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Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
| Total | Winrate shifts | Timings | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Item | Pickups | Pickup rate | Rank | Winrate | When picked | Early | Late | Gradient (%/min) | Mean | Min | Q1 | Median | Q3 | Max | Std.Dev | |
 | Aghanim's Shard | 706 | 24.60% | 66.7 | 52.41% | +11.71% | +1.26% | -7.52% | -0.74% | 30:49 | 20:00 | 23:38 | 28:06 | 35:27 | 1:30:14 | 08:45 |
Columns
| Total | Winrate shifts | Timings | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hero | Pickups | Pickup rate | Rank | Winrate | When picked | Early | Late | Gradient (%/min) | Mean | Min | Q1 | Median | Q3 | Max | Window | Std.Dev | |
 | Necrophos | 1 | 100.00% | 100.0 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 21:30 | 21:30 | 21:30 | 21:30 | 21:30 | 21:30 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Clinkz | 1 | 100.00% | 98.9 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 20:03 | 20:03 | 20:03 | 20:03 | 20:03 | 20:03 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Earthshaker | 1 | 100.00% | 97.7 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 29:21 | 29:21 | 29:21 | 29:21 | 29:21 | 29:21 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Sniper | 1 | 100.00% | 96.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 22:46 | 22:46 | 22:46 | 22:46 | 22:46 | 22:46 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Jakiro | 2 | 50.00% | 95.5 | 100.00% | +100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 25:35 | 25:02 | 25:02 | 26:07 | 26:07 | 26:07 | 01:05 | 00:48 |
 | Abaddon | 6 | 10.71% | 94.3 | 100.00% | +64.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 32:47 | 24:57 | 29:33 | 29:42 | 41:16 | 41:26 | 11:43 | 08:40 |
 | Legion Commander | 8 | 72.73% | 93.2 | 75.00% | +8.33% | -25.00% | -25.00% | 0.00% | 23:37 | 20:01 | 20:02 | 22:37 | 25:02 | 29:31 | 05:00 | 03:42 |
 | Pudge | 1 | 50.00% | 92.0 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 25:09 | 25:09 | 25:09 | 25:09 | 25:09 | 25:09 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Lone Druid | 1 | 50.00% | 90.9 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 25:14 | 25:14 | 25:14 | 25:14 | 25:14 | 25:14 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Chen | 3 | 100.00% | 89.8 | 66.67% | +66.67% | +33.33% | 0.00% | -6.97% | 29:32 | 27:28 | 27:28 | 28:54 | 32:15 | 32:15 | 04:47 | 03:32 |
 | Alchemist | 2 | 28.57% | 88.6 | 100.00% | +80.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 26:31 | 24:29 | 24:29 | 28:32 | 28:32 | 28:32 | 04:03 | 03:00 |
 | Ancient Apparition | 27 | 42.86% | 87.5 | 70.37% | +31.48% | +15.34% | -13.23% | -2.60% | 31:14 | 20:02 | 24:11 | 30:10 | 35:11 | 53:32 | 11:00 | 08:08 |
 | Dark Willow | 24 | 92.31% | 86.4 | 58.33% | -41.67% | -8.33% | -8.33% | 0.00% | 25:16 | 20:00 | 21:31 | 23:23 | 27:46 | 37:42 | 06:15 | 04:37 |
