.40% | +5.64% | +12.52% | -4.64% | -1.78% |
 | Diffusal Blade | 12040 | 74.45% | 58.2 | 52.63% | +9.82% | +13.54% | -12.23% | -6.61% |
 | Orb of Frost | 10993 | 67.98% | 57.9 | 52.42% | +7.16% | -3.44% | +3.98% | 1.75% |
 | Echo Sabre | 1921 | 11.88% | 57.9 | 53.98% | +4.38% | +11.09% | -4.29% | -2.72% |
 | Orb of Corrosion | 8234 | 50.92% | 57.5 | 52.25% | +4.33% | +4.47% | -5.05% | -2.80% |
 | Blight Stone | 8327 | 51.49% | 57.5 | 52.24% | +4.36% | +0.23% | -3.15% | -0.95% |
 | Morbid Mask | 124 | 0.77% | 57.4 | 63.71% | +13.69% | +7.26% | -21.77% | -3.25% |
 | Orb of Destruction | 5225 | 32.31% | 57.2 | 52.31% | +3.23% | -0.06% | +0.03% | 0.05% |
 | Mage Slayer | 6243 | 38.60% | 57.2 | 52.15% | +3.30% | +10.34% | -15.28% | -5.47% |
 | Orb of Venom | 6372 | 39.40% | 56.5 | 51.52% | +2.31% | +7.86% | -14.11% | -4.36% |
 | Magic Wand | 13079 | 80.87% | 56.4 | 51.01% | +4.61% | +2.21% | -1.56% | -0.77% |
 | Null Talisman | 343 | 2.12% | 55.8 | 56.56% | +6.58% | +5.07% | -4.84% | -1.84% |
 | Magic Stick | 14179 | 87.68% | 55.7 | 50.26% | +1.14% | +0.49% | -1.08% | -1.57% |
 | Power Treads | 15756 | 97.43% | 55.6 | 50.18% | +2.34% | +6.99% | -9.63% | -5.76% |
 | Boots of Speed | 16162 | 99.94% | 55.6 | 50.15% | +40.15% | +3.93% | -6.35% | -3.54% |
 | Ring of Protection | 244 | 1.51% | 55.4 | 57.79% | +7.78% | -2.05% | +2.87% | 0.74% |
 | Quelling Blade | 14353 | 88.75% | 55.4 | 50.07% | -0.51% | +0.14% | +0.01% | 0.00% |
 | Brigand's Blade | 4545 | 28.10% | 55.4 | 50.78% | +0.91% | -0.17% | +2.10% | 1.14% |
 | Black King Bar | 4634 | 28.65% | 55.3 | 50.65% | +0.74% | +4.05% | -3.79% | -0.98% |
 | Wraith Band | 3451 | 21.34% | 54.4 | 50.16% | +0.05% | +1.27% | -4.49% | -3.01% |
 | Phase Boots | 250 | 1.55% | 54.0 | 56.40% | +6.37% | +11.85% | -7.19% | -3.62% |
 | Serrated Shiv | 4416 | 27.31% | 54.0 | 49.50% | -0.86% | -1.59% | +3.37% | 2.48% |
 | Mana Draught | 4683 | 28.96% | 53.7 | 49.22% | -1.27% | +1.16% | -1.37% | -1.27% |
 | Gossamer Cape | 1209 | 7.48% | 53.6 | 50.95% | +0.89% | -0.28% | +1.82% | 1.05% |
 | Mind Breaker | 2181 | 13.49% | 53.5 | 49.89% | -0.27% | +0.11% | +1.53% | 0.53% |
 | Nemesis Curse | 1507 | 9.32% | 53.5 | 50.43% | +0.34% | -0.70% | -1.57% | -0.44% |
 | Magic Lamp | 51 | 0.32% | 53.2 | 68.63% | +18.56% | +0.94% | +9.94% | 0.00% |
 | Occult Bracelet | 2499 | 15.45% | 53.2 | 49.42% | -0.83% | +1.08% | -2.11% | -1.60% |
 | Spark of Courage | 2316 | 14.32% | 53.1 | 49.40% | -0.85% | +1.77% | -0.66% | -1.22% |
 | Chainmail | 273 | 1.69% | 52.9 | 54.95% | +4.91% | +11.72% | -12.92% | -3.89% |
 | Essence Ring | 1715 | 10.60% | 52.7 | 49.50% | -0.70% | +3.36% | -1.09% | -2.23% |
 | Manta Style | 252 | 1.56% | 52.7 | 55.16% | +5.12% | +0.40% | -4.37% | -0.53% |
 | Searing Signet | 388 | 2.40% | 52.2 | 52.84% | +2.78% | -1.87% | -1.23% | 0.32% |
