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TI12 Playoff - Day 4 - Finals

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Total couriers killed: 28

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Items category:
Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
Columns
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
ItemPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxWindowStd.Dev
fluffy_hatFluffy Hat3134.44%100.061.29%+29.58%+1.21%-11.29%-0.77%19:4103:0109:4218:2625:5144:5716:0911:57
aghanims_shardAghanim's Shard4347.78%99.158.14%+33.45%-21.78%+23.68%4.29%23:5215:0017:2921:1428:0543:2910:3607:51
refresherRefresher Orb1617.78%98.168.75%+28.27%+31.25%-18.75%-3.40%48:4037:1239:3543:1254:181:25:5014:4310:54
black_king_barBlack King Bar3842.22%97.257.89%+29.49%-17.89%-2.33%1.91%27:3415:5922:3224:3430:4255:3808:1006:02
chainmailChainmail3033.33%96.360.00%+26.67%+2.50%+25.71%3.84%13:1503:0906:0607:5512:091:23:0906:0304:28
blinkBlink Dagger3336.67%95.457.58%+25.48%+4.92%+4.92%0.00%26:4710:1216:4024:2532:101:16:1415:3011:28
bucklerBuckler1112.22%94.472.73%+28.15%+27.27%-6.06%-2.43%31:5820:2821:4933:0635:3344:3613:4410:10
bootsBoots of Speed8998.89%93.549.44%+48.21%-13.08%-3.99%2.83%05:35-01:2903:4005:3206:5313:3303:1302:22
ring_of_protectionRing of Protection2527.78%92.660.00%+22.96%-10.00%+23.33%1.72%13:07-01:2901:3907:0121:0244:3519:2314:21
bracerBracer2325.56%91.760.87%+22.60%+5.80%-10.87%-16.67%04:1500:5601:4102:0102:3229:2100:5100:37
phase_bootsPhase Boots1314.44%90.769.23%+24.79%+30.77%-2.56%-9.26%08:1405:1306:3407:3110:1012:0003:3602:40
cornucopiaCornucopia1921.11%89.863.16%+23.87%+16.84%-23.16%-4.39%44:1830:5534:1939:4043:261:25:5009:0706:45
wind_laceWind Lace3033.33%88.956.67%+22.10%+5.83%+29.04%3.84%10:47-01:2907:0409:5413:0725:2606:0304:28
magic_stickMagic Stick8190.00%88.048.15%+40.74%+11.85%+1.85%-3.19%02:26-01:29-01:2902:2104:3715:1606:0604:31
magic_wandMagic Wand7987.78%87.048.10%+39.46%+6.90%+1.90%-0.94%07:23-01:2904:2506:4509:4519:0705:2003:57
octarine_coreOctarine Core1617.78%86.162.50%+19.82%-12.50%-12.50%0.00%37:3612:5121:2531:1637:471:16:1416:2212:07
hand_of_midasHand of Midas1415.56%85.264.29%+20.92%-39.29%+2.38%3.86%19:1309:3813:4615:3324:3436:3210:4808:00
echo_sabreEcho Sabre88.89%84.375.00%+29.12%-25.00%+25.00%9.49%14:2810:0511:4213:0516:5819:5205:1603:54
force_staffForce Staff2325.56%83.356.52%+17.50%-6.52%+10.15%1.70%28:2116:2622:3328:2432:2344:5709:5007:17
void_stoneVoid Stone3741.11%82.448.65%+15.32%+6.91%-15.32%-0.97%27:5405:1713:4228:3136:371:14:5222:5516:58
crownCrown1314.44%81.561.54%+15.86%-28.21%-28.21%0.00%12:2902:1003:5907:2913:411:01:4409:4207:11
quelling_bladeQuelling Blade3033.33%80.650.00%+13.41%+37.50%+21.43%0.00%-01:11-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2905:0900:0000:00
invis_swordShadow Blade1112.22%79.663.64%+17.86%+36.36%+3.03%-6.83%32:2821:0225:5827:3230:511:18:1904:5303:37
witch_bladeWitch Blade33.33%78.7100.00%+52.27%0.00%0.00%0.00%58:2613:5913:591:18:091:23:101:23:101:09:1151:14
