Donations this month: $0.00
Spectral Wrapped 2023
Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
ItemPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxStd.Dev
ultimate_scepterAghanim's Scepter44222.78%89.556.33%+15.53%-2.28%+3.67%0.46%29:5013:0122:3528:1935:261:03:2009:31
Columns
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
HeroPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxWindowStd.Dev
tinkerTinker990.00%100.088.89%+88.89%+11.11%+11.11%0.00%19:2816:3616:4218:1620:3927:1103:5702:55
doom_bringerDoom516.13%98.6100.00%+42.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%45:3840:2640:2644:3145:0356:4604:3703:25
visageVisage150.00%97.2100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%24:4324:4324:4324:4324:4324:4300:0000:00
ember_spiritEmber Spirit2466.67%95.870.83%+4.16%-4.16%-20.83%-2.14%28:3319:0624:1729:4732:0434:2907:4705:45
spectreSpectre2496.00%94.466.67%+66.67%+33.33%-33.34%-36.37%18:0015:2616:4717:4618:3726:0301:5001:21
faceless_voidFaceless Void320.00%93.0100.00%+50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%46:2538:5138:5142:2558:0058:0019:0914:11
tidehunterTidehunter1625.40%91.575.00%+30.32%0.00%-25.00%-2.68%27:4218:5522:3527:4131:5434:4209:1906:54
rubickRubick316.67%90.1100.00%+53.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%40:1530:0030:0043:4347:0247:0217:0212:37
bloodseekerBloodseeker225.00%88.7100.00%+50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%34:3627:5727:5741:1441:1441:1413:1709:50
windrunnerWindranger225.00%87.3100.00%+50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%41:0836:0736:0746:0946:0946:0910:0207:25
abaddonAbaddon225.00%85.9100.00%+66.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%35:0834:4134:4135:3435:3435:3400:5300:39
elder_titanElder Titan1723.29%84.570.59%+13.45%+29.41%-45.59%-4.99%34:2322:0026:4332:0041:4550:2815:0211:08
disruptorDisruptor1333.33%83.169.23%+19.23%-2.56%+30.77%3.63%36:2525:5630:4737:4139:5846:3609:1106:48
sand_kingSand King527.78%81.780.00%+64.62%-80.00%+20.00%5.96%46:1634:5534:5548:2051:4251:4616:4712:25
earth_spiritEarth Spirit220.00%80.3100.00%+62.50%0.00%0.00%0.00%29:2927:0427:0431:5331:5331:5304:4903:34
earthshakerEarthshaker1829.51%78.966.67%+22.48%+13.33%+8.33%-0.42%29:5516:0022:3828:4934:2547:3911:4708:43
antimageAnti-Mage133.33%77.5100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%23:5623:5623:5623:5623:5623:5600:0000:00
centaurCentaur Warrunner360.00%76.166.67%+66.67%+33.33%0.00%-2.97%34:4729:3529:3533:5640:4940:4911:1408:19
razorRazor433.33%74.675.00%+25.00%+25.00%+25.00%0.00%41:1134:2334:2336:2842:1951:3307:5605:52
morphlingMorphling1343.33%73.261.54%+2.72%-28.21%-28.21%0.00%24:5121:0021:2923:4826:5232:0605:2303:59
storm_spiritStorm Spirit2246.81%71.854.55%+14.55%+12.12%+25.45%1.53%36:0525:0031:4536:4440:2948:0908:4406:28
void_spiritVoid Spirit3683.72%70.447.22%-9.92%+30.56%-25.00%-12.26%23:5116:2920:5424:0725:2633:3104:3203:21
weaverWeaver2853.85%69.050.00%+4.17%+7.14%-7.14%-2.12%30:5320:0326:1529:2233:0048:1306:4505:00
puckPuck947.37%67.655.56%+15.56%+44.44%-5.56%-6.25%31:5625:4226:0330:1434:0342:4408:0005:55
slardarSlardar337.50%66.266.67%+26.67%-66.67%0.00%7.25%40:2034:3034:3042:4743:4243:4209:1206:48
venomancerVenomancer337.50%64.866.67%+6.67%+33.33%0.00%-3.42%33:5230:1630:1631:2040:0040:0009:4407:12
lycanLycan2376.67%63.443.48%+0.62%+6.52%+6.52%0.00%24:2621:4922:4324:1025:0831:5102:2501:47
dragon_knightDragon Knight735.00%62.057.14%+34.06%-7.14%-7.14%0.00%33:2819:4230:4132:4732:4849:0002:0701:34
shredderTimbersaw654.55%60.650.00%+10.00%-50.00%+50.00%10.47%29:0018:5725:4327:3635:1635:1809:3307:04
oracleOracle120.00%59.2100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1:03:201:03:201:03:201:03:201:03:201:03:2000:0000:00
naga_sirenNaga Siren120.00%57.7100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%18:0518:0518:0518:0518:0518:0500:0000:00
vengefulspiritVengeful Spirit888.89%56.337.50%+37.50%+62.50%-37.50%-52.63%21:0515:5616:3317:2218:2745:2601:5401:24
bristlebackBristleback6100.00%54.933.33%+33.33%+16.67%-33.33%-41.10%16:1014:0714:4214:5915:5522:1501:1300:54
snapfireSnapfire914.75%53.555.56%+11.33%+44.44%-55.56%-6.90%32:4223:4024:5631:3339:2645:0014:3010:44