 | Soul Ring | 166 | 1.03% | 51.8 | 56.63% | +6.57% | -4.25% | +0.51% | 1.30% |
 | Ninja Gear | 1453 | 8.98% | 51.4 | 48.59% | -1.69% | -1.30% | +2.44% | 1.87% |
 | Ripper's Lash | 530 | 3.28% | 51.1 | 50.75% | +0.65% | -3.53% | +3.52% | 3.53% |
 | Radiance | 262 | 1.62% | 51.0 | 53.44% | +3.37% | +17.77% | -18.59% | -7.70% |
 | Bracer | 2003 | 12.39% | 50.9 | 47.63% | -2.85% | +4.45% | -1.80% | -3.61% |
 | Eul's Scepter of Divinity | 101 | 0.62% | 50.8 | 59.41% | +9.34% | -1.72% | +2.13% | 0.00% |
 | Wind Lace | 558 | 3.45% | 50.7 | 50.18% | +0.06% | +7.98% | -0.89% | -1.00% |
 | Gunpowder Gauntlet | 1720 | 10.64% | 50.6 | 47.62% | -2.80% | -6.95% | +5.70% | 4.22% |
 | Falcon Blade | 225 | 1.39% | 50.1 | 53.33% | +3.25% | +5.29% | -2.45% | -2.09% |
 | Iron Talon | 2984 | 18.45% | 49.1 | 45.51% | -5.66% | +0.03% | +1.81% | 0.89% |
 | Tumbler's Toy | 360 | 2.23% | 49.1 | 50.28% | +0.16% | -2.98% | +3.21% | 3.10% |
 | Crippling Crossbow | 470 | 2.91% | 48.9 | 49.15% | -1.00% | +0.85% | +1.15% | 0.15% |
 | Magnifying Monocle | 184 | 1.14% | 48.8 | 53.26% | +3.17% | +0.96% | +1.15% | 0.10% |
 | Eternal Shroud | 57 | 0.35% | 48.7 | 63.16% | +13.08% | -9.83% | +3.51% | 0.00% |
 | Bottle | 91 | 0.56% | 48.6 | 58.24% | +8.16% | -14.76% | +15.67% | 0.00% |
 | Fluffy Hat | 280 | 1.73% | 48.0 | 50.36% | +0.24% | +5.35% | -7.50% | -2.44% |
 | Buckler | 17 | 0.11% | 47.8 | 82.35% | +32.26% | -2.35% | -2.35% | 0.00% |
 | Gale Guard | 1288 | 7.96% | 46.9 | 44.72% | -5.87% | -0.62% | +5.57% | 3.05% |
 | Revenant's Brooch | 34 | 0.21% | 46.2 | 67.65% | +17.56% | +32.35% | -12.09% | 0.00% |
 | Ogre Seal Totem | 463 | 2.86% | 46.2 | 46.65% | -3.58% | +6.29% | -8.14% | -7.22% |
 | Stygian Desolator | 56 | 0.35% | 46.0 | 60.71% | +10.62% | +5.96% | -16.27% | 0.00% |
 | Pig Pole | 257 | 1.59% | 45.3 | 48.25% | -1.90% | -4.44% | +6.99% | 5.72% |
 | Crystalys | 39 | 0.24% | 44.6 | 64.10% | +14.01% | +25.90% | -4.10% | 0.00% |
 | Trusty Shovel | 504 | 3.12% | 44.3 | 44.64% | -5.66% | -0.10% | -3.08% | -1.49% |
 | Glimmer Cape | 276 | 1.71% | 43.6 | 46.38% | -3.81% | +4.34% | -7.25% | -1.47% |
 | Ceremonial Robe | 56 | 0.35% | 42.3 | 57.14% | +7.04% | +1.95% | +5.36% | 0.00% |
 | Scythe of Vyse | 17 | 0.11% | 42.2 | 76.47% | +26.37% | -16.47% | +3.53% | 0.00% |
 | Ring of Basilius | 42 | 0.26% | 41.1 | 59.52% | +9.42% | +4.12% | +13.21% | 0.00% |
 | Alert | 88 | 0.54% | 38.5 | 48.86% | -1.27% | +1.14% | +10.23% | 0.00% |
 | Pollywog Charm | 143 | 0.88% | 38.1 | 44.76% | -5.41% | -1.28% | +4.33% | 1.87% |
 | Arcane Boots | 23 | 0.14% | 37.4 | 65.22% | +15.12% | +1.45% | +1.45% | 0.00% |
 | Pyrrhic Cloak | 159 | 0.98% | 36.7 | 42.77% | -7.43% | +5.06% | -3.15% | -2.74% |
 | Drum of Endurance | 99 | 0.61% | 35.1 | 44.44% | -5.72% | +15.56% | +3.56% | 0.00% |
 | Vampiric | 32 | 0.20% | 34.4 | 56.25% | +6.14% | +6.25% | +18.75% | 0.00% |
