Spectral Stats - Immortal Rank Meta Trends - 7.28b - Items - Heroes

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Explain this to me

Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.

		Total			Winrate shifts					Timings
	Item	Pickups	Pickup rate	Rank	Winrate	When picked	Early	Late	Gradient (%/min)	Mean	Min	Q1	Median	Q3	Max	Std.Dev
	Orb of Venom	259938	14.61%	20.8	50.62%	-3.00%	+0.25%	+0.16%	-0.09%	00:53	-01:30	-01:29	-01:13	02:21	1:02:15	03:35

ColumnsTotalWinrate shiftsTimings

	Total			Winrate shifts					Timings
Hero	Pickups	Pickup rate	Rank	Winrate	When picked	Early	Late	Gradient (%/min)	Mean	Min	Q1	Median	Q3	Max	Window	Std.Dev
Broodmother	1062	20.39%	100.0	59.98%	+2.81%	+2.57%	+0.40%	-0.60%	05:57	-01:29	03:30	04:36	07:06	50:46	03:36	04:14
Tidehunter	2256	12.65%	99.2	55.23%	-0.48%	-1.60%	+0.98%	0.59%	03:41	-01:29	01:04	02:47	05:25	35:04	04:21	04:37
Bounty Hunter	13035	65.10%	98.3	53.66%	-4.37%	+0.08%	-0.42%	-0.33%	01:09	-01:30	-01:29	-01:19	03:00	43:57	04:29	03:51
Beastmaster	3460	16.16%	97.5	54.36%	-3.69%	-1.47%	+0.21%	1.68%	00:40	-01:30	-01:29	-00:57	01:54	31:58	03:23	03:03
Abaddon	2276	41.98%	96.7	53.43%	-2.57%	-0.45%	-0.18%	0.27%	00:43	-01:29	-01:29	-01:13	02:13	32:27	03:42	03:12
Chaos Knight	1512	23.70%	95.8	53.90%	-0.69%	+0.98%	+0.33%	-0.21%	02:31	-01:29	-01:05	02:13	04:11	21:14	05:16	03:24
Lycan	265	1.68%	95.0	59.25%	+2.35%	-2.53%	+7.42%	0.83%	11:59	-01:29	04:23	12:22	16:20	43:17	11:57	09:21
Night Stalker	2286	19.97%	94.2	53.02%	-2.44%	-1.71%	+0.22%	0.36%	04:59	-01:30	02:08	04:37	07:31	53:52	05:23	04:37
Monkey King	26420	89.46%	93.3	51.64%	-3.39%	-0.64%	-0.60%	0.04%	00:12	-01:30	-01:29	-01:20	01:37	32:26	03:06	02:30
Pangolier	20577	74.78%	92.5	51.63%	-2.68%	+0.91%	-0.35%	-1.26%	00:47	-01:30	-01:29	-01:09	02:14	51:33	03:43	03:03
Treant Protector	6120	74.54%	91.7	51.55%	-3.17%	+0.70%	-0.50%	-1.20%	-01:10	-01:30	-01:29	-01:29	-01:28	34:54	00:01	01:18
Naga Siren	722	10.84%	90.8	54.29%	-0.22%	-3.74%	+5.71%	9.45%	-00:23	-01:29	-01:29	-01:29	-01:06	27:06	00:23	02:38
Lone Druid	1706	92.47%	90.0	51.17%	-3.48%	-2.81%	+0.47%	3.28%	00:41	-01:30	-01:29	-01:11	01:52	28:10	03:21	03:14
Riki	19455	62.68%	89.2	51.07%	-2.67%	+0.42%	-1.65%	-1.97%	01:09	-01:30	-01:29	01:05	02:32	44:49	04:01	03:18
Elder Titan	1921	37.48%	88.3	51.80%	-3.48%	-0.03%	+0.70%	0.73%	00:47	-01:29	-01:29	-01:22	02:08	47:14	03:37	04:22