monkey_kingMonkey King24.17%52.1100.00%+43.48%0.00%0.00%0.00%43:2041:3141:3145:0945:0945:0903:3802:41
lionLion24.17%50.7100.00%+50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%52:5052:3452:3453:0653:0653:0600:3200:23
ursaUrsa942.86%49.344.44%+2.77%-44.44%-44.44%0.00%31:4421:1422:0434:0435:5844:5313:5410:17
tuskTusk112.50%47.9100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%30:4530:4530:4530:4530:4530:4500:0000:00
juggernautJuggernaut112.50%46.5100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%50:0650:0650:0650:0650:0650:0600:0000:00
dark_seerDark Seer555.56%45.140.00%+40.00%+60.00%+60.00%0.00%25:0317:3217:3221:4027:4137:3410:0907:31
dark_willowDark Willow110.00%43.7100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%38:0738:0738:0738:0738:0738:0700:0000:00
baneBane618.75%42.350.00%-34.62%0.00%+50.00%8.33%36:1231:4532:0534:3638:0543:3106:0004:26
life_stealerLifestealer19.09%40.8100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%44:2244:2244:2244:2244:2244:2200:0000:00
templar_assassinTemplar Assassin425.00%39.450.00%-16.67%+50.00%-50.00%-5.10%31:2020:4120:4123:1740:1841:0419:3714:31
invokerInvoker1137.93%38.036.36%-2.53%-3.03%-3.03%0.00%30:5017:2622:3130:3336:4744:0914:1610:34
rattletrapClockwerk952.94%36.633.33%-4.17%+16.67%+16.67%0.00%32:2223:0425:4634:2635:0439:3909:1806:53
gyrocopterGyrocopter1894.74%35.222.22%+22.22%+17.78%-22.22%-10.43%18:1513:0114:5516:4218:4530:3803:5002:50
winter_wyvernWinter Wyvern15.56%33.8100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%28:1428:1428:1428:1428:1428:1400:0000:00
silencerSilencer13.85%32.4100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%31:5431:5431:5431:5431:5431:5400:0000:00
linaLina12.50%31.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%56:3156:3156:3156:3156:3156:3100:0000:00
shadow_demonShadow Demon220.00%29.650.00%+25.00%-50.00%0.00%0.00%49:5245:4445:4454:0054:0054:0008:1606:07
nyx_assassinNyx Assassin220.00%28.250.00%0.00%+50.00%0.00%0.00%29:0624:4424:4433:2733:2733:2708:4306:27
tinyTiny11.82%26.8100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%26:4626:4626:4626:4626:4626:4600:0000:00
wispIo11.67%25.4100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%56:0856:0856:0856:0856:0856:0800:0000:00
slarkSlark450.00%23.925.00%-50.00%-25.00%-25.00%0.00%21:1920:1320:1320:2321:0423:3600:5100:37
svenSven29.52%22.550.00%+13.16%+50.00%0.00%0.00%33:2830:0330:0336:5336:5336:5306:5005:03
terrorbladeTerrorblade28.70%21.150.00%-2.38%+50.00%0.00%0.00%41:0140:3040:3041:3241:3241:3201:0200:45
dawnbreakerDawnbreaker323.08%19.733.33%-16.67%-33.33%0.00%4.74%26:1822:1022:1027:3229:1229:1207:0205:12
medusaMedusa27.41%18.350.00%+2.00%-50.00%0.00%0.00%34:2833:1433:1435:4135:4135:4102:2701:48
lunaLuna313.04%16.933.33%-26.67%-33.33%0.00%0.00%44:1330:2230:2249:3652:4152:4122:1916:31
furionNature's Prophet313.04%15.533.33%-31.67%-33.33%0.00%1.29%29:2418:3018:3025:1844:2544:2525:5519:11
clinkzClinkz18.33%14.10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%23:4823:4823:4823:4823:4823:4800:0000:00
ancient_apparitionAncient Apparition18.33%12.70.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%27:1327:1327:1327:1327:1327:1300:0000:00
grimstrokeGrimstroke266.67%11.30.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%34:4626:3226:3243:0043:0043:0016:2812:11
chaos_knightChaos Knight125.00%9.90.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%48:4648:4648:4648:4648:4648:4600:0000:00
queenofpainQueen of Pain16.25%8.50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%38:1938:1938:1938:1938:1938:1900:0000:00
alchemistAlchemist1100.00%7.00.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%48:0748:0748:0748:0748:0748:0700:0000:00
brewmasterBrewmaster266.67%5.60.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%33:3831:5031:5035:2635:2635:2603:3602:40
omniknightOmniknight1100.00%4.20.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%37:4937:4937:4937:4937:4937:4900:0000:00
beastmasterBeastmaster19.09%2.80.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%56:2756:2756:2756:2756:2756:2700:0000:00
kunkkaKunkka416.67%1.40.00%-65.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%32:5331:3031:3031:3433:0035:2601:3001:06