 | Boots of Bearing | 8 | 0.05% | 34.1 | 87.50% | +37.39% | -37.50% | +12.50% | 0.00% |
 | Vanguard | 50 | 0.31% | 34.0 | 50.00% | -0.12% | +11.54% | -3.85% | 0.00% |
 | Spider Legs | 21 | 0.13% | 33.0 | 61.90% | +11.79% | +15.88% | -11.90% | 0.00% |
 | Brawny | 36 | 0.22% | 32.7 | 52.78% | +2.66% | +2.78% | +2.78% | 0.00% |
 | Unrelenting Eye | 24 | 0.15% | 32.1 | 58.33% | +8.22% | -8.33% | +13.10% | 0.00% |
 | Hand of Midas | 2120 | 13.11% | 31.8 | 30.19% | -22.94% | +11.35% | -7.59% | -5.80% |
 | Fallen Sky | 32 | 0.20% | 31.6 | 53.13% | +3.01% | +6.87% | -11.46% | 0.00% |
 | Quickened | 13 | 0.08% | 30.6 | 69.23% | +19.12% | -19.23% | +5.77% | 0.00% |
 | Headdress | 20 | 0.12% | 30.6 | 60.00% | +9.89% | +20.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Heaven's Halberd | 44 | 0.27% | 30.5 | 47.73% | -2.40% | +6.82% | +6.82% | 0.00% |
 | Mjollnir | 31 | 0.19% | 29.8 | 51.61% | +1.49% | -14.11% | -14.11% | 0.00% |
 | Mystical | 55 | 0.34% | 29.1 | 43.64% | -6.51% | -15.07% | -3.64% | 0.00% |
 | Lotus Orb | 17 | 0.11% | 27.4 | 58.82% | +8.71% | -18.82% | +21.18% | 0.00% |
 | Spirit Vessel | 12 | 0.07% | 27.2 | 66.67% | +16.56% | +33.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Pipe of Insight | 15 | 0.09% | 26.2 | 60.00% | +9.89% | +15.00% | +15.00% | 0.00% |
 | Pirate Hat | 8 | 0.05% | 25.6 | 75.00% | +24.89% | +25.00% | +25.00% | 0.00% |
 | Assault Cuirass | 8 | 0.05% | 25.6 | 75.00% | +24.89% | +25.00% | +25.00% | 0.00% |
 | Armlet of Mordiggian | 8 | 0.05% | 25.6 | 75.00% | +24.89% | +25.00% | +25.00% | 0.00% |
 | Vladmir's Offering | 6 | 0.04% | 25.2 | 83.33% | +33.22% | -33.33% | +16.67% | 0.00% |
 | Maelstrom | 50 | 0.31% | 25.0 | 40.00% | -10.16% | -1.54% | -1.54% | 0.00% |
 | Minotaur Horn | 44 | 0.27% | 24.5 | 40.91% | -9.24% | +9.09% | +9.09% | 0.00% |
 | Tranquil Boots | 31 | 0.19% | 24.4 | 45.16% | -4.97% | -7.66% | +17.34% | 0.00% |
 | Whisper of the Dread | 20 | 0.12% | 22.9 | 50.00% | -0.12% | +25.00% | -21.43% | 0.00% |
 | Urn of Shadows | 20 | 0.12% | 22.9 | 50.00% | -0.12% | +10.00% | -10.00% | 0.00% |
 | Heart of Tarrasque | 9 | 0.06% | 22.7 | 66.67% | +16.56% | -33.34% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Vast | 21 | 0.13% | 21.8 | 47.62% | -2.51% | +2.38% | +2.38% | 0.00% |
 | Mask of Madness | 13 | 0.08% | 20.0 | 53.85% | +3.73% | -28.85% | -28.85% | 0.00% |
 | Tough | 34 | 0.21% | 19.9 | 38.24% | -11.91% | +17.32% | -16.02% | 0.00% |
 | Shiva's Guard | 5 | 0.03% | 19.9 | 80.00% | +29.89% | +20.00% | -30.00% | 0.00% |
 | Guardian Greaves | 3 | 0.02% | 19.8 | 100.00% | +49.89% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Titanic | 15 | 0.09% | 17.3 | 46.67% | -3.46% | +3.33% | +3.33% | 0.00% |
 | Veil of Discord | 6 | 0.04% | 16.7 | 66.67% | +16.55% | +33.33% | -16.67% | 0.00% |