assaultAssault Cuirass77.78%77.871.43%+24.37%+28.57%-21.43%-10.83%34:5622:2331:4234:1436:1945:4204:3703:25
headdressHeaddress77.78%76.971.43%+23.81%+28.57%-21.43%-19.23%15:4912:1512:4715:2215:2322:5802:3601:55
ultimate_scepterAghanim's Scepter2730.00%75.948.15%+8.64%-5.29%+23.28%1.45%36:4314:5427:0037:2746:401:18:0419:4014:34
overwhelming_blinkOverwhelming Blink55.56%75.080.00%+32.87%+20.00%+20.00%0.00%54:4738:3438:3444:581:12:191:16:1533:4525:00
harpoonHarpoon55.56%74.180.00%+32.33%-80.00%+20.00%0.00%23:2214:2814:2822:0326:3633:5912:0808:59
spirit_vesselSpirit Vessel55.56%73.180.00%+31.76%+20.00%+20.00%0.00%13:5110:3410:3411:4414:1921:3603:4502:46
lesser_critCrystalys1516.67%72.253.33%+8.21%-3.33%-3.33%0.00%34:3023:0128:4632:2233:571:20:0605:1103:50
sphereLinken's Sphere1011.11%71.360.00%+15.17%+40.00%-10.00%-5.23%42:5031:5534:2634:4744:001:25:0709:3407:05
silver_edgeSilver Edge1011.11%70.460.00%+13.01%+6.67%-10.00%-3.21%35:4923:4629:1330:4734:251:20:2205:1203:51
travel_bootsBoots of Travel1011.11%69.460.00%+13.01%+6.67%-10.00%-2.41%45:1225:0940:2944:4347:241:04:5506:5505:07
power_treadsPower Treads2730.00%68.544.44%+3.70%-1.58%+26.99%13.50%07:4304:2106:1207:1808:1913:1402:0701:34
blight_stoneBlight Stone1617.78%67.650.00%+5.42%0.00%-50.00%-2.94%12:49-01:2901:1210:5218:121:07:2617:0012:35
arcane_bootsArcane Boots2527.78%66.744.00%+2.02%+6.00%-10.67%-3.75%12:4504:4208:4711:0113:1441:3704:2703:17
bottleBottle1415.56%65.750.00%+3.66%-25.00%+16.67%41.67%01:3700:4201:0801:2401:5303:1400:4500:33
ancient_janggoDrum of Endurance66.67%64.866.67%+17.86%-16.67%-66.67%0.00%29:4216:3319:2825:0931:5156:5912:2309:10
pipePipe of Insight66.67%63.966.67%+17.86%-16.67%+33.33%0.00%19:2614:5117:5218:3220:3425:4602:4202:00
heartHeart of Tarrasque66.67%63.066.67%+18.43%-16.67%+33.33%0.00%36:1321:0126:5533:2742:0656:2315:1111:14
javelinJavelin66.67%62.066.67%+17.86%+33.33%-66.67%0.00%16:4204:5008:0009:2024:4240:5316:4212:22
diademDiadem66.67%61.166.67%+18.43%-16.67%-66.67%0.00%32:2112:3918:1321:5031:451:23:2513:3210:01
lifestealMorbid Mask910.00%60.255.56%+7.94%-5.56%-5.56%0.00%34:1306:4724:0930:5139:081:08:0814:5911:05
wraith_bandWraith Band910.00%59.355.56%+7.37%+44.44%-5.56%-2.08%16:4001:5002:0814:5326:1338:5124:0517:50
tranquil_bootsTranquil Boots1213.33%58.350.00%+3.01%-16.67%+50.00%12.86%12:0706:5207:5810:4413:0919:4805:1103:50
aether_lensAether Lens1213.33%57.450.00%+2.44%+16.67%-16.67%-1.81%28:2709:4916:5125:5735:1555:3018:2413:37
mjollnirMjollnir44.44%56.575.00%+26.16%-75.00%+25.00%0.00%25:5319:0219:0223:3326:3534:2207:3305:35
moon_shardMoon Shard44.44%55.675.00%+27.81%+25.00%+25.00%0.00%1:10:141:02:101:02:101:07:361:12:221:18:4910:1207:33
orb_of_corrosionOrb of Corrosion44.44%54.675.00%+26.16%+25.00%-75.00%0.00%07:5803:3603:3604:3405:2018:2201:4401:17
kayaKaya44.44%53.775.00%+26.16%+25.00%+25.00%0.00%38:3420:5320:5324:2751:0157:5530:0822:19
maelstromMaelstrom44.44%52.875.00%+26.16%+25.00%+25.00%0.00%12:2310:0510:0512:0612:0715:1302:0201:30
orb_of_venomOrb of Venom44.44%51.975.00%+26.16%+25.00%-75.00%0.00%07:2502:3002:3004:0604:4018:2202:1001:36