 | Kunkka | 8 | 30.77% | 85.2 | 75.00% | +13.89% | -25.00% | +25.00% | 16.57% | 24:45 | 20:15 | 21:20 | 23:03 | 24:21 | 34:14 | 03:01 | 02:14 |
 | Faceless Void | 12 | 42.86% | 84.1 | 66.67% | +35.42% | +33.33% | 0.00% | -3.56% | 30:22 | 20:16 | 24:33 | 29:17 | 33:54 | 40:55 | 09:21 | 06:55 |
 | Beastmaster | 7 | 87.50% | 83.0 | 57.14% | -42.86% | -7.14% | +42.86% | 12.20% | 26:31 | 20:01 | 20:36 | 22:53 | 24:42 | 47:57 | 04:06 | 03:02 |
 | Broodmother | 9 | 40.91% | 81.8 | 66.67% | +5.13% | +33.33% | -16.67% | -4.29% | 29:13 | 20:01 | 21:59 | 27:28 | 33:38 | 41:44 | 11:39 | 08:37 |
 | Tiny | 5 | 21.74% | 80.7 | 80.00% | +30.00% | +20.00% | +20.00% | 0.00% | 33:39 | 21:49 | 21:49 | 32:50 | 39:19 | 43:57 | 17:30 | 12:57 |
 | Doom | 10 | 26.32% | 79.5 | 70.00% | +27.14% | +30.00% | +30.00% | 0.00% | 31:48 | 22:27 | 27:02 | 31:21 | 36:01 | 38:43 | 08:59 | 06:39 |
 | Medusa | 24 | 52.17% | 78.4 | 58.33% | -9.85% | -25.00% | +8.34% | 4.05% | 29:51 | 20:01 | 24:08 | 27:09 | 32:22 | 47:29 | 08:14 | 06:05 |
 | Slark | 1 | 33.33% | 77.3 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 46:25 | 46:25 | 46:25 | 46:25 | 46:25 | 46:25 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Anti-Mage | 3 | 60.00% | 76.1 | 66.67% | +16.67% | +33.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 28:48 | 24:38 | 24:38 | 29:16 | 32:31 | 32:31 | 07:53 | 05:50 |
 | Lion | 38 | 31.15% | 75.0 | 57.89% | +13.84% | +2.11% | -13.45% | -2.15% | 30:03 | 20:07 | 24:49 | 27:32 | 32:04 | 54:58 | 07:15 | 05:22 |
 | Tidehunter | 3 | 7.14% | 73.9 | 100.00% | +51.28% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 43:56 | 25:04 | 25:04 | 42:25 | 1:04:19 | 1:04:19 | 39:15 | 29:04 |
 | Templar Assassin | 17 | 29.82% | 72.7 | 58.82% | +11.32% | +41.18% | -33.82% | 0.00% | 30:37 | 20:02 | 22:33 | 27:40 | 33:59 | 57:30 | 11:26 | 08:28 |
 | Ember Spirit | 16 | 42.11% | 71.6 | 56.25% | +19.89% | -6.25% | -6.25% | 0.00% | 31:26 | 21:18 | 24:11 | 32:48 | 33:59 | 46:32 | 09:48 | 07:15 |
 | Luna | 41 | 51.25% | 70.5 | 51.22% | -5.19% | +8.78% | -31.22% | -4.72% | 27:02 | 20:02 | 22:20 | 25:09 | 30:49 | 44:04 | 08:29 | 06:17 |
 | Axe | 46 | 56.79% | 69.3 | 50.00% | +27.14% | +8.33% | -4.55% | -2.09% | 24:16 | 20:00 | 20:20 | 22:29 | 26:29 | 40:27 | 06:09 | 04:33 |
 | Batrider | 16 | 72.73% | 68.2 | 50.00% | -16.67% | +25.00% | 0.00% | -3.86% | 28:19 | 20:04 | 22:52 | 28:03 | 29:21 | 47:37 | 06:29 | 04:48 |
 | Juggernaut | 12 | 75.00% | 67.0 | 50.00% | +50.00% | +16.67% | -16.67% | -3.93% | 25:36 | 20:01 | 20:44 | 26:03 | 29:13 | 31:41 | 08:29 | 06:17 |
 | Phoenix | 68 | 68.00% | 65.9 | 47.06% | +3.31% | +5.88% | -17.65% | -2.46% | 29:24 | 20:04 | 23:55 | 27:25 | 33:28 | 1:03:27 | 09:33 | 07:04 |
 | Phantom Assassin | 5 | 45.45% | 64.8 | 60.00% | -6.67% | +40.00% | -60.00% | -12.45% | 27:05 | 21:21 | 21:21 | 26:02 | 29:23 | 33:03 | 08:02 | 05:57 |
