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Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
Columns
Total | Winrate shifts | Timings | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Item | Pickups | Pickup rate | Rank | Winrate | When picked | Early | Late | Gradient (%/min) | Mean | Min | Q1 | Median | Q3 | Max | Window | Std.Dev | |
 | Nether Shawl | 7 | 19.44% | 100.0 | 100.00% | +37.93% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 20:17 | 18:00 | 18:30 | 19:00 | 19:30 | 29:00 | 01:00 | 00:44 |
 | Aghanim's Shard | 20 | 55.56% | 92.1 | 80.00% | +23.75% | +20.00% | -40.00% | -9.26% | 30:25 | 22:11 | 26:21 | 29:46 | 32:50 | 43:00 | 06:28 | 04:47 |
 | Bottle | 35 | 97.22% | 88.3 | 71.43% | +71.43% | +8.57% | -4.76% | -13.33% | 01:59 | 01:12 | 01:31 | 01:38 | 01:49 | 09:16 | 00:18 | 00:13 |
 | Phase Boots | 26 | 72.22% | 86.7 | 73.08% | +13.08% | +12.63% | -30.22% | -33.83% | 09:10 | 05:33 | 07:50 | 08:23 | 09:06 | 21:51 | 01:16 | 00:56 |
 | Chainmail | 26 | 72.22% | 86.7 | 73.08% | +13.08% | +12.63% | -15.94% | -27.87% | 08:33 | 04:35 | 07:18 | 07:49 | 08:19 | 21:47 | 01:01 | 00:45 |
 | Quelling Blade | 36 | 100.00% | 86.2 | 69.44% | +69.44% | -0.87% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -01:28 | -01:29 | -01:29 | -01:29 | -01:29 | -00:35 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Boots of Speed | 36 | 100.00% | 86.2 | 69.44% | +69.44% | +19.45% | -19.44% | -35.76% | 04:18 | 01:34 | 03:45 | 04:19 | 04:51 | 06:42 | 01:05 | 00:48 |
 | Magic Stick | 35 | 97.22% | 84.7 | 68.57% | -31.43% | +9.21% | -1.90% | -4.68% | 03:48 | -01:29 | 02:18 | 02:40 | 04:40 | 11:11 | 02:22 | 01:45 |
 | Javelin | 34 | 94.44% | 83.2 | 67.65% | -32.35% | -0.98% | -17.65% | -4.62% | 10:41 | 06:26 | 08:39 | 10:28 | 12:16 | 15:37 | 03:36 | 02:40 |
 | Aghanim's Scepter | 24 | 66.67% | 82.7 | 70.83% | +4.16% | -4.16% | -20.83% | -2.20% | 28:33 | 19:06 | 24:35 | 29:53 | 32:09 | 34:29 | 07:34 | 05:36 |
 | Black King Bar | 31 | 86.11% | 82.2 | 67.74% | -12.26% | +32.26% | -12.18% | -9.63% | 24:27 | 15:43 | 20:48 | 22:58 | 25:25 | 38:36 | 04:37 | 03:25 |
 | Maelstrom | 33 | 91.67% | 81.6 | 66.67% | -33.33% | 0.00% | -33.34% | -11.84% | 14:17 | 10:23 | 12:38 | 14:34 | 15:27 | 18:40 | 02:49 | 02:05 |
 | Magic Wand | 33 | 91.67% | 81.6 | 66.67% | -33.33% | +11.11% | 0.00% | -2.75% | 07:34 | 02:50 | 05:18 | 06:09 | 09:20 | 20:28 | 04:02 | 02:59 |
 | Void Stone | 18 | 50.00% | 80.2 | 72.22% | +5.55% | +7.78% | -12.22% | -1.13% | 28:49 | 13:07 | 18:50 | 31:38 | 36:34 | 42:51 | 17:44 | 13:08 |
 | Kaya | 4 | 11.11% | 75.9 | 100.00% | +34.37% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 23:17 | 21:19 | 21:39 | 23:17 | 24:54 | 25:12 | 03:15 | 02:24 |
 | Kaya and Sange | 4 | 11.11% | 75.9 | 100.00% | +34.37% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 25:14 | 22:01 | 23:36 | 25:17 | 26:54 | 28:18 | 03:18 | 02:27 |
 | Linken's Sphere | 4 | 11.11% | 75.9 | 100.00% | +34.37% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 27:05 | 19:51 | 21:18 | 26:27 | 32:13 | 35:33 | 10:54 | 08:05 |