armletArmlet of Mordiggian22.22%50.9100.00%+51.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%10:1309:5809:5810:2710:2710:2700:2900:21
revenants_broochRevenant's Brooch22.22%50.0100.00%+51.69%0.00%0.00%0.00%1:21:201:18:201:18:201:24:201:24:201:24:2006:0004:26
dragon_lanceDragon Lance1011.11%49.150.00%+2.38%+16.67%0.00%-2.44%16:1607:5110:0313:0616:5340:4606:5005:03
hurricane_pikeHurricane Pike77.78%48.157.14%+9.47%-7.14%+42.86%3.27%33:3418:5625:4935:4041:0645:2015:1711:19
ring_of_healthRing of Health1415.56%47.242.86%-4.70%+7.14%-9.53%-1.09%13:1802:0902:2403:1617:4050:3715:1611:18
glimmer_capeGlimmer Cape1112.22%46.345.45%-2.74%-12.12%+21.22%4.10%24:5617:2519:3522:4227:4343:0508:0806:01
cycloneEul's Scepter of Divinity88.89%45.450.00%+1.76%+50.00%0.00%-1.94%32:2813:5016:0819:5041:561:18:0425:4819:06
medallion_of_courageMedallion of Courage55.56%44.460.00%+11.16%-60.00%-60.00%0.00%11:1105:1705:1707:4916:0519:0110:4808:00
diffusal_bladeDiffusal Blade55.56%43.560.00%+10.59%+40.00%+40.00%0.00%11:4007:5807:5812:0913:5013:5405:5204:20
solar_crestSolar Crest55.56%42.660.00%+11.16%-60.00%-60.00%0.00%23:3111:0411:0412:0321:161:01:4910:1207:33
aeon_diskAeon Disk55.56%41.760.00%+11.16%+40.00%-60.00%0.00%46:0029:1729:1740:4142:131:19:1112:5609:34
shivas_guardShiva's Guard55.56%40.760.00%+11.16%+40.00%+40.00%0.00%33:3724:0124:0135:4536:0140:5312:0008:53
urn_of_shadowsUrn of Shadows910.00%39.844.44%-4.96%-44.44%+5.56%8.24%07:4104:0004:1605:4310:2016:2706:0404:29
ghostGhost Scepter910.00%38.944.44%-4.37%+5.56%-44.44%-3.66%32:0220:2322:4628:3936:2545:5913:3910:06
blade_mailBlade Mail1314.44%38.038.46%-10.92%-5.13%+28.21%13.99%16:3110:5211:3712:4714:0060:1902:2301:45
greater_critDaedalus66.67%37.050.00%+0.59%-50.00%-50.00%0.00%38:5631:1735:1237:3040:1250:5205:0003:42
ring_of_basiliusRing of Basilius66.67%36.150.00%+1.16%0.00%-50.00%0.00%26:4503:5909:0224:2739:0850:4830:0622:17
helm_of_iron_willHelm of Iron Will1011.11%35.240.00%-10.00%+26.67%-40.00%-2.71%36:2507:3618:3139:2243:061:23:2524:3518:12
monkey_king_barMonkey King Bar33.33%34.366.67%+17.24%+33.33%0.00%0.00%35:0630:2730:2732:5841:5241:5211:2508:27
kaya_and_sangeKaya and Sange33.33%33.366.67%+17.24%+33.33%0.00%0.00%33:2724:3724:3724:4451:0151:0126:2419:33
ultimate_scepter_2Aghanim's Blessing77.78%32.442.86%-4.87%+7.14%-42.86%-2.42%60:1846:5948:4349:131:09:231:20:5120:4015:18
yashaYasha88.89%31.537.50%-12.50%+12.50%+12.50%0.00%25:2913:2817:0821:3724:5057:5807:4205:42
radianceRadiance88.89%30.637.50%-13.10%+62.50%+12.50%-11.15%20:5112:3918:3821:1723:0725:3104:2903:19
skadiEye of Skadi44.44%29.650.00%0.00%-50.00%-50.00%0.00%32:5020:4720:4730:4135:1044:4214:2310:39
butterflyButterfly44.44%28.750.00%+0.57%+50.00%-50.00%0.00%45:4038:2838:2844:2649:0150:4510:3307:48
sangeSange44.44%27.850.00%0.00%+50.00%-50.00%0.00%30:4422:1622:1624:0925:3151:0103:1502:24
vladmirVladmir's Offering44.44%26.950.00%+0.57%+50.00%-50.00%0.00%37:0425:0925:0933:0939:0850:4813:5910:21
basherSkull Basher44.44%25.950.00%+1.14%-50.00%-50.00%0.00%36:0628:3628:3632:0041:4841:5813:1209:46
satanicSatanic44.44%25.050.00%+0.57%+50.00%-50.00%0.00%33:2629:2529:2532:1734:3837:2405:1303:51
