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DPC 2023 Spring Tour: Closed Qualifiers

DPC 2023 Spring Tour North America Closed Qualifiers, hosted by PGL

First Pick Winrate: 47.4286

Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
ItemPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxStd.Dev
quelling_bladeQuelling Blade67238.84%54.148.81%+14.32%-7.14%0.00%0.00%-00:12-01:30-01:29-01:29-01:2949:2500:00
Columns
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
HeroPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxWindowStd.Dev
night_stalkerNight Stalker4100.00%100.0100.00%+100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:28-01:2800:0100:00
omniknightOmniknight1100.00%98.9100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%00:2600:2600:2600:2600:2600:2600:0000:00
bounty_hunterBounty Hunter266.67%97.7100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%03:01-01:29-01:2907:3107:3107:3109:0006:40
legion_commanderLegion Commander12100.00%96.683.33%+83.33%-16.66%+16.67%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2600:0000:00
magnataurMagnus675.00%95.583.33%-16.67%+16.67%+16.67%0.00%00:45-01:29-01:29-01:2901:0407:3802:3301:53
dark_seerDark Seer571.43%94.380.00%+80.00%-80.00%+20.00%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2900:0000:00
beastmasterBeastmaster2683.87%93.273.08%+13.08%-30.22%-6.41%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2600:0000:00
troll_warlordTroll Warlord10100.00%92.070.00%+70.00%-36.67%+30.00%0.00%-00:43-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2906:1200:0000:00
baneBane150.00%90.9100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%21:0821:0821:0821:0821:0821:0800:0000:00
miranaMirana916.98%89.888.89%+29.80%-38.89%+11.11%9.04%06:07-01:29-01:29-01:2907:0149:2508:3006:17
rikiRiki3100.00%88.666.67%+66.67%+33.33%0.00%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2900:0000:00
kunkkaKunkka9100.00%87.566.67%+66.67%-16.67%-16.67%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2800:0000:00
tidehunterTidehunter9100.00%86.466.67%+66.67%+33.33%+33.33%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2800:0000:00
marciMarci1292.31%85.266.67%+66.67%0.00%+33.33%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2800:0000:00
life_stealerLifestealer13100.00%84.161.54%+61.54%+5.13%+5.13%0.00%-01:26-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-00:5700:0000:00
faceless_voidFaceless Void13100.00%83.061.54%+61.54%-61.54%+5.13%0.00%-01:28-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2500:0000:00
abyssal_underlordUnderlord5100.00%81.860.00%+60.00%+40.00%-60.00%0.00%-01:06-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2900:2500:0000:00
antimageAnti-Mage17100.00%80.758.82%+58.82%+16.18%-8.82%0.00%-01:28-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:1600:0000:00
ursaUrsa26100.00%79.557.69%+57.69%+13.74%-7.69%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2500:0000:00
terrorbladeTerrorblade21100.00%78.457.14%+57.14%-37.14%+22.86%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2800:0000:00
phantom_lancerPhantom Lancer7100.00%77.357.14%+57.14%-7.14%+42.86%0.00%-01:29-01:30-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2800:0000:00
pangolierPangolier33100.00%76.154.55%+54.55%-4.55%-4.55%0.00%-01:29-01:30-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2900:0000:00
ember_spiritEmber Spirit54100.00%75.051.85%+51.85%+5.29%+2.00%0.00%-01:28-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-00:5900:0000:00
void_spiritVoid Spirit2100.00%73.950.00%+50.00%-50.00%0.00%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2900:0000:00
lone_druidLone Druid2100.00%73.950.00%+50.00%-50.00%0.00%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2900:0000:00
sand_kingSand King2100.00%73.950.00%+50.00%-50.00%0.00%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2900:0000:00
juggernautJuggernaut2100.00%70.550.00%+50.00%+50.00%0.00%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2900:0000:00
centaurCentaur Warrunner1168.75%69.354.55%+54.55%+45.45%-54.55%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2900:0000:00
earth_spiritEarth Spirit350.00%68.266.67%+66.67%+33.33%0.00%-33.33%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:28-01:2800:0100:00
death_prophetDeath Prophet1119.64%67.063.64%+1.42%-63.64%+36.36%9.72%05:56-01:29-01:2300:4211:4027:2513:0309:40
shredderTimbersaw1066.67%65.950.00%+10.00%+16.67%0.00%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2900:0000:00
dark_willowDark Willow125.00%64.8100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2900:0000:00
keeper_of_the_lightKeeper of the Light125.00%63.6100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%14:5114:5114:5114:5114:5114:5100:0000:00
naga_sirenNaga Siren14100.00%62.542.86%+42.86%+7.14%-42.86%0.00%-01:26-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-00:4900:0000:00
tuskTusk1934.55%61.452.63%+10.96%+7.37%+27.37%20.00%05:18-01:29-01:29-01:2901:2235:3602:5102:06
templar_assassinTemplar Assassin1058.82%60.250.00%-21.43%+16.67%+50.00%0.00%-01:29-01:30-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2900:0000:00
spectreSpectre15100.00%59.140.00%+40.00%-40.00%-15.00%0.00%-01:18-01:30-01:29-01:29-01:2901:1200:0000:00
chaos_knightChaos Knight787.50%58.042.86%+42.86%+7.14%-42.86%0.00%-01:28-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2500:0000:00
lunaLuna333.33%56.866.67%+33.34%+33.33%0.00%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2900:0000:00
dragon_knightDragon Knight21100.00%55.738.10%+38.10%-18.10%+21.90%0.00%-01:27-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-00:5800:0000:00