 | Ring of Health | 14 | 38.89% | 74.6 | 71.43% | +3.25% | +3.57% | -21.43% | -4.09% | 33:16 | 15:37 | 30:59 | 35:08 | 37:06 | 42:50 | 06:06 | 04:31 |
 | Refresher Orb | 9 | 25.00% | 73.1 | 77.78% | +11.11% | -11.11% | -11.11% | 0.00% | 36:59 | 30:46 | 32:48 | 36:57 | 41:34 | 43:12 | 08:46 | 06:29 |
 | Fairy's Trinket | 9 | 25.00% | 73.1 | 77.78% | +11.11% | +22.22% | -27.78% | -25.00% | 10:07 | 08:00 | 09:00 | 10:00 | 11:00 | 12:00 | 02:00 | 01:28 |
 | Fluffy Hat | 11 | 30.56% | 71.3 | 72.73% | +4.73% | -22.73% | +27.27% | 22.73% | 06:22 | 03:34 | 05:11 | 06:23 | 07:23 | 09:52 | 02:12 | 01:37 |
 | Blight Stone | 21 | 58.33% | 69.4 | 61.90% | -18.10% | -11.90% | -11.90% | 0.00% | 04:45 | 02:13 | 02:47 | 03:28 | 05:32 | 14:17 | 02:45 | 02:02 |
 | Sange | 6 | 16.67% | 68.6 | 83.33% | +16.66% | -33.33% | +16.67% | 9.09% | 23:22 | 16:45 | 20:36 | 24:52 | 26:06 | 27:57 | 05:30 | 04:04 |
 | Enchanted Quiver | 6 | 16.67% | 68.6 | 83.33% | +16.66% | +16.67% | +16.67% | 0.00% | 30:40 | 29:00 | 29:30 | 31:00 | 31:45 | 32:00 | 02:15 | 01:40 |
 | Orb of Corrosion | 10 | 27.78% | 65.6 | 70.00% | +0.77% | +30.00% | -3.33% | -16.19% | 07:21 | 05:13 | 06:19 | 06:50 | 08:22 | 11:23 | 02:03 | 01:31 |
 | Orb of Venom | 10 | 27.78% | 65.6 | 70.00% | +0.77% | +30.00% | -3.33% | -32.00% | 06:14 | 03:40 | 05:31 | 05:56 | 06:34 | 09:49 | 01:02 | 00:46 |
 | Timeless Relic | 3 | 8.33% | 62.0 | 100.00% | +33.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 40:00 | 38:00 | 38:30 | 39:00 | 41:00 | 43:00 | 02:30 | 01:51 |
 | Tumbler's Toy | 9 | 25.00% | 58.9 | 66.67% | -3.70% | -33.34% | 0.00% | 11.11% | 10:47 | 08:00 | 08:00 | 10:00 | 11:00 | 18:00 | 03:00 | 02:13 |
 | Boots of Travel | 5 | 13.89% | 58.3 | 80.00% | +12.26% | -30.00% | +20.00% | 3.32% | 24:17 | 15:04 | 17:03 | 22:35 | 32:07 | 34:38 | 15:04 | 11:09 |
 | Spell Prism | 5 | 13.89% | 58.3 | 80.00% | +12.26% | +20.00% | -30.00% | -50.00% | 40:24 | 39:00 | 40:00 | 40:00 | 41:00 | 42:00 | 01:00 | 00:44 |
 | Eul's Scepter of Divinity | 5 | 13.89% | 58.3 | 80.00% | +12.26% | +20.00% | -30.00% | -41.67% | 17:53 | 13:18 | 17:45 | 18:07 | 18:57 | 21:18 | 01:12 | 00:53 |
 | Trusty Shovel | 7 | 19.44% | 58.2 | 71.43% | +2.46% | +8.57% | -21.43% | -30.00% | 08:17 | 08:00 | 08:00 | 08:00 | 08:30 | 09:00 | 00:30 | 00:22 |
 | Wind Lace | 7 | 19.44% | 58.2 | 71.43% | +2.46% | -21.43% | +28.57% | 18.18% | 11:00 | 05:24 | 09:56 | 12:08 | 12:41 | 14:12 | 02:45 | 02:02 |
 | Grove Bow | 6 | 16.67% | 48.5 | 66.67% | -3.33% | -16.67% | +33.33% | 33.33% | 19:00 | 18:00 | 18:15 | 19:00 | 19:45 | 20:00 | 01:30 | 01:06 |
 | Blast Rig | 4 | 11.11% | 45.4 | 75.00% | +6.25% | +25.00% | -75.00% | 0.00% | 30:30 | 29:00 | 29:45 | 30:30 | 31:15 | 32:00 | 01:30 | 01:06 |
 | Shiva's Guard | 4 | 11.11% | 45.4 | 75.00% | +6.25% | -75.00% | +25.00% | 0.00% | 38:02 | 31:40 | 35:40 | 38:30 | 40:52 | 43:29 | 05:12 | 03:51 |
 | Dragon Scale | 4 | 11.11% | 45.4 | 75.00% | +6.25% | +25.00% | -25.00% | 0.00% | 19:00 | 18:00 | 18:00 | 19:00 | 20:00 | 20:00 | 02:00 | 01:28 |