 | Techies | 1 | 25.00% | 63.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 26:18 | 26:18 | 26:18 | 26:18 | 26:18 | 26:18 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Drow Ranger | 4 | 18.18% | 62.5 | 75.00% | +30.56% | +25.00% | +25.00% | 0.00% | 32:56 | 20:10 | 20:10 | 30:07 | 31:34 | 49:51 | 11:24 | 08:26 |
 | Snapfire | 9 | 37.50% | 61.4 | 55.56% | +15.56% | +44.44% | -55.56% | -6.52% | 30:47 | 20:18 | 21:42 | 26:09 | 37:02 | 46:39 | 15:20 | 11:21 |
 | Lifestealer | 2 | 8.70% | 60.2 | 100.00% | +47.62% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 45:55 | 40:08 | 40:08 | 51:42 | 51:42 | 51:42 | 11:34 | 08:34 |
 | Mars | 15 | 25.86% | 59.1 | 53.33% | +4.49% | -3.33% | +21.67% | 2.73% | 32:18 | 23:45 | 27:43 | 31:48 | 36:53 | 41:43 | 09:10 | 06:47 |
 | Pangolier | 21 | 61.76% | 58.0 | 42.86% | -3.29% | -2.86% | -22.86% | -3.11% | 25:35 | 20:44 | 21:16 | 23:34 | 27:42 | 41:22 | 06:26 | 04:45 |
 | Viper | 6 | 13.33% | 56.8 | 66.67% | +20.52% | -16.67% | -66.67% | -14.85% | 35:04 | 31:42 | 33:12 | 33:41 | 36:34 | 39:26 | 03:22 | 02:29 |
 | Timbersaw | 20 | 38.46% | 55.7 | 45.00% | +4.37% | -5.00% | -5.00% | 0.00% | 28:43 | 20:04 | 24:48 | 27:10 | 31:20 | 37:13 | 06:32 | 04:50 |
 | Chaos Knight | 1 | 16.67% | 54.5 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 58:12 | 58:12 | 58:12 | 58:12 | 58:12 | 58:12 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Rubick | 3 | 23.08% | 53.4 | 66.67% | +16.67% | -66.67% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 30:29 | 21:15 | 21:15 | 27:26 | 42:46 | 42:46 | 21:31 | 15:56 |
 | Phantom Lancer | 17 | 85.00% | 52.3 | 35.29% | -31.38% | +14.71% | +14.71% | 0.00% | 24:41 | 20:02 | 20:55 | 23:01 | 26:35 | 39:53 | 05:40 | 04:11 |
 | Tusk | 5 | 20.00% | 51.1 | 60.00% | +20.00% | -60.00% | -60.00% | 0.00% | 39:11 | 24:17 | 24:17 | 34:08 | 43:16 | 1:06:31 | 18:59 | 14:03 |
 | Sven | 1 | 14.29% | 50.0 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 29:33 | 29:33 | 29:33 | 29:33 | 29:33 | 29:33 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Leshrac | 19 | 33.33% | 48.9 | 42.11% | -5.26% | -2.11% | -2.11% | 0.00% | 33:05 | 20:08 | 24:03 | 33:31 | 37:32 | 52:13 | 13:29 | 09:59 |
 | Puck | 7 | 11.11% | 47.7 | 57.14% | +12.50% | -7.14% | -7.14% | 0.00% | 42:12 | 29:35 | 32:31 | 43:12 | 45:49 | 52:29 | 13:18 | 09:51 |
 | Wraith King | 6 | 27.27% | 46.6 | 50.00% | +25.00% | +50.00% | -50.00% | -20.07% | 27:32 | 23:36 | 24:18 | 25:50 | 29:17 | 34:25 | 04:59 | 03:41 |
 | Keeper of the Light | 4 | 36.36% | 45.5 | 50.00% | -7.14% | +50.00% | +50.00% | 0.00% | 24:24 | 21:14 | 21:14 | 21:33 | 26:30 | 28:20 | 05:16 | 03:54 |
 | Death Prophet | 5 | 12.20% | 44.3 | 60.00% | -6.67% | -60.00% | +40.00% | 3.89% | 48:23 | 26:38 | 26:38 | 51:23 | 52:21 | 1:02:06 | 25:43 | 19:02 |
 | Disruptor | 1 | 11.11% | 43.2 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 37:39 | 37:39 | 37:39 | 37:39 | 37:39 | 37:39 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Io | 1 | 11.11% | 42.0 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 26:04 | 26:04 | 26:04 | 26:04 | 26:04 | 26:04 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Earth Spirit | 6 | 23.08% | 40.9 | 50.00% | -5.00% | +50.00% | -50.00% | -6.02% | 43:57 | 30:20 | 34:10 | 41:25 | 50:46 | 59:54 | 16:36 | 12:17 |
 | Invoker | 8 | 14.55% | 39.8 | 50.00% | -18.09% | +50.00% | +50.00% | 0.00% | 40:23 | 24:07 | 24:53 | 37:43 | 51:10 | 1:03:07 | 26:17 | 19:28 |
 | Windranger | 1 | 10.00% | 38.6 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 31:17 | 31:17 | 31:17 | 31:17 | 31:17 | 31:17 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Clockwerk | 6 | 17.14% | 37.5 | 50.00% | -8.62% | +50.00% | -50.00% | -7.12% | 37:08 | 24:54 | 29:22 | 29:59 | 43:25 | 53:44 | 14:03 | 10:24 |
 | Mirana | 5 | 6.25% | 36.4 | 60.00% | -1.33% | +40.00% | +40.00% | 0.00% | 39:06 | 22:11 | 22:11 | 35:47 | 52:07 | 60:06 | 29:56 | 22:10 |
 | Grimstroke | 9 | 45.00% | 35.2 | 33.33% | +6.06% | -33.33% | -33.33% | 0.00% | 28:20 | 20:58 | 21:17 | 26:28 | 32:09 | 40:22 | 10:52 | 08:02 |
 | Spectre | 3 | 6.12% | 34.1 | 66.67% | +14.50% | -66.67% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 54:50 | 48:41 | 48:41 | 55:29 | 60:21 | 60:21 | 11:40 | 08:38 |
 | Magnus | 13 | 43.33% | 33.0 | 30.77% | -22.17% | -30.77% | +2.56% | 2.92% | 29:09 | 20:10 | 21:19 | 26:02 | 32:44 | 47:22 | 11:25 | 08:27 |
 | Arc Warden | 2 | 28.57% | 31.8 | 50.00% | +50.00% | -50.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 58:42 | 54:25 | 54:25 | 1:02:58 | 1:02:58 | 1:02:58 | 08:33 | 06:20 |
 | Lina | 3 | 3.49% | 30.7 | 66.67% | +19.68% | +33.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 48:03 | 41:15 | 41:15 | 46:23 | 56:32 | 56:32 | 15:17 | 11:19 |
 | Morphling | 1 | 3.70% | 29.5 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 45:24 | 45:24 | 45:24 | 45:24 | 45:24 | 45:24 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Oracle | 1 | 3.45% | 28.4 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1:30:14 | 1:30:14 | 1:30:14 | 1:30:14 | 1:30:14 | 1:30:14 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Dark Seer | 5 | 18.52% | 27.3 | 40.00% | -10.00% | -40.00% | -40.00% | 0.00% | 36:14 | 25:05 | 25:05 | 31:14 | 40:50 | 55:22 | 15:45 | 11:40 |
 | Void Spirit | 12 | 42.86% | 26.1 | 25.00% | 0.00% | +8.33% | +8.33% | 0.00% | 37:43 | 22:24 | 24:55 | 37:00 | 43:52 | 1:02:21 | 18:57 | 14:02 |
 | Zeus | 3 | 42.86% | 25.0 | 33.33% | -16.67% | -33.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 34:40 | 21:57 | 21:57 | 23:55 | 58:08 | 58:08 | 36:11 | 26:48 |
 | Brewmaster | 2 | 14.29% | 23.9 | 50.00% | -16.67% | -50.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 33:36 | 30:47 | 30:47 | 36:24 | 36:24 | 36:24 | 05:37 | 04:09 |
 | Hoodwink | 4 | 3.48% | 22.7 | 50.00% | -3.15% | -50.00% | +50.00% | 0.00% | 39:17 | 34:51 | 34:51 | 39:21 | 39:23 | 43:32 | 04:32 | 03:21 |
 | Slardar | 3 | 30.00% | 21.6 | 33.33% | -9.53% | -33.33% | 0.00% | 5.02% | 35:10 | 31:19 | 31:19 | 36:13 | 37:57 | 37:57 | 06:38 | 04:54 |
