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The International 2016 Qualifiers

Dota 2 World Championships Qualifiers

Median hero picks: 12

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Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
ItemPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxStd.Dev
ultimate_scepterAghanim's Scepter26911.26%87.558.74%+12.15%+5.44%-6.50%-0.85%30:4610:5622:3628:3636:421:31:2310:26
Columns
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
HeroPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxWindowStd.Dev
pugnaPugna1100.00%100.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%26:2326:2326:2326:2326:2326:2300:0000:00
visageVisage1100.00%97.9100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%23:4623:4623:4623:4623:4623:4600:0000:00
meepoMeepo2100.00%95.7100.00%+100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%11:4410:5610:5612:3112:3112:3101:3501:10
windrunnerWindranger266.67%93.6100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%21:1019:1719:1723:0223:0223:0203:4502:46
undyingUndying444.44%91.5100.00%+80.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%39:3128:2628:2631:2740:1357:5811:4708:43
linaLina250.00%89.4100.00%+100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%28:2426:0526:0530:4330:4330:4304:3803:25
miranaMirana2696.30%87.276.92%+76.92%+8.79%-10.25%-5.52%19:4514:1618:0419:2721:3125:2003:2702:33
alchemistAlchemist1047.62%85.180.00%+61.82%-13.33%-30.00%-2.94%34:5523:4233:3935:0839:1940:1605:4004:11
nyx_assassinNyx Assassin325.00%83.0100.00%+22.22%0.00%0.00%0.00%36:2426:0926:0940:0343:0143:0116:5212:29
venomancerVenomancer150.00%80.9100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%23:4423:4423:4423:4423:4423:4400:0000:00
shredderTimbersaw3542.17%78.771.43%+27.68%+28.57%-26.99%-8.99%37:2224:0733:3435:4339:4553:4606:1104:34
keeper_of_the_lightKeeper of the Light5100.00%76.660.00%+60.00%+40.00%-60.00%-4.01%35:4318:1818:1838:2443:1643:5524:5818:29
invokerInvoker5585.94%74.554.55%+32.33%+24.02%-11.69%-8.64%22:4815:5620:3922:5224:4729:0604:0803:03
earth_spiritEarth Spirit88.89%72.375.00%+28.66%-25.00%-25.00%0.00%35:1722:4731:1933:4935:5346:5004:3403:22
shadow_shamanShadow Shaman125.00%70.2100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%18:1118:1118:1118:1118:1118:1100:0000:00
faceless_voidFaceless Void78.24%68.171.43%+18.87%-21.43%-21.43%0.00%37:3123:3632:0935:1640:5551:4608:4606:29
witch_doctorWitch Doctor616.22%66.066.67%+21.51%+33.33%+33.33%0.00%31:1028:3629:1230:4333:0334:2303:5102:51
phoenixPhoenix49.76%63.875.00%+29.05%-75.00%+25.00%0.00%37:2029:3729:3735:2135:4148:4006:0404:29
sand_kingSand King116.67%61.7100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%29:5329:5329:5329:5329:5329:5300:0000:00
tinkerTinker1672.73%59.637.50%+20.83%+12.50%-12.50%-5.66%28:1223:0525:4027:3430:0537:3304:2503:16
dazzleDazzle24.35%57.4100.00%+40.91%0.00%0.00%0.00%40:5838:2238:2243:3443:3443:3405:1203:51
rubickRubick631.58%55.350.00%-3.85%0.00%-50.00%-6.15%40:3534:3336:2839:1044:3644:5908:0806:01
night_stalkerNight Stalker1285.71%53.233.33%+33.33%0.00%+33.34%7.84%24:4617:1322:2422:5626:3932:1904:1503:08
necrolyteNecrophos250.00%51.150.00%-50.00%-50.00%0.00%0.00%57:4651:3651:361:03:551:03:551:03:5512:1909:07
chenChen250.00%48.950.00%+50.00%+50.00%0.00%0.00%21:5614:2014:2029:3229:3229:3215:1211:15
ancient_apparitionAncient Apparition425.00%46.850.00%-16.67%-50.00%+50.00%5.23%45:0432:2532:2543:4251:3352:3719:0814:10
lichLich18.33%44.7100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%38:5138:5138:5138:5138:5138:5100:0000:00
disruptorDisruptor54.63%42.660.00%+16.31%+40.00%-60.00%0.00%42:0731:4431:4439:5242:1557:5810:3107:47
shadow_demonShadow Demon15.88%40.4100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%27:2627:2627:2627:2627:2627:2600:0000:00
rattletrapClockwerk233.33%38.350.00%+25.00%+50.00%0.00%0.00%31:4527:1627:1636:1336:1336:1308:5706:37
lone_druidLone Druid15.56%36.2100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%48:4548:4548:4548:4548:4548:4500:0000:00
vengefulspiritVengeful Spirit33.30%34.066.67%+14.40%+33.33%0.00%0.00%1:06:5050:5150:5158:161:31:231:31:2340:3230:01
axeAxe13.23%31.9100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%33:3033:3033:3033:3033:3033:3000:0000:00
tinyTiny1083.33%29.820.00%+20.00%-20.00%-20.00%0.00%30:2718:3220:4528:0531:441:01:2410:5908:08
ursaUrsa220.00%27.750.00%+12.50%-50.00%0.00%0.00%25:4523:0523:0528:2428:2428:2405:1903:56
tidehunterTidehunter11.54%25.5100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%32:2032:2032:2032:2032:2032:2000:0000:00
enchantressEnchantress325.00%23.433.33%0.00%+66.67%0.00%0.00%32:2827:4827:4830:1239:2439:2411:3608:35
puckPuck320.00%21.333.33%-25.00%-33.33%0.00%0.00%37:5531:0331:0338:5443:4743:4712:4409:25
drow_rangerDrow Ranger315.79%19.133.33%-35.42%+66.67%0.00%0.00%21:2419:5919:5921:0823:0623:0603:0702:18
queenofpainQueen of Pain425.00%17.00.00%-33.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%29:3025:5025:5028:1931:2232:3005:3204:05
warlockWarlock266.67%14.90.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%26:3115:2015:2037:4137:4137:4122:2116:33
batriderBatrider23.17%12.80.00%-45.90%0.00%0.00%0.00%44:0934:5634:5653:2153:2153:2118:2513:38
omniknightOmniknight240.00%10.60.00%-66.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%45:0329:2829:2860:3860:3860:3831:1023:05
treantTreant Protector150.00%8.50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1:03:461:03:461:03:461:03:461:03:461:03:4600:0000:00
lionLion22.67%6.40.00%-41.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%47:2242:4742:4751:5651:5651:5609:0906:46
morphlingMorphling14.76%4.30.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%18:0718:0718:0718:0718:0718:0700:0000:00
jakiroJakiro150.00%2.10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%51:2851:2851:2851:2851:2851:2800:0000:00