 | Ocean Heart | 4 | 11.11% | 45.4 | 75.00% | +6.25% | -25.00% | +25.00% | 0.00% | 09:45 | 09:00 | 09:00 | 09:30 | 10:15 | 11:00 | 01:15 | 00:55 |
 | Vambrace | 2 | 5.56% | 43.8 | 100.00% | +32.35% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 20:00 | 19:00 | 19:30 | 20:00 | 20:30 | 21:00 | 01:00 | 00:44 |
 | Blink Dagger | 2 | 5.56% | 43.8 | 100.00% | +32.35% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 25:21 | 25:17 | 25:19 | 25:21 | 25:23 | 25:25 | 00:04 | 00:02 |
 | Possessed Mask | 2 | 5.56% | 43.8 | 100.00% | +32.35% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 08:00 | 08:00 | 08:00 | 08:00 | 08:00 | 08:00 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Brigand's Blade | 2 | 5.56% | 43.8 | 100.00% | +32.35% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 21:00 | 20:00 | 20:30 | 21:00 | 21:30 | 22:00 | 01:00 | 00:44 |
 | Essence Ring | 7 | 19.44% | 42.1 | 57.14% | -15.27% | -23.81% | +9.53% | 16.67% | 19:09 | 18:00 | 18:00 | 19:00 | 20:00 | 21:00 | 02:00 | 01:28 |
 | Arcane Ring | 10 | 27.78% | 41.9 | 50.00% | -26.92% | -16.67% | +16.67% | 14.82% | 09:48 | 08:00 | 08:30 | 10:00 | 10:45 | 12:00 | 02:15 | 01:40 |
 | Pupil's Gift | 5 | 13.89% | 36.9 | 60.00% | -10.97% | +6.67% | -10.00% | -16.67% | 20:12 | 18:00 | 19:00 | 19:00 | 20:00 | 25:00 | 01:00 | 00:44 |
 | Cloak of Flames | 5 | 13.89% | 36.9 | 60.00% | -10.97% | +6.67% | -10.00% | -16.67% | 30:00 | 28:00 | 29:00 | 29:00 | 30:00 | 34:00 | 01:00 | 00:44 |
 | Quicksilver Amulet | 3 | 8.33% | 29.7 | 66.67% | -3.03% | +33.33% | -66.67% | 0.00% | 20:20 | 18:00 | 19:00 | 20:00 | 21:30 | 23:00 | 02:30 | 01:51 |
 | Gleipnir | 3 | 8.33% | 29.7 | 66.67% | -3.03% | -66.67% | +33.33% | 0.00% | 36:02 | 29:31 | 30:11 | 30:52 | 39:18 | 47:44 | 09:06 | 06:44 |
 | Crown | 3 | 8.33% | 29.7 | 66.67% | -3.03% | -66.67% | +33.33% | 0.00% | 35:32 | 28:19 | 29:35 | 30:51 | 39:09 | 47:27 | 09:34 | 07:05 |
 | Ring of Aquila | 3 | 8.33% | 29.7 | 66.67% | -3.03% | +33.33% | -16.67% | 0.00% | 21:20 | 18:00 | 20:30 | 23:00 | 23:00 | 23:00 | 02:30 | 01:51 |
 | Rod of Atos | 3 | 8.33% | 29.7 | 66.67% | -3.03% | -66.67% | +33.33% | 0.00% | 35:33 | 28:19 | 29:35 | 30:52 | 39:10 | 47:28 | 09:34 | 07:05 |
 | Broom Handle | 4 | 11.11% | 23.4 | 50.00% | -21.88% | -50.00% | +50.00% | 0.00% | 10:45 | 10:00 | 10:00 | 10:30 | 11:15 | 12:00 | 01:15 | 00:55 |
 | Arcane Boots | 1 | 2.78% | 21.2 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 39:17 | 39:17 | 39:17 | 39:17 | 39:17 | 39:17 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Ghost Scepter | 1 | 2.78% | 21.2 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 28:00 | 28:00 | 28:00 | 28:00 | 28:00 | 28:00 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Assault Cuirass | 1 | 2.78% | 21.2 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 46:00 | 46:00 | 46:00 | 46:00 | 46:00 | 46:00 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Divine Rapier | 1 | 2.78% | 21.2 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 