monkey_kingMonkey King1043.48%54.550.00%+11.54%-16.67%0.00%16.67%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:28-01:2700:0100:00
slardarSlardar266.67%53.450.00%+50.00%+50.00%0.00%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2900:0000:00
broodmotherBroodmother1184.62%52.336.36%-13.64%-3.03%+30.31%0.00%-01:06-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2901:0200:0000:00
tinyTiny2027.03%51.145.00%-14.26%-5.00%-25.00%-20.00%00:22-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:1612:5600:1300:09
slarkSlark1593.75%50.033.33%+33.33%-8.33%-8.33%0.00%-01:29-01:30-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2900:0000:00
obsidian_destroyerOutworld Destroyer114.29%48.9100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%07:2907:2907:2907:2907:2907:2900:0000:00
drow_rangerDrow Ranger1240.00%47.741.67%-8.33%-8.34%+25.00%0.00%-00:01-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2907:1700:0000:00
doom_bringerDoom1466.67%46.635.71%-50.00%+14.29%-2.38%0.00%-01:29-01:30-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2800:0000:00
phantom_assassinPhantom Assassin7100.00%45.528.57%+28.57%+21.43%-28.57%0.00%-00:50-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2901:2300:0000:00
dawnbreakerDawnbreaker969.23%44.333.33%-16.67%+16.67%-33.33%0.00%-01:28-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2400:0000:00
abaddonAbaddon969.23%43.233.33%-16.67%+16.67%+16.67%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2900:0000:00
lycanLycan15100.00%42.026.67%+26.67%-1.67%-26.67%0.00%-01:28-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:1600:0000:00
bloodseekerBloodseeker787.50%40.928.57%+28.57%-28.57%-28.57%0.00%-01:28-01:30-01:30-01:29-01:29-01:2100:0100:00
brewmasterBrewmaster375.00%39.833.33%-66.67%-33.33%0.00%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2900:0000:00
morphlingMorphling423.53%38.650.00%-11.54%+50.00%-50.00%0.00%-01:28-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2500:0000:00
sniperSniper535.71%37.540.00%+6.67%-40.00%+60.00%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2800:0000:00
primal_beastPrimal Beast2871.79%36.425.00%-29.55%+3.57%-10.71%0.00%-00:56-01:30-01:29-01:29-01:2913:5100:0000:00
alchemistAlchemist480.00%35.225.00%-75.00%-25.00%-25.00%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2900:0000:00
treantTreant Protector13.85%34.1100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%05:3405:3405:3405:3405:3405:3400:0000:00
hoodwinkHoodwink13.23%33.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2900:0000:00
lichLich220.00%31.850.00%0.00%+50.00%0.00%0.00%24:4018:1418:1431:0531:0531:0512:5109:31
enchantressEnchantress327.27%30.733.33%-4.17%+66.67%0.00%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2900:0000:00
snapfireSnapfire610.00%29.533.33%-11.11%+16.67%-33.33%-44.12%00:58-01:29-01:29-01:2902:3709:0404:0603:02
nevermoreShadow Fiend313.64%28.433.33%-29.83%-33.33%0.00%0.00%02:55-01:29-01:29-01:2911:4411:4413:1309:47
gyrocopterGyrocopter425.00%27.325.00%-16.67%+75.00%-25.00%-22.64%02:31-01:29-01:29-01:2905:5407:0807:2305:28
marsMars866.67%26.112.50%-37.50%-12.50%-12.50%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2900:0000:00
disruptorDisruptor58.77%25.020.00%-31.92%-20.00%-20.00%0.00%09:14-01:29-01:2909:4212:3126:4314:0010:22
rubickRubick67.14%23.916.67%-32.05%-16.67%-16.67%0.00%11:15-01:2907:1608:4318:1323:4310:5708:06
svenSven150.00%22.70.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2900:0000:00
weaverWeaver266.67%21.60.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2900:0000:00
meepoMeepo1100.00%20.50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2900:0000:00
phoenixPhoenix233.33%19.30.00%-25.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2900:0000:00
silencerSilencer13.23%18.20.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%34:4734:4734:4734:4734:4734:4700:0000:00
windrunnerWindranger150.00%17.00.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%14:0014:0014:0014:0014:0014:0000:0000:00
zuusZeus17.14%15.90.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%09:4809:4809:4809:4809:4809:4800:0000:00
bristlebackBristleback1100.00%14.80.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2900:0000:00
undyingUndying23.64%13.60.00%-41.51%0.00%0.00%0.00%07:01-01:29-01:2915:3115:3115:3117:0012:35
medusaMedusa2100.00%12.50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:28-01:28-01:2800:0100:00
skywrath_mageSkywrath Mage17.14%11.40.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%10:3310:3310:3310:3310:3310:3300:0000:00
spirit_breakerSpirit Breaker112.50%10.20.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%07:1307:1307:1307:1307:1307:1300:0000:00
skeleton_kingWraith King1100.00%9.10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2900:0000:00
storm_spiritStorm Spirit12.38%8.00.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%30:2030:2030:2030:2030:2030:2000:0000:00
razorRazor1100.00%6.80.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2900:0000:00
rattletrapClockwerk25.71%5.70.00%-54.55%0.00%0.00%0.00%15:0914:3014:3015:4815:4815:4801:1800:57
furionNature's Prophet12.00%4.50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-01:28-01:28-01:28-01:28-01:28-01:2800:0000:00
huskarHuskar120.00%3.40.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2900:0000:00
batriderBatrider15.56%2.30.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%11:5811:5811:5811:5811:5811:5800:0000:00
axeAxe1100.00%1.10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2900:0000:00