 | Force Staff | 20 | 0.12% | 16.1 | 40.00% | -10.14% | -20.00% | +40.00% | 0.00% |
 | Wind Waker | 10 | 0.06% | 14.7 | 50.00% | -0.12% | +16.67% | -50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Crude | 4 | 0.02% | 14.2 | 75.00% | +24.88% | -75.00% | +25.00% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 2) | 2 | 0.01% | 12.9 | 100.00% | +49.88% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Mekansm | 2 | 0.01% | 12.9 | 100.00% | +49.88% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Witch Blade | 2 | 0.01% | 12.9 | 100.00% | +49.88% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Boots of Travel 2 | 2 | 0.01% | 12.9 | 100.00% | +49.88% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Rod of Atos | 5 | 0.03% | 11.6 | 60.00% | +9.88% | -10.00% | +40.00% | 0.00% |
 | Holy Locket | 5 | 0.03% | 11.6 | 60.00% | +9.88% | +40.00% | -10.00% | 0.00% |
 | Pavise | 9 | 0.06% | 11.1 | 44.44% | -5.69% | -11.11% | +22.23% | 0.00% |
 | Solar Crest | 9 | 0.06% | 11.1 | 44.44% | -5.69% | -11.11% | +22.23% | 0.00% |
 | Blade Mail | 19 | 0.12% | 10.7 | 31.58% | -18.57% | +8.42% | +8.42% | 0.00% |
 | Battle Fury | 22 | 0.14% | 9.3 | 27.27% | -22.88% | +39.40% | -10.60% | 0.00% |
 | Aeon Disk | 11 | 0.07% | 9.1 | 36.36% | -13.77% | +30.31% | -36.36% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon | 3 | 0.02% | 9.0 | 66.67% | +16.55% | +33.33% | -16.67% | 0.00% |
 | Hurricane Pike | 3 | 0.02% | 9.0 | 66.67% | +16.55% | -66.67% | +33.33% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 5) | 1 | 0.01% | 6.9 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 3) | 1 | 0.01% | 6.9 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Helm of the Dominator | 1 | 0.01% | 6.9 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Dagon (level 4) | 1 | 0.01% | 6.9 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Daedalus | 1 | 0.01% | 6.9 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Arcane Blink | 1 | 0.01% | 6.9 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Gleipnir | 1 | 0.01% | 6.9 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Kaya and Sange | 1 | 0.01% | 6.9 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Yasha and Kaya | 1 | 0.01% | 6.9 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Dragon Lance | 2 | 0.01% | 3.3 | 50.00% | -0.12% | -50.00% | +50.00% | 0.00% |
 | Book of the Dead | 3 | 0.02% | 2.4 | 33.33% | -16.80% | +16.67% | -33.33% | 0.00% |
 | Overwhelming Blink | 3 | 0.02% | 2.4 | 33.33% | -16.80% | +66.67% | -33.33% | 0.00% |
 | Crimson Guard | 1 | 0.01% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Audacious | 1 | 0.01% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Ethereal Blade | 1 | 0.01% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 | Aether Lens | 1 | 0.01% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |