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RD2L Season 16

Season 16 of the RD2L (aka Reddit Dota 2 League), a casual Draft League

Second Pick Dire Winrate: 48.1283

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Items category:
Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
Columns
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
ItemPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxWindowStd.Dev
butterflyButterfly3323.55%100.069.58%+20.57%+8.73%-10.54%0.00%35:5320:4230:4635:2040:5959:1210:1307:34
satanicSatanic1211.30%99.174.38%+24.74%+2.29%-14.38%0.00%40:0521:0034:2839:4145:4859:0311:2008:23
assaultAssault Cuirass2642.83%98.268.56%+19.29%+13.26%-6.44%0.00%37:1921:3731:5235:3741:451:03:3609:5307:19
radianceRadiance3503.75%97.365.71%+16.49%+7.02%-0.19%0.00%23:2110:2219:3821:4525:2852:2105:5004:19
guardian_greavesGuardian Greaves3593.84%96.465.46%+16.30%+7.87%+1.21%-0.56%27:5813:3221:1225:4033:021:02:1611:5008:45
pipePipe of Insight4935.28%95.564.10%+15.32%+5.82%-9.63%-1.74%26:4109:3821:3625:3430:291:03:2208:5306:34
skadiEye of Skadi2592.77%94.666.02%+16.65%+7.83%-15.25%0.00%32:5420:1325:5131:1637:541:06:2312:0308:55
spirit_vesselSpirit Vessel3423.66%93.764.04%+14.80%+2.24%-4.04%0.00%28:2312:1722:1926:4733:081:06:5510:4908:00
basherSkull Basher5445.82%92.862.13%+13.54%+10.66%-14.34%-2.38%30:5214:4225:0229:5635:311:05:1310:2907:45
mekansmMekansm4805.14%91.961.88%+12.89%+1.45%+1.45%0.00%24:0710:0417:3322:0228:3756:1011:0408:11
hood_of_defianceHood of Defiance6456.91%91.060.62%+12.19%-0.37%-2.23%-0.17%21:2906:2715:2720:3126:131:03:2210:4607:58
shivas_guardShiva's Guard2762.96%90.163.41%+13.98%+9.05%+3.26%0.00%36:4418:5930:4335:5541:021:22:0010:1907:38
headdressHeaddress134314.38%89.258.75%+13.57%+1.67%-0.42%-0.16%18:4601:4311:1317:1824:341:03:2213:2109:53
travel_bootsBoots of Travel6276.71%88.359.49%+11.44%+2.29%-6.62%-0.60%39:1810:1931:1438:4746:111:28:0314:5711:04
bucklerBuckler97710.46%87.458.14%+10.89%+4.56%-0.76%-0.51%22:3806:3416:4921:3627:1655:5510:2707:44
solar_crestSolar Crest1351.45%86.565.93%+16.19%+10.54%-4.17%0.00%29:3914:2623:0828:2134:4155:4211:3308:33
ring_of_healthRing of Health217123.24%85.656.61%+15.98%-0.81%-3.02%-0.13%21:1702:1411:3219:2728:351:11:5017:0312:37
ultimate_scepterAghanim's Scepter6506.96%84.758.77%+10.67%+0.13%+1.72%0.12%33:5314:3526:4232:2639:431:21:5213:0109:38
sheepstickScythe of Vyse2732.92%83.861.54%+12.30%+10.52%-2.72%0.00%42:0116:4835:1840:4748:051:11:3312:4709:28
black_king_barBlack King Bar161017.24%82.956.46%+13.02%+8.30%-5.22%-1.69%31:0814:0526:2729:5734:281:17:1908:0105:56
heartHeart of Tarrasque1892.02%82.062.96%+13.32%+3.00%-5.51%0.00%34:4220:1428:3033:4440:2657:0811:5608:50
vanguardVanguard8799.41%81.157.22%+9.43%-6.31%-1.77%0.27%25:1305:5416:1223:3633:021:02:5416:5012:28
mjollnirMjollnir2502.68%80.261.20%+11.67%+10.23%-6.36%0.00%33:4718:4026:4532:2539:581:13:5813:1309:47
abyssal_bladeAbyssal Blade2362.53%79.361.44%+11.95%+18.22%-19.07%0.00%39:1321:2633:1237:4843:461:05:1410:3407:49
sange_and_yashaSange and Yasha5165.52%78.458.33%+9.44%+8.34%-6.39%-2.08%24:1613:1320:1223:1027:1756:0607:0505:14
vladmirVladmir's Offering103111.04%77.556.55%+9.02%+5.47%+2.75%-0.33%17:5205:0312:2915:4820:481:10:2508:1906:09
chainmailChainmail341136.52%76.654.73%+21.42%+1.07%+1.07%0.00%13:5501:2507:2210:4018:061:06:5810:4407:57
glimmer_capeGlimmer Cape7918.47%75.757.02%+8.99%+10.15%-6.01%-1.61%28:5313:3523:2627:4733:2859:0010:0207:25
ring_of_protectionRing of Protection193920.76%74.855.34%+12.76%+2.19%-3.18%-0.62%12:51-01:2907:3611:4216:181:10:2508:4206:26
ring_of_basiliusRing of Basilius118212.66%73.956.09%+9.28%+3.37%-1.17%-0.50%13:24-01:3007:3711:3416:391:10:2509:0206:41
medallion_of_courageMedallion of Courage4384.69%73.058.45%+9.27%-3.90%-1.57%0.20%19:4204:3112:5618:3424:5149:2911:5508:49
sangeSange93910.05%72.156.23%+8.95%+6.32%-8.14%-1.53%25:4611:5120:1424:0429:4158:3509:2707:00
void_stoneVoid Stone242525.96%71.254.68%+15.26%-1.54%-1.54%0.00%23:4004:0215:1021:2129:561:17:3514:4610:56
lifestealMorbid Mask149315.99%70.355.12%+9.89%+4.13%+2.79%-0.14%16:4802:4610:3413:4719:521:10:2509:1806:53
crimson_guardCrimson Guard5205.57%69.457.31%+8.17%-1.16%-1.16%0.00%26:2310:2321:3025:2030:1660:0908:4606:29
yashaYasha154116.50%68.554.83%+9.88%+5.43%-1.58%-0.96%20:1706:3715:4019:0422:591:11:5707:1905:25
ring_of_tarrasqueRing of Tarrasque2572.75%67.659.92%+10.38%-8.36%-0.54%0.00%29:0302:5721:5028:2635:0559:2813:1509:48
aether_lensAether Lens6627.09%66.756.50%+7.98%-4.69%-4.98%-0.03%24:3109:3618:3423:2529:291:01:3410:5508:05
blight_stoneBlight Stone8118.68%65.855.86%+7.79%-9.06%+3.75%0.84%15:43-01:2907:0114:5322:211:10:3215:2011:21
mantaManta Style6567.02%64.956.25%+7.56%+6.55%-8.08%-2.20%24:3913:4520:4123:3727:2060:5406:3904:55
arcane_bootsArcane Boots257627.58%64.053.77%+14.77%+0.58%-3.93%-0.64%13:4403:5109:2312:4016:2949:2207:0605:15
blinkBlink Dagger238525.54%63.153.75%+13.70%+5.31%-0.39%-0.60%22:2808:1116:4920:4226:2360:2109:3407:05
rod_of_atosRod of Atos2963.17%62.258.78%+9.29%+3.38%-8.78%0.00%21:5207:3414:0420:0427:0360:2412:5909:37
urn_of_shadowsUrn of Shadows8018.58%61.355.56%+7.06%+1.44%-2.56%-0.59%16:0204:2811:5515:1618:4044:2706:4505:00
force_staffForce Staff143715.39%60.454.14%+9.19%-3.44%-1.49%0.17%28:1809:3921:5926:5133:161:13:3811:1708:21
phase_bootsPhase Boots207922.26%59.553.15%+11.04%+3.39%-3.15%-1.50%10:1003:5107:2309:1511:4539:3104:2203:14
magic_wandMagic Wand432546.31%58.652.23%+23.55%+2.81%-1.35%-0.56%10:43-01:2306:2209:2613:4649:2407:2405:28
heavens_halberdHeaven's Halberd3493.74%57.757.02%+7.67%+6.20%-9.89%0.00%30:1214:5424:0828:4535:0760:1610:5908:08
necronomicon_3Necronomicon (level 3)890.95%56.865.17%+15.33%+12.10%+3.01%0.00%25:1113:5718:5722:1228:081:22:0309:1106:48
magic_stickMagic Stick553959.30%55.951.62%+30.08%+1.59%-2.09%-0.74%04:59-01:2901:4803:3006:4749:2404:5903:41
yasha_and_kayaYasha and Kaya1882.01%55.059.57%+9.85%+10.64%-2.12%0.00%25:2413:1618:4423:1329:031:11:5710:1907:38
desolatorDesolator2752.94%54.157.45%+7.77%-0.93%+4.87%0.00%24:4611:1118:4622:4427:471:10:3209:0106:40
crownCrown100510.76%53.253.33%+5.94%+4.84%-5.52%-1.17%15:08-01:2909:4413:0118:361:22:2808:5206:34
bfuryBattle Fury2803.00%52.357.14%+7.46%+15.72%-11.43%0.00%18:3411:3016:1717:5419:4759:1403:3002:35
lotus_orbLotus Orb2142.29%51.458.41%+8.76%+8.26%-11.24%0.00%34:4715:1829:0234:1640:181:14:1411:1608:20
bootsBoots of Speed928199.37%50.550.08%+49.82%+2.89%-3.40%-1.88%05:39-01:2903:3405:1106:5551:5503:2102:28
necronomiconNecronomicon1161.24%49.561.21%+11.38%+4.31%-2.59%0.00%19:1307:5114:0216:4821:061:22:0307:0405:14
echo_sabreEcho Sabre2863.06%48.655.94%+6.28%+6.56%-8.05%0.00%20:2109:3916:5119:5023:1440:4406:2304:43
quelling_bladeQuelling Blade282730.27%47.750.48%+11.94%+3.83%-1.82%-4.77%01:41-01:3000:3501:0301:4639:4901:1100:52
wind_laceWind Lace342936.71%46.850.22%+15.16%+0.42%-0.28%-0.07%12:37-01:2906:3610:5716:571:06:1910:2107:40
soul_ringSoul Ring5896.31%45.952.80%+3.72%+2.98%-4.50%-1.43%06:3901:0703:1505:0608:2927:5905:1403:52
hurricane_pikeHurricane Pike3593.84%45.054.32%+4.89%+4.57%-2.10%-0.60%28:5515:5522:4526:3533:491:29:5811:0408:11
moon_shardMoon Shard971.04%44.161.86%+12.12%+13.14%-3.53%0.00%51:4427:5745:4750:2857:581:16:5212:1109:01
necronomicon_2Necronomicon (level 2)971.04%43.261.86%+12.00%+13.14%+0.64%0.00%23:3811:4617:1021:5227:231:22:0310:1307:34
cycloneEul's Scepter of Divinity7407.92%42.351.89%+3.19%-3.78%+2.16%0.56%23:4110:1717:1722:2027:561:07:2110:3907:53
helm_of_the_dominatorHelm of the Dominator880.94%41.462.50%+12.64%+10.23%-7.95%0.00%10:3405:1607:4209:4611:2935:5303:4702:48
hand_of_midasHand of Midas93510.01%40.551.34%+3.75%+4.64%-7.75%-2.41%13:0005:1110:0012:1215:0839:3405:0803:48
ancient_janggoDrum of Endurance4534.85%39.653.20%+3.80%+7.86%-5.41%-2.33%15:1305:1711:3714:0417:191:01:5005:4204:13
wraith_bandWraith Band190320.37%38.749.97%+6.07%+3.60%-1.23%-1.67%04:00-01:2902:1203:2305:0642:2702:5402:08
stout_shieldStout Shield252227.00%37.849.37%+9.26%+4.04%-5.56%-9.60%01:13-01:30-01:29-01:2900:3157:5302:0001:28
refresherRefresher Orb910.97%36.961.54%+11.71%+16.72%-9.37%0.00%46:1223:0836:3746:1854:211:17:3617:4413:08
sphereLinken's Sphere1741.86%36.056.90%+7.18%+2.19%+3.57%0.00%33:1717:1226:3531:0237:561:23:2511:2108:24
helm_of_iron_willHelm of Iron Will4765.10%35.152.10%+2.66%+7.56%-6.72%-1.43%18:3604:3011:1514:4621:151:05:0910:0007:24
ghostGhost Scepter2943.15%34.253.74%+4.18%+3.02%+1.05%0.00%31:5510:4925:0330:4938:0760:3213:0409:40
power_treadsPower Treads234325.09%33.348.66%+6.86%+5.09%-7.53%-3.08%10:3003:3807:4809:3311:541:06:2604:0603:02
orb_of_venomOrb of Venom3203.43%32.453.13%+3.49%+3.12%-4.38%0.00%03:35-01:29-01:2902:2505:3642:2707:0505:14
veil_of_discordVeil of Discord1451.55%31.557.24%+7.39%+9.43%-18.35%0.00%18:2308:4713:2816:4421:4041:5208:1206:04
dragon_lanceDragon Lance5846.25%30.651.03%+1.92%+3.76%+1.02%-0.27%21:4906:2315:3019:5225:401:29:5810:1007:31
maelstromMaelstrom6326.77%29.750.63%+1.51%+15.19%-9.49%-2.83%22:2308:5416:1619:2724:591:13:3808:4306:27
tranquil_bootsTranquil Boots165817.75%28.848.61%+3.16%+3.20%-1.03%-0.53%13:4702:4608:3712:0716:3850:5508:0105:56
aeon_diskAeon Disk700.75%27.962.86%+12.99%-7.30%-9.92%0.00%40:2620:0833:1838:2146:401:13:1513:2209:54
kayaKaya3163.38%27.052.85%+3.13%+2.85%+4.11%0.00%21:4808:1915:1519:4126:2256:2911:0708:14
javelinJavelin9209.85%26.149.57%+1.34%+4.34%-1.74%-0.31%23:3202:5013:2120:1432:411:13:3719:2014:19
diffusal_bladeDiffusal Blade3313.54%25.252.57%+2.86%+1.65%-0.76%0.00%20:2411:3516:3919:3023:2036:3306:4104:57
invis_swordShadow Blade4765.10%24.351.05%+1.59%+5.25%+0.21%-0.54%23:0111:0217:3621:0626:521:08:4809:1606:51
monkey_king_barMonkey King Bar3293.52%23.452.28%+2.84%+2.60%-3.50%0.00%36:2914:4730:2136:1642:051:07:3211:4408:41
bracerBracer124513.33%22.548.43%+1.34%+5.91%-6.95%-1.40%09:19-01:2903:4507:0912:5546:4609:1006:47
blade_mailBlade Mail2622.81%21.653.05%+3.30%+12.10%-11.51%0.00%26:2609:5620:5124:2030:491:04:1609:5807:22
greater_critDaedalus1731.85%20.754.91%+5.12%+7.88%-13.05%0.00%38:4815:4131:4437:4545:271:09:2613:4310:09
bloodstoneBloodstone840.90%19.859.52%+9.61%+16.67%-11.90%0.00%24:5014:1019:1623:0928:5151:4709:3507:05
lesser_critCrystalys3173.39%18.950.79%+1.16%+2.37%-9.02%0.00%35:5011:0228:0435:3442:031:09:0613:5910:21
travel_boots_2Boots of Travel 2790.85%18.058.23%+8.47%+1.77%-8.23%0.00%56:3828:5850:0155:1960:561:38:0610:5508:05
armletArmlet of Mordiggian2432.60%17.150.62%+0.70%+0.20%-8.00%0.00%16:0505:4613:2315:3618:1731:1104:5403:37
orchidOrchid Malevolence1711.83%16.252.05%+2.19%-0.89%-5.54%0.00%27:3312:2119:5124:2432:091:07:4312:1809:06
bottleBottle6927.41%15.346.24%-3.21%+2.31%-6.36%-3.47%04:5300:1703:0504:2005:351:04:1102:3001:51
null_talismanNull Talisman8809.42%14.444.77%-4.31%+0.68%-6.13%-3.32%03:21-01:2901:3602:1203:3925:0902:0301:31
silver_edgeSilver Edge1001.07%13.554.00%+4.09%-2.00%+2.00%0.00%34:1716:0525:2831:5541:391:06:3716:1111:59
octarine_coreOctarine Core700.75%12.657.14%+7.22%+3.97%-10.08%0.00%40:2818:2732:5239:4145:411:19:5512:4909:29
bloodthornBloodthorn610.65%11.757.38%+7.44%+9.29%+2.62%0.00%44:0320:2235:3542:3052:011:07:4316:2612:10
mask_of_madnessMask of Madness2032.17%10.847.78%-2.20%+11.04%-10.53%0.00%15:5809:2911:5814:0516:4352:0704:4503:31
dagonDagon981.05%9.947.96%-2.05%-3.96%+6.21%0.00%26:2912:2219:3823:2631:011:22:2911:2308:25
nullifierNullifier700.75%9.050.00%+0.03%+11.11%-26.47%0.00%42:0520:4635:0339:4748:101:08:1813:0709:42
meteor_hammerMeteor Hammer560.60%8.151.79%+1.82%+19.64%-1.79%0.00%32:1912:3124:4729:0738:471:16:5314:0010:22
ethereal_bladeEthereal Blade690.74%7.247.83%-2.18%+22.76%-6.65%0.00%34:3513:3525:4433:0942:171:03:2816:3312:15
dagon_2Dagon (level 2)760.81%6.344.74%-5.29%-2.63%+7.89%0.00%30:2717:3222:5227:3232:561:28:5710:0407:27
dagon_3Dagon (level 3)580.62%5.446.55%-3.46%+6.78%+10.59%0.00%32:4417:5824:3228:3334:481:38:0610:1607:36
dagon_4Dagon (level 4)430.46%4.548.84%-1.17%-3.39%+14.80%0.00%32:5921:2028:1530:4636:5457:4008:3906:24
kaya_and_sangeKaya and Sange250.27%3.656.00%+6.02%-6.00%+10.67%0.00%36:4721:0227:4735:1640:2857:1812:4109:23
dagon_5Dagon (level 5)360.39%2.750.00%0.00%-5.56%+5.56%0.00%34:2224:0729:4431:3137:5253:3908:0806:01
holy_locketHoly Locket390.42%1.843.59%-6.43%+6.41%+6.41%0.00%21:1808:2614:5419:2527:4942:0612:5509:34
rapierDivine Rapier240.26%0.933.33%-16.71%-16.66%0.00%0.00%50:4930:0446:0148:5654:521:38:1608:5106:33