mekansmMekansm11.11%24.1100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%17:3717:3717:3717:3717:3717:3700:0000:00
arcane_blinkArcane Blink11.11%23.1100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%44:4344:4344:4344:4344:4344:4300:0000:00
yasha_and_kayaYasha and Kaya11.11%22.2100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%57:5857:5857:5857:5857:5857:5800:0000:00
guardian_greavesGuardian Greaves11.11%21.3100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%21:1021:1021:1021:1021:1021:1000:0000:00
travel_boots_2Boots of Travel 255.56%20.440.00%-8.86%-40.00%-40.00%0.00%60:4344:5844:5854:481:01:401:27:2616:4212:22
desolatorDesolator66.67%19.433.33%-17.26%+16.67%-33.33%0.00%26:3014:4516:2216:4723:351:07:2607:1305:20
sheepstickScythe of Vyse66.67%18.533.33%-16.10%-33.33%-33.33%0.00%46:4235:4342:2043:0654:151:01:3611:5508:49
nullifierNullifier66.67%17.633.33%-17.26%+66.67%-33.33%0.00%41:3036:5140:3241:1643:0945:2302:3701:56
mantaManta Style77.78%16.728.57%-22.02%+21.43%-28.57%-6.61%26:4320:3522:4425:0630:1833:0007:3405:36
vanguardVanguard77.78%15.728.57%-23.24%+71.43%-28.57%-22.06%17:0504:3804:4309:0709:1550:3704:3203:21
mage_slayerMage Slayer22.22%14.850.00%0.00%-50.00%0.00%0.00%51:0540:1140:111:01:581:01:581:01:5821:4716:08
boots_of_bearingBoots of Bearing22.22%13.950.00%0.00%+50.00%0.00%0.00%48:3228:0728:071:08:571:08:571:08:5740:5030:14
wind_wakerWind Waker22.22%13.050.00%+0.56%+50.00%0.00%0.00%1:01:3245:0045:001:18:041:18:041:18:0433:0424:29
orchidOrchid Malevolence22.22%12.050.00%0.00%-50.00%0.00%0.00%48:3235:0035:001:02:041:02:041:02:0427:0420:02
mask_of_madnessMask of Madness22.22%11.150.00%0.00%-50.00%0.00%0.00%38:2808:4808:481:08:081:08:081:08:0859:2043:57
rapierDivine Rapier22.22%10.250.00%+0.56%-50.00%0.00%0.00%1:10:471:02:311:02:311:19:031:19:031:19:0316:3212:14
bloodthornBloodthorn22.22%9.350.00%0.00%-50.00%0.00%0.00%51:0840:1140:111:02:041:02:041:02:0421:5316:12
abyssal_bladeAbyssal Blade33.33%8.333.33%-16.67%-33.33%0.00%0.00%46:3335:3535:3550:4453:2053:2017:4513:08
meteor_hammerMeteor Hammer33.33%7.433.33%-17.24%-33.33%0.00%0.00%07:1506:0506:0507:1008:3008:3002:2501:47
soul_ringSoul Ring44.44%6.525.00%-26.16%-25.00%+75.00%0.00%09:0207:3107:3107:3709:5711:0402:2601:48
helm_of_the_dominatorHelm of the Dominator11.11%5.60.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1:23:271:23:271:23:271:23:271:23:271:23:2700:0000:00
bloodstoneBloodstone11.11%4.60.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%22:1522:1522:1522:1522:1522:1500:0000:00
rod_of_atosRod of Atos11.11%3.70.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%19:4319:4319:4319:4319:4319:4300:0000:00
crimson_guardCrimson Guard11.11%2.80.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%22:5522:5522:5522:5522:5522:5500:0000:00
null_talismanNull Talisman11.11%1.90.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%21:3821:3821:3821:3821:3821:3800:0000:00
falcon_bladeFalcon Blade11.11%0.90.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%06:2406:2406:2406:2406:2406:2400:0000:00