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The International 2017 Qualifiers

Dota 2 World Championships Qualifiers

Median hero picks: 18

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Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
ItemPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxStd.Dev
medallion_of_courageMedallion of Courage2989.93%90.459.73%+12.36%+1.60%+5.13%0.33%23:0205:4317:0620:3827:4059:5707:49
Columns
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
HeroPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxWindowStd.Dev
beastmasterBeastmaster866.67%100.087.50%+12.50%+12.50%+12.50%0.00%16:5609:2011:0317:0318:3028:1707:2705:31
dazzleDazzle1760.71%98.170.59%+25.14%-20.59%+4.41%3.37%23:3013:1819:2323:2426:4839:2107:2505:29
undyingUndying228.57%96.3100.00%+40.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%25:1219:4919:4930:3530:3530:3510:4607:58
rattletrapClockwerk1920.88%94.473.68%+22.29%+6.32%+26.32%1.53%24:2312:0715:3920:0828:4359:5713:0409:40
treantTreant Protector1252.17%92.666.67%+3.03%+33.33%+33.33%0.00%19:5315:0217:5718:4520:1827:2002:2101:44
night_stalkerNight Stalker3959.09%90.761.54%+17.10%+18.46%-21.54%-6.82%23:1412:5517:5821:3223:5045:2305:5204:20
bounty_hunterBounty Hunter529.41%88.980.00%+21.67%+20.00%+20.00%0.00%21:4815:2115:2122:4623:5126:0608:3006:17
death_prophetDeath Prophet428.57%87.075.00%+35.00%+25.00%+25.00%0.00%21:2418:2518:2519:0223:5824:0905:3304:06
shadow_shamanShadow Shaman36.25%85.2100.00%+46.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%23:1518:2418:2420:1031:1031:1012:4609:27
disruptorDisruptor35.88%83.3100.00%+41.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%33:2121:1521:1529:3349:1649:1628:0120:45
clinkzClinkz1076.92%81.550.00%-16.67%-16.67%0.00%3.83%10:2806:5508:0708:3812:2815:5104:2103:13
warlockWarlock917.31%79.666.67%+27.14%+33.33%-16.67%-11.76%30:5223:1424:5128:4629:0648:1904:1503:08
huskarHuskar125.00%77.8100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%14:5314:5314:5314:5314:5314:5300:0000:00
ancient_apparitionAncient Apparition59.09%75.980.00%+30.00%+20.00%-80.00%0.00%40:0728:3328:3343:2044:3645:5516:0311:53
earthshakerEarthshaker56.10%74.180.00%+47.53%+20.00%+20.00%0.00%34:4517:1017:1037:5041:2445:5724:1417:57
slardarSlardar27.41%72.2100.00%+48.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%36:3228:4628:4644:1844:1844:1815:3211:30
venomancerVenomancer1015.87%70.460.00%+18.49%+40.00%-60.00%-15.00%16:5610:1912:5316:2019:3328:5406:4004:56
bristlebackBristleback3664.29%68.541.67%-3.33%-8.34%-8.34%0.00%19:3009:5415:0619:0321:5436:1106:4805:02
chenChen120.00%66.7100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%05:4305:4305:4305:4305:4305:4300:0000:00
spirit_breakerSpirit Breaker926.47%64.855.56%+7.56%-5.56%-5.56%0.00%27:0617:1219:3125:1133:1839:0513:4710:12
abaddonAbaddon529.41%63.060.00%+10.00%+40.00%-60.00%-43.80%19:1117:2917:2919:3019:4620:3302:1701:41
doom_bringerDoom642.86%61.150.00%+12.50%0.00%+50.00%3.71%20:3112:4414:3316:1628:0131:2413:2809:58
broodmotherBroodmother116.67%59.3100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%06:3206:3206:3206:3206:3206:3200:0000:00
razorRazor47.55%57.475.00%+28.06%+25.00%-75.00%0.00%24:5217:2317:2321:4528:3031:5111:0708:14