49:37 | 49:37 | 49:37 | 49:37 | 49:37 | 49:37 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Daedalus | 1 | 2.78% | 21.2 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 43:05 | 43:05 | 43:05 | 43:05 | 43:05 | 43:05 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Crystalys | 1 | 2.78% | 21.2 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 43:02 | 43:02 | 43:02 | 43:02 | 43:02 | 43:02 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Eye of Skadi | 1 | 2.78% | 21.2 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 39:44 | 39:44 | 39:44 | 39:44 | 39:44 | 39:44 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Stormcrafter | 1 | 2.78% | 21.2 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 39:00 | 39:00 | 39:00 | 39:00 | 39:00 | 39:00 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Chipped Vest | 1 | 2.78% | 21.2 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 08:00 | 08:00 | 08:00 | 08:00 | 08:00 | 08:00 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Aeon Disk | 1 | 2.78% | 21.2 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 40:44 | 40:44 | 40:44 | 40:44 | 40:44 | 40:44 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Aghanim's Blessing | 1 | 2.78% | 21.2 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 46:57 | 46:57 | 46:57 | 46:57 | 46:57 | 46:57 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Quickening Charm | 6 | 16.67% | 17.2 | 33.33% | -43.34% | -33.33% | -33.33% | 0.00% | 31:10 | 28:00 | 29:15 | 30:00 | 32:15 | 37:00 | 03:00 | 02:13 |
 | Falcon Blade | 2 | 5.56% | 12.1 | 50.00% | -20.59% | -50.00% | +50.00% | 0.00% | 07:56 | 05:08 | 06:32 | 07:56 | 09:20 | 10:44 | 02:48 | 02:04 |
 | Ceremonial Robe | 2 | 5.56% | 12.1 | 50.00% | -20.59% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 28:00 | 28:00 | 28:00 | 28:00 | 28:00 | 28:00 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Ascetic's Cap | 2 | 5.56% | 12.1 | 50.00% | -20.59% | -50.00% | +50.00% | 0.00% | 41:30 | 40:00 | 40:45 | 41:30 | 42:15 | 43:00 | 01:30 | 01:06 |
 | Pig Pole | 2 | 5.56% | 12.1 | 50.00% | -20.59% | +50.00% | -50.00% | 0.00% | 11:30 | 10:00 | 10:45 | 11:30 | 12:15 | 13:00 | 01:30 | 01:06 |
 | Bullwhip | 3 | 8.33% | 9.1 | 33.33% | -39.40% | +66.67% | -33.33% | 0.00% | 18:40 | 18:00 | 18:30 | 19:00 | 19:00 | 19:00 | 00:30 | 00:22 |
 | Spider Legs | 1 | 2.78% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 31:00 | 31:00 | 31:00 | 31:00 | 31:00 | 31:00 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Heaven's Halberd | 1 | 2.78% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 30:42 | 30:42 | 30:42 | 30:42 | 30:42 | 30:42 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Psychic Headband | 1 | 2.78% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 31:00 | 31:00 | 31:00 | 31:00 | 31:00 | 31:00 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Mind Breaker | 1 | 2.78% | 0.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 30:00 | 30:00 | 30:00 | 30:00 | 30:00 | 30:00 | 00:00 | 00:00 |