 | Nature's Prophet | 5 | 62.50% | 20.5 | 20.00% | -13.33% | -20.00% | -20.00% | 0.00% | 29:17 | 22:22 | 22:22 | 29:16 | 31:38 | 35:07 | 09:16 | 06:51 |
 | Venomancer | 4 | 40.00% | 19.3 | 25.00% | -58.33% | -25.00% | -25.00% | 0.00% | 27:35 | 24:45 | 24:45 | 26:49 | 27:48 | 30:58 | 03:03 | 02:15 |
 | Sand King | 2 | 6.06% | 18.2 | 50.00% | -1.61% | -50.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 47:20 | 36:49 | 36:49 | 57:51 | 57:51 | 57:51 | 21:02 | 15:34 |
 | Storm Spirit | 3 | 13.04% | 17.0 | 33.33% | -6.67% | -33.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 37:24 | 30:44 | 30:44 | 33:00 | 48:28 | 48:28 | 17:44 | 13:08 |
 | Gyrocopter | 3 | 12.50% | 15.9 | 33.33% | -9.53% | +66.67% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 32:45 | 27:57 | 27:57 | 34:13 | 36:06 | 36:06 | 08:09 | 06:02 |
 | Ursa | 4 | 22.22% | 14.8 | 25.00% | -32.14% | -25.00% | +75.00% | 0.00% | 29:41 | 26:42 | 26:42 | 27:43 | 28:19 | 35:58 | 01:37 | 01:11 |
 | Razor | 3 | 10.71% | 13.6 | 33.33% | -26.67% | +66.67% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 37:46 | 24:30 | 24:30 | 36:10 | 52:38 | 52:38 | 28:08 | 20:50 |
 | Treant Protector | 5 | 21.74% | 12.5 | 20.00% | -30.00% | -20.00% | -20.00% | 0.00% | 38:12 | 20:43 | 20:43 | 35:48 | 49:25 | 1:02:54 | 28:42 | 21:15 |
 | Dragon Knight | 3 | 3.33% | 11.4 | 33.33% | -13.80% | -33.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 33:24 | 24:38 | 24:38 | 29:28 | 46:06 | 46:06 | 21:28 | 15:54 |
 | Winter Wyvern | 7 | 9.86% | 10.2 | 14.29% | -32.59% | -14.29% | -14.29% | 0.00% | 39:39 | 23:11 | 23:58 | 41:18 | 43:09 | 58:12 | 19:11 | 14:12 |
 | Shadow Shaman | 1 | 20.00% | 9.1 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 33:55 | 33:55 | 33:55 | 33:55 | 33:55 | 33:55 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Bristleback | 1 | 7.69% | 8.0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 40:22 | 40:22 | 40:22 | 40:22 | 40:22 | 40:22 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Shadow Demon | 1 | 4.17% | 6.8 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 20:50 | 20:50 | 20:50 | 20:50 | 20:50 | 20:50 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Naga Siren | 3 | 37.50% | 5.7 | 0.00% | -20.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 44:12 | 42:02 | 42:02 | 42:29 | 48:06 | 48:06 | 06:04 | 04:29 |
 | Elder Titan | 2 | 7.14% | 4.5 | 0.00% | -50.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 46:37 | 43:04 | 43:04 | 50:10 | 50:10 | 50:10 | 07:06 | 05:15 |
 | Terrorblade | 2 | 2.41% | 3.4 | 0.00% | -65.43% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 54:35 | 50:11 | 50:11 | 58:58 | 58:58 | 58:58 | 08:47 | 06:30 |
 | Warlock | 1 | 33.33% | 2.3 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 20:18 | 20:18 | 20:18 | 20:18 | 20:18 | 20:18 | 00:00 | 00:00 |
 | Nyx Assassin | 2 | 2.35% | 1.1 | 0.00% | -55.42% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 42:14 | 33:26 | 33:26 | 51:01 | 51:01 | 51:01 | 17:35 | 13:01 |