vengefulspiritVengeful Spirit321.43%55.666.67%+21.22%+33.33%0.00%0.00%28:4213:5113:5119:4452:3252:3238:4128:39
abyssal_underlordUnderlord320.00%53.766.67%+8.34%-66.67%0.00%0.00%23:2319:3819:3820:1130:2030:2010:4207:55
elder_titanElder Titan114.29%51.9100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%23:2923:2923:2923:2923:2923:2900:0000:00
furionNature's Prophet517.24%50.060.00%-6.67%-60.00%+40.00%29.85%12:2809:3809:3812:5812:5914:4503:2102:28
dark_seerDark Seer23.57%48.1100.00%+51.85%0.00%0.00%0.00%31:5722:1322:1341:4141:4141:4119:2814:25
tidehunterTidehunter317.65%46.366.67%+30.96%+33.33%0.00%0.00%22:5918:5418:5421:1728:4628:4609:5207:18
nyx_assassinNyx Assassin22.50%44.4100.00%+47.44%0.00%0.00%0.00%39:2838:2738:2740:2940:2940:2902:0201:30
lichLich111.11%42.6100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%54:3254:3254:3254:3254:3254:3200:0000:00
lone_druidLone Druid428.57%40.750.00%0.00%+50.00%-50.00%-17.91%25:4322:0522:0524:3727:4028:2905:3504:08
rikiRiki19.09%38.9100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%17:1817:1817:1817:1817:1817:1800:0000:00
omniknightOmniknight1142.31%37.036.36%+3.03%-3.03%+30.31%4.43%22:0011:5416:0023:0123:3235:0607:3205:34
oracleOracle18.33%35.2100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%14:5914:5914:5914:5914:5914:5900:0000:00
visageVisage4100.00%33.325.00%+25.00%+75.00%-25.00%-22.81%13:2409:2209:2213:3113:4516:5604:2303:14
viperViper17.14%31.5100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%18:1718:1718:1718:1718:1718:1700:0000:00
svenSven37.50%29.666.67%+9.91%+33.33%0.00%0.00%18:5516:0716:0717:1623:2123:2107:1405:21
witch_doctorWitch Doctor49.30%27.850.00%+3.85%+50.00%-50.00%0.00%27:3120:3820:3821:5126:1641:1805:3804:10
life_stealerLifestealer12.78%25.9100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%16:0316:0316:0316:0316:0316:0300:0000:00
sand_kingSand King42.82%24.150.00%+3.62%+50.00%-50.00%-9.40%39:0229:1929:1931:2039:5755:3310:3807:52
queenofpainQueen of Pain10.93%22.2100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%24:5824:5824:5824:5824:5824:5800:0000:00
kunkkaKunkka715.56%20.428.57%-10.90%-28.57%+21.43%0.00%27:1720:5123:2624:1626:3437:0903:0802:19
tuskTusk527.78%18.520.00%-26.15%+80.00%-20.00%0.00%26:1418:5818:5825:5427:4033:2108:4206:26
jakiroJakiro37.69%16.733.33%-19.45%+66.67%0.00%0.00%27:2819:5519:5523:3138:5738:5719:0214:05
crystal_maidenCrystal Maiden36.38%14.833.33%-18.94%-33.33%0.00%2.61%33:4026:2626:2635:2139:1339:1312:4709:28
silencerSilencer34.84%13.033.33%-10.74%-33.33%0.00%0.00%22:0418:4518:4521:5925:2725:2706:4204:57
bloodseekerBloodseeker13.13%11.10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%14:2314:2314:2314:2314:2314:2300:0000:00
shredderTimbersaw17.69%9.30.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%30:2730:2730:2730:2730:2730:2700:0000:00
drow_rangerDrow Ranger15.00%7.40.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%23:3923:3923:3923:3923:3923:3900:0000:00
ember_spiritEmber Spirit13.57%5.60.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%17:5817:5817:5817:5817:5817:5800:0000:00
juggernautJuggernaut12.17%3.70.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%11:5211:5211:5211:5211:5211:5200:0000:00
legion_commanderLegion Commander11.49%1.90.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%23:2723:2723:2723:2723:2723:2700:0000:00