Ursa	19438	69.55%	87.5	50.35%	-4.11%	+0.87%	-1.00%	-1.87%	00:16	-01:30	-01:29	-01:16	01:36	36:13	03:05	02:29
Nyx Assassin	1238	3.52%	86.7	53.15%	-4.65%	+2.80%	-0.40%	-3.20%	00:30	-01:29	-01:29	-01:29	01:30	53:22	02:59	04:19
Spirit Breaker	11551	75.82%	85.8	50.24%	-4.46%	-0.19%	+0.90%	1.09%	-00:23	-01:30	-01:29	-01:29	-01:05	28:50	00:24	02:21
Dragon Knight	207	4.65%	85.0	57.00%	+5.44%	-11.72%	+2.62%	2.61%	03:30	-01:29	00:20	03:01	05:50	23:28	05:30	04:18
Slardar	3174	26.14%	84.2	51.04%	-2.33%	-2.23%	+2.81%	2.00%	02:05	-01:29	-01:22	01:35	03:53	44:17	05:15	03:44
Bloodseeker	2394	29.41%	83.3	51.04%	-1.54%	+1.29%	-1.54%	-1.39%	01:50	-01:29	-01:12	01:53	03:14	25:20	04:26	02:41
Ember Spirit	2760	12.41%	82.5	51.38%	-0.19%	-2.03%	-1.52%	0.08%	06:18	-01:29	02:51	06:22	09:30	42:15	06:39	05:11
Wraith King	1475	4.90%	81.7	52.47%	-2.92%	-4.63%	+2.54%	2.55%	02:46	-01:29	-01:22	01:56	04:11	41:36	05:33	05:09
Earth Spirit	12679	51.92%	80.8	50.04%	-4.14%	+0.89%	-3.01%	-3.90%	-01:06	-01:30	-01:29	-01:29	-01:23	38:17	00:06	01:48
Troll Warlord	2749	12.40%	80.0	51.18%	-3.41%	-1.62%	+1.22%	1.76%	01:33	-01:29	-01:23	01:32	03:00	40:06	04:23	03:10
Slark	13057	74.66%	79.2	49.70%	-2.53%	-0.57%	+1.22%	1.79%	00:32	-01:30	-01:29	-01:09	02:01	27:56	03:30	02:36
Lifestealer	5695	80.75%	78.3	49.68%	-2.90%	+0.85%	-0.80%	-1.65%	00:39	-01:30	-01:29	-01:09	02:03	26:05	03:32	02:55
Tusk	10598	55.62%	77.5	49.70%	-3.42%	+1.87%	-0.40%	-2.27%	00:26	-01:30	-01:29	-01:29	01:10	37:06	02:39	03:54
Timbersaw	2988	15.32%	76.7	50.64%	-1.41%	+1.10%	-0.57%	-0.70%	02:14	-01:29	01:08	02:20	03:32	19:16	02:24	02:10
Phantom Assassin	9745	39.52%	75.8	49.58%	-2.03%	-0.83%	-2.91%	-0.77%	02:33	-01:30	00:48	02:10	03:31	39:19	02:43	03:58
Undying	4126	26.17%	75.0	49.90%	-5.42%	-0.14%	+1.22%	1.36%	-00:29	-01:29	-01:29	-01:29	-01:10	40:09	00:19	02:33
Ogre Magi	7814	37.32%	74.2	49.50%	-5.85%	-0.34%	-0.60%	-0.26%	-01:02	-01:30	-01:29	-01:29	-01:20	35:27	00:09	01:53
Legion Commander	7922	42.01%	73.3	49.10%	-2.14%	-0.61%	+0.04%	0.46%	01:25	-01:30	-01:29	01:19	02:54	41:43	04:23	03:01
Phantom Lancer	944	4.21%	72.5	51.91%	-1.58%	+5.90%	-1.06%	-2.61%	02:21	-01:29	-00:58	02:10	03:38	34:30	04:36	03:36
Void Spirit	2262	6.81%	71.7	50.18%	-2.57%	-0.44%	+3.45%	2.78%	01:20	-01:29	-01:29	-01:14	02:53	48:55	04:22	04:31
Juggernaut	1288	4.66%	70.8	50.62%	-3.11%	-5.73%	+2.18%	7.53%	01:06	-01:29	-01:29	-01:11	02:32	34:02	04:01	04:09
Hoodwink	1393	6.26%	70.0	50.32%	-2.45%	-7.05%	+3.42%	2.12%	03:57	-01:29	-01:29	02:08	06:25	1:02:15	07:54	07:04
Weaver	780	4.67%	69.2	50.90%	-4.15%	-1.41%	-0.13%	0.42%	04:45	-01:29	02:52	04:19	05:57	26:11	03:05	03:31
Windranger	875	3.34%	68.3	50.86%	-3.18%	-3.59%	+4.85%	3.96%	02:00	-01:30	-01:29	-00:53	03:37	35:15	05:06	05:11
Axe	1205	10.50%	67.5	49.54%	-2.89%	-2.85%	+5.28%	8.13%	-00:16	-01:29	-01:29	-01:25	-00:35	33:29	00:54	02:25
Venomancer	299	3.52%	66.7	53.18%	-3.25%	-0.55%	+4.15%	1.91%	02:00	-01:30	-01:29	-01:07	03:57	34:50	05:26	06:07
Anti-Mage	7692	34.55%	65.8	47.23%	-4.58%	-2.69%	+1.24%	3.93%	00:40	-01:30	-01:29	00:12	02:01	35:51	03:30	02:41
Mirana	670	2.24%	65.0	51.04%	-4.29%	-2.52%	+7.04%	3.68%	02:27	-01:29	-01:29	01:04	04:05	59:01	05:34	05:54
Mars	10293	30.39%	64.2	47.09%	-3.16%	-1.60%	+1.65%	2.19%	01:30	-01:30	-01:29	01:06	02:58	41:50	04:27	03:37
Clockwerk	406	2.69%	63.3	51.97%	-1.42%	+3.37%	+1.50%	-1.87%	00:51	-01:29	-01:29	-01:29	01:00	31:23	02:29	05:01
Sand King	329	1.64%	62.5	52.28%	-2.11%	-4.09%	+0.16%	2.48%	01:41	-01:29	-01:29	00:51	03:12	29:53	04:41	04:33
Nature's Prophet	1468	9.48%	61.7	47.62%	-2.89%	+1.29%	+0.88%	-0.13%	04:38	-01:29	01:49	02:45	04:56	43:33	03:07	06:09
Pudge	1252	7.32%	60.8	47.60%	-2.00%	+2.40%	+0.96%	-1.44%	-00:33	-01:29	-01:29	-01:29	-01:12	38:49	00:17	02:41
Enchantress	140	2.34%	60.0	54.29%	+2.01%	-7.07%	-2.86%	0.63%	05:11	-01:29	-01:21	03:08	08:04	46:37	09:25	08:33
Faceless Void	836	16.94%	59.2	46.89%	-3.26%	+5.49%	-4.31%	-6.68%	01:26	-01:30	-01:21	01:33	02:49	23:13	04:10	03:00
Earthshaker	64	0.24%	58.3	60.94%	+4.72%	-13.88%	+7.81%	0.00%	04:00	-01:29	-01:29	-01:13	06:11	31:56	07:40	08:23
Visage	123	2.50%	57.5	51.22%	-4.70%	-4.34%	+3.62%	1.84%	05:40	-01:29	02:22	04:35	06:41	31:32	04:19	06:13
Underlord	285	2.47%	56.7	47.72%	-5.30%	-4.66%	+11.43%	5.39%	02:30	-01:29	-01:14	02:07	04:13	20:21	05:27	03:55
Dark Willow	78	0.54%	55.8	56.41%	+1.80%	-8.79%	+12.01%	0.00%	02:54	-01:29	-01:29	-01:13	05:38	32:50	07:07	07:27
Brewmaster	488	7.40%	55.0	44.47%	-7.75%	+1.87%	-5.13%	-7.00%	00:53	-01:30	-01:29	-01:17	02:21	25:05	03:50	03:54
Puck	184	0.50%	54.2	50.54%	-6.52%	-10.11%	+1.63%	0.00%	03:38	-01:29	-01:29	02:04	05:28	35:47	06:57	06:52
Ancient Apparition	73	0.60%	53.3	56.16%	+1.07%	+1.73%	-0.60%	0.00%	05:41	-01:29	-01:29	-01:00	07:44	53:59	09:13	11:22
Omniknight	478	20.89%	52.5	43.10%	-8.95%	+4.01%	-6.13%	-4.99%	01:42	-01:29	-01:29	01:04	03:31	27:33	05:00	03:55
Doom	159	2.86%	51.7	48.43%	-2.63%	-6.97%	-3.43%	0.82%	03:01	-01:29	-01:10	02:40	05:30	17:35	06:40	03:59
Dazzle	176	5.05%	50.8	46.59%	-7.24%	+8.97%	-10.23%	-12.52%	01:17	-01:29	-01:29	-01:13	03:01	18:25	04:30	04:09
Witch Doctor	94	0.53%	50.0	52.13%	+1.42%	-12.13%	+17.44%	29.57%	01:11	-01:29	-01:29	-01:29	-00:53	27:25	00:36	06:23
Sniper	74	2.45%	49.2	50.00%	-0.61%	+5.00%	0.00%	-1.83%	01:49	-01:29	-01:29	-00:31	04:13	16:16	05:42	04:05
Winter Wyvern	98	0.96%	48.3	50.00%	-5.51%	-3.85%	+16.67%	10.01%	02:14	-01:29	-01:29	-01:11	03:32	24:27	05:01	06:11
Warlock	38	0.62%	47.5	57.89%	+4.18%	-3.34%	-13.45%	0.00%	00:10	-01:29	-01:29	-01:29	-01:14	35:38	00:15	06:19
Centaur Warrunner	91	1.60%	46.7	48.35%	-3.72%	+1.65%	-9.22%	-10.87%	00:49	-01:29	-01:29	-01:10	01:55	24:43	03:24	03:49
Bristleback	317	2.99%	45.8	41.96%	-5.99%	-4.46%	+3.61%	1.75%	03:27	-01:29	-01:23	02:39	06:00	23:47	07:23	04:57
Vengeful Spirit	65	1.02%	45.0	50.77%	-1.42%	+2.17%	-7.02%	0.00%	03:42	-01:29	-01:29	02:41	06:41	25:23	08:10	06:03
Shadow Shaman	68	0.24%	44.2	52.94%	-3.43%	-8.50%	+5.88%	8.72%	03:57	-01:29	-01:29	-01:29	03:08	57:10	04:37	11:22
Techies	137	1.51%	43.3	45.26%	-6.44%	+6.17%	-15.85%	-22.02%	-00:54	-01:29	-01:29	-01:29	-01:18	28:25	00:11	02:43
Queen of Pain	95	0.56%	42.5	48.42%	-5.23%	+11.58%	+1.58%	0.00%	01:35	-01:29	-01:29	-01:05	04:05	29:38	05:34	04:41
Spectre	188	4.59%	41.7	41.49%	-8.05%	+0.18%	-1.06%	-0.41%	02:56	-01:29	-01:19	02:07	04:21	26:22	05:40	04:51
Luna	8	0.15%	40.8	87.50%	+34.20%	+12.50%	-37.50%	0.00%	03:46	-01:29	-01:29	-01:29	13:26	13:45	14:55	07:18
Chen	31	1.42%	40.0	54.84%	-0.17%	-10.40%	+7.66%	1.45%	05:59	-01:29	-01:29	-00:44	13:56	36:58	15:25	11:18
Lina	138	0.83%	39.2	44.20%	-4.94%	+0.24%	+2.86%	0.00%	04:16	-01:29	-01:29	01:14	07:18	41:32	08:47	08:23
Silencer	68	0.95%	38.3	47.06%	-4.65%	-2.62%	+17.65%	0.00%	01:19	-01:29	-01:29	-01:06	02:08	22:07	03:37	04:50
Magnus	114	1.87%	37.5	42.11%	-8.26%	+4.56%	-13.54%	-18.10%	00:05	-01:29	-01:29	-01:20	00:59	27:38	02:28	03:36
Clinkz	92	1.45%	36.7	43.48%	-13.24%	+6.52%	-21.74%	-3.84%	08:47	-01:29	03:50	06:57	11:12	41:05	07:22	08:23
Lion	53	0.24%	35.8	50.94%	-3.56%	-0.94%	+10.60%	2.20%	04:48	-01:29	-01:29	-01:29	06:44	34:47	08:13	10:25
Alchemist	57	0.67%	35.0	47.37%	-9.85%	-0.70%	+9.77%	0.00%	01:50	-01:29	-01:29	01:24	03:36	21:11	05:05	04:31
Snapfire	73	0.70%	34.2	43.84%	-5.47%	-7.00%	+0.60%	0.00%	02:41	-01:29	-01:29	01:24	04:13	33:52	05:42	06:49
Phoenix	62	0.27%	33.3	46.77%	-6.36%	-11.48%	-6.77%	0.00%	02:03	-01:29	-01:29	-01:28	03:04	44:01	04:33	07:34
Crystal Maiden	73	0.27%	32.5	45.21%	-8.02%	-13.63%	+21.46%	0.00%	14:26	-01:29	-01:20	13:36	21:32	55:45	22:52	13:41
Outworld Destroyer	33	0.10%	31.7	54.55%	+0.37%	+1.01%	+7.95%	0.00%	08:42	-01:29	-01:24	10:16	16:14	22:55	17:38	08:18
Leshrac	13	0.11%	30.8	69.23%	+15.39%	+5.77%	+30.77%	0.00%	05:10	-01:29	-00:38	06:21	09:10	18:23	09:48	05:54
Jakiro	64	0.44%	30.0	43.75%	-8.61%	-14.34%	0.00%	0.00%	02:17	-01:29	-01:29	-01:29	02:00	39:02	03:29	07:45
Pugna	24	0.24%	29.2	54.17%	+0.85%	+17.26%	-4.17%	0.00%	05:26	-01:29	-01:29	00:53	06:25	43:26	07:54	11:29
Morphling	25	0.09%	28.3	56.00%	+4.41%	+1.14%	+27.33%	0.00%	05:33	-01:29	-01:29	04:07	12:25	21:32	13:54	07:44
Terrorblade	46	0.31%	27.5	45.65%	-4.89%	-7.19%	+8.90%	0.00%	02:11	-01:29	-01:29	-00:27	04:58	22:39	06:27	05:02
Storm Spirit	16	0.07%	26.7	62.50%	+9.22%	-42.50%	+12.50%	0.00%	06:58	-01:29	-01:29	04:49	08:49	41:52	10:18	10:47
Invoker	68	0.29%	25.8	41.18%	-13.68%	-2.29%	0.00%	0.00%	03:54	-01:29	-01:29	01:35	06:04	27:19	07:33	07:04
Skywrath Mage	20	0.18%	25.0	55.00%	+2.89%	-21.67%	-15.00%	0.00%	08:07	-01:29	-01:29	-01:29	24:51	35:29	26:20	14:17
Oracle	30	0.14%	24.2	50.00%	-5.67%	-5.56%	+21.43%	0.00%	08:53	-01:29	-01:29	08:27	21:17	34:23	22:46	11:42
Necrophos	14	0.45%	23.3	57.14%	+5.65%	-17.14%	+9.53%	0.00%	03:51	-01:29	-01:18	02:55	05:59	19:22	07:17	06:40
Kunkka	60	1.25%	22.5	38.33%	-10.64%	-7.08%	+1.67%	0.00%	01:53	-01:29	-01:29	-01:08	04:56	14:12	06:25	04:27
Tinker	4	0.04%	21.7	100.00%	+45.37%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	09:06	-01:29	-01:23	18:46	20:29	20:29	21:52	12:10
Disruptor	35	0.21%	20.8	45.71%	-6.94%	-25.71%	+20.96%	0.00%	02:11	-01:29	-01:29	-01:29	03:05	27:26	04:34	07:02
Templar Assassin	24	0.21%	20.0	50.00%	-4.37%	-7.14%	-16.67%	0.00%	10:17	-01:29	06:39	08:15	16:18	24:27	09:39	06:34
Rubick	65	0.20%	19.2	38.46%	-11.96%	+2.72%	+5.29%	0.00%	04:35	-01:29	-01:29	-01:03	08:21	35:16	09:50	09:44
Drow Ranger	26	0.34%	18.3	46.15%	-4.42%	+3.85%	+20.52%	0.00%	03:44	-01:29	-01:29	02:23	04:56	36:44	06:25	08:31
Dark Seer	14	0.16%	17.5	57.14%	-0.45%	-17.14%	+9.53%	0.00%	05:01	-01:29	-01:29	-01:24	06:51	34:20	08:20	12:10
Viper	42	0.41%	16.7	40.48%	-9.62%	-15.48%	-10.48%	0.00%	04:53	-01:29	-01:29	02:52	08:32	41:59	10:01	08:36
Lich	34	0.16%	15.8	44.12%	-8.24%	-14.12%	-6.62%	0.00%	08:41	-01:29	-01:29	-01:29	18:23	50:20	19:52	14:59
Death Prophet	24	0.26%	15.0	45.83%	-7.69%	+11.31%	-12.50%	0.00%	07:41	-01:29	03:04	07:04	09:56	26:37	06:52	08:04
Grimstroke	55	0.24%	14.2	36.36%	-14.48%	-3.03%	+13.64%	0.00%	03:34	-01:29	-01:29	-00:54	06:58	32:18	08:27	07:35
Keeper of the Light	31	0.21%	13.3	41.94%	-7.31%	+2.50%	+33.06%	0.00%	03:57	-01:29	-01:29	-01:29	07:19	35:26	08:48	09:43
Tiny	41	0.24%	12.5	36.59%	-13.21%	+17.96%	-6.59%	0.00%	09:55	-01:29	-01:29	07:15	19:09	54:46	20:38	13:43
Razor	15	0.32%	11.7	46.67%	-11.83%	-26.67%	+53.33%	0.00%	00:57	-01:29	-01:29	-01:29	04:08	10:06	05:37	03:55
Bane	14	0.14%	10.8	50.00%	-7.05%	-10.00%	+16.67%	0.00%	12:29	-01:29	04:34	06:12	29:43	32:31	25:09	12:28
Sven	35	2.68%	10.0	31.43%	-19.25%	-1.43%	+1.90%	2.32%	00:48	-01:29	-01:29	-00:48	02:55	15:16	04:24	03:25
Arc Warden	9	0.12%	9.2	55.56%	+0.23%	-22.23%	+44.44%	0.00%	02:29	-01:29	-01:29	02:30	06:19	09:49	07:48	03:52
Zeus	10	0.08%	8.3	50.00%	-0.81%	+25.00%	0.00%	0.00%	03:00	-01:29	-01:16	04:06	09:14	10:56	10:30	05:00
Shadow Demon	8	0.15%	7.5	50.00%	-2.42%	-50.00%	+50.00%	0.00%	05:53	-01:29	-01:23	04:18	13:32	22:17	14:55	09:02
Batrider	27	0.10%	6.7	33.33%	-23.23%	+16.67%	-19.04%	0.00%	05:30	-01:29	-01:29	03:58	13:18	22:59	14:47	08:56
Io	8	0.09%	5.8	50.00%	-5.82%	-16.67%	0.00%	0.00%	21:52	-01:29	12:19	23:15	42:15	46:39	29:56	18:41
Shadow Fiend	14	0.06%	5.0	35.71%	-15.06%	+4.29%	+30.96%	0.00%	05:57	-01:29	02:51	05:43	11:08	18:31	08:17	06:00
Gyrocopter	9	0.21%	4.2	33.33%	-18.59%	+33.34%	-33.33%	0.00%	02:28	-01:29	-01:29	01:23	05:59	16:50	07:28	06:11
Meepo	11	0.70%	3.3	27.27%	-28.34%	-27.27%	+6.06%	23.53%	00:17	-01:29	-01:29	-00:41	02:54	05:32	04:23	02:31
Enigma	8	0.05%	2.5	37.50%	-22.13%	-4.17%	+62.50%	0.00%	03:43	-01:29	-01:29	-01:15	13:38	20:16	15:07	08:28
Huskar	2	0.07%	1.7	50.00%	-6.09%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	01:38	01:18	01:58	01:58	01:58	01:58	00:00	00:28
Medusa	3	0.10%	0.8	33.33%	-15.51%	+16.67%	-33.33%	0.00%	00:33	-01:29	-01:29	04:37	04:37	04:37	06:06	03:31

Immortal Rank Meta Trends - 7.28b

Stats for matches of Immortal rank players, data provided by Stratz.com

Median